Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

M.T. Cranium

Monday, 21 June, 2010
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TODAY will be sunny and warm, locally hot, except for a cooling sea breeze most prominent in the south, as today's wind flow will be light southerly. Highs inland will reach 22-24 C, around the coasts 17-20 C.

TONIGHT will be clear, although more hazy with low clouds forming at times in western coastal regions. Lows may once again dip briefly below 10 C inland and near 12 C in coastal sections.

TUESDAY will become more cloudy from west to east but this will still allow some sunshine in the east, and it should remain quite warm and more humid, with highs 21-23 C in many parts, 17-20 C south and west coasts, with a risk of an afternoon shower or period of drizzle there.

WEDNESDAY will become showery with higher humidity levels, some sunny breaks, and highs near 22 C inland, 18-20 C coastal regions.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY may remain a bit unsettled but there are indications that a slight ridge will reform and allow more sunshine than cloud, making the showers rather isolated and thundery. Highs may drift back up towards 25 C.

NEXT WEEKEND is looking more unsettled and there could be some locally heavy showers and thunderstorms, with highs 22-24 C.

Sunday 20th here was cloudy and cool with a high only 16 C -- it felt quite chilly after Saturday's sunshine. The eastern half of N America has warmed up again into the 28-35 C range.

Today will mark the summer solstice (at 1230h) -- the point at which the Sun attains its highest angle in the mid-day skies of the northern hemisphere. As I was mentioning above, sunset remains about the same time for another ten days or so, but sunrise moves later to make the net daylight hours shorter. Some places in Ireland had 16-17 hours of sunshine on Sunday !!! And congrats to Graeme McDowell for winning the U.S. Open (golf) at Pebble Beach, California, one of the earth's most scenic golf courses.

WolfeIRE

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

This is essentially what's behind the speculation (hysteria if you prefer) about December 2012 --

MT, thank you very much for taking the time to explain this in lay mans language. I saw 2012 last week, puke bucket in tow, and that's why I asked.

Thanks again.

Popoutman

Apologies for the off-topic post, but I'm getting annoyed by the 2012 stuff I'm seeing.
A good start for the actual story on 2012 is here: http://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/2012.html

On the latest sunsets and earliest sunrises, this is due to the effects of the sun's motion (as can be seen as the analemma) being slightly ahead or behind the 'mean sun' as the speed of the sun along the sky is not exactly the same. This is due to the elliptical orbit of the earth around the sun.

M.T. Cranium

Yes, I wouldn't worry about this 2012 stuff, we will all be doing quite well to make it to December 2012 in any case ... and that has nothing much to do with the positions of celestial objects but the objects between our ears down here.

I mean, what's more of immediate concern, a bunch of loose nukes going AWOL from one of the stans, a pig farm overflowing its sewage lagoon into the drinking supply of some city, or a black hole about twenty zillion miles from earth?

In any case, if the world comes to an end, makes the forecasting a lot easier, and no more vuvulezas.

M.T. Cranium

Tuesday, 22 June, 2010
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TODAY will bring more cloud than previous days, but some filtered sunshine will continue to make it rather warm in eastern and central counties, although coastal Leinster could be a bit cooler with a sea breeze. Western counties may find it hard to shake off the low cloud (marine layer as we call it here, maybe there as well?) ... so expect highs to vary from 23-25 C in some central counties and inland Ulster, to 18-20 C west coast and values in between elsewhere. There may be some light showers developing at times in the west. Winds today will increase a bit to SSW 10-20 mph.

TONIGHT will be generally cloudy with some brief hazy but clear intervals, and muggy, quite warm too, with lows only falling to 11-13 C.

WEDNESDAY will be cloudy with some sunny intervals, and passing showers that may become heavy and thundery across Connacht and nearby parts of other regions. Winds will be moderate SW to W at 15-30 mph, and highs will be in the range of 23-25 C southeast inland, to 17-19 C Donegal.

THURSDAY may see some improvement as a weak high pressure ridge returns, with some chance of a residual shower, and longer sunny intervals as a result, highs near 23 C.

