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Risk of summer from Tuesday!

  • 05-08-2012 3:05pm
    #1
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,632 ✭✭✭


    :D


    Oh so many of us had given up any hope of any proper weather. Not anymore though. From Tuesday there is finally a clear signal across all the models that the weather is about to change quite dramatically as high pressure builds over the country. This will bring more sunshine and temperatures should be getting up to the mid twenties later midweek next week particularly in northern half of the country. Still some cloud and outbreaks of rain on Tuesday though but by Wednesday this will tend to dissolve readily. Any lingering showery rain in the southwest should die out aswell. Southern and some eastern coasts cooler with an onshore breeze thereafter. Turning humid aswell. If anything getting even better, even warmer toward the end of next week. Maybe just a hint of a breakdown from the southwest next weekend with some thunderstorms possible but that's long way out. It's pretty much open ended how long the good weather may last, for now. Enjoy! BBL:cool:



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Comments

  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 605 ✭✭✭Lemmy Scott


    obviously if theres any rain it will hit cork


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 48,335 ✭✭✭✭km79


    Brilliant title for the thread :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 214 ✭✭shaneb92


    Really , really , really hope this is true :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,912 ✭✭✭HellFireClub


    MT Cranium says we are back to more unsettled weather after next weekend if I understand his last forecast correctly!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,248 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Heading to Wexford for the weekend, so hopefully DM your right !


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  • Posts: 6,025 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    km79 wrote: »
    Brilliant title for the thread :D

    Very funny indeed :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,257 ✭✭✭MrFrisp


    MT Cranium says we are back to more unsettled weather after next weekend if I understand his last forecast correctly!



    True..

    Supposed to break down after Friday again..

    Cool temps and rain for next weekend.




    .


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,632 ✭✭✭darkman2


    MrFrisp wrote: »
    True..

    Supposed to break down after Friday again..

    Cool temps and rain for next weekend.




    .


    It's too early to be that downbeat yet;) If this is the situation next Saturday I doubt many will be moaning next weekend:) (except in the far southwest - thunderstorms are likely in any gradual breakdown from the west) Get the bbq's ready...

    215858.gif

    On a serious note it really is open ended in terms of the forecast. Next weekend is very much still in play. :cool: It tends to be the case that the models are over zealous at this range in breaking this kind of pattern. We will be wanting the block to hold out the atlantic as long as possible. MT Cranium is referring to the traditional breakdown pattern showing on the models. It is very typical of what we see this time of year pior to the beginning of any warm spell. But in the end it's never really that simple. It tends to get pushed back rather than forward would be my experience of these setups. :) I am very hopeful for next weekend. Very happy with the prospects.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 605 ✭✭✭Lemmy Scott


    Anyone from cork whos interested go onto the met eireann website and look whos getting all the rain next week-ya you guessed right.some days we are the only county in ireland where it rains.
    Cork has been pissed on a long time now


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,893 ✭✭✭allthedoyles


    St Thomas here .........am going to have to see this to believe :)


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,632 ✭✭✭darkman2


    Anyone from cork whos interested go onto the met eireann website and look whos getting all the rain next week-ya you guessed right.some days we are the only county in ireland where it rains.
    Cork has been pissed on a long time now


    Cork is going to have a very fine week from Wednesday IMO. Nothing I can see to complain about - bit of an onshore breeze. Plenty of warm sunshine like the rest of us. Temperatures low to mid twenties:cool: Now maybe later in the weekend your first for some storms if things start to breakdown but that's not certain at all for now.icon14.gif


    And here is a reminder of what the sun looks like for those who actually might not remember at this stage ;)

    Sunshine.jpg

    It's so beautiful *sobs*


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 113 ✭✭First Explorer


    Let's hope this is true long overdue!


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 605 ✭✭✭Lemmy Scott


    :eek:
    darkman2 wrote: »
    Cork is going to have a very fine week from Wednesday IMO. Nothing I can see to complain about - bit of an onshore breeze. Plenty of warm sunshine like the rest of us. Temperatures low to mid twenties:cool: Now maybe later in the weekend your first for some storms if things start to breakdown but that's not certain at all for now.icon14.gif
    i certainly hope so were depressed as hell down here every day is manky


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,130 ✭✭✭compsys


    MT Cranium says we are back to more unsettled weather after next weekend if I understand his last forecast correctly!

    He's not always correct you know and does get things wrong, just like anyone else.

    The best thing to do if you want an accurate long-range forecast i.e. over 5 days, is to look at several different forecasts and see what they're all saying e.g. BBC, MET E, on here, and maybe even SKY or something.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,194 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    I may be wrong but I think the highest temp so far this year was in Belmullet during the May heatwave? This week looks like a repeat - west will be best this week I think. :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,130 ✭✭✭compsys


    Have no fear people - the risk of summer has well and truly gone according to today's Met E forecast! Phew. It was getting hairy there for a day or two. It looked like we were going to see sun AND warmth :eek: Sure we couldn't be having that this summer...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 736 ✭✭✭Big Tone


    Seems we'll be treated to a glimpse of what we could've had in June and July, this coming Thursday and Friday...

