100 Bets to Broke, NH :-) and last of the flat

longshotvalue

100 Bets to Broke, NH :-) and last of the flat

1- 15:40 Ascot, 1m 4f ladbrokes.com Stakes
Icon Dream: This one really looks likely to have lot in his favor tomorrow at a decent price. All his best runs have been on soft going, winning his maiden on heavy and second in the Chester Vase on good-soft. He gets a 6lb 3yo allowance and this puts him in here on a decent racing weight of 9:0 with a rating of 101. He is visored tomorrow with a tongue -tie and it's his first run in a handicap - all of which adds up to a decent chance of tomorrow being a going day. He is currently overpriced 20/1

2 points EW

2- 15:55 York, 6f Coral Sprint Trophy
Able Master: He was my selection for the Ayr Silver Cup a few weeks ago and ran really well when short of room to finish 8th. His C&D win here off the same mark as today (also at the end of the season) on similar ground puts him in here with a great chance. He is drawn low in 5 and this looks to be the right side to be on. Considering he has run well this year off 10lbs higher also on ground with some give in it, he looks to have a lot in his favor tomorrow. Currently 14/1 Stan James
2 points EW


3- 14:15 York, 1m coral.co.uk Handicap
Bonnie Charlie: I'm going to give him a small chance at a very decent price; he has a decent record at the end of the year in the last 2 years and most of his best runs have been on ground with some cut in it. He has come down 14lbs from his peak last year, and if he gets the extra furlong which has looked likely in one or two of his previous races, he is capable of placing in this type of race of this mark. Currently 42 win 8.6 place

1 point win, 1 point place

4- 17:10 Chepstow, 3m Rhys Howells Memorial Handicap Chase
Ellerslie George: Altough his last run was poor, today he has the right conditions and trip and looks overpriced at 20/1 to come back to form today. he had some support last day which might indicate some kind of home form. His record at this time of the year is very good.. with a few wins in october..

1 Point EW 20/1

5- 15:05 Ascot,6f Models 1 Bengough Stakes
Genki: In the form of his life and conditions to suit today, he has a decent weight advantage with Redford from their last run and really there is nothing between them and he is double the price.

3 Points Win 6/1 Stan James

thesandeman

Close one with Genki. Best o luck with the jumps. Lets hope you continue where you left off.

longshotvalue

Bad day yesterday,

Summerinthecity : Not my style going for favs but this ones last run was a long way ahead of anything else in this race and he has gone up only 4lbs (he was 1 over last time), he beat some very good consistant horses last time who have franked the form. He is drawn 13 of 13 which is perfect and looks overpriced at 9/2. He also is proven on soft going..

3 Points Win 9/2

longshotvalue

Munster National, Fisher Bridge He looks overpriced considering his good form at this time of the year, couple of decent flat run this year, and will be fit. The Good ground should suit, but its his first try at 3m, worth a shot at a big price, and being the stable second string might not rule him out here, as Meade i ususally in great for at this time of the year..

1 Point Each Way 28/1 Ladbrokes

longshotvalue

aidankkk wrote: »

Munster National, Fisher Bridge He looks overpriced considering his good form at this time of the year, couple of decent flat run this year, and will be fit. The Good ground should suit, but its his first try at 3m, worth a shot at a big price, and being the stable second string might not rule him out here, as Meade i ususally in great for at this time of the year..

1 Point Each Way 28/1 Ladbrokes

:(:(nnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo


Jeez i was counting the money... ahh well.. the winner stayed on really well

thesandeman

Ouch!!

longshotvalue

Newmarket 5:15, Gallagher, he is racing of his lowest ever mark. the run when a very good 6th off 6 lbs higher at ascot, look good on his current mark, and all his runs since have been on softer going. He has the best draw of all wide in 30 and also has a claimer on for the first time since that good run.. Its s lot of tick marks for one horse in this type of race so he looks valye at 33/1 EW and could be bigger tomorrow.

