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Top Christmas Day TV-Mrs Brown's Boys

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  • Registered Users Posts: 691 ✭✭✭ianburke


    thought id lost when i checked twitter and saw the queen thing but realised after 10mins panicking bets a winner. nice tidy win. wd all winners


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,086 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    Here is some advice.

    When in hole...

    Stop digging.

    what does that mean


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 162 ✭✭costadeldole


    ianburke wrote: »
    thought id lost when i checked twitter and saw the queen thing but realised after 10mins panicking bets a winner. nice tidy win. wd all winners

    Congratulations winner!

    I must admit, I had the same moment of fear when I read the Twitter myself.

    But then I remembered Betfair were only taking the highest of 2 shows on the day, not adding them.

    Its a great feeling when it sinks in, that fear feeling then turns into the rush of a win.

    I made 2,800 Euro profit today, but its not my biggest all time win though.

    I will never forget the rush of winning 3,000 on Hurtlocker winning Best Picture at the Oscars in 2010.

    Everyone said I was mad for betting 3k on it, as Avatar was the tipped oods on favourite, but sometimes a man has to trust his gut instinct.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,249 ✭✭✭Juwwi


    did he give a time frame?

    He said as soon as possible.

    Heres the number 1800946242
    maybe you ring aswell just to confirm you get told same as me,
    also the more people ringing up the better for getting it settled.

    Ignore the other fella he is no help.


  • Registered Users Posts: 691 ✭✭✭ianburke


    Congratulations winner!

    I must admit, I had the same moment of fear when I read the Twitter myself.

    But then I remembered Betfair were only taking the highest of 2 shows on the day, not adding them.

    Its a great feeling when it sinks in, that fear feeling then turns into the rush of a win.

    yes l0l its a nice feeling! nice job OP. might follow u in with the oscar bet too:cool:


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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,408 ✭✭✭ft9


    how much did ye get on lads? Tried a few hundred but 70 was max bookies would take. Liquidity wasn't there on betfair


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 162 ✭✭costadeldole


    ianburke wrote: »
    yes l0l its a nice feeling! nice job OP. might follow u in with the oscar bet too:cool:

    I am 100% on the Oscars bet. Trust me.
    Pesonally I will have 10k on it as soon as the market opens on Betfairs exchange.
    I can't get anything like that on their sportsbook market, so its of no interest to me.
    None of the other bookies will take that amount from me on the market either.
    At odds of 1.22 it is buying money, a nice 2200 Euro profit for a days work; but its not until February though.
    But as I always say;
    long runs the fox.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,086 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    robbie1977 wrote: »
    He said as soon as possible.

    Heres the number 1800946242
    maybe you ring aswell just to confirm you get told same as me,
    also the more people ringing up the better for getting it settled.

    Ignore the other fella he is no help.

    yea online chat not reliable,since everybookie has payed out bet365 should.
    I would have thought the odds would be less for the queen speech if it was on two channells but it was the same as every other so Im hopefull.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,408 ✭✭✭ft9


    stakes anybody?


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 162 ✭✭costadeldole


    ft9 wrote: »
    how much did ye get on lads? Tried a few hundred but 70 was max bookies would take. Liquidity wasn't there on betfair

    2350 Euro on Betfair exchange.

    150 Euro on Betfairs sportsbook (max allowed).

    I trickled on the 2350 on the exchange starting at odds of 3.0 and ending at 1.95 over 48 hours, in order not to cause market distortion and the odds to plummet.

    As luck would have it, the fake Coral leak about the Queen announcing her abdication in her speech, worked in my favour, as he odds plummeted so fast it caused desirable market distortion for me. My odds on Mrs Brown's Boys held at an average of 2.0 while I trickled my bets on.

    I got the 150 on sportsbook at 2.65

    And the 2350 on exchange at 2.0

    So after Betfair commission it was a net total of 2,800 profit on my 2,500 stake.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,408 ✭✭✭ft9


    its stakes with bookies I'm interested in not the exchange


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,086 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    robbie1977 wrote: »
    He said as soon as possible.

