Big Race Selections - Based on Trends

LFC5Times

As the title suggests I am going to use trends to narrow down the field of big races to come up with some selections.

I did it a fair bit over the Jumps and it worked out well (didn't keep a record but definitely up more than I lost).

However I remember looking at the Flat last season and for whatever reason it seems the trends work better over the Jumps, could be something to do with the draw factor on the flat - I'm not sure really.

Anyway I will give it a go, if it doesn't look like it is working out I will just wait till the NH season.

Most selections will be from the Saturdays races.

LFC5Times

Lingfield

3.10 - Derby Trial

Final Selections below:

Measuring Time - 1.5pts @ 7/4 - PP
Dordogne - .5pts @ 6/1 - PP

Ascot

3.25 - Victoria Cup

Narrowed down from 29 to 9 selections, will narrow it down further

Brae Hill
Nasri
Bay Knight
RulesN'Regulations
Hawkeyethenoo
Gouray Girl
Parisian Pyramid
Lutine Bell
Excellent Guest

Final Selections below: All selections are 1/4 odds and 5 places

Excellent Guest - .5pt ew @ 16/1 - PP
Gouray Girl - .5pt ew @ 33/1 - Boyles
Nasri - - .5pt ew @ 18/1 - PP
Brae Hill - .5pt ew @ 14/1 - PP

Haydock

3.40 - Swinton Hanicap Hurdle

Have it narrowed down from 24 to 6 selections, will try narrow it down further

Hunterview
Pokfulham
Andhaar
Rio Gael
Tatispout
Remember Now

Final Selections below:

Remember Now - 2pts @ 5/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 5 places)
Tatispout - .75pt ew @10/1 - PP - (1/4; 4 places)
Andhaar - .5pt ew @ 33/1 - PP -(1/4; 4 places)
Rio Gael - .5pt ew @ 28/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 5 places)

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

Lingfield

3.10 - Derby Trial

Final Selections below:

Measuring Time - 1.5pts @ 7/4 - PP :mad: 3rd
Dordogne - .5pts @ 6/1 - PP Won - at odds @10/1

Ascot

3.25 - Victoria Cup

Narrowed down from 29 to 9 selections, will narrow it down further

Brae Hill
Nasri
Bay Knight
RulesN'Regulations
Hawkeyethenoo :rolleyes: Won @ 15/2
Gouray Girl
Parisian Pyramid
Lutine Bell
Excellent Guest

Final Selections below: All selections are 1/4 odds and 5 places

Excellent Guest - .5pt ew @ 16/1 - PP :mad:
Gouray Girl - .5pt ew @ 33/1 - Boyles :mad:
Nasri - - .5pt ew @ 18/1 - PP 3rd
Brae Hill - .5pt ew @ 14/1 - PP 4th

Haydock

3.40 - Swinton Hanicap Hurdle

Have it narrowed down from 24 to 6 selections, will try narrow it down further

Hunterview
Pokfulham
Andhaar
Rio Gael
Tatispout
Remember Now

Final Selections below:

Remember Now - 2pts @ 5/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 5 places) :mad:
Tatispout - .75pt ew @10/1 - PP - (1/4; 4 places) :mad:
Andhaar - .5pt ew @ 33/1 - PP -(1/4; 4 places) :mad:
Rio Gael - .5pt ew @ 28/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 5 places) 4th

Total Staked: 11.50 points
Total Returns: 12.50 points

Running Profit: 1.00 points

LFC5Times

York

3.00 - Duke of York Stakes

Narrowed it down to 5

Markab
Genki
Prime Defender
Rain Delayed
Rose Blosson

Was going to go with 3 of the 5 but have decided to put a small bet on Prime Defender (who won the race last year).

1/4 odds & 3 places

Rose Blossom - 1pt ew @ 8/1 - PP :mad:
Rain Delayed - 1pt ew @ 11/1 - Boyles :mad:
Genki - 1pt ew @ 6/1 - PP :mad:
Prime Defender .50pt @ 25/1 - Boyles :mad:

---

Naas

7.00 - Blue Wind Stakes

Not many trends for this race so probably shouldn't be using it but will go with it anyway.

Banimpire - 2pts @ 10/3 - PP

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

York

3.00 - Duke of York Stakes

Narrowed it down to 5

Markab
Genki
Prime Defender
Rain Delayed
Rose Blosson

Was going to go with 3 of the 5 but have decided to put a small bet on Prime Defender (who won the race last year).