1 Point Each Way 33/1

longshotvalue

[FONT=&quot]15:40 Newmarket, 2m 2f totesport.com Cesarewitch[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Swingkeel: [/FONT][FONT=&quot] I like the look of his run at Ascot in the Queen Alexandra, where he was gaining all the way to the line when 3rd and well supported. He had previously run well in the Chester Cup and looks to have been laid out for this with a break and a run in a 14f Conditions Event where he ran above his mark over a distance too short. He was well supported in this last year and although he ran poorly he clearly is highly tough of by connections, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see support for him tomorrow.
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]1 Point Each Way 33/1 12345 Bet365
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Kayf Aramis: [/FONT][FONT=&quot]If he can show any of the improvement on the flat that he showed over hurdles in the last 18 months, he will have a great chance here. Ran well of 2lbs higher at Ascot in June 09 and has had only one Flat race since, which was hopefully a warm up for this race over the C&D a month ago. He looks sure to improve for that run and may well be well treated of this mark, considering his improvement over hurdles.
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]1 Point Each Way 28/1 12345 Bet265
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]14:40 Cheltenham, 2m 4f 110y zeturf.com Handicap Chase[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Gwanako:[/FONT][FONT=&quot] This race looks the ideal combination of Trip and Ground for him. He has gone down a few pounds and has a 5lbs claimer on board which will give him decent racing weight. He was well supported in a similar race over C&D last year and a mistake gave him no chance. He is Currently 12/1 but could easily be bigger tomorrow considering Ruby is on another Nichols horse.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]1 Point Each Way
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]15:00 Newmarket, 1m 2f Emirates Airline Champion Stakes[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Sri Putra:[/FONT][FONT=&quot] He just looks overpriced to place particularly, I’m not sure his Eclipse 2nd was that much of a fluke, he has a number of good runs this year. This looks a very poor Group 1 and he has a decent chance of getting into it after having a decent break which may help[/FONT]
1 Point Each Way 33/1 Stan James


[FONT=&quot]Ante Post Champion Hurdle 2011[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Barizan[/FONT][FONT=&quot]: I was really impressed with this horse at the end of last year after a hard season. He looks well overpriced for the Champion Hurdle and reminds me of Katchit, in that he is super tough and has top notch course form. He may or may not win tomorrow but im sure that in the Spring next year he will be hard to pass coming up the hill next year. Currently 48 win 10 place and looks worth a small investment at those odds in case of an easy success tomorrow.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]1 Point Win 1 Point Place[/FONT]

Nulty

What price did you take on Barizan?

Wait...I see it now

longshotvalue

Nulty wrote: »

What price did you take on Barizan?

Wait...I see it now

I also had him as my last bet in the first of my 100 bets at 50/1 EW at then end of last year...

longshotvalue

Star Rover Catterick 3:25. Well overpriced at 25/1 EW of this mark to get placed at least, has been running well this year and no superstars in this race, more like a 12/1 Shot..

2 Points Eachs Way 25/1

Nulty

aidankkk wrote: »

I also had him as my last bet in the first of my 100 bets at 50/1 EW at then end of last year...

I remember that. I'm excited by him too, it always helps when you've backed him before. Plenty of people ought to be excited from that Cheltenham run but it looks stiff with the weight he carries today.

All the best

longshotvalue

Ponte 3:40 , Strike Up The Band: more gut feeling than anything here, but todays 5f on good ground might suit him, and he has a turn around in weights with tha fav, which might just bring them together, he looks overpriced

2 Point Win 8/1

longshotvalue

Bit late notice, but i like AOB in these late season nurseries, and Flavia Tatiana , look sure to like the steps up in trip and get in here on a decent mark. looks overpriced at 11.5 on betfair. second last run was decent and looked to be staying on over 6f. JM not on has pushed up price, he is on one for Watchman, but that has a decent bit of weight.

2 Points Win 11.5 Betfair

2:45 Nav

longshotvalue

on a shocking run of luck.. That one had loads in hand, but broke badly and couldnt get out... really flying at the end.. 3rd..

Ahh well..

longshotvalue

3:55 Doncaster, 5f 40% Better Off On Betfair SP Handicap Secret Asset has been running well off around this mark or higher all season, and his last run looked better than the 8th place finish suggested. He is fine on good-soft or softer going and seems equally good at 5f or 6f. He is down 2lbs today and has the claimer who rode him in most of his decent runs this year. The draw isn't ideal near the middle in 9 but he can go to either side from here and looks to have a reasonable chance.

2 Points Each Way 33/1 SkyBet 12345

3:10 Newbury, 7f E.B.F. Bathwick Tyres Fillies' Handicap
Bintalwaddi had a couple of very decent runs earlier this year and didn't look to stay 1m in his last run, leading until running out of petrol. The step back to 7f will surely suit, along with good-soft going. He looks overpriced at 22 to win and 4.9 to place.

2pt win, 2pt place


16:35 Aintree, 3m 1f Totetentofollow.co.uk Veterans' Handicap Chase
Royal Rosa had a few very decent runs last year, and is a proven stayer who is often good on his first run. His run in the Becher last year on his reappearance was very good and he looks to be underestimated. Any extra rain will help and he has an excellent chance of running into a place on the long run-in here. Currently 16 to win 4.6 place.

