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Big Race Selections - Based on Trends
Comments
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Ascot
2.30 - Queen Anne Stakes
Canford Cliffs is the selection followed closely on the trends by Cape Blanco & Ransom Note.
Canford Cliffs - 3pts @ 6/4 - PP
Won
3.05 - Kings Stand Stakes
I have managed to narrow the field down to five so far; Bridgetown, Overdose, Star Witness, Tangerine Tree & Sweet Sanette.
I will look to see if I can narrow the field down further.
Bridgetown - 1pt ew @ 11/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 4 places)
Sweet Sanette - 1pt ew @ 14/1 - Boyles (1/4; 4 places)
3rd
Overdose - 1pt @ 12/1 - PP 4th
Star Witness - 1pt @ 6/1 - PP 2nd
Tangerine Tree - 1pt @ 25/1 - Boyles
4.25 - Coventry Stakes
Mezmaar - 1pt @ 6/1 - Boyles
Trumpet Major - .50pts ew @ 12/1 - Boyles (1/4;4 places)Ascot
3.45 - St. James's Palace Stakes
Frankel is unbackable at the price so instead I am going to have 3 small ew bets.
1/4 odds; 3 places on all below.
Gran Prix Boss - .50pt ew @ 9/1 - Boyles
Excelebration - .50pt ew@ 16/1 - Boyles 3rd
Dubawi Gold - .50pt ew @ 20/1 - BoylesAscot
5.00 - Ascot Stakes
Veiled - .50pt ew @ 6/1 - PP (1/4; 4 places) Won
Ashbrittle - .50pt ew @ 9/1 - PP (1/4; 4 places)
Total Staked: 17.00 points
Total Returns: 19.25 points
Profit/Loss: + 2.25points
Running Total P/L: +12.13 points0 -
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Ascot
2.30 - Jersey Stakes
Havane Smoker - 1pt @ 7/2 - Boyles
Western Aristocrat - 1pt @ 5/1 - Boyles
3.05 - Windsor Forest Stakes
Sajjhaa and I'm A Dreamer fit the trends with Seta falling down on one trend so just missing out on being a selection.
Sajjhaa - 1.5pt @ 7/2 - Boyles
I'm A Dreamer - 1.5pt @ 4/1 - Boyles
3.45 - Prince of Wales Stakes
So You Think & Planteur fit all the trends but So You Think is virtually unbackable and would be my selection of the two.
However I will have a small bet on Planteur in case there is a shock.
Planteur - .50pt @ 4/1 - PPAscot
4.25 - Royal Hunt Cup
Start Right - 1pt ew @ 7/1 - PP - (1/4; 5 places)
Super Say - 1pt ew @ 16/1 - PP - (1/4; 5 places)
Brick Red - 1pt ew @ 20/1 - PP - (1/4; 5 places)
5.00 - Queen Mary Stakes
I have narrowed it down to 5 but can't manage to split them. Dozy, Fire Lily, Rubys Day, Shumoos, Somasach.
Dozy - .50pt @ 11/1 - PP
Fire Lily - .50 pt @ 10/1 - PP
Rubys Day - .50pt @ 22/1 - PP
Sumoos - 2.5pt @ 11/8 - PP
Somasach - .5pt @ 16/1 - PP
5.35 - Sandringham Handicap
Winters Night - 1pt @ 5/1 - Boyles
Rhythm of Light - 1pt @ 7/1 - Boyles Won
Cape Dollar - .50pt ew @ 14/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)
Really bad day at the office for the trends, hopefully tomorrow can bring a profit for the day!!
