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Wind Warning for Dublin, Wexford, Wicklow, Galway, Clare, Cork, Kerry, Limerick and W

  • 11-09-2017 10:31pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,101 ✭✭✭


    STATUS YELLOW

    Wind Warning for Dublin, Wexford, Wicklow, Galway, Clare, Cork, Kerry, Limerick and Waterford
    A deepening depression is expected to track eastwards across the centre of Ireland,(Galway to Dublin) this evening with a band of very strong winds on its southern and western flanks, which will affect coastal counties of the southwest, south and east at times later this afternoon and evening.
    Southwest to west winds are expected to increase to mean speed of 50 to 65km/h, with gusts of 90 to 110km/h this afternoon in coastal counties of the southwest and south, with the severe winds becoming northwesterly and transferring to more eastern counties this evening. Winds will be at their strongest in exposed coastal areas.

    Issued:Monday 11 September 2017 23:00
    Valid:Tuesday 12 September 2017 14:00 to Tuesday 12 September 2017 23:59



    STATUS YELLOW

    Weather Advisory for Wexford, Wicklow, Galway, Clare, Cork, Kerry, Limerick and Waterford
    A depression is set to cross Ireland on Tuesday. It will bring strong and blustery southwest to west
    winds to southern parts of the country during the afternoon and evening, strongest in coastal areas.
    There will be heavy rain also.

    Issued:Monday 11 September 2017 14:00
    Valid:Tuesday 12 September 2017 15:01 to
    Tuesday 12 September 2017 23:59

    Dry in many places early Tuesday morning apart from a few showers. But wet in the afternoon,
    with heavy rain in many places, but especially in many central and northern counties.
    Becoming very windy in some areas also, especially in places near the southwest and south
    coasts in the afternoon, and potentially severe winds near the east coast
    in the evening.
    Highs of 14 to 16 degrees Celsius.


«13

Comments

  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Mean speeds from the Hirlam.

    tempresult_mhr5.gif


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The Arome Gust chart showing the center much further down S on this run , just rolling out atm , keeping the strongest winds off shore.

    Big difference in track to the Hirlam .

    tempresult_sdd5.gif

    The Arpege very similar to the Arome

    tempresult_lzb3.gif


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The WRF more in line with the Hirlam.

    Gusts

    tempresult_dyz7.gif


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Latest TAFs:

    Dublin (9pm-12am) and Shannon (6pm-8pm) both forecasting gusts of up to 45kts.

    Cork expecting gusts of up to 40kts (4pm-6pm)

    Knock not expecting wind above 15kts.

    The variableness of the wind tomorrow is quite cool, with Knock expecting winds from nearly every direction!


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,288 ✭✭✭mickmackey1


    I love the way they add 'highs of 14 to 16 degrees Celsius' :p


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Shannon max gusts dropped to 43kts in the last TAF and Dublin has dropped to 40kts.

    Interestingly, Liverpool is expecting possible gusts of 60kts and Manchester expecting up to 55kts.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Has been officially named as Aileen.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,666 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Has been officially named as Aileen.

    By the UKMO I presume?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    MJohnston wrote: »
    By the UKMO I presume?

    By the UK Met Office and Met Eireann


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    A very vigorous depression for so early in the season and before the equinox.
    Why the polar front is so far south when the Arctic is at its warmest and always seems to be north of Scotland when the Arctic is at its coldest in mid-winter is beyond my rather limited knowledge of meteorology? :confused:
    Any opinions why the polar front moves north in winter? Why does the Azores high always build in winter?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Yea looking more likely to undergo rapid deepening to the east of Ireland but these systems often develop very rapidly and sometimes before model guidance suggests


  • Registered Users Posts: 43 Ardrageen


    There are loads of power cuts all over the country at the moment .Of course mine is gone again as it likes to do every couple of days. I wonder whats going on as there is barely a puff of wind around at the moment. Maybe the ESB are practising for what's coming.:)


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,666 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    pad199207 wrote: »
    By the UK Met Office and Met Eireann

    By that I meant that it must be because of an orange warning somewhere in the UK, rather than Ireland, right?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    MJohnston wrote: »
    By that I meant that it must be because of an orange warning somewhere in the UK, rather than Ireland, right?


    I understand what your saying, but it relates to both countries


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,666 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    pad199207 wrote: »
    I understand what your saying, but it relates to both countries

    Im asking a specific question though, was the storm named because of an orange level alert in the UK, or for another reason?


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,666 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    To answer my own question, it appears that this was named due to the Orange level warnings in parts of the UK:
    http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-41228587


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,484 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    There is no mention of the name Aileen on met.ie ATM. Maybe it will be on the next update of it's forecast. I think the UKMO was responsible for the naming as the deepening low will have a bigger impact on Britain than Ireland. I think there is orange warnings over there.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,684 ✭✭✭Darwin


    Storm Aileen now mentioned on their update to the weather warning. It would appear the track is a little further south than expected looking at the met.ie short range wind forecast.


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,151 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Met E and the UKMO do not have to jointly decide on naming the ndividual storms. Either can 'call it' (independently/without consultation).

    As above, looks like UKMO called this one as the low pressure will develop rapidly passing over Ireland and pack a punch into NW England and N Wales.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,666 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    DOCARCH wrote: »
    Met E and the UKMO do not have to jointly decide on naming the ndividual storms. Either can 'call it' (independently/without consultation).

    As above, looks like UKMO called this one as the low pressure will develop rapidly passing over Ireland and pack a punch into NW England and N Wales.