1pts win, 2pts place

3:25 Aintree, Old Roan Chase

Albertas Run, has a really top notch record first time out, and i cant understand how hes not much shorter here, his last 2 runs last year were a revelation and the C&D win at the end of last year was one of the best chases id seen for years. Id put him at 7/4 Fav here on known form, i cant resist that price he's 5.8 on Betfair. He wasnt really supported last year first time out but still obliged..


4 Points Win 5.8 Betfair

longshotvalue

On an epic bad run, but ive got to give chief yeoman a small change at 60/12 on betfair for Chep 4:10. He has ran well of this mark in teh past and has a few times come back from a poor run to improve plenty. Just looks a nice price

1 Point win 1 Point Place

almat1981

Aidan your still by far the best man on here for a long shot.
Came across these two and was wondering what your toughts were.

4.15 Nottingham lastkingofscotland 25/1

3:25 haddock three ships 25/1

Any toughts?

longshotvalue

No internet today so have to use phone..


King Edmund, ascot 4:50 8.0 betfair very good last year overpriced.. *3 pts win

Massinis maguire , ascot 3.40. Looks ovrpriced and reasonably treated 2 pts win 8.2

Blazing baily, weth 2:50 , might be a tight enough race and he look the most value at 17.5 betfair. 2 pts win

Nacarat, weth 3:25 looks a few pounds clear of these and should be fav, stable reasonably confident .. *6.4 betfair 3 pts win..*

thesandeman

NICE!! Looks like youve found form again B-)

longshotvalue

O'muiarcheartic cork national.. Of a low weight which will count today and may stay on into a place .

1 point ew 25/1

longshotvalue

Exeter 2:35.. Really class race for midweek, and having gone trough them all for me it comes down to wheather Somersby is ready to go, he look a bit clear of these at the weights, but he is not value at 2/1. For me Imsingingtheblues looks very good value at 11/1 EW, he was going really well last week in the Old Roan Chase, and looks the best combination of Mark and price.

2 pts Each way

longshotvalue

Wincanton 2:10 Totescoop6 Elite Hurdle
Barizan: I was very impressed with his season last year, and he is going to be difficult to pass here with what looks a decent mark. His jumping would need to improve from his seasonal debut in Cheltenham but given that improvement he should be in with a great chance. If he is to be a contender in decent races later on this year he will have to run well here of this mark. Currently 11 win, 3.5 place.
2pts win 3 pts place


Doncaster 2:00 Bet On Live Football At totesport.com Handicap
Kyllachy Star: He has been very consistent this year and although he has been creeping up the weights, he looks overpriced here considering his good run in the Challenge Cup at Ascot where he was 2nd on the wrong side, and seemed to finish his race well. He is off the same mark here and appears to have a decent draw in 4. Currently 28.0 win, 6.2 place.
1pt win, 2pts place


Wincanton 3:20 Badger Ales Trophy
Irish Raptor: Looks off a decent mark, and seemed to be going well on reappearance until making a mistake 4 from home. He is of a decent raceable weight here and should come on for his first run. Looks overpriced at 20.0 win, 5.2 place.
1pt win, 1pt place


Doncaster 3:10 totesport.com November Handicap
Brunston: Back to a mark where he can get involved, he should like the ground and although he seems unproven at the trip, looks overpriced. His last run of this mark was good and has won a big field handicap this year although over a shorter trip. Currently 50 win 10 place.
1pt win, 1pt place

longshotvalue

3:40 Doncaster Bet On Breeders Cup At totesport.com Wentworth Stakes

Doncaster Rover: looks the best horse in the race, should act on the ground and looks overpriced at 12/1

2 points win..