Total Staked: 16.00 points
Total Returns: 8.00 points
Profit/Loss: - 8.00 points
Running Total P/L: + 4.13 points0 -
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Ascot
2.30 - Norfolk Stakes
Burwaaz - 1pt ew @ 14/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)
Charles The Great - 1pt ew @ 20/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)
Everyday Dave - 2pts @ 5/1 - PP
3.05 - Ribblesdale Stakes
Rumh - 2pts @ 7/2 - Boyles
Arizona Jewel - 1pt ew @ 12/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)
Creme Anglaise - 1pt ew @ 16/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 3 places)Ascot
3.45 - Gold Cup
Fame & Glory - 3pts @ 2/1 - PP Won
Duncan - 1.5pt @ 15/2 - PP
Holbereg - .75pt @ 9/1 - PP
Opinion Poll - .75pt 14/1 - PP
4.25 - Brittania Stakes
Tropical Beat 1.75pt ew @ 8/1 - Boyles - (1/4; 6 places)
Sagramor 1.75pt ew @ 8/1 - Boyles - 1/4; 6 places) Won
Common Touch 1pt @ 16/1 - Boyles
Captain Bertie 1pt @ 14/1 - Boyles
Ektibaas 1pt @ 16/1 - Boyles
Total Staked: 28.00 points
Total Returns: 30.00 points
Profit/Loss: + 2.00 points
Running Total P/L: + 6.13 points0 -
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Ascot
2.30 - Albany Stakes
Illaunglass - .50pt @ 7/1 - Boyles 3rd
Judas Jo - .50pt @ 50/1 - Boyles
Luv U Forever - .50pt @ 50/1 - Boyles
Switcher - .50pt @ 9/1 - Boyles
3.05 - King Edward VII Stakes
World Domination - 2pts @ 7/1 - PP
Glens Diamond - 1pt @ 15/2 - PP
5.00 - Queens Vase
Narrowed it down to Eternal Heart, Halifax, Ittirad, Regent Street & Solar Sky. Because of Mark Johnsons excellent record in the race I'm going to pick two of his selections along with Regent Street.
Regent Street - 1.5pts @ 3/1 - PP
Eternal Heart - 1.5pts @ 7/1 - PP 3rd
Halifax - 1.5pts @ 7/1 - PPAscot
3.45 - Coronation Stakes
Memory - 1.5pts @ 8/1 - PP
Together - 1.5pts @ 4/1 - PP
Immortal Verse - 1.5pts @ 15/2 - PP Won
4.25 - Wolferton Handicap
Right Step - .50pt @ 20/1 - Boyles 4th
Waydownsouth - .50pt @ 12/1 - Boyles 3rd
5.35 - Buckingham Palace Stakes
Docofthebay - .50pt @ 9/1 - Boyles 5th
Smarty Socks - .50 pt @ 20/1 - Boyles
Advanced - .50pt @ 25/1 - Boyles
Decent Fella - .50pt @ 20/1 - Boyles 4th
A bad day at the office, I need to be a bit more selective in what races I am picking and also maybe try narrow down the selections in a race.
Though the thing with trends is a 20/1 winner suddenly makes the P/L look at a lot healthier.
Total Staked: 17.00 points
Total Returns: 12.75 points
Profit/Loss: - 4.25 points
Running Total P/L: + 1.88 points0 -
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Ascot
3.05 - Hardwicke Stakes
Campanologist - 1pt @ 14/1 - Boyles
Poet - .75pt @ 10/1 - Boyles
Calvado Blues - .75pt @ 14/1 - Boyles
3.45 - Jubilee Stakes
Bewitched - 1.5pts @ 7/2 - PP
Star Witness - 1.5pts @ 13/2 - Boyles
Elzaam - 2pts @ 12/1 - PP
Amico Fritz - 2pts @ 16/1 - PPAscot
4.25 - Wokingham Stakes
A minefield of a race and with the draw and soft ground having a big bearing on things, I have narrowed it down with trepidation a fair bit to Hoof It,Victoire de Lyphar, Pastoral Player, Macs Power, Imperial Guest, Nasri & Swiss Cross.
Final Selections
Macs Power - 2pts @ 9/1 - PP
Hoof It - 2pts @ 6/1 - PP
Swiss Cross - 2pts @ - 40/1 - Boyles
Victoire De Lyphar - 2pts @ 12/1 - Boyles
What can only be described as a truly disastrous final day at Ascot and Ascot meeting full stop.
Maybe I should of stuck to 1 point per selection or something, I'm not to sure really.
As per my first post I am getting the impression that the trends don't work anywhere near as good on the flat as they have for me on the NH.
Anyway I will keep posting away for a bit longer.