1/4 odds & 3 places

Rose Blossom - 1pt ew @ 8/1 - PP :mad:
Rain Delayed - 1pt ew @ 11/1 - Boyles :mad:
Genki - 1pt ew @ 6/1 - PP :mad:
Prime Defender .50pt @ 25/1 - Boyles :mad:

---

Naas

7.00 - Blue Wind Stakes

Not many trends for this race so probably shouldn't be using it but will go with it anyway.

Banimpire - 2pts @ 10/3 - PP Won

Total Staked: 8.50 points
Total Returns: 8.60 points
Profit: .10 points

Running profit: 1.10 points

LFC5Times

York

2.30 - Dante Stakes


Seville - 2pts @ 7/4 - PP
Pisco Sour - .50pt ew @ 50/1 - PP

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

York

2.30 - Dante Stakes


Seville - 2pts @ 7/4 - PP :mad:
Pisco Sour - .50pt ew @ 50/1 - PP :mad:

Total Staked: 3.00 points
Total Returns: 0.00 points
Profit/Loss: -3.00 points

Running Profit/Loss: -1.90 points

UrbanSea

Unlucky. What site are you using the stats from by the way? Surely there's a stat that can rule out every horse if you look hard enough,that's what I don't like about stats.

LFC5Times

UrbanSea wrote: »

Unlucky. What site are you using the stats from by the way? Surely there's a stat that can rule out every horse if you look hard enough,that's what I don't like about stats.

I use the racing post paper and racecaller website.

I usually go with the horse(s) that would tick the most amount of boxes.

If for example a trend based on the last 10 years of a particular race says 7 of the last 10 where in the first 4 LTO - I probably wouldnt apply that trend to the race. Generally looking for stat of 8/9/10 out of 10.

I am not actually backing these selections it is just to keep a proper record for the moment.

In time I will see how the results would fare if the staking plan was just a 1 point win bet on all selections.

It is a bit of a nuisance having to buy the racing post paper to get the big race trends from it, and to see them online you have to pay for it.

I probably wont be around the weekend so I will most probably miss a few selections - wheter that is a good or bad thing, who knows.

LFC5Times

An example is the Yorkshire Cup race.

I have applied the following stats to it:

Won at least 3 times
Won at 12f or further
Aged 4 to 7
First 4 LTO
Rated 109 +
Priced 9/1 or under (used the prices from the RP website at the moment for this)

The horses in this race who had the most ticks where (with the amount of ticks beside them)

Manighar (6)
Duncan (5)
Askar Tau (5)
Electrolyser (5)
Clowance (5)

Askar Tau loses a tick because he is rated under 109, while the other 3 horses on 5 ticks lost a tick on not being in the first 4 LTO. So not exactly a strong trend to be ruled out on.

Native Ruler who might be joint fav lost two ticks for not having won at least 3 times and not having won over 12f or further.

So I haven't decided what horse(s) to go with, at this stage Manighar looks a likely selection and maybe one other, will decide in the morning when I have a look at the RP paper and see is there any more stats worth applying.

LFC5Times

York

3.00 - Yorkshire Cup

Manighar - 2pts @ 5/1 - PP
Duncan - 1.5 pts @ 7/2 - Boyles

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

York

3.00 - Yorkshire Cup

Manighar - 2pts @ 5/1 - PP :mad: 3rd
Duncan - 1.5 pts @ 7/2 - Boyles Won

Total Staked: 3.50 points
Total Returns: 6.75 points
Profit/Loss: + 3.25 points

Running Total P/L: + 1.35 points

LFC5Times

Newbury

3.45 - Lockinge Stakes

Canford Cliffs - 5 pts @ 5/6 - PP
Dick Turpin - 2pts @ 10/3 - PP

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

Newbury

3.45 - Lockinge Stakes

Canford Cliffs - 5 pts @ 5/6 - PP
Dick Turpin - 2pts @ 10/3 - PP :mad:

Total Staked: 7.00 points
Total Returns: 9.16 points
Profit/Loss: + 2.16 points

Running Total P/L: + 3.51 points

LFC5Times

Haydock

3.00 - Temple Stakes

Overdose - 2pts @ 11/4 - PP
Sole Power - .75pts ew @ 10/1 - PP - (1/5; 3 places)
Borderlescott - .75pts ew @ 12/1 - PP - (1/5; 3 places)


