Aurora Prospects 2015

Elmer Blooker

Dónal wrote: »

Any sightings in Ireland yet?

Just looking at a satellite image no one will be seeing anything in the eastern half of the country, good luck to those in western areas.

GardeningGirl

Hi, I'm in Connemara. I'll keep an eye out!
Hope to see something, never have before

fits

bank of cloud is wrecking me buzz here. it will pass soon though.

eastmayo

Nice and clear here but no sign off them yet

littlema

Definite lightness in north-western sky well away from the usual Sligo lights.....could be described as greenish as opposed to the yellow lights of town.....but the clouds are soaking up a lot of it
from a hill on north side of Ballyremote!!!!!

Rikand

Just popped out there, I have town lights around me, but thought I could see a greenish hue in the distance. Going to try get out of town and see if it's legit

(athlone)

Rikand

Definitely a chance of seeing it if you have the skies for it. Jumping in car now

Too much cloud in Dublin. I'd try heading out to Kildare if I knew it'd be clear there but from looking at the maps there's not much luck of that.

Best of luck, Rikand.

squarecircles

Clear skies in west mayo,no light pollution,cant see anything,saw 2 shooting stars.thats all.

joujoujou

Nothing.

Rikand

The fog around athlone is too thick. Some spots on the road I couldn't see 10 feet in front of me so had to give up on it

uck51js9zml2yt

My niece saw a level 5 last week in Iceland. And didn't take one photo

FrDougalMcguire

Was up at Knock Airport and saw nothing. Clear skies and all. Got some nice shots of hue of lights through the fog from surrounding towns and villages though

fits

Display only lasted a short while here and couldnt really be seen properly with the clouds unfortunately. It was very strong for a little while.

The Space Environment Center's Neural Net Program estimates that . . .

in 24 minutes, the Geomagnetic Activity level (Kp number) will be 6.33 -- at STORM LEVEL!
in 40 minutes, the Geomagnetic Activity level (Kp number) will be 6 -- at STORM LEVEL!

***

Hopefully that'll keep going as the weather sounds better than last night:

Tonight will be mostly dry at first with a few clear spells over the northern half of the country, but cloud will increase from the southwest with patches of mist, drizzle or rain pushing northwards.

Aurora Alert Ireland tweeted:

KP 5/6. Potential viewing in Mayo, Sligo and Leitrim 2100-2300. South Donegal Tyrone and South Derry, 0000 - 0300. Inishowen perhaps 0030.

joujoujou

I really hope they're right. Twill be my third sleepless night in a row.

Iancar29

Dónal wrote: »

Aurora Alert Ireland tweeted:

KP 5/6. Potential viewing in Mayo, Sligo and Leitrim 2100-2300. South Donegal Tyrone and South Derry, 0000 - 0300. Inishowen perhaps 0030.

The aurora oval wouldn't make that much of a time difference for viewing along the north coast. I would say more like 9-11pm is best for the all those regions.

Iancar29

Next CME impact from yesterday's M flare forecast for Saturday.

So potential aurora for Saturday night if timing and clouds look good.

Iancar29

Iancar29 wrote: »

Next CME impact from yesterday's M flare forecast for Saturday.

So potential aurora for Saturday night if timing and clouds look good.

No sleep for joujoujou so

Iancar29

CME has hit the ACE satellite 24hrs ahead of schedule!! Previous storm must of cleared the path for it.



Geomagnetic storming likely soon!

Wanderer78

kp slowing ramping up there!

http://www.softservenews.com/

maquiladora

fits

Cloudy here in finland. Not a fear of seeing anything.

Hal1

If it clears there may be a chance of seeing some very soon. Maybe as far south as Mayo / Louth.

joujoujou

Fell asleep too early.

PukkaStukka

Anything happening tonight? Reports of aurora over Isle of Skye and aurora map show in it over NW Ireland too

PukkaStukka

joujoujou

PukkaStukka wrote: »

Anything happening tonight? [...]

Yes. This. -->

Iancar29

KP6 reached... pity about the clouds

http://www.nwcsaf.org/NRT_images/ImaGIF_CTTH1__ORIG_RES_LOOP.html

Hal1

The m3.9 flare yesterday is predicted to give a glancing blow late on the 11th into the morning of the 12th.

CME UPDATE: The NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center updated the WSA-ENLIL CME prediction model and are predicting a glancing blow to our geomagnetic field is possible by late November 11th and into the 12th. Coronagraph imagery is now updated and does confirm that the bulk of the CME was directed away from our planet. Sky watchers should remain alert nonetheless as another round of storming may be possible within 48 hours.

source: http://www.solarham.net/

lolie

Kp 5 now and magnetic field south so may be visible up north if it's clear out.
Cloudy skies to the north down here.

KP8 due in 50 minutes!

Hal1

Starting to look good if it reaches those levels.

Iancar29

One from the back of the camera here in Finglas

Kerrigooney

Kp8 in 43 mins. Light glow here in North west(Easkey,Co. Sligo).

The lightest of a glow, but that's it! KP8, up near Swords at 10pm tonight.



Had to be done.

Iancar29

Mine from the Hill of Tara, pillars erupted just before midnight.

Stunning! What camera settings did you use if you don't mind?

Iancar29

D610
14mm Samyang f2.8
ISO 800-1600 ( depending on the strength of the aurora )
15-20 seconds.

Meteorite58

Stunning shots Iancar29.

Hal1

It might not be a bad night if you were to head out again. The bz is pointing south at the moment.

Forecast for 23:00.

John mac

had a look earlier just a faint green glow (with a 13 sec exposure )

fret_wimp2

30 second exposure at ISO 1600 from sandyford shows nothing but an orange glow on the northern horizon.
Im probably being very very hopeful at getting anything from here anyway!

Wanderer78

kp 7 forecast soon folks. could be interesting soon for some here

http://www.softservenews.com/

cherryghost

It was better last night

joujoujou

Greenish glow - N direction, orangish glow - NNW direction.

It's too bright here.

John mac

moon has drowned it out a bit too.

aboyro

got a nice green glow down here. was stunned to be honest. 30sec iso1600. very happy to kick off the new year with a bitta Aurora.

John mac

New Year Auora by JOhn Mac, on Flickr
just a faint green glow. 00:20 (time on camera set wrong )
24mm f2 13 seconds