    Yep, I'm just trying to clear up "whodunnit" before the arrival of the swathe of people living in Ireland complaining it was overhyped!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,101 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    dead calm,here in mayo,for a change.
    ahh,squabbling over the storm naming,
    really feels like autumn now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,101 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    STATUS YELLOW

    Rainfall Warning for Donegal, Leitrim, Mayo and Sligo
    Heavy rain with locally thundery bursts developing today, turning more showery tonight and for tomorrow with totals 25 to 40 mm in parts.

    Issued:Tuesday 12 September 2017 13:00
    Valid:Tuesday 12 September 2017 14:00 to Wednesday 13 September 2017 14:00


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Wind hasn't lived up to expectations at all yet.

    Cork and Shannon have both stayed below 15kts and no gusts, while both forecasts have it above 20kts and gusts of 35-38kts.

    Here the wind is a solid 10kts with a max gust all day of 16kts.

    Rain is the main feature, and that's 3.2mm.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Yeah nearly dead calm here since lunchtime, unusual


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,709 ✭✭✭✭Cantona's Collars


    Steady rain has reached Wexford. No real wind to speak of yet.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    The Sind will be when the low moves through and wind backs NW


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 ✭✭✭pad199207


    The Sind will be when the low moves through and wind backs NW

    Think its delayed a bit, what do you think?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Corks supposed to be gusting up to 40kts, yet it's at 13kts.

    What has gone so horribly wrong?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Think its delayed a bit, what do you think?

    Cloud signature improving rapidly to the west of Ireland now. Will likely undergo rapid deepening in next few hours. Best estimate would be Leinster at greatest risk of severe gusts 9pm-3am. As low exits into Irish Sea, next few hours of sat and obs will be critical- looks nasty for parts of Britain.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Rapid pressure drops in last hour , Shannon and Mace fallen 4hPa in one hour


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    If low centre can get north of Dublin which it may with current rapid deepening could see a 55/60kt gust at Dublin Airport soon after midnight , very exposed to a WNW


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Wind has magically arrived! Not that strong, but it's 21kts and had a gust of 30kts.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,207 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    1700 reports
    Cork airport Gust 28 knots
    Oak Park Carlow Gust 21 knots.
    Sherkin Islands Gust 36 knots.
    Valentia Gust 32 knots.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Classic cloud signatures beginning to show - could get nasty S Leinster into Irish Sea later- probably going to peak in Britain


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Massive downgrade on winds on the latest TAGS, DUB now only expecting 30kts (Was 45 yesterday), Shannon (was 47 yesterday) and Cork only expecting 38kts.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,238 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    No wind in Galway at all at all.

    New Moon



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Truly one of the strangest weather events we've ever had. If warnings were never issued I'd have never thought it was anything other than a slightly poor weather day.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,434 ✭✭✭fepper


    Little bit windy but sun shining now in n Kerry so it must be gone from this area by now


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    Massive downgrade on winds on the latest TAGS, DUB now only expecting 30kts (Was 45 yesterday), Shannon (was 47 yesterday) and Cork only expecting 38kts.

    Low must be tracking marginally further south , delayed development - you know these situations are on a knife edge !

    We'll see what happens over rest of evening and night :)


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    989.0hPa Falling Rapidly here near Tralee, dropped over 12 hPa in 5 hrs, Shannon at 990hPa at 18.00 report.

    I reckon the center is quite close by now. Brighter with cloud whizzing by in a SW wind. Gusting to about 60 km/h ( my site after getting sheltered by trees )

    nmm_uk1-2-5-4_zdd4.png


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    http://en.sat24.com/en/gb/visual

    Can make out the centre of the depression I think as the cloud begins to hook around as it approaches Clare at the 18.35 frame.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,238 ✭✭✭Oneiric 3


    My Voin electronic barometer has just started to flash and bleep as pressure has taken a sudden drop in the last 15 mins. Currently 989.4 hPa and now falling very rapidly. Wind NNE and increasingly a little with rain becoming near torrential.

    Edit: Latest analysis from Met Éireann:

    Dd29fbt.png

    New Moon



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Kerry airport reporting a gust of 44kts at 18:30.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The Arpege seems to be fairly representative to what the majority of the models are showing.


    tempresult_fnw1.gif

    tempresult_xdr7.gif


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 240 ✭✭fraxinus1


    Not a very good start to the storm forecasting season. I'm in Dublin visiting family and it's raining moderately heavy but completely calm. Even if the forecast did materialise I don't think it warranted a name... I know the UK met office decided to use the name but that to was premature. The usage of a name for a non - event makes the general public sceptical about the whole thing. It's getting like America, complete hype over Irma and in the end it was an average hurricane when it struck Florida.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,227 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Disagree, part of the UK, particularly around Liverpool, look like they could get a nice slap of wind later.

    Only 8c in Knock and 10c in Dublin, while it's 15c in both Cork and Shannon!

    Cork gusting 39kts at 7pm


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,151 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Rain has cleared Dublin 16 now (3.2mm from that) and wind has picked up noticeably in the last 30 minutes. Pressure dropping rapidly.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,069 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    A lot of wind across the UK overnight.

    Looking at the storm from its formation on the SW coast to deepening over Ireland and England and leaving the E coast early morning with storm force winds.

    VmviRzx.gif?1


  • Registered Users Posts: 199 ✭✭IMBACKLATER


    fraxinus1 wrote: »
    Not a very good start to the storm forecasting season. I'm in Dublin visiting family and it's raining moderately heavy but completely calm. Even if the forecast did materialise I don't think it warranted a name... I know the UK met office decided to use the name but that to was premature. The usage of a name for a non - event makes the general public sceptical about the whole thing. It's getting like America, complete hype over Irma and in the end it was an average hurricane when it struck Florida.

    Storm Aileen has yet to impact the UK as it develops over Ireland.therefor it can't be a non invent as it has yet to impact them.the low pressure (storm Aileen) was a yellow weather alert in ireland.


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