Curragh

3.45 - 2000 Guineas

Dubawi Gold - 2 pts @ 9/4 - PP
Roderic OConnor - 2 pts@ 7/2 - PP

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

Haydock

3.00 - Temple Stakes

Overdose - 2pts @ 11/4 - PP
Sole Power - .75pts ew @ 10/1 - PP - (1/5; 3 places) Won
Borderlescott - .75pts ew @ 12/1 - PP - (1/5; 3 places)


Curragh

3.45 - 2000 Guineas

Dubawi Gold - 2 pts @ 9/4 - PP
Roderic OConnor - 2 pts @ 7/2 - PP

Total Staked: 9.00 points
Total Returns: 19.50 points
Profit/Loss: + 10.50 points

Running Total P/L: = 14.00 points

LFC5Times

Curragh

4.15 - 1000 Guineas

I have narrowed the field down to four but can't seem to narrow them down any further so I could either leave the race alone or go with a bet so I have decided to go with a small bet on each of them.

Together - 1.5pts @ 7/2 - PP
Emiyna - 1pt @ 5/1 - PP
Misty For Me - 1pt @ 7/1 - PP
Ballybacka Lady - .50pts ew @ 25/1 - PP - (1/5; 3 places)

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

Curragh

4.15 - 1000 Guineas

I have narrowed the field down to four but can't seem to narrow them down any further so I could either leave the race alone or go with a bet so I have decided to go with a small bet on each of them.

Together - 1.5pts @ 7/2 - PP
Emiyna - 1pt @ 5/1 - PP
Misty For Me - 1pt @ 7/1 - PP Won
Ballybacka Lady - .50pts ew @ 25/1 - PP - (1/5; 3 places)

Total Staked: 4.50 points
Total Returns: 8.00 points
Profit/Loss: + 3.50 points

Running Total P/L: = + 17.50 points

LFC5Times

Sandown

7.05 - Champagne Henry Stakes

Blue Bajan - 1pt @ 7/2 - Boyles


7.45 - Brigadier Gerard Stakes

Afsare - 1pt @ 8/1 - Boyles
Jan Vermeer - 1pt @ 5/1 - Boyles

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

Sandown

7.05 - Champagne Henry Stakes

Blue Bajan - 1pt @ 7/2 - Boyles Won


7.45 - Brigadier Gerard Stakes

Afsare - 1pt @ 8/1 - Boyles
Jan Vermeer - 1pt @ 5/1 - Boyles

Total Staked: 3.00 points
Total Returns: 4.50 points
Profit/Loss: +1.50 points

Running Total P/L: = +19.00 points

LFC5Times

Haydock

3.05 - Grosvenor Casino Pinnacle Stakes

Ferdoos - 1pt @ 3/1 - PP


Newmarket

3.25 - Coral.co.uk Sprint Handicap

Apollo D'Negro - .50pt ew @ 11/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)
Bathwick Bear - .50pt ew @ 33/1 - PP - (1/4; 3 places)
Avonmore Star - .50pt ew @ 16/1 - PP - (1/4; 3 places)



3.35 - Timeform Jury Stakes

Regal Parade - 2pts @ 15/8 - PP
Beacon Lodge - 1pt @ 4/1 - PP

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

Haydock

3.05 - Grosvenor Casino Pinnacle Stakes

Ferdoos - 1pt @ 3/1 - PP Won


Newmarket

3.25 - Coral.co.uk Sprint Handicap

Apollo D'Negro - .50pt ew @ 11/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)
Bathwick Bear - .50pt ew @ 33/1 - PP - (1/4; 3 places)
Avonmore Star - .50pt ew @ 16/1 - PP - (1/4; 3 places)



3.35 - Timeform Jury Stakes

Regal Parade - 2pts @ 15/8 - PP
Beacon Lodge - 1pt @ 4/1 - PP

Total Staked: 7.00 points
Total Returns: 4.00 points
Profit/Loss: -3.00 points

Running Total P/L: = +16.00 points

LFC5Times

Redcar

4.10 - Zetland Gold Cup

Arlequin - 1pt ew @ 7/1 - PP - (1/4; 3 places)

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

Redcar

4.10 - Zetland Gold Cup

Arlequin - 1pt ew @ 7/1 - PP - (1/4; 3 places)v:(

Total Staked: 2.00 points
Total Returns: 0.00 points
Profit/Loss: -2.00 points

Running Total P/L: = +14.00 points

LFC5Times

I'm heading away for the weekend so haven't really had time to go in-depth into the main races over the weekend. I have done the Oaks & the Derby but none of the big supporting races.