FRIDAY will be hazy and warm, increasingly humid again, with highs 22-24 C. Some showers or a local thundershower may develop by afternoon especially western inland districts.

SATURDAY will be partly cloudy, warm and humid with showers and chance of a thunderstorm, highs near 23 C.

SUNDAY will be similar with possibly more widespread thundershowers developing, highs near 22 C.

The outlook for the following week is fairly good, breezy and rather warm with showers at times but some good sunny intervals as well. Looks like the month should finish off about 1-1.5 C deg above normal.

Meanwhile, Monday 21st here got very little out of the highest sun of the year, despite our latitude (49N) we had nothing much higher than 16 C and just a few glimpses of the sun by evening. Some severe storms have erupted in Michigan and Indiana around midnight local time.

Well, keeping my fingers crossed for France to make the much deserved exit from the WC today (and take that any way you wish) ... ... trying to do the math on Mexico-Uruguay, could we see a deliberate own goal in this game? Anything to avoid Argentina perhaps?

Speak Now

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Tuesday, 22 June, 2010

Well, keeping my fingers crossed for France to make the much deserved exit from the WC today (and take that any way you wish) ... ... trying to do the math on Mexico-Uruguay, could we see a deliberate own goal in this game? Anything to avoid Argentina perhaps?

Hi M.T, a draw will keep Uruguay top so i'd assume Mexico will go for the win to avoid Argentina in the next round. Don't think France will do enough today anyway, wouldn't be shocked if some of the players didn't turn up and if they did possibly not try a leg (no change there ). Wouldn't bother me anyway if France did qualify just for the circus that comes with them. When that rag they call a newspaper (The Sun) printed anyone but the French t-shirts i suddenly didnt hate them anymore :pac: (The french not the rag )
Thanks for the forecasts, great summer here in sunny south east.
Next up....Water shortages :eek:

M.T. Cranium

Wednesday, 23 June, 2010
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TODAY will be mostly cloudy and warm, quite muggy with some fog or low cloud near the south coast. A few showers will develop mainly over central and western counties, and there is a slight risk of a thunderstorm. Winds will increase to SSW 15-30 mph veering slowly to WSW, and highs will reach 22 or 23 C inland, 17-19 C west and south coasts.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy and muggy, quite warm again with lows only 13 to 15 C. There may be some further showers mainly in Ulster and Connacht.

THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with longer sunny breaks than today, and somewhat less humidity although some coasts may remain under low cloud. Highs will be 22-24 C except 18-20 C west coast. There may be one or two isolated showers in Donegal and nearby counties.

FRIDAY will also be partly cloudy with isolated showers, warm with highs of about 23 C again.

THE WEEKEND is looking more unsettled with heavier showers developing in a mostly cloudy, muggy air mass, highs 19-22 C and mild overnight lows near 14 C or so.

NEXT WEEK is also looking rather warm with a few more showers at times, with highs remaining in the low 20s to mid 20s.

Tuesday (22nd) here was a cloudy but pleasantly warm day with some sunny breaks, the threat of rain which never quite materialized from dark clouds, and light winds. The high was around 20 C. Tracking some very heavy rainfall developing west of Chicago and heading towards Toronto and New England, but very hot and humid further south.

M.T. Cranium

Thursday, 24 June, 2010
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TODAY will start out rather cloudy with some filtered sunshine at times this morning, also some isolated light showers mainly in Connacht and west Ulster. The afternoon and evening may become brighter as the cloud (mainly mid-level to start) begins to break apart. Highs will be 22-24 C inland and 18-20 C near most of the coastal regions with a generally SW flow but local sea breezes (winds 8-15 mph). It will be a little less muggy than yesterday.

TONIGHT will feature some clear intervals and a nearly full moon, with lows of about 12-14 C. Low cloud and drizzle are possible in west coastal districts.

FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with more sun in the east and south, and some chance of drizzle or light rain at times near the west coast. Highs will continue in the 22-24 C range inland and 18-20 C near the coasts.

