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Cold Spell Media Forecasts and Model Output (General Chat)

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    #1292
    th3 s1aught3r
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,925 ✭✭✭th3 s1aught3r


    mickger844posts wrote: »
    Looking at it on raintoday i have the feeling its going to break up before it gets to us. Its snowing in Wexford again but probably will disappear when it hits our shield :mad:

    Its probably going to do a 360 and hit Dublin again :pac:


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    #1293
    Calibos
    Registered Users Posts: 7,805 ✭✭✭Calibos


    Morning Gents. Bray stayed in the Anglesey snow shadow arc all day yesterday from noon onwards. After the partial thaw last night we lost half our 5 inches and with the refreeze roads and paths are now lethal.

    Any chance of an inch or two today.......for the purposes if making the paths easier to walk on you understand :D


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    #1294
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    mickger844posts wrote: »
    Looking at it on raintoday i have the feeling its going to break up before it gets to us. Its snowing in Wexford again but probably will disappear when it hits our shield :mad:

    Looks like the shield was in full force. We were unlucky to not even get a dusting.

    Breakdown looking more and more likely now around 26th/27th.


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    #1295
    quazzy
    Registered Users Posts: 1,305 ✭✭✭quazzy


    Sitting in Citywest looking at clear sunny skies.

    Is the snow stopped/stopping around these parts or do I need to continue praying


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    #1296
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    maquiladora wrote: »
    Looks like the shield was in full force. We were unlucky to not even get a dusting.

    Breakdown looking more and more likely now around 26th/27th.

    Had a feeling it would happen, looks more and more likely no decent snow from this spell for us in Waterford. Last January all over again. Its a miracle we got that lovely snow 3 weeks ago. Still a lot of the Winter to go yet ;)


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    #1297
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    Gonna post this up knowing it wont happen


    U36-594.GIF?22-06


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    #1298
    Supercell
    Registered Users Posts: 15,339 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    6z out to T+51, looks extremely dry and cold except possible later tonight with a chance of some streamers on the east coast again.
    https://www.loughlinstown.ie

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



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    #1299
    homolumo
    Registered Users Posts: 1,080 ✭✭✭homolumo


    I see ME are now saying temps will only start to increase to 3 or 7 degrees on St. Stephens Day. The ECM has let them down this time but to be so confident of 7-10 degrees for Christmas Day a few days back was very naive.


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    #1300
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Potential for flooding on St Stephens Day?

    Melting snow + heavy rain.

    gfs-2-102.png?6


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    #1301
    homolumo
    Registered Users Posts: 1,080 ✭✭✭homolumo


    maquiladora wrote: »
    Potential for flooding on St Stephens Day?

    Melting snow + heavy rain.

    I am glad we didn't get snow so, last Jan was bad enough when it rained after the snow. It was the closest my house ever came to being flooded.


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    #1302
    fizzycyst
    Closed Accounts Posts: 399 ✭✭fizzycyst


    mickger844posts wrote: »
    Gonna post this up knowing it wont happen


    U36-594.GIF?22-06
    it's pure agony at this stage :( but as you say, still plenty of winter to go yet


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    #1303
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users Posts: 9,010 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    Beginnings of a streamer now out in the irish sea, looks like North county Dublin.

    Winds due to shift a bit more north though as far a I can see so this could move south if it develops


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    #1304
    premiercad
    Registered Users Posts: 352 ✭✭premiercad


    Ya and the IOM shadow rears it's head ;)


    image.ashx?ok=1&country=gb&type=slide&time=&index=1&sat=


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    #1305
    devilabit
    Registered Users Posts: 60 ✭✭devilabit


    Does anyone have accurate measurements for the amount of snow that fell in Dublin yesterday? I see that met.ie are reporting 11.8 mm at Dublin Airport so im guessing that the snow ratio is quite high, maybe 15:1. Im looking for objective reports if possible..


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    #1306
    opr
    Registered Users Posts: 8,267 ✭✭✭opr


    First signs of streamers setting up on the latest met.ie radar at 11.45.

    Opr


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    #1307
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    opr wrote: »
    First signs of streamers setting up on the latest met.ie radar at 11.45.