longshotvalue

Cheltenham 1:20 Ultima Frontrunner in IT Solutions Novices' Chase
Beshabar: He looks overpriced probably because he's left Nicholls and had one poor run over fences in really heavy ground last year but his hurdles form at the end of last year was very good on better ground. I would rate him around a 5.5 shot and he's currently 11. He has to prove he stays 3m but the ground should help.
2pts win
Cheltenham 1:55 Morson Group Handicap Chase
Zacharova: His run at the end of last year was a bit of a return to form after a very poor year, but he is now back down to near the mark he won over C&D 18 months ago on similar ground. Although that race was not as good as this one, if he can recapture that form he can stay on here with a chance at a big price. Currently 40.0 to win and 7.4 place.
1pt win, 1pt place
Cheltenham 2:35 Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase
Gwanako: Looks to be well overpriced for a horse that is down to a more reasonable mark, and was running well when falling in his first run this year over the C&D. He has many good runs at Cheltenham, and looks to be in with a great chance at the weights. 33/1 Ew Paddy Power 5 places.
2pts each way
Cheltenham 3:10 Jardine Lloyd Thompson Handicap Hurdle
Pistolet Noir: His run at Aintree in a good race at the end of last year made me think the step up in trip might suit, and he also liked the good ground which it won't be too far off tomorrow. Although he's gone up a few pounds for that, the 5lbs claimer on tomorrow negates that rise, and he looks overpriced on that form. His first run this year was poor enough but he was well supported which may indicate some expectation. Currently 13.5 to win.
2pts win

longshotvalue

Cheltenham 2:35 Paddy Power Gold Cup.. I just cant let AP Heskin have a ride on a decent horse in a good race go of at 50.0 on betfair without having a bet. Dancing tornado , had a very decent run lately over hurdles and he just has the profile of one that is layed out for this , of a decent mark. The 5lbs claim puts him in here under 10st. His novice chase win at limerick last year was good over this trip. It is possible he would like more cut in the ground but its easily worth the risk at his current odds.. Currently 50 win 8.2 place

1 Point win 1 Point Place

longshotvalue

Cheltenham 1:55 Morson Group Handicap Chase

Just look at this race again, and Ballyfitz does look a bit of a blot on the handicap, he looks to ahve come down a bit too much, has an excellent record first time out and very good course form. His 4th on reaperance last year in the paddy power of 8 lbs more would easily be enough here.

2 Points win 12/1 Paddy Power

longshotvalue

On and epic Bad run, and probably picking to many very big prices, but anyway going for an even bigger one here


Culcabock, Greatwood Hurdle Cheltenham. This one has had very little racing last 2 years but ran an ok race on reapearance, and has gone in at a big price in the past. the Jockey Booking is interesting as he seems a decent claimer who is used sparingly, and has a very very good record of near 40% placing and 26% wins.. He has C&D win to his name and is getting 2 stone of the main protaganonists in this race. He is down 5 lbs from his last win in a decent race at ascot, and he just looks too big at 85 win 11 place

1 Point Win 1 Point Place


Hoback Junction, Paddy Power Intermediate Hurdle Chelt, cant let a half decent horse go of in a race at 170/1 on betfair, he is sure to stay and just isnt a 170/1 chance. Had a couply of decent enough novice wins last year, and altough he ran poorly over fences this year, his run back over hurdles want that bad and possibly came up against a very good novice..

1 Point win 1 Point Place

Politeo , same race, he has looked like the step up in trip will suite his last 2 runs in ireland and may be able to stay on past a lot of these up the hill. and is overpriced on betfair at 40w/6p

2 Point win 2 Point Place

proon4

Mod edit : Wrong place

mike65

You Sir have just gatecrashed someone elses thread.

longshotvalue

Bad record antipost but it impossible to resist..

Hennessy Gold Cup

Madison Du Berlais, is back down to near the mark he won the hennessy of before. Last year he was poor enough but still what he done might be enough here, he has no weight, is going to be one of the few in the handicap and has beaten denman before twice. Of the others in the field there is a lot of unproven horses around the same mark, and he is still a 9yo so may still have some improvement in him.. He has an excellent record in the race having won it and placed, and really should be place here at least.. There are some positive noises from the stable..

