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August 2016 Boards forecast contest

  • 29-07-2016 7:43am
    #1
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users Posts: 14,319 ✭✭✭✭


    1. Predict the IMT (Irish mean temperature, an average for five stations, Casement, Claremorris, Mullingar, Oak Park and Shannon). The 1981-2010 "normal" value is 15.1 C.

    2. Predict the MAX, the highest daily maximum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.

    3. Predict the MIN, the lowest daily minimum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.

    4. Predict the PRC, the average rainfall expressed as percentage of normal at the eleven stations we normally use, which include the five mentioned for IMT and also Ballyhaise, Belmullet, Malin Head, Johnstown Castle, Cork and Valentia.

    5. Predict the SUN, the total sunshine expressed as a percentage of normal at the six stations used (Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Shannon, Cork, Valentia).

    6. For a BONUS question, predict the heaviest calendar day rainfall (as reported in daily data and "yesterday's weather" on met.ie site) and the location. This should be in mm to one decimal place.


    Enter by the deadline of 0300h on Monday 1st of August, or take the slight penalties that are assigned on first, increasing on second.

    Good luck !!


«13

Comments

  • #2
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,498 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    sryanbruen __________ 15.6 _ 26.0_ 4.9 _ 110_ 104_ 25.2mm Valentia Observatory on the 6th

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



  • #3
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,872 ✭✭✭pauldry


    pauldry__________ 15.2 _ 25.7_ 3.0 _ 127_ 101_ 48.2mm Roches Point 31st August

    Good on ya sryan now i have a template....on phone ya c


  • #4
    Bsal
    Registered Users Posts: 1,766 ✭✭✭Bsal


    Bsal__________ 15.3 _ 25.0_ 3.7 _ 125_ 99_ 33.0mm Knock Airport 25th August


  • #5
    200motels
    Registered Users Posts: 2,602 ✭✭✭200motels


    200motels
    _ 15.1 _ 26.7_ 3.0 _ 117_ 98_ 28.2mm Roches Point 7th August


  • #6
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    mickger844posts __________ 15.1_ 25.0_ 5.9 _ 110_ 104_ 20.2mm Valentia Observatory on the 26th


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  • #7
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,687 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    DOCARCH __________ 15.3_ 27.7_ 4.2 _ 110_ 90_ 16.2mm Sherkin 10th


  • #8
    dasa29
    Registered Users Posts: 547 ✭✭✭dasa29


    Dasa29 __________ 15.2 _ 25.0_ 3.9 _ 100_ 100_ 22.5mm Valentia Observatory on the 16th


  • #9
    mrskinner
    Registered Users Posts: 387 ✭✭mrskinner


    Skinner_____14.9_____24.6____3.8____100____111_____32mm, Valentia.


  • #10
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,498 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    mrskinner wrote: »
    Skinner_____12.3_____28.4_____4.4_____100____100_____50mm, 27th

    12.3? Are you high mate?

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



  • #11
    mrskinner
    Registered Users Posts: 387 ✭✭mrskinner


    I am not your mate.


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  • #12
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users Posts: 13,498 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    mrskinner wrote: »
    I am not your mate.

    That does not answer my question whatsoever and it's a figure of speech.

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/

    Weather photo portfolio - https://sryanbruen.myportfolio.com/weather-1



  • #13
    Jpmarn
    Registered Users Posts: 1,475 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    Jpmarn __________ 16.3_ 28.7_ 6.2 _ 110_ 120_ 28.2mm Belmullet 6th


  • #14
    sunflower3
    Registered Users Posts: 188 ✭✭sunflower3


    Sunflower3 __________ 15.4_ 26.5_ 4.0 _ 101_ 95_ 14.2mm Valentia 18th


  • #15
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users Posts: 14,319 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    MrSkinner, we need a location from you for the max rainfall (date not part of the scoring). Thanks.

    M.T. Cranium ________ 15.6 __ 28.0 __ 2.0 __ 098 __ 095 ___ 30.0 Gurteen


  • #16
    rameire
    Registered Users Posts: 4,112 ✭✭✭rameire


    Rameire ________ 14.7 __ 24.6 __ 3.4 __ 104 __ 098 ___ 25.2 Newport

    🌞 3.8kwp, 🌞 Split 2.28S, 1.52E. 🌞 Clonee, Dub.🌞



  • #17
    Tae laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 707 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Tae laidir __________ 15.8 _ 25.8 _ 3.4 _ 105 _ 105 _ 33.0 Knock


  • #18
    kindredspirit
    Registered Users Posts: 339 ✭✭kindredspirit


    Kindred Spirit __________ 15.2 ___ 26.2 ___ 4.0 ___ 85 ___ 105 ___ 30mm at Valentia.

    https://coolwatergarden.com/



  • #19
    Joe Public
    Registered Users Posts: 1,777 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    Joe Public ________ 15.3 __ 26.9 __ 1.9 __ 120 __ 090 ___ 22.9 Roches Point


  • #20
    waterways
    Registered Users Posts: 372 ✭✭waterways


    waterways __________ 15.4 ___ 27.3___ 2.3___ 91 ___ 116___ 28mm Knock


  • #21
    John mac
    Registered Users Posts: 5,105 ✭✭✭John mac


    john mac __________ 15.0 _ 26.0_ 5.9 _ 110_ 98_ 32.2mm Sherkin 10th


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  • #22
    Rikand
    Registered Users Posts: 20,336 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    Rikand ______ 15.5 _____ 27.0 _____ 3.5 ______ 110 ______ 100 ______ 25mm Mount Dillon 1st August


  • #23
    Lumi
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,466 ✭✭✭Lumi


    Lumi __________ 15.1_ 26.7_ 4.5 _ 113_ 90_ 36.0mm Sherkin Island 20th


  • #24
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,872 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Sherkin Island setting an early bar for rainfall..


  • #25
    jd
    Registered Users Posts: 5,680 ✭✭✭jd


    JD________ 15.3 __ 27.9 __ 2.9 __ 115 __ 093___29.9 Sherkin


  • #26
    Rikand
    Registered Users Posts: 20,336 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    Bugger, had picked cork last night and changed my mind last second when i saw the values being predicted on yr.no


  • #27
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,872 ✭✭✭pauldry


    54mm in sherkin midnight to 6PM Unbeatable total on 1st August quite possible.


  • #28
    waterways
    Registered Users Posts: 372 ✭✭waterways


    sherkin should get the points and we zero. :)


  • #29
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,872 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Its now over 60mm

    I thought 48.2mm was a joke prediction and yet its bust


  • #30
    dacogawa
    Registered Users Posts: 1,836 ✭✭✭dacogawa


    Please excuse the lateness, couldn't be helped

    Dacogawa __________ 15.8 _ 27.1_ 3.9 _ 120_ 90_ 70mm sherkin 15th

    Was going to say 66.2mm sherkin on the 1st, but I'll skip that in the interests of fairness and go for something crazy instead


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  • #31
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 6,872 ✭✭✭pauldry


    dacogawa wrote: »
    Please excuse the lateness, couldn't be helped

    Dacogawa __________ 15.8 _ 27.1_ 3.9 _ 120_ 90_ 70mm sherkin 15th

    Was going to say 66.2mm sherkin on the 1st, but I'll skip that in the interests of fairness and go for something crazy instead

    Hmmmm controversial.

    Surely therel be 120mm at some place before 31st n it wont matter.

    Actually Sherkin has already matched or nearly matched its rainfall for augusts of previous few years.


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