SATURDAY will be cloudy with some sunny intervals and heavier showers developing, risk of a thunderstorm. It will be quite muggy with highs 21-23 C.

SUNDAY will also be muggy and rather warm with risk of heavy showers or thundershowers. Highs will continue 21-23 C.

The weather next week continues to look unsettled at times, but warm.

Meanwhile, we enjoyed a full day of sunshine here on Wednesday (for a change) with a warm high near 22 C.

M.T. Cranium

Friday, 25 June, 2010
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TODAY will be rather cloudy and warm, with some filtered sunshine mainly in the east during the morning to mid-day period, with some light rain possible in the west by afternoon. Highs generally 19-22 C in a southerly breeze of 10 to 20 mph.

TONIGHT will be cloudy and mild with occasional light rain in the western and later central counties, and lows of 11-13 C.

SATURDAY will be mostly cloudy again, continuing rather warm and humid, with heavier showers at times, even the risk of a brief thundershower. Highs will be in the range of 19-22 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy and warm with isolated heavy showers or thunderstorms developing, and highs of 20-23 C following morning lows near 13 or 14 C.

MONDAY and TUESDAY will continue warm and unsettled, and WEDNESDAY could be even a bit warmer.

Around here, we had a rather similar day to your Thursday, it was cloudy with some afternoon sunny breaks and about 22 C. The high in New York City was close to 36 C.

M.T. Cranium

Saturday, 26 June, 2010
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Full moon today at 1230h summer time. The Pacific and east Asia will see an eclipse of the Moon (where I live, around sunrise and moonset).

TODAY will be cloudy with a few brighter intervals, but outbreaks of light rain this morning, possibly heavier showers and a localized thundershower by afternoon and evening (5-15 mms rain on average), and highs 20-23 C, with moderate SSW winds 12-25 mph. It will be quite humid, with fog near the outer south and west coasts at times.

TONIGHT will be partly to mostly cloudy and very mild, humid with a few more showers, lows 12-14 C.

SUNDAY will see morning showers and some afternoon clearing as winds freshen from SW 15-30 mph. Highs will be about 22 C.

MONDAY will start out dry but with increasing cloud and rather gusty southerly winds at times, periods of rain will develop later in the day (10-20 mms possible). Highs will be about 21-22 C. Winds will gust to 30 mph by afternoon and evening.

TUESDAY will be cloudy with sunny intervals, and scattered showers, rather humid and still warm(ish) with highs of about 21-22 C.

WEDNESDAY is looking interesting with some chance of moderate to strong southwest winds developing, and heavy showers in western counties. It may also be quite warm in eastern and central Ireland with highs 22-25 C.

Today (Friday 25th) here was a mostly sunny day with a strong westerly breeze, low humidity and highs near 23 C. It's possible that the first named North Atlantic basin storm of 2010 (Alex) will develop in the Caribbean today, or after crossing the Yucatan, in the Gulf of Mexico next week.

M.T. Cranium

Sunday, 27 June, 2010
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TODAY ... Rather cloudy this morning with scattered but mostly brief showers, then some sunny intervals to follow, with another area of showers and possibly a thundershower by late afternoon (evening further east) ... greater chances of rain in Connacht and nearby counties, but some long dry intervals in most places ... warm and humid with some sea fog or mist blowing inland in south coastal districts ... highs generally 21-24 C ... winds SSW 15-30 mph.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy and mild with light showers at times, slight clearance towards dawn, lows 11-14 C.

MONDAY ... Bright if not sunny during the morning, showers developing mid-day west, afternoon east, heavy at times by evening. Warm and humid again, highs 22-24 C.

TUESDAY ... Showers ending, some sunny intervals, breezy, lows 10-12 C and highs 20-22 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Breezy, windy at times west coast, in 20-40 mph SSW gradient (gusts to 60 mph possible western Mayo) ... some sunny intervals in the east, mostly cloudy west with more frequent showers ... highs 21-25 C.