3 pts Each Way 16/1

longshotvalue

14:50 Haydock 40% Better Off On Betfair SP 'Fixed Brush' Handicap Hurdle
Tasheba: Although this race really seems to revolve around how much the favorite has in hand on the handicapper, I like the look of Tasheba here as he's back down to the mark he finished second in a very good 2m4f Handicap in Ascot last year, with a lot of good yardsticks behind. He has looked like the step up in trip will suit and has had a warm-up run which hopefully put him right for this. Even though he is the second string of the yard according to the betting, I'm not so sure, as David Bass is a very good claimer and the decision to put him on Tasheba is probably more to do with his position near the top of the weights. Currently 29.0 win 4.5 place, and I'm convinced he should be shorter.
2pt win, 2pt place
13:30 Ascot, Ivan The Terrible Mares' Handicap Hurdle
Munlochy Bay: This one ran a very good race on her final run in Cheltenham last year when coming through the field from a long way back in a decent race. Although she has gone up 10lbs for that, she may well have still more to give considering how far back she had to come from in that race, and has put in a decent reappearance this year of that mark when staying on. She is a certainty to stay here and looks decent value with headgear back on and again off a low weight with the same claimer onboard. Currently 14.0 win 3.9 place, with the place price sure to get better as the market matures.
1pt win, 2pt place
14:35 Ascot Coral Hurdle
Ashkazar: Mostly a gut feeling that he could run well here. The trip should suit, and his last run was good considering he had to give Nearby over a stone, for an 8 length beating. Most of the principals haven't run this year and this may be a decent opportunity. Currently 22.0 win 4.4 place.
1pt win, 1pt place
15:10 Ascot Carey Group Handicap Chase
King Edmund: One of my Favorite horses last year looks a bit overpriced here, primarily because of his run last time over C&D. But he sweated up badly beforehand and still ran a very decent race, and has come down 1lb for that run. I'm hoping he'll go of in front and be difficult to catch. Currently 9.6 to win which looks a few points too big here.
2 pts win

longshotvalue

Bit late but.

Ove Cool cookie, might be overpriced for shrewd connections at 44 win 8.5 place in the 1:45 Aintree. He has a bit of class and its possible the Fences might just bring him on a bit..

1 Point win 1 Point Place

longshotvalue

Navan Troytown Chase

Will Jamie Run, looks well overpriced here, as he is a consistant sort who was 6th in the national of a higher mark, and the shorter trip here might suit. 42 win 7.4 place..

1 Point win 2 points place

longshotvalue

Newbury 2:10.

NoStingsAttached, this one just looks to be considerably overpriced at 32 win 7.6 place on betfair, he certainly looked better last time in a decent race, and is now back down to a mark he won last. He looks sure to stay and Good to Soft should be fine. Should go of a good bit shorter.. Has had a bit of a break and has run well twice before after a break..

2 Points win 2 Points Place

longshotvalue

Nerbury 2:10..
Celestial Halo, i was impressed with his jumping last time until he fell, and he is so far clear of the others in this race in term of class i think he is overpriced, i had set evens as a point of having abet but he is now available at 2.44

6 Points win

longshotvalue

aidankkk wrote: »

Bad record antipost but it impossible to resist..

Hennessy Gold Cup

Madison Du Berlais, is back down to near the mark he won the hennessy of before. Last year he was poor enough but still what he done might be enough here, he has no weight, is going to be one of the few in the handicap and has beaten denman before twice. Of the others in the field there is a lot of unproven horses around the same mark, and he is still a 9yo so may still have some improvement in him.. He has an excellent record in the race having won it and placed, and really should be place here at least.. There are some positive noises from the stable..

3 pts Each Way 16/1

Previously advised running today

longshotvalue

StanJames.com Fighting Fifth Hurdle Newbury 12:25


Although Binocular should really take this race, he seems poor value, considering how he ran last year, and his season will surely be set out to have him 100% for March. I'm going to take small stab with Nearby he is in great form at the moment and will have the edge in fitness here, he looks a bit overpriced to win currently 15.0. He is Improving and might not need a lot to give him a hope here considering his main rivals having their first outing.


2 Points win


sportingbet.com Handicap Chase Newbury 3:40

Pocket Aces, looked to be on the way back to decent form last time, and there are a few alarm bells here. He has a 7lbs claimer on for the first time and the ground being on the softer side should help him. He is in here with a very good racing weight and may be ready to do himself justice. He won a novice chase last year very well on soft going and a lot of his races since have been on quicker going which may not suit. Currently 19 win 4.7 place

2 points win 2 points Place

longshotvalue

Scots Dragoon Newbury 12:55. Was well supported last time but fell at first, and that bit of support might just mean a decent chance here also. He has a good record in this type of race, should go on the ground and should stay. Looks value at 17 win 4.4 place, and really shouldnt end up that price.

1 Point win 1 Point Place

longshotvalue

Ballyegan Newbury 1:30, looked a very good staying performance in his last hurdle race, and having won a point the switch to fences can only help, altough he possibly would like further, he has a good 7lbs claimer on and can stay on into a place.. 26 win and 6 place

1 Point win 2 Point Place

longshotvalue

Out of pure Boredom, Waiting for real racing to start again.