    From Met.ie

    "On Thursday early mist, fog and drizzle should clear to give a warm and mainly dry day with spells of hazy sunshine developing. Highest temperatures will range 20 to 24 degrees, warmest in the South with just light winds.

    Friday looks like a warm, mainly dry day as well with spells of sunshine and temperatures in the low to mid 20's."


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 88,972 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    IrelandsSummer.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,295 ✭✭✭pauldry


    It could happen.

    It will probably be misty Wednesday in the West and
    some sun on Thursday and Friday

    Temperature will get over 20c every day this week so thats not bad

    Possibly 24 or 25 at end of week


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,732 ✭✭✭weisses


    Floodings here ... worst i have seen in a long time .... This thread ..... just cynical ;):D


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,576 ✭✭✭patneve2


    Watch out for a possible new European record Friday/Saturday in Southern Spain! :D

    Here in Rome it is currently 38 degrees, oh I miss that fresh Irish air! ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,016 ✭✭✭✭vibe666


    compsys wrote: »
    He's not always correct you know and does get things wrong, just like anyone else.
    blasphemer128601086275112902.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 736 ✭✭✭Big Tone


    patneve2 wrote: »
    Watch out for a possible new European record Friday/Saturday in Southern Spain! :D

    32 degrees? Doubt that'll break any records...

    http://www.yr.no/place/Spain/Andalucía/Marbella~2514169/long.html


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    GFS 2M Temp for Europe
    South Spain does look quite hot

    12080918_0700.gif


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    These are the all-time record maximum temperatures reached at some southern Spanish stations. Over 40 is a regular occurence there, and the average daily max temps for August are around 35 °C.

    Sevilla Aeropuerto, Córdoba Aeropuerto: 46.6 °C (23 July 1995)
    Morón de la Frontera: 46.6 C (19 July 1967)
    Jáen, Instituto: 45.0 °C (8 July 1939)
    Jerez de la Frontera Aerupuerto: 45.1 (1 August 2003)
    Badajoz Aeropuerto; 44.8 °C (1 August 2003)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,576 ✭✭✭patneve2


    Big Tone wrote: »
    32 degrees? Doubt that'll break any records...

    http://www.yr.no/place/Spain/Andalucía/Marbella~2514169/long.html

    Marbella is on the sea!!! :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,576 ✭✭✭patneve2


    Su Campu wrote: »
    These are the all-time record maximum temperatures reached at some southern Spanish stations. Over 40 is a regular occurence there, and the average daily max temps for August are around 35 °C.

    Sevilla Aeropuerto, Córdoba Aeropuerto: 46.6 °C (23 July 1995)
    Morón de la Frontera: 46.6 C (19 July 1967)
    Jáen, Instituto: 45.0 °C (8 July 1939)
    Jerez de la Frontera Aerupuerto: 45.1 (1 August 2003)
    Badajoz Aeropuerto; 44.8 °C (1 August 2003)

    I'm going to watch the above stations closely Friday and Saturday. Could go over 30 degrees at 850 hpa


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Central Sardinia has been getting up to around 45 °C over the past week. The station of Ottana, which is part of the Region's network of rural stations, has been well into the 40s every day. Several others have been topping 40 °C (click on the individual stations). These are all standard stations and are used for monitoring weather and climate for the agricultural and tourism sectors. What a wealth of information on this site. It's a pity we don't have something similar.

    http://www.sar.sardegna.it/servizi/dati/datistazioni7gg.asp?stazione=Ottana

    216053.PNG


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,576 ✭✭✭patneve2


    Su Campu wrote: »
    Central Sardinia has been getting up to around 45 °C over the past week. The station of Ottana, which is part of the Region's network of rural stations, has been well into the 40s every day. Several others have been topping 40 °C (click on the individual stations). These are all standard stations and are used for monitoring weather and climate for the agricultural and tourism sectors. What a wealth of information on this site. It's a pity we don't have something similar.

    http://www.sar.sardegna.it/servizi/dati/datistazioni7gg.asp?stazione=Ottana

    216053.PNG

    Yesterday Cagliari Elmas AP beat its August record: +41,8°. Previous was +41,1°. Lets not forget that Cagliari is on the sea :eek:


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 736 ✭✭✭Big Tone


    patneve2 wrote: »
    Marbella is on the sea!!! :D



    It's also Southern Spain :D maybe inland toward Central Spain is hotter.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,576 ✭✭✭patneve2


    Big Tone wrote: »
    It's also Southern Spain :D maybe inland toward Central Spain is hotter.

    Andalusia is one of the hottest places in Europe and it is located in Southern Spain (as Su said it has max temperature averages of +35° during the summer months). Record temperatures are seldom recorded in coastal locations because of sea breezes. However, it is often better to be in the hotter inland locations during heat waves because the air is dryer and therefore you sweat less. I would pick +44° with low humidity any day over +35° with high humidity.