THURSDAY, FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy, showers, continuing rather warm with highs near 22 C. Continuing quite breezy especially west coast counties.

Today (Saturday 26th) was cloudy with some sunny intervals here and a bit cool due to a strong westerly breeze, high of about 19-20 C.

Tropical storm Alex is crossing the Yucatan today and may strengthen in the western Gulf of Mexico then could move north towards Texas or even western Louisiana ... the further east it heads, the greater its impact could be on the oil disaster (this would come about by Thursday or so).

M.T. Cranium

Monday, 28 June, 2010
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TODAY will be cloudy with showers turning to longer periods of rain that may become heavy at times especially in the southwest by mid-day. This rain may contain some thundery bursts that develop further towards central and then eastern counties. Winds will be generally light south to southwest, and some hill fog will develop. Highs of about 18 to 20 C will feel rather warm due to the high humidity. Rainfalls of 8-15 mms will be fairly widespread (20 mms in a few spots).

TONIGHT will be foggy with a few residual showers, possibly clearing just before dawn, lows near 11 C.

TUESDAY will become partly cloudy with longer sunny intervals developing by afternoon, and highs 20-23 C.

WEDNESDAY will start out rather bright and warm, especially in the east, with highs reaching 22-25 C there, but cloud and then rain will develop across the west with an increasing southerly breeze becoming quite windy by evening on the west coast (S 20-40 mph); highs in the west will be restricted to about 18-20 C.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY are looking wet at this point, and the drought conditions may be helped considerably by downpours of rain, some thundery, with 20-40 mms possible in total. Winds across Connacht will increase to about 30-50 mph at times on Thursday but other regions will be more breezy than windy. Highs will be 18-21 C during this wet spell, and by Friday afternoon the sun may be breaking through more frequently again.

By the weekend of 3-4 July, the weather should be more settled again with longer intervals of sunshine and just isolated showers mainly in northern counties.

Meanwhile, Sunday (27th) here was cloudy with some showers and rather cool temperatures near 17 C. Tropical storm Alex fell to tropical depression status inland over the Yucatan but appears to be strengthening overnight in the southern Gulf of Mexico. It seems to be heading for a landfall near Corpus Christi TX or closer to the Rio Grande border with Mexico.

M.T. Cranium

UPDATE _ Monday, 9:40 pm
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Radar indicates possible heavy thundershower moving out of the hills towards south Wicklow between Arklow and Wicklow in the next 30-45 minutes (non-severe but gusty winds and small hail possible with it).

Generally speaking the shower activity is ending with this final burst of showers in the southeast. Still looks like a significant rainfall coming Wed night to Thursday night, and gusty winds for Connacht by Thursday.

yup we had a mini monsoon earlier and it'sbeen pretty wet since.
Gusty wind to boot here in south wicklow.

M.T. Cranium

Looks like another sharp shower possibly thundery moving into Dublin now, south side likely to see 15-20 mms next hour or so. Seems like the last gasp of this system for tonight.

M.T. Cranium

Tuesday, 29 June, 2010
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TODAY ... any morning cloud should rather quickly clear away to leave mostly sunny skies for a while, then cloud will increase at higher levels from the west this afternoon. There will be longer cloudy intervals in Donegal, and a slight chance of a residual shower in the southeast this morning. Highs today should reach 21-23 C.

TONIGHT ... partly cloudy, misty and rather mild with lows 11-13 C.

WEDNESDAY ... variable amounts of cloud, some sunny intervals in the east mainly, rather warm, highs 22-24 C but 18-20 C near the cloudier west coast, some rain arriving there by afternoon as winds freshen to S 15-30 mph (but rather light winds elsewhere most of the day).

THURSDAY ... rain from early morning, heavy at times, with thundery bursts giving totals of 20-40 mms in many places, remaining mostly cloudy and mild, foggy or misty, humid ... highs about 18-19 C ... winds SSW 20-35 mph but closer to 35-55 mph outer west coast.