Epsom Oaks

Blue Bunting - 3.5 pts @ 9/4 - Boyles
Misty for Me - 1pt ew @ 7/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)
Zain Al Boldan - 1pt ew @ 10/1 - Boyles -(1/4; 3 places)


Epsom Derby

Pour Moi -1.5pts ew @ 4/1 - PP - (1/4; 3 places)
Recital - 1.5pts ew @ 9/2 - PP - (1/4; 3 places)

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

I'm heading away for the weekend so haven't really had time to go in-depth into the main races over the weekend. I have done the Oaks & the Derby but none of the big supporting races.


Epsom Oaks

Blue Bunting - 3.5 pts @ 9/4 - Boyles
Misty for Me - 1pt ew @ 7/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)
Zain Al Boldan - 1pt ew @ 10/1 - Boyles -(1/4; 3 places)


Epsom Derby

Pour Moi -1.5pts ew @ 4/1 - PP - (1/4; 3 places) Won
Recital - 1.5pts ew @ 9/2 - PP - (1/4; 3 places)

Total Staked: 13.50 points
Total Returns: 10.50 points
Profit/Loss: -3.00 points

Running Total P/L: = +11.00 points

LFC5Times

York

3.15 - Bond Tyres Trophy Handicap

Swiss Dream - 1.5pts ew @ 9/1 - PP - (1/4; 4 places)
Elusive Price - 1.5pts ew @ 8/1 - PP - (1/4; 4 places)

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

York

3.15 - Bond Tyres Trophy Handicap

Swiss Dream - 1.5pts ew @ 9/1 - PP - (1/4; 4 places) 4th
Elusive Price - 1.5pts ew @ 8/1 - PP - (1/4; 4 places)

Total Staked: 6.00 points
Total Returns: 4.88 points
Profit/Loss: -1.12 points

Running Total P/L: = +9.88 points

LFC5Times

Ascot

2.30 - Queen Anne Stakes

Canford Cliffs is the selection followed closely on the trends by Cape Blanco & Ransom Note.

Canford Cliffs - 3pts @ 6/4 - PP


3.05 - Kings Stand Stakes

I have managed to narrow the field down to five so far; Bridgetown, Overdose, Star Witness, Tangerine Tree & Sweet Sanette.
I will look to see if I can narrow the field down further.

Bridgetown - 1pt ew @ 11/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 4 places)
Sweet Sanette - 1pt ew @ 14/1 - Boyles (1/4; 4 places)
Overdose - 1pt @ 12/1 - PP
Star Witness - 1pt @ 6/1 - PP
Tangerine Tree - 1pt @ 25/1 - Boyles


4.25 - Coventry Stakes

Mezmaar - 1pt @ 6/1 - Boyles
Trumpet Major - .50pts ew @ 12/1 - Boyles (1/4;4 places)

Nulty

That's the weakness with trends...Goldikova doesn't figure in them.

LFC5Times

Nulty wrote: »

That's the weakness with trends...Goldikova doesn't figure in them.

Weaknesses in all selections when it comes to betting - be it based on trends or your own interperation of form etc.

LFC5Times

Ascot

3.45 - St. James's Palace Stakes

Frankel is unbackable at the price so instead I am going to have 3 small ew bets.

1/4 odds; 3 places on all below.

Gran Prix Boss - .50pt ew @ 9/1 - Boyles
Excelebration - .50pt ew@ 16/1 - Boyles
Dubawi Gold - .50pt ew @ 20/1 - Boyles

LFC5Times

Ascot

5.00 - Ascot Stakes

Veiled - .50pt ew @ 6/1 - PP (1/4; 4 places)
Ashbrittle - .50pt ew @ 9/1 - PP (1/4; 4 places)

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

Ascot

2.30 - Queen Anne Stakes

Canford Cliffs is the selection followed closely on the trends by Cape Blanco & Ransom Note.