    Heres the number 1800946242
    maybe you ring aswell just to confirm you get told same as me,
    also the more people ringing up the better for getting it settled.

    Ignore the other fella he is no help.

    just got an email

    Dear Mr ,

    I am contacting you in regards to your recent settlement request for your bet BS5224830010W on Mrs Browns Boys To Win Outright - Top Christmas Day UK TV Programme 2014.

    Your bet was forwarded on to our trading team for you, however they have confirmed that these bets are settled on the official BARB viewing figures which have not yet been released.

    Once the official result has been released your bet will be settled accordingly for you.

    I hope this information helps, if you do have further queries please do not hesitate to contact us.

    If you have any further queries, we may ask you to confirm your username and four-digit security number. If you are unable to recall your four-digit security number, go to Services in the top right corner of our website, click on Help, select FAQ - My Account and refer to What if I forget my four-digit security number.

    We look forward to hearing from you. Our team are available 24 hours a day by Live Chat, via email support-eng@customerservices365.com freephone 08000 288 365 or alternatively call 01782 684757 and we will be pleased to assist you.

    Kind regards,

    Jessica M
    The bet365 Team


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,086 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    the barb viewing figures is the combined I guessing?


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 162 ✭✭costadeldole


    just got an email

    Dear Mr ,

    I am contacting you in regards to your recent settlement request for your bet BS5224830010W on Mrs Browns Boys To Win Outright - Top Christmas Day UK TV Programme 2014.

    Your bet was forwarded on to our trading team for you, however they have confirmed that these bets are settled on the official BARB viewing figures which have not yet been released.

    Once the official result has been released your bet will be settled accordingly for you.

    I hope this information helps, if you do have further queries please do not hesitate to contact us.

    If you have any further queries, we may ask you to confirm your username and four-digit security number. If you are unable to recall your four-digit security number, go to Services in the top right corner of our website, click on Help, select FAQ - My Account and refer to What if I forget my four-digit security number.

    We look forward to hearing from you. Our team are available 24 hours a day by Live Chat, via email support-eng@customerservices365.com freephone 08000 288 365 or alternatively call 01782 684757 and we will be pleased to assist you.

    Kind regards,

    Jessica M
    The bet365 Team

    BARB publish their figures on their website 5th January.
    So its going to be a long wait for you to find out you have lost.
    Bet365; the Hyundai of bookies.
    Betfair; the Bentley of bookies.


  • Registered Users Posts: 45,316 ✭✭✭✭Bobeagleburger


    Combining viewing figures is sneaky but that's bookies for you.

    Probably a lesson learned for many


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,086 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    BARB publish their figures on their website 5th January.
    So its going to be a long wait for you to find out you have lost.
    Bet365; the Hyundai of bookies.
    Betfair; the Bentley of bookies.

    Bet365 are better as they have markets on less known games like Iceland so its better that way.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 162 ✭✭costadeldole


    the barb viewing figures is the combined I guessing?

    BARB produce 2 sets of figures.

    One set on the 26th at 9.30am which are the overnight (average) figures.

    Then another set 5th January 9.30am which are the cumulative (+1) figures.

    In any case, Bet365 are settling on the basis of adding 2 show figures to give a total figure.

    Whereas Betfair (and other bookies) are settling on the basis of taking the highest figure for each show.

    Critically they are not using peak figures but average. For example, last year Dr Who would have won as it peaked at 10.2m, but they settled on Mrs Brown's Boys with an average of 9.4m

    Often call centre workers for bookies will mistake the rules, and think peak means highest average figure. But actually peak and average mean two different things.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,249 ✭✭✭Juwwi


    BARB publish their figures on their website 5th January.
    So its going to be a long wait for you to find out you have lost.
    Bet365; the Hyundai of bookies.
    Betfair; the Bentley of bookies.

    Will ya fook off with your snide remarks.
    You nearly seem happy theres a problem getting paid.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,086 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    robbie1977 wrote: »
    Will ya fook off with your snide remarks.
    You nearly seem happy theres a problem getting paid.

    Hes getting under my skin now aswell!
    Im not sure what to think with this bet,any chance you can call them again and find out?