    Opr

    Starting early today, might be interesting later for some ( Not for Waterford of course ) ;)


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    #1308
    snow ghost
    Registered Users Posts: 1,379 ✭✭✭snow ghost


    ME's latest warning, seems they expect some snow for the North West:

    Issued at 22 December 2010 - 12:20
    Severe Weather Alert Update
    Air temperatures will remain well below freezing point in many areas for the rest of today, Wednesday, with ice and compacted snow persisting. Snow showers affecting northwestern and eastern counties will produce further accumulations of 2 to 5cm in places.

    Valid till 19:00 22/12/2010


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    #1309
    devilabit
    Registered Users Posts: 60 ✭✭devilabit


    Streamers building up nicely according to latest hi-res satellite. Also gives a good idea of how much snow there is...


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    #1310
    delw
    Registered Users Posts: 2,655 ✭✭✭delw


    devilabit wrote: »
    Streamers building up nicely according to latest hi-res satellite. Also gives a good idea of how much snow there is...
    IOM shadow in full flow


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    #1311
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    devilabit wrote: »
    Streamers building up nicely according to latest hi-res satellite. Also gives a good idea of how much snow there is...

    Thats a fantastic view. Where did you get it from????


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    #1312
    chinchin
    Registered Users Posts: 74 ✭✭chinchin


    devilabit wrote: »
    Streamers building up nicely according to latest hi-res satellite. Also gives a good idea of how much snow there is...

    Wow, beautiful image. Where did you get it if you don't mind me asking?


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    #1313
    ManAboutCouch
    Registered Users Posts: 225 ✭✭ManAboutCouch


    The source for that image is posted in this thread: http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056126358

    It's from NASA, and you can get it from here (Different size options on the left of that page, the 250m resolution image is pretty huge)


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    #1314
    devilabit
    Registered Users Posts: 60 ✭✭devilabit


    ManAboutCouch wrote: »
    The source for that image is posted in this thread: http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056126358

    It's from NASA, and you can get it from here (Different size options on the left of that page, the 250m resolution image is pretty huge)

    Yeah I just did a crop of the 250m to show those streamers. Although off topic you can get the daily feed of those images from

    http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/realtime/


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    #1315
    opr
    Registered Users Posts: 8,267 ✭✭✭opr


    The 26th certainly looks more interesting in that run :P

    Just looking at the percip charts all the way from the 26th it looks like we get hammered with non stop rain for days. Could be a real problem with flooding when you couple that with all the melting snow.

    Opr


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    #1316
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 5,981 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    12z looks good for snow on the east coast tonight and tomorrow.


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    #1317
    Trotter
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,362 ✭✭✭Trotter


    ManAboutCouch wrote: »
    The source for that image is posted in this thread: http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056126358

    It's from NASA, and you can get it from here (Different size options on the left of that page, the 250m resolution image is pretty huge)


    That proves that the snow gods have a serious grudge against Waterford.


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    #1318
    sboyle
    Registered Users Posts: 25 ✭sboyle


    anyone know if waterford will get any snow? thanks


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    #1319
    BEASTERLY
    Registered Users Posts: 1,789 ✭✭✭BEASTERLY


    baraca wrote: »
    12z looks good for snow on the east coast tonight and tomorrow.

    The 5 day forecast(ECMWF) on Met Eireann agrees:)


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    #1320
    darkman2
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,632 ✭✭✭darkman2


    Big differences on the models this evening. GFS brings in much milder weather from the 26th onwards. The UKMO brings in a bit of milder temperatures for the 27th but returns us to a cold continental flow by the 28th which would really limit any thaw.


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    #1321
    homolumo
    Registered Users Posts: 1,080 ✭✭✭homolumo


    darkman2 wrote: »
    Big differences on the models this evening. GFS brings in much milder weather from the 26th onwards. The UKMO brings in a bit of milder temperatures for the 27th but returns us to a cold continental flow by the 28th which would really limit any thaw.

    Yeah the GFS is mad for the milder weather whereas the UKMO is a cold lovers dream. It may turn out that the ECM gets it right even though the UKMO has been doing well recently.


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