Canford Cliffs - 3pts @ 6/4 - PP Won


3.05 - Kings Stand Stakes

I have managed to narrow the field down to five so far; Bridgetown, Overdose, Star Witness, Tangerine Tree & Sweet Sanette.
I will look to see if I can narrow the field down further.

Bridgetown - 1pt ew @ 11/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 4 places)
Sweet Sanette - 1pt ew @ 14/1 - Boyles (1/4; 4 places) 3rd
Overdose - 1pt @ 12/1 - PP 4th
Star Witness - 1pt @ 6/1 - PP 2nd
Tangerine Tree - 1pt @ 25/1 - Boyles


4.25 - Coventry Stakes

Mezmaar - 1pt @ 6/1 - Boyles
Trumpet Major - .50pts ew @ 12/1 - Boyles (1/4;4 places)

LFC5Times wrote: »

Ascot

3.45 - St. James's Palace Stakes

Frankel is unbackable at the price so instead I am going to have 3 small ew bets.

1/4 odds; 3 places on all below.

Gran Prix Boss - .50pt ew @ 9/1 - Boyles
Excelebration - .50pt ew@ 16/1 - Boyles 3rd
Dubawi Gold - .50pt ew @ 20/1 - Boyles

LFC5Times wrote: »

Ascot

5.00 - Ascot Stakes

Veiled - .50pt ew @ 6/1 - PP (1/4; 4 places) Won
Ashbrittle - .50pt ew @ 9/1 - PP (1/4; 4 places)

Total Staked: 17.00 points
Total Returns: 19.25 points
Profit/Loss: + 2.25points
Running Total P/L: +12.13 points

LFC5Times

Ascot

2.30 - Jersey Stakes

Havane Smoker - 1pt @ 7/2 - Boyles
Western Aristocrat - 1pt @ 5/1 - Boyles


3.05 - Windsor Forest Stakes

Sajjhaa and I'm A Dreamer fit the trends with Seta falling down on one trend so just missing out on being a selection.

Sajjhaa - 1.5pt @ 7/2 - Boyles
I'm A Dreamer - 1.5pt @ 4/1 - Boyles


3.45 - Prince of Wales Stakes

So You Think & Planteur fit all the trends but So You Think is virtually unbackable and would be my selection of the two.
However I will have a small bet on Planteur in case there is a shock.

Planteur - .50pt @ 4/1 - PP

LFC5Times

Ascot

4.25 - Royal Hunt Cup

Start Right - 1pt ew @ 7/1 - PP - (1/4; 5 places)
Super Say - 1pt ew @ 16/1 - PP - (1/4; 5 places)
Brick Red - 1pt ew @ 20/1 - PP - (1/4; 5 places)

5.00 - Queen Mary Stakes

I have narrowed it down to 5 but can't manage to split them. Dozy, Fire Lily, Rubys Day, Shumoos, Somasach.

Dozy - .50pt @ 11/1 - PP
Fire Lily - .50 pt @ 10/1 - PP
Rubys Day - .50pt @ 22/1 - PP
Sumoos - 2.5pt @ 11/8 - PP
Somasach - .5pt @ 16/1 - PP


5.35 - Sandringham Handicap

Winters Night - 1pt @ 5/1 - Boyles
Rhythm of Light - 1pt @ 7/1 - Boyles
Cape Dollar - .50pt ew @ 14/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

Ascot

2.30 - Jersey Stakes

Havane Smoker - 1pt @ 7/2 - Boyles
Western Aristocrat - 1pt @ 5/1 - Boyles


3.05 - Windsor Forest Stakes

Sajjhaa and I'm A Dreamer fit the trends with Seta falling down on one trend so just missing out on being a selection.

Sajjhaa - 1.5pt @ 7/2 - Boyles
I'm A Dreamer - 1.5pt @ 4/1 - Boyles


3.45 - Prince of Wales Stakes

So You Think & Planteur fit all the trends but So You Think is virtually unbackable and would be my selection of the two.
However I will have a small bet on Planteur in case there is a shock.

Planteur - .50pt @ 4/1 - PP

LFC5Times wrote: »

Ascot

4.25 - Royal Hunt Cup

Start Right - 1pt ew @ 7/1 - PP - (1/4; 5 places)
Super Say - 1pt ew @ 16/1 - PP - (1/4; 5 places)
Brick Red - 1pt ew @ 20/1 - PP - (1/4; 5 places)

5.00 - Queen Mary Stakes

I have narrowed it down to 5 but can't manage to split them. Dozy, Fire Lily, Rubys Day, Shumoos, Somasach.