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,086 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    the only thing that might go for us is the +1 thats taken in affect aswell so might have a chance


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 162 ✭✭costadeldole


    Bet365 are better as they have markets on less known games like Iceland so its better that way.

    So lets get this straight.
    Bet365 are better, yet they aren't settling your bet until BARB publish their figures on the 5th January?
    When all the other bookies have settled on the market now.
    They have some of the lowest odds on oddschecker across the board compared to all the bookies.
    There isn't a market they cover, that isn't covered by Betfair; and often the same market is covered on both their exchange and sportsbook; so you can back bet without a capped limit.
    And if that wasn't enough reason for you; Bet365 have some of the lowest cap limits on the market.
    Honestly, I don't know anyone that would use them.
    Betfair is the market leader, why use anything less?


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,408 ✭✭✭ft9


    Ladbrokes paid me out


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 162 ✭✭costadeldole


    Hes getting under my skin now aswell!
    Im not sure what to think with this bet,any chance you can call them again and find out?

    Great tune.
    Thanks for reminding me.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=29J2B2FIgt0


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 162 ✭✭costadeldole


    <snip>


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 162 ✭✭costadeldole


    ft9 wrote: »
    Ladbrokes paid me out

    Congratulations winner!

    Seeing others profit from one of my tips just enchances it for me.

    Its like a smoking a joint in a hot steamy bath with a cold can of beer, while having a bj at the same time. Pleasure enhancement.

    Don't forget the Oscars (February 2015) Best Picture-Boyhood.

    Trust me.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,086 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    <snip>

    your unreal.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 162 ✭✭costadeldole


    your unreal.

    People always used to call me a bold boy.

    Well here is what I say to that;

    fortune favours the bold.

    You see before I go in balls deep on a bet, I do around one month of research on the market.

    So you can take it from me, that when I say Oscars Best Picture-Boyhood, I am 100% sure of it.

    When you see 10k on Betfairs exchange in February, that is me.

    I will be trickling it on over 48 hours so as not to cause market distortion.

    When no bookie will let you get on 10k, you must have an edge? But then what do I know; I was mocked on here for obsessing over my Mrs Brown's bet.

    <snip>


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,249 ✭✭✭Juwwi


    Im not sure what to think with this bet,any chance you can call them again and find out?

    They take ur account info so l dont want to ring back so soon
    incase they can see l only rang an hour ago.

    Have you no way of phoning yourself?

    My gut instinct is we will get paid even if they pay out on both.
    Its very sneaky of them if they just pay on the queen.

    As you rightly pointed out why was the queen 16/1 if they were adding 2 different stations together.

    I wonder what bet365 settled it as the winner last year.
    did they add the 2 queens show together last year.


  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 20,862 Mod ✭✭✭✭inforfun


    People always used to call me a bold boy.

    Well here is what I say to that;

    fortune favours the bold.

    You see before I go in balls deep on a bet, I do around one month of research on the market.

    So you can take it from me, that when I say Oscars Best Picture-Boyhood, I am 100% sure of it.

    When you see 10k on Betfairs exchange in February, that is me.

    I will be trickling it on over 48 hours so as not to cause market distortion.

    When no bookie will let you get on 10k, you must have an edge? But then what do I know; I was mocked on here for obsessing over my Mrs Brown's bet.

    <snip>

    MOD:

    You already had a warning earlier today but you seem you cant help yourself.

    Enjoy your month off.
    And if that ban is over, please do everyone a favour and dont return


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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,086 ✭✭✭the whole year inn


    robbie1977 wrote: »
    They take ur account info so l dont want to ring back so soon
    incase they can see l only rang an hour ago.

    Have you no way of phoning yourself?

    My gut instinct is we will get paid even if they pay out on both.
    Its very sneaky of them if they just pay on the queen.

    As you rightly pointed out why was the queen 16/1 if they were adding 2 different stations together.

    I wonder what bet365 settled it as the winner last year.
    did they add the 2 queens show together last year.
    Ill make the phone call now and see what they say I hope your right about paying out but they have the final word and theres nothign we can do.


This discussion has been closed.
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