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01-01-2018, 17:55   #1
Sleety_Rain
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Storm Eleanor : Tuesday 02nd PM / Weds 03rd Jan 2108

I think a fresh thread for this is needed.

Looks like this system will pack a punch and likely to have a greater impact on people than Storm Dylan.

It will likely be named in the morning.

EURO4 has it developing rapidly as it crosses Ireland with very strong winds aloft.





Hirlam




ECMWF 12z will be out momentarily.


Mod Note:
Good call Weathercheck, have added the weather warnings to the opening post.

Met Eireann


National Weather Warnings

STATUS ORANGE

Wind Warning for Dublin, Carlow, Kildare, Laois, Longford, Louth, Wicklow, Offaly, Westmeath, Meath, South Galway, Clare, Limerick and Tipperary
Storm Eleanor will quickly move across the country tomorrow evening and tomorrow night. West to southwest winds of mean speeds 65 to 80 km/h, gusting to 110 to 130 km/h, with damaging gusts are expected.

Very high seas along Atlantic coasts, with a risk of coastal flooding also.

Issued:Monday 01 January 2018 19:00
Valid:Tuesday 02 January 2018 17:00 to Tuesday 02 January 2018 22:00


STATUS YELLOW


Wind Warning for Ireland
West to Southwest winds of mean speeds 55 to 65 km/h, gusting to 90 to 110 km/h, will develop on Tuesday evening, continuing through Tuesday night and Wednesday. There is the potential for even stronger winds developing locally or a time on Tuesday evening, with damaging gusts.
Very high seas along Atlantic coasts, with a risk of coastal flooding.

Issued:Monday 01 January 2018 13:00
Valid:Tuesday 02 January 2018 17:00 to Wednesday 03 January 2018 21:00

Update on Previous Warning

National Weather Warning


Orange Warning

Wind Warning for Munster, Leinster and south Galway
Update on previous warning. Storm Eleanor will move in off the Atlantic later this afternoon and will move very quickly across the country this evening. Southwest to west winds of mean speeds 65 to 80 km/h, gusting to 110 to 130 km/h., are expected.
Very high seas along Atlantic coasts, with a risk of coastal flooding also.

Issued:Tuesday 02 January 2018 05:03
Valid:Tuesday 02 January 2018 16:00 to Tuesday 02 January 2018 21:00


STATUS YELLOW

Wind Warning for Ireland
Update on previous warning. Southwest to west winds of mean speeds 55 to 65 km/h., gusting 90 to 110 km/h., will develop later this afternoon and evening and will continue overnight and through Wednesday. This as result of Storm Eleanor. A period of stronger winds are expected for a short time later today and this evening. See orange warning for details.

Issued:Tuesday 02 January 2018 05:00
Valid:Tuesday 02 January 2018 16:00 to Wednesday 03 January 2018 21:00

Last edited by Meteorite58; 02-01-2018 at 08:07. Reason: Update warnings.
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01-01-2018, 17:58   #2
igCorcaigh
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Marine Weather Warnings

STATUS ORANGE

Gale Warning
West to northwest winds backing south to southwest overnight will occasionally reach gale force this evening on coasts from Rossan point to Howth Head to Hook Head and on the Irish Sea, extending to all coastal waters overnight and tomorrow, with the potential of storm force winds along the west coast tomorrow afternoon.

Issued:Monday 01 January 2018 17:00
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01-01-2018, 18:08   #3
Sleety_Rain
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ECMWF is very bad. 70 knot gusts in Dublin region. 80 knot along west coast.
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01-01-2018, 18:12   #4
Meteorite58
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Yea was thinking that this looks very strong in the SW initially late afternoon / early evening and some evidence for strong winds traversing the country later in the evening. Tricky one as it is deepening on its way across Ireland into the UK.



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01-01-2018, 18:13   #5
Sleety_Rain
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ECMWF going for 160kph gusts in exposed western areas.

A swathe of 120kph gusts extending across the centre of the country.
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01-01-2018, 18:16   #6
igCorcaigh
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Wow. Upgrade to orange warning likely?
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01-01-2018, 18:17   #7
Sleety_Rain
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Quote:
Originally Posted by igCorcaigh View Post
Wow. Upgrade to orange warning likely?
Possibly Red.
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01-01-2018, 18:19   #8
munsterlegend
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Weathercheck View Post
Possibly Red.
This seems to have sneaked up on us very slyly(I mean).

Last edited by munsterlegend; 01-01-2018 at 18:23.
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01-01-2018, 18:28   #9
Storm 10
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Very stormy forecast there now from ME
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01-01-2018, 18:30   #10
Sleety_Rain
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I wonder when Eleanor will be named.
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01-01-2018, 18:31   #11
Meteorite58
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Met Eireann


National Weather Warnings

STATUS YELLOW

Wind Warning for Ireland
West to Southwest winds of mean speeds 55 to 65 km/h, gusting to 90 to 110 km/h, will develop on Tuesday evening, continuing through Tuesday night and Wednesday. There is the potential for even stronger winds developing locally or a time on Tuesday evening, with damaging gusts.
Very high seas along Atlantic coasts, with a risk of coastal flooding.

Issued:Monday 01 January 2018 13:00
Valid:Tuesday 02 January 2018 17:00 to Wednesday 03 January 2018 21:00
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01-01-2018, 18:32   #12
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****e the recycling bin is overflowing and is going out Tuesday night !
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01-01-2018, 18:36   #13
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Originally Posted by Storm 10 View Post
Very stormy forecast there now from ME
Which part of the country most at risk?
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01-01-2018, 18:38   #14
Meteorite58
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Crazy high seas developing

Limerick Docks

Tuesday 2nd January, 2018

LOW TIDE: 00:08 HEIGHT: 0.40m
HIGH TIDE: 06:27 HEIGHT: 6.30m
LOW TIDE: 12:35 HEIGHT: 0.20m
HIGH TIDE: 18:59 HEIGHT: 6.20m





Last edited by Meteorite58; 01-01-2018 at 18:44.
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01-01-2018, 18:39   #15
Shedbebreezy
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GFS called last storm correctly. Doesn't make much of this. Gusts in the 50s miles per for Dublin
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