Dozy - .50pt @ 11/1 - PP
Fire Lily - .50 pt @ 10/1 - PP
Rubys Day - .50pt @ 22/1 - PP
Sumoos - 2.5pt @ 11/8 - PP
Somasach - .5pt @ 16/1 - PP


5.35 - Sandringham Handicap

Winters Night - 1pt @ 5/1 - Boyles
Rhythm of Light - 1pt @ 7/1 - Boyles Won
Cape Dollar - .50pt ew @ 14/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)

Really bad day at the office for the trends, hopefully tomorrow can bring a profit for the day!!

Total Staked: 16.00 points
Total Returns: 8.00 points
Profit/Loss: - 8.00 points
Running Total P/L: + 4.13 points

LFC5Times

Ascot

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes

Burwaaz - 1pt ew @ 14/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)
Charles The Great - 1pt ew @ 20/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)
Everyday Dave - 2pts @ 5/1 - PP

3.05 - Ribblesdale Stakes

Rumh - 2pts @ 7/2 - Boyles
Arizona Jewel - 1pt ew @ 12/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)
Creme Anglaise - 1pt ew @ 16/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)

LFC5Times

Ascot

3.45 - Gold Cup

Fame & Glory - 3pts @ 2/1 - PP
Duncan - 1.5pt @ 15/2 - PP
Holbereg - .75pt @ 9/1 - PP
Opinion Poll - .75pt 14/1 - PP

4.25 - Brittania Stakes

Tropical Beat 1.75pt ew @ 8/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 6 places)
Sagramor 1.75pt ew @ 8/1 - Boyles - 1/4; 6 places)
Common Touch 1pt @ 16/1 - Boyles
Captain Bertie 1pt @ 14/1 - Boyles
Ektibaas 1pt @ 16/1 - Boyles

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

Ascot

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes

Burwaaz - 1pt ew @ 14/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)
Charles The Great - 1pt ew @ 20/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)
Everyday Dave - 2pts @ 5/1 - PP

3.05 - Ribblesdale Stakes

Rumh - 2pts @ 7/2 - Boyles
Arizona Jewel - 1pt ew @ 12/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)
Creme Anglaise - 1pt ew @ 16/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)

LFC5Times wrote: »

Ascot

3.45 - Gold Cup

Fame & Glory - 3pts @ 2/1 - PP Won
Duncan - 1.5pt @ 15/2 - PP
Holbereg - .75pt @ 9/1 - PP
Opinion Poll - .75pt 14/1 - PP

4.25 - Brittania Stakes

Tropical Beat 1.75pt ew @ 8/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 6 places)
Sagramor 1.75pt ew @ 8/1 - Boyles - 1/4; 6 places) Won
Common Touch 1pt @ 16/1 - Boyles
Captain Bertie 1pt @ 14/1 - Boyles
Ektibaas 1pt @ 16/1 - Boyles

Total Staked: 28.00 points
Total Returns: 30.00 points
Profit/Loss: + 2.00 points
Running Total P/L: + 6.13 points

LFC5Times

Ascot

2.30 - Albany Stakes

Illaunglass - .50pt @ 7/1 - Boyles
Judas Jo - .50pt @ 50/1 - Boyles
Luv U Forever - .50pt @ 50/1 - Boyles
Switcher - .50pt @ 9/1 - Boyles

3.05 - King Edward VII Stakes

World Domination - 2pts @ 7/1 - PP
Glens Diamond - 1pt @ 15/2 - PP

5.00 - Queens Vase

Narrowed it down to Eternal Heart, Halifax, Ittirad, Regent Street & Solar Sky. Because of Mark Johnsons excellent record in the race I'm going to pick two of his selections along with Regent Street.