FRIDAY ... gradual clearing after a few heavy showers in eastern counties, isolated showers redeveloping, but not as wet as Thursday, 5-10 mms rain in general, winds SW 20-35 mph, highs near 20 C.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK ... partly cloudy both days, isolated showers, rather breezy from the SW, force 5-6 winds south and west coasts, temperatures near normal (highs near 20 C).

Meanwhile, Monday (28th) was cloudy with a few sunny breaks here, and reasonably warm, 19-20 C. Alex is likely to reach hurricane status soon in the southern Gulf of Mexico. The guidance suggests a landfall near the Rio Grande in northeast Mexico but I'm wondering if it means to move further north towards central Texas -- we shall see (the hurricane centre says that they rate the confidence on track rather low in any case).

loup

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Looks like another sharp shower possibly thundery moving into Dublin now, south side likely to see 15-20 mms next hour or so. Seems like the last gasp of this system for tonight.

Spot on MT there was another downpour plus thunder and lightning in the distance (possibly out to sea) on southside of Dublin at 1am. TG that was it for the night!

GSF

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Tuesday, 29 June, 2010
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THURSDAY ... rain from early morning, heavy at times, with thundery bursts giving totals of 20-40 mms in many places, remaining mostly cloudy and mild, foggy or misty, humid ... highs about 18-19 C ... winds SSW 20-35 mph but closer to 35-55 mph outer west coast.

Thursday is shaping up to be an awful day. Any chance it will miss the Dublin area?

km79

metcheck and windfinder agree that the galway region will get 20-30mm over weds and thurs morning but yr.no which is usually more reliable is showing only about 10mm for same period???

M.T. Cranium

Check again in the morning, but at this point in time I would say that Thursday will be a wet day in all parts of Ireland. The band of rain developing is a bit wider than Ireland and slow-moving, so with some variations it should give a good soaking rain to most counties. I will take another look at possible amounts in the overnight (early morning for you) forecast.

From what I'm hearing, though, this rain will be beneficial to many, so unless you had some outdoor plans I would say grin and bear it, because it may begin to turn rather dry again on into July.

Now here, it would be rather more unwelcome since Thursday is also our national holiday and given the timing, the start of a four-day weekend for many people. I am heading out of town as well, so if people notice some different timing of forecasts, this will be the reason, I may have to get onto a rather busy shared internet terminal when I can (and if I am not off doing something else). So I will be alerting some of the weather forum crew to look in and update if they see fit. (first half of July, basically)

delw

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

I am heading out of town as well, so if people notice some different timing of forecasts, this will be the reason, I may have to get onto a rather busy shared internet terminal when I can (and if I am not off doing something else). So I will be alerting some of the weather forum crew to look in and update if they see fit. (first half of July, basically)

enjoy ur break MT

df1985

take a break! well deserved! im sure we'll survive a few days with dodgy met eireann forecasts!

M.T. Cranium

Wednesday, 30 June, 2010
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TODAY ... cloudy to start, a few showers moving through Ulster this morning, followed by some brief sunny breaks later this morning from west to east, before the main cloud mass of the advancing Atlantic frontal system arrives about noon on the west coast, followed by intermittent rain at first, the heavier rain will come tonight. The central and eastern counties may stay dry until fairly well on into the afternoon or evening. Southerly winds will slowly increase reaching 20-40 mph by evening on the west coast, gusts to 60 mph in the nearby Atlantic overnight. Highs today will be 20-22 C.

TONIGHT ... periods of rain, heavy at times, giving 20-30 mms in the west. The heavier rain may not reach the east until morning. Winds south 20-30 mph and lows 13-15 C.

THURSDAY ... periods of rain continuing, becoming more showery in the west by mid-morning and in the east by afternoon, but a further 10-20 mms may fall (totals then 30-50 mms). Winds SSW veering SW 20-30 mph (40-50 mph gusts over coastal Mayo and Donegal). The evening may be more pleasant especially in the southwest.

FRIDAY ... intervals of cloud and sunshine, isolated fast-moving but possibly squally showers, thundershowers ... highs near 21 C.

