Christmas 2012 Weather Thread

maquiladora

munsterlegend wrote: »

Are we in a better position for cold than our neighbours? They don't sound too optimistic re their chances.

Possibily, yes. This would be shots of polar maratime air being dragged down by lows. Northerly/Northwesterly airflows. Not a beast from the east.

Not great potential for deep or sustained cold with this but greater potential for snow events for lucky areas, if all the conditions fall on the right side of marginal.

These would be just cold shots / snaps though. You could see heavy snow one evening then milder weather and lashing rain the next day. Messy, not sustained and risky at best. But it makes interesting model watching.

Rebelbrowser

maquiladora wrote: »

Possibily, yes. This would be shots of polar maratime air being dragged down by lows. Northerly/Northwesterly airflows. Not a beast from the east.

Not great potential for deep or sustained cold with this but greater potential for snow events for lucky areas, if all the conditions fall on the right side of marginal.

These would be just cold shots / snaps though. You could see heavy snow one evening then milder weather and lashing rain the next day. Messy, not sustained and risky at best. But it makes interesting model watching.

Maq, any idea what the set up was on Christmas day 2004 when a good lot of the country (including, amazingly, Cork city) had a white Christmas? I know there was no sustained cold and don't really remember snow having been forecast. Suspect it was an event like you mention that went "right" for us coldies. Very seasonal but no deep cold / frozen roads so every could still drive, etc, etc.

Not saying this will happen this year before anyone jumps down my throat......

maquiladora

Rebelbrowser wrote: »

Maq, any idea what the set up was on Christmas day 2004 when a good lot of the country (including, amazingly, Cork city) had a white Christmas? I know there was no sustained cold and don't really remember snow having been forecast. Suspect it was an event like you mention that went "right" for us coldies. Very seasonal but no deep cold / frozen roads so every could still drive, etc, etc.

Not saying this will happen this year before anyone jumps down my throat......

Northwesterly airflow. -6 to -8 uppers.

pauldry

Id stick with 8c for Christmas Day in general but the morning could be cold so we will see if Santa drops anything with his toys

Nabber

Donegal might see some snow, wont be long lasting tho.




St Stephens Day, cold and wet by the looks of things for most of us. Kids wont be able to test out their new bikes/scooter/skateboards ect..

Elmer Blooker

The irony of it all!! We spend the whole month looking east for cold and after all that we will be colder than East Europe on xmas day.(Nabber's chart above)
A lot of Irish now have relatives in Poland especially, and will visit for xmas, who would have thought that after the charts we've been looking at all month, there's a better chance of getting snow in Ireland.(north and west like '04)
Time to take a break til after xmas.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack4.gif

maquiladora

Could be a very wet and windy, maybe stormy, Christmas to New Years period.

Doesn't look like much chance of snow at low levels, but high ground in the north could be lucky at times.

With so many lows being thrown around on the models, I wouldn't be too surprised if we ended up with a windstorm on one of the days.

Rebelbrowser

Well in fairly mild and wet period at least Christmas day looks relatively seasonal. Temps likely to be single figures everywhere. MT even talks of a snow possibility in elevated northern and western areas. Beats last years bbq Christmas I suppose.....

Kippure

Todays farming forecast is the nail in the coffin as regards cold and snow for the next 7 days.

What we need is Patience, the state of endurance under difficult circumstances ( Mild wet and windy weather ), which can mean persevering in the face of delay or provocation without acting on annoyance/anger in a negative way; or exhibiting forbearance when under strain, especially when faced with longer-term difficulties ( azores highs, mild south westerlies, low pressure after low pressure etc etc etc ). Patience is the level of endurance one can take before negativity. It is also used to refer to the character trait of being steadfast..( the biggest Greenland high or The biggest Beast from the east is on the way.......)!

Elmer Blooker

From -26c in Moscow now to this :eek:


will any capital city in Europe be below freezing on St Stephen's Day?