Lingfield 2:10 Winning Show looks overpriced , he ran a decent race last time and his place price of 8.2 looks very good value here in this similiar race. He has improved over hurdles recently and if he carried that onto AW he could be a bit of value

1 Point win 2 points place

25 win 8 place

longshotvalue

[FONT=&quot]13:20 Cheltenham [/FONT]Unicoin Homes Relkeel Hurdle
[FONT=&quot]Celestial Halo: [/FONT][FONT=&quot]He is back over hurdles after a couple of fruitless attempts over fences, but he is the highest rated in this race and back at his perfect distance he looks to me to be very hard to beat here, at a good price. His last run over fences looked better in that he stayed on well at the end and really should be fully fit for this. On the terms here in this race any reproduction of his hurdles form could be good enough here. Overpriced at 7.4 currently[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]4pts win [/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]13:55 Cheltenham Keith Prowse Hospitality Tingle Creek Chase[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Kalahari King: [/FONT][FONT=&quot]There may be an opertunity here to find out Masterminded, who has proven vunerable in a good percentage of his races the last 2 years. Masterminded really didn’t beat much when winning well on his seasonal debut and doesn’t look value at odds on. Of the others Kalahari king ran a decent race in last years Champion Chase and rates high enough here to suggest that if there is to be a surprise he is the most likely to do it. He will need to improve his jumping but looks overpriced at 12.5 to win.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]2 Points Win[/FONT]

4:30 Cheltenham Vote A.P. Gold Cup

Mad Max : [FONT=&quot]I liked the look of his run in the Paddy Power over C&D last month, and given some improvement for the run here and the extra weight Little Josh has to carry, I’m not sure with I agree with Barry Gerathys choice here, having gone for Dave’s Dream after an easy win in a poorer race of a much lower mark. Mad Max travelled well most of the way in that race, and with the revised terms he looks overpriced at 15.0 to win.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]3 Points Win[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]11:40 Cheltenham Jenny Mould Memorial Handicap Chase[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Grand Lahou[/FONT][FONT=&quot]: This one looks overpriced considering his good run last time out over C&D of the same mark, where he met a blot on the handicap. He is in here with a very low racing weight and must have a great chance of placing at least. Currently 16 win 4.4 place[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]2 Points win 3 Points Place[/FONT]

Nulty

I really like Grand Lahou. If I could convince myself I'd back him. Its just such a tough race...How did you get a handle on it?

longshotvalue

Nulty wrote: »

I really like Grand Lahou. If I could convince myself I'd back him. Its just such a tough race...How did you get a handle on it?

I have to admit, im reducing the time im spending on these races and just going with my first opinion in general, too much time hasnt been very successful.. But c&d no weight and taking out the winner of his last race (who was obviously a blot on the handicap) that form is good enough to be taken seriously here at a decent price. Thre were a lot of decent horses behind in that race..

longshotvalue

Fair 1:20, i like the look of Doctor Deejay here ,he whould like the ground and his form last year with pittoni look to have him in here on a decent mark. Stable in cracking form as well.. Overpriced at 23 win and 4.0 to place

1 Point win 2 Point Place

Nulty

Zacharova (Newbury 2.05) ran today and disappoointed again this time with blinkers back on. No apparent excuses though I've yet to watch the race.

Replay

Result

Nulty

Just looks like his jumping is letting him down, stteps over the fences and loses vast amounts of ground at each one. I'm not likeely to touch him til I see much more enthusiasm

longshotvalue

Couldnt Pick my nose at the moment, but im going to give Will Jamie Run, one last chance in the 2:30, he has been running decent without seeing out his races, and having looked at his irish Grand National run again, of 5lbs higher, this trip and ground should suit.. He was very poor last time out but im going to overlook that and hope there can be some kind of form recovery of his low weight and lower.

1 Point win 1 Point Place 130 win 18 place..

longshotvalue

Golden Silver, i have to think he will turn the tables on Big Zeb today, with the softer ground and extra furlong from his last run againt him where he was closing at the finish.. After his last win i decided if it comes up soft in cheltenham he wont be beat in the Champion Chase so hell have to win well today to keep that opinion going.

5 Pts win 3.0 betfair

longshotvalue

Politio, Leop 3:00, ignoring his last run at cheltenham, he look reasonable well treated here, he has the first time 7lbs claimer and no weight, which will help him stay and the stable seems to be possibly getting back to some kind of form..

55 win 8.6 place..


1 Point win 1 Point Place

Newtown90

Couple of hot favourites for todays racing i see...

Anyone want to do the fishes and loaves act and help turn my €11 euro in my betfair account into something bigger

Been looking at Welds horse in the first in Leopardstown and Mullins horse in the big one there!

Can't see fools wildcat running again today....