SATURDAY ... risk of more heavy showers developing, winds becoming rather strong to force 5-7 south and west coasts, southerly veering to westerly. Highs near 17 or 18 C.

SUNDAY ... a few more showers (some models are showing the strong frontal system that I mentioned above for Saturday delayed to Sunday, so stay tuned for the final outcome on that) ... if this holds, some sunshine should develop at times, and highs would be 18-19 C.

The outlook for next week looks about average for early July with a SW to W flow at about 15-30 mph much of the time, implying some passing showers but some settled periods too. The longer term forecast is for a slow return to the dry conditions of June but possibly with a good shot of rain from tonight to the weekend, the dry spell or local drought will break down enough to withstand another dry spell later.

Today here (29th) was partly cloudy and rather pleasant, about 20 C.

As mentioned in an earlier post, heading out on the road for a couple of weeks, may have the chance to look in and update some forecasts but have alerted a few of the forum regulars to keep an eye on things.

Deep Easterly

M.T is setting off on his holidays at the moment and has asked a couple of us to step in and fill a few gaps. He will still post forecasts and updates etc but they will be erratic for the next week or so.



Anyway, just to update on tonight's spell of rain.

Currently the front is beginning to strengthen up along the west coast. Expected to push itself eastwards overnight, giving totals of between 5mm and 15mm on average over much of the country. The front is expected to have cleared all but eastern areas by morning.

Some showers (possibly heavy) may follow on directly behind the frontal zone and will occur on and off throughout the day tomorrow. Some areas, as is usual in showery set ups, will remain dry throughout.


Will post another update should circumstances change.

weisses

Need ......... my......daily .........weather ...update ...arggh ..withdrawl symptoms ......kicking ....in ..... "sigh"

lord lucan

Happy Canada day to M.T.:)

Deep Easterly

weisses wrote: »

Need ......... my......daily .........weather ...update ...arggh ..withdrawl symptoms ......kicking ....in ..... "sigh"

If you will except 2nds...:p

Today: Breezy with sunny spells with the chance of shower or 2 in places, which may be locally heavy. Highs of between 18c & 21c on average, warmest over the eastern half of the country. Tonight, showers retreating back to western and northern coastal areas, where it will remain breezy but winds slackening a little elsewhere.

Tomorrow: Bright start with again the risk of a few showers but cloud increasing during the day with the chance of more persistant rain towards evening. Breezy once again as winds back southerly during the afternoon and possibly becoming strong along exposed coasts . Daytime highs around 17c-20c, which is around average for the time of year.


I or others will update should it be required.

glossy

Thanks Deep Easterly

delw

MT are you DE in disguise?:D,cheers for updates DE

Deep Easterly

delw wrote: »

MT are you DE in disguise?:D,cheers for updates DE

. Nope! Hopefully M.T will be back doing the forecasts soon though, as I just can't emulate his unique & meticulous 'modus operandi'.


Today: A day with a mixture of milky sunshine and cloud; like yesterday, showers could pop up anywhere, as they are indeed doing in parts of the west as we speak and again some could be heavy but in general they will be hit and miss jobs. Winds generally light to moderate SW'ly overland; moderate to fresh around coasts. Temperatures around average for the time of year, with highs of between 16c and 20c generally, warmest the further east & southeast one heads.

Tonight: Cloud increasing more generally with more persistant rain developing along western and northwestern coast around midnight (timing is a bit uncertain at this early stage) pushing over the country as we head into the morning. Rain looks like it will be heaviest over the Northern half of the country overall. Winds will back southerly ahead of the rain and increase fresh to strong in coastal areas.

Tomorrow: Windy conditions expected during the morning and early afternoon, with possible gales along NW and N coasts. Overnight rain clearing slowly but with still a few showers in its wake.


Outlook: Yawn...



The above forecast is just a general brief overview and is subject to updates as timing and intensity of tonight's approaching trough is very uncertain. Feel free to update if need be.


A nice weather related tune to pass way 3 mins