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The Football Tips Thread V
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One but last round of the Dutch eredivisie today
Some of you will be tempted to do all matches BTTS and or overs so lets see which matches to look out for as it come to teams actually fighting for something.
Utrecht - Excelsior
Utrecht has nothing to play for while Excelsior could secure another season of Eredivisie when they grab a point or more if AZ beats NAC. Utrecht not having a great season, certainly not at home while Excelsior is having more fun away from home than at home.
Long list of absentees for Utrecht, including some defenders. Excelsior missing Bruins who has been great for them but also missed the last few matches already
With Excelsiors style of play i can see them score at least once while their defensive frailties.
BTTS i cant see fail. Excelsior DC @1.75 might be ok too.
Taking Excelsior over 1,5 @2.2 myself
AZ - NAC
Must win game for both. Simple like that. AZ can still finish 3rd due to Feyenoord ****ing up royally the last 3 matches and NAC still can avoid relegation play offs with them 3 point behind Excelsior.
If there is a match ruining your BTTS or or overs combo, my guess is it will be this one.
Avoiding this one like the plague myself pre kick off. Might see what happens during play.
Az without without Gudelj (who is sold to Ajax) due to suspension. Nac also some injuries and suspensions but no one they will really miss.
Willem II - ADO
Nothing match but between 2 teams that are not too much of goal machines.
No idea. Could end up with 8 goals or just 22 players who want to go on holidays.
GA Eagles - Heerenveen
Eagles still with a small chance to avoid relegation play offs but a team that scored 6 goals since the winter break will not score a lot against Heerenveen ll of a sudden.
Heerenveen is rather care free for this match, only playing for which place the finish in the play off for EL.
Might go for Heerenveen over 1,5 @1.83
At the other hand, if they score 2, it will most likely result in them winning that match (@2.3)
Another one to be careful about as it comes to overs and btts.
Heerenveen player Larsson is a doubt and it would make sense to not risk him with the play offs around the corner. He will be missed if he doesnt start.
Eagles not really missing players who can make or break a result.
Ajax - Cambuur
Cambuur still with a theoretical chance to get to EL play offs. Need a win for that. Might get something from a lacklustre Ajax whose season is over a while ago already. Still, wouldnt bet on that if i could use your money for it.
Ajax without Klaassen and probably without Milik.
PSV - Heracles
Now here i can see a good few goals. but apparently i am not the only one as the line for decent odds is 4. Taking over 4,5 @2.5 as combo filler myself.
PSV can break their own record of 17 wins in 1 season while Heracles isnt entirely safe yet for relegation play off. Although the world will sound turn the other way around than Heracles ending up there.
Could also be a very frustrating match this. Depay wants to become top scorer of the eredivisie. Nothing wrong with that ambition if it wasnt for the fact that his most realistic opponent for that is his team mate Luuk de jong who is 2 goals behind.
Depay has been behaving like the eredivisie's own Christiano Ronaldo this season, brilliant at time but very selfish and frustrating for even his onw team at other times (missing 6 or 7 penalties is not good)
Groningen - Zwolle
Zwolle "needs" a point for EL play offs (Superior GD means they have that point more or less). Groningen beat them last week in the cup final and have EL
Zwolle's trainer Ron Jans spent in total about 12 years at Groningen as player and later their trainer and is still very populair there.
Everybody will understand it when Zwolle gets what they need today.
H2H in Groningen is dodgy as **** though with 9 wins for Groningen, 3 draws and no win for Zwolle. But since the cup final is being played before the penultimate round of the league, the winner of the cup has lost their next match every time since 2011
Twente - Dordrecht
Misery at Twente continues. They have passed on a free EL qualification ticket based on fair play for the simple fact that they would be able to afford costs if they would turn out to have to play a bunch of nobodies from Farawaystan.
That they were offered a "fair play" ticket is a contradiction in terminis seeing the way they financially cheated the league the last decade or so.
Dordrecht is down to play Jupiler league next season.
Both clubs have said they just want to go out and enjoy themselves in the last 2 matches.
Could mean a lot. All i know is that normally you will see 5 or 6 players not back at Twente as they have to sell and sell cheap.
Would only help them to get pay roll down as transfers sums are more likely eaten up by "investment" construction even their former chairman took part in.
Think i ll take very unrealistic over 1,5 goals @4.5 for Dordt for the fun of it.
Them just scoring is @1.72
Feyenoord - Vitesse is tomorrow because the police had no time today for football in Rotterdam. They are on strike, maybe next time they should just disable the 17.000.000 speeding cameras as case of action. Would make more friends than having people to go tomorrow evening to Rotterdam from all over the country.
So after al lthat typing.... Just sort it out yourself :P0 -
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