Total Staked: 17.50 points
Total Returns: 0.00 points
Profit/Loss: - 17.50 points
Running Total P/L: - 15.62 points0 -
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Newcastle
2.00 - Chipchase Stakes
Genki - 1.5pts @ 9/2 - PP Won
Regal Parade 1.5pts @ 5/4 - PP
3.05 - Northumberland Plate
Deauville Flyer - 1.5pts @ 9/1 - PP
High Office - 1.5pts @ 11/1 - PP
My Arch - 1.5pts @ 33/1 - Boyles
Tominator - .50pt @ 40/1 - Boyles Won
Newmarket
3.20 - Criterion Stakes
Field of Dream - 1pt @ 14/1 - Boyles
Dever Dream - 1pt @ 14/1 - Boyles NR
Flambeau - 1pt @ 5/1 - PP
Curragh
3.35 - Pretty Polly Stakes
Between Midday & Misty For Me on the trends.
Midday - 2pts @ 4/6 - Boyles
Misty For Me - 1pt @ 5/1 - Boyles Won
Total Staked: 14.00 points
Total Returns: 34.75 points
Profit/Loss: + 20.75 points
Running Total P/L: + 5.13 points0 -
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Curragh
2.10 - Railway Stakes
Choir - 1pt @ 15/8 - PP
Vault - 1pt @ 12/1 - PP
3.10 - Sapphire Stakes
Inxile - 1pt @ 6/4 - PP
Hamish McGonagall - 1pt @ 3/1 - PP
3.50 - Irish Derby
Native Khan - 1pt ew @ 12/1 - Boyles - (1/5; 3 places)
Dunboyne Express - 1pt ew @ 33/1 - PP - (1/5; 3 places)
Uttoxeter
4.20 - Summer National
The Last Derby - 1pt @ 7/1 - PP
Present And Correct - 1pt @ 20/1 - PP
Ballyvesey - 1pt @ 11/1 - PP
Total Staked: 11.00 points
Total Returns: 0.00 points
Profit/Loss: - 11.00 points
Running Total P/L: - 5.87 points0 -
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Haydock
2.50 - Lancashire Oaks
Vita Nova - 1.5pts @ 13/8 - Boyles
Pollys Mark - 1.5pts @ 11/2 - PP
3.25 - Old Newton Cup
English Summer - 1pt @ 33/1 - Boyles
Very Good Day - 1pt @ 25/1 - PP
Sharaayeen - 1pt @ 15/2 - Boyles
Bourne - 1pt @ 15/2 - PP
Sandown
2.00 - Sprint Stakes
Kingsgate Native - 1pt @ 5/1 - Boyles
Margot Did - 1pt @ 6/1 - Boyles
Night Carnation - 1pt @ 13/2 - Boyles Won
2.35 - Coral Challenge Handicap
Dunn'o - 1pt @ 11/1 - PP
Leviathan - 1pt @ 9/1 - PP
Sooraah - 1pt @ 6/1 - PP
3.10 - Coral Eclipse
So You Think - 2pts @ 5/6 - PP Won
3.40 - Coral Marathon Esher Stakes
Aaim to Prosper - 1pt @ 9/2 - Boyles
Chiberta King - 1pt @ 15/2 - Boyles Won
Desert Sea - .50pt ew @ 20/1 - PP
4.15 - Coral Distaff Stakes
Nahrain - 1.5pt @ 10/11 - Boyles Won
Total Staked: 19.50 points
Total Returns: 22.53 points
Profit/Loss: + 3.03 points
Running Total P/L: - 4.84 points
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York
2.35 - Summer Stakes
Dever Dream - 1pt @ 6/1 - Boyles 2nd
Rose Blosson - 1pt @ 7/1 - Boyles 3rd
Newmarket
2.25 - Cherry Hinton Stakes
I have narrowed it down to 3 horses - Shumoos, Inetrobil & Russelliana and am unable to narrow it down further with the trends so am going to back all three.
Shumoos - 1pt @ 11/4 - PP
Inetrobil - 1pt @ 6/1 - PP 3rd
Russelliana - 1pt @ 7/1 - Boyles 2nd
3.00 - Falmouth Stakes
Again have narrowed it down to three but struggling to narrow it down further.
I'm a Dreamer - 1pt @ 10/1 - PP
Lilly of the Valley - 1pt @ 7/1 - PP
Memory - 1pt @ 8/1 - PP - PP refunded bet because horse didn't come out of stall at the start
Total Staked: 8.00 points
Total Returns: 1.00 points
Profit/Loss: - 7.00 points
Running Total P/L: - 9.84 points0 -
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