Regent Street - 1.5pts @ 3/1 - PP
Eternal Heart - 1.5pts @ 7/1 - PP
Halifax - 1.5pts @ 7/1 - PP

LFC5Times

Ascot

3.45 - Coronation Stakes

Memory - 1.5pts @ 8/1 - PP
Together - 1.5pts @ 4/1 - PP
Immortal Verse - 1.5pts @ 15/2 - PP

4.25 - Wolferton Handicap

Right Step - .50pt @ 20/1 - Boyles
Waydownsouth - .50pt @ 12/1 - Boyles

5.35 - Buckingham Palace Stakes

Docofthebay - .50pt @ 9/1 - Boyles
Smarty Socks - .50 pt @ 20/1 - Boyles
Advanced - .50pt @ 25/1 - Boyles
Decent Fella - .50pt @ 20/1 - Boyles

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

Ascot

2.30 - Albany Stakes

Illaunglass - .50pt @ 7/1 - Boyles 3rd
Judas Jo - .50pt @ 50/1 - Boyles
Luv U Forever - .50pt @ 50/1 - Boyles
Switcher - .50pt @ 9/1 - Boyles

3.05 - King Edward VII Stakes

World Domination - 2pts @ 7/1 - PP
Glens Diamond - 1pt @ 15/2 - PP

5.00 - Queens Vase

Narrowed it down to Eternal Heart, Halifax, Ittirad, Regent Street & Solar Sky. Because of Mark Johnsons excellent record in the race I'm going to pick two of his selections along with Regent Street.

Regent Street - 1.5pts @ 3/1 - PP
Eternal Heart - 1.5pts @ 7/1 - PP 3rd
Halifax - 1.5pts @ 7/1 - PP

LFC5Times wrote: »

Ascot

3.45 - Coronation Stakes

Memory - 1.5pts @ 8/1 - PP
Together - 1.5pts @ 4/1 - PP
Immortal Verse - 1.5pts @ 15/2 - PP Won

4.25 - Wolferton Handicap

Right Step - .50pt @ 20/1 - Boyles 4th
Waydownsouth - .50pt @ 12/1 - Boyles 3rd

5.35 - Buckingham Palace Stakes

Docofthebay - .50pt @ 9/1 - Boyles 5th
Smarty Socks - .50 pt @ 20/1 - Boyles
Advanced - .50pt @ 25/1 - Boyles
Decent Fella - .50pt @ 20/1 - Boyles 4th

A bad day at the office, I need to be a bit more selective in what races I am picking and also maybe try narrow down the selections in a race.

Though the thing with trends is a 20/1 winner suddenly makes the P/L look at a lot healthier.

Total Staked: 17.00 points
Total Returns: 12.75 points
Profit/Loss: - 4.25 points
Running Total P/L: + 1.88 points

LFC5Times

Ascot

3.05 - Hardwicke Stakes

Campanologist - 1pt @ 14/1 - Boyles
Poet - .75pt @ 10/1 - Boyles
Calvado Blues - .75pt @ 14/1 - Boyles


3.45 - Jubilee Stakes

Bewitched - 1.5pts @ 7/2 - PP
Star Witness - 1.5pts @ 13/2 - Boyles
Elzaam - 2pts @ 12/1 - PP
Amico Fritz - 2pts @ 16/1 - PP

LFC5Times

Ascot

4.25 - Wokingham Stakes

A minefield of a race and with the draw and soft ground having a big bearing on things, I have narrowed it down with trepidation a fair bit to Hoof It,Victoire de Lyphar, Pastoral Player, Macs Power, Imperial Guest, Nasri & Swiss Cross.

Final Selections

Macs Power - 2pts @ 9/1 - PP
Hoof It - 2pts @ 6/1 - PP
Swiss Cross - 2pts @ - 40/1 - Boyles
Victoire De Lyphar - 2pts @ 12/1 - Boyles

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

Ascot

3.05 - Hardwicke Stakes

Campanologist - 1pt @ 14/1 - Boyles
Poet - .75pt @ 10/1 - Boyles
Calvado Blues - .75pt @ 14/1 - Boyles


3.45 - Jubilee Stakes

Bewitched - 1.5pts @ 7/2 - PP
Star Witness - 1.5pts @ 13/2 - Boyles
Elzaam - 2pts @ 12/1 - PP
Amico Fritz - 2pts @ 16/1 - PP

LFC5Times wrote: »

Ascot

4.25 - Wokingham Stakes

A minefield of a race and with the draw and soft ground having a big bearing on things, I have narrowed it down with trepidation a fair bit to Hoof It,Victoire de Lyphar, Pastoral Player, Macs Power, Imperial Guest, Nasri & Swiss Cross.