    Going back to the temperature records, the official highest temperature ever recorded in Europe is 48° in Athens (located near the sea but in this case there was a dry off shore wind blowing). The unofficial record is held by Catenanuova in Sicily, Italy with a temp of +48.5°. There is a report of +50° in Seville but that record has been discarded.

    I think that ***inland*** Andalusia has the potential to beat the Athens record, but I would say that on Fri-Sat temeratures won't break the +47° mark. Anyways we'll see.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    The southern coast of Spain can get very hot when the Terral wind blows, which is a type of Föhn that occurs with northerly airflow over the mountains inland of the coast.

    This is Aemet's prediction for max temperatures on Thursday. It will update to Friday's tomorrow.

    tw3gp099.gif


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 115 ✭✭AloKildare


    patneve2 wrote: »
    I think that ***inland*** Andalusia has the potential to beat the Athens record, but I would say that on Fri-Sat temeratures won't break the +47° mark. Anyways we'll see.

    Seville could very well be that ***inland*** location in Andalucia :)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    The Spanish Met have today issued a special Heatwave Warning for tomorrow up to Sunday, with "40 °C being reached or exceeded in many places in the southern half of the country and the Ebro valley, and 35 °C in most of the rest of the peninsula and the Balearics". I can't see the records being beaten though, as northern African stations only reported 46 today in warmer uppers and dry desert conditions.

    http://www.aemet.es/documentos_d/enportada/p52tesp1.pdf


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Has anyone noticed the crazy amounts of flying ants about today?... they wer everywhere!
    Accumulating near trees or poles and turning into flying ants there then... crazy stuff. fecking humidity aye?!


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    New thread to watch the temp in Spain? The latest GFS has it up to 46C around Sevilla on Friday

    http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=eses&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=tmp2&HH=3&INFO=0&ARCHIV=0&ZOOM=1&PERIOD=31

    Can't say I've noticed flying ants here but summer has definitely arrived this week, unbroken sunshine all day today and no daytime rainfall since the morning of the 1st.

    A big north/south contrast again in terms of rainfall, only around 5mm along the north coast compared to over 50mm widely in the south so far this month. Cork will hopefully get a long overdue break for the rest of the week!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,248 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    Has anyone noticed the crazy amounts of flying ants about today?... they wer everywhere!
    Accumulating near trees or poles and turning into flying ants there then... crazy stuff. fecking humidity aye?!

    Oh yes I have! There's hundreds of the little buggers all over the patio and all over the shed walls!

    Spiders were having a field day!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 985 ✭✭✭mountainy man


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    Has anyone noticed the crazy amounts of flying ants about today?... they wer everywhere!
    Accumulating near trees or poles and turning into flying ants there then... crazy stuff. fecking humidity aye?!

    Yes had them here today too, they are a bit earlier than the last few years usually around the middle of the month and allways a nice hot day, they seem to get attracted to the whitewashed walls.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Yes had them here today too, they are a bit earlier than the last few years usually around the middle of the month and allways a nice hot day

    They are a sign of a warm winter, just like last christmas. :)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    The Spanish Met's latest max temperature forecast for Friday.

    tw3gp099.gif


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 88,972 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    No sign of it yet - utter muck outside.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,060 ✭✭✭Chris_5339762


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    They are a sign of a warm winter, just like last christmas. :)

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuptial_flight#Flying_ant_day


  • Posts: 6,025 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    looked like it snowed outside my back door yesterday from all them bleedin ants :) B**tards were everywhere.

    Boiling water gets rid of them. Must have been that 'Flying Ant day '


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    not looking to bad now for tomorrow

    12080912_0812.gif


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    Great day again today, not a cloud in the sky all day. Comfortably the best week of weather we've had here since the heatwave back in May


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,206 ✭✭✭eskimocat


    Lovely lovely day today... lots of sunshine.

    Holding out a wee bit of (drastically overblown) hope that it reaches over 27c in oakpark tomorrow.... lol ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    It's quite cool here in Dublin 4.

    Every couple of hours a sea fog/mist rolls in and bring the temps down.
    At least it not raining :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,295 ✭✭✭pauldry


    well ballyfarnon in the car was 21.5c today only 8.5c away from my prediction and a week to go! (15th August contest..Ballyfarnon is just outside Keadue in Co Roscommon)

    Sligo was 22.8c
    Claremorris was 22.9c

    Tomorrow 24c will be broken

    Then 26c on Friday

    Think my 30c is a bit optimistic for 15th though it might be 21c that day.

    Overall the temperatures are quite good this month.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    I would agree, pauldry. Forecast thickness of around 562 dm, 850 theta-e of up to 46 °C, high soil moisture content, and the fact that there should be some Sc coverage spoiling the sunshine in places, all point to a maximum possible temperature tomorrow of 24-25 °C. West of the Shannon looking the warmest.

    Friday I would add 1-2 degrees to this due to probable better insolation.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    Oh dear the south west really is gloomy, whereas I'm basking in glorious sunshine.

    Today

    216348.png


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