Final Selections

Macs Power - 2pts @ 9/1 - PP
Hoof It - 2pts @ 6/1 - PP
Swiss Cross - 2pts @ - 40/1 - Boyles
Victoire De Lyphar - 2pts @ 12/1 - Boyles

What can only be described as a truly disastrous final day at Ascot and Ascot meeting full stop.
Maybe I should of stuck to 1 point per selection or something, I'm not to sure really.
As per my first post I am getting the impression that the trends don't work anywhere near as good on the flat as they have for me on the NH.

Anyway I will keep posting away for a bit longer.

Total Staked: 17.50 points
Total Returns: 0.00 points
Profit/Loss: - 17.50 points
Running Total P/L: - 15.62 points

LFC5Times

Newcastle

2.00 - Chipchase Stakes

Genki - 1.5pts @ 9/2 - PP
Regal Parade 1.5pts @ 5/4 - PP

3.05 - Northumberland Plate

Deauville Flyer - 1.5pts @ 9/1 - PP
High Office - 1.5pts @ 11/1 - PP
My Arch - 1.5pts @ 33/1 - Boyles
Tominator - .50pt @ 40/1 - Boyles

Newmarket

3.20 - Criterion Stakes

Field of Dream - 1pt @ 14/1 - Boyles
Dever Dream - 1pt @ 14/1 - Boyles
Flambeau - 1pt @ 5/1 - PP

Curragh

3.35 - Pretty Polly Stakes

Between Midday & Misty For Me on the trends.

Midday - 2pts @ 4/6 - Boyles
Misty For Me - 1pt @ 5/1 - Boyles

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

Newcastle

2.00 - Chipchase Stakes

Genki - 1.5pts @ 9/2 - PP Won
Regal Parade 1.5pts @ 5/4 - PP

3.05 - Northumberland Plate

Deauville Flyer - 1.5pts @ 9/1 - PP
High Office - 1.5pts @ 11/1 - PP
My Arch - 1.5pts @ 33/1 - Boyles
Tominator - .50pt @ 40/1 - Boyles Won

Newmarket

3.20 - Criterion Stakes

Field of Dream - 1pt @ 14/1 - Boyles
Dever Dream - 1pt @ 14/1 - Boyles NR
Flambeau - 1pt @ 5/1 - PP

Curragh

3.35 - Pretty Polly Stakes

Between Midday & Misty For Me on the trends.

Midday - 2pts @ 4/6 - Boyles
Misty For Me - 1pt @ 5/1 - Boyles Won

Total Staked: 14.00 points
Total Returns: 34.75 points
Profit/Loss: + 20.75 points
Running Total P/L: + 5.13 points

LFC5Times

Curragh

2.10 - Railway Stakes

Choir - 1pt @ 15/8 - PP
Vault - 1pt @ 12/1 - PP

3.10 - Sapphire Stakes

Inxile - 1pt @ 6/4 - PP
Hamish McGonagall - 1pt @ 3/1 - PP


3.50 - Irish Derby

Native Khan - 1pt ew @ 12/1 - Boyles - (1/5; 3 places)
Dunboyne Express - 1pt ew @ 33/1 - PP - (1/5; 3 places)


Uttoxeter

4.20 - Summer National

The Last Derby - 1pt @ 7/1 - PP
Present And Correct - 1pt @ 20/1 - PP
Ballyvesey - 1pt @ 11/1 - PP

LFC5Times

LFC5Times wrote: »

Curragh

2.10 - Railway Stakes

Choir - 1pt @ 15/8 - PP
Vault - 1pt @ 12/1 - PP

3.10 - Sapphire Stakes

Inxile - 1pt @ 6/4 - PP
Hamish McGonagall - 1pt @ 3/1 - PP


3.50 - Irish Derby

Native Khan - 1pt ew @ 12/1 - Boyles - (1/5; 3 places)
Dunboyne Express - 1pt ew @ 33/1 - PP - (1/5; 3 places)


Uttoxeter

4.20 - Summer National

The Last Derby - 1pt @ 7/1 - PP
Present And Correct - 1pt @ 20/1 - PP
Ballyvesey - 1pt @ 11/1 - PP

Total Staked: 11.00 points
Total Returns: 0.00 points
Profit/Loss: - 11.00 points
Running Total P/L: - 5.87 points

LFC5Times

Fairyhouse

7.30 - Brownstown Stakes

Blaze Brightly - 1pt @ 20/1 - Boyles
Future Generation - 1pt @ 12/1 - Boyles