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Wind Warning for Dublin, Wexford, Wicklow, Galway, Clare, Cork, Kerry, Limerick and W

  • 11-09-2017 10:31pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 1,789 ✭✭✭ squarecircles


    STATUS YELLOW

    Wind Warning for Dublin, Wexford, Wicklow, Galway, Clare, Cork, Kerry, Limerick and Waterford
    A deepening depression is expected to track eastwards across the centre of Ireland,(Galway to Dublin) this evening with a band of very strong winds on its southern and western flanks, which will affect coastal counties of the southwest, south and east at times later this afternoon and evening.
    Southwest to west winds are expected to increase to mean speed of 50 to 65km/h, with gusts of 90 to 110km/h this afternoon in coastal counties of the southwest and south, with the severe winds becoming northwesterly and transferring to more eastern counties this evening. Winds will be at their strongest in exposed coastal areas.

    Issued:Monday 11 September 2017 23:00
    Valid:Tuesday 12 September 2017 14:00 to Tuesday 12 September 2017 23:59



    STATUS YELLOW

    Weather Advisory for Wexford, Wicklow, Galway, Clare, Cork, Kerry, Limerick and Waterford
    A depression is set to cross Ireland on Tuesday. It will bring strong and blustery southwest to west
    winds to southern parts of the country during the afternoon and evening, strongest in coastal areas.
    There will be heavy rain also.

    Issued:Monday 11 September 2017 14:00
    Valid:Tuesday 12 September 2017 15:01 to
    Tuesday 12 September 2017 23:59

    Dry in many places early Tuesday morning apart from a few showers. But wet in the afternoon,
    with heavy rain in many places, but especially in many central and northern counties.
    Becoming very windy in some areas also, especially in places near the southwest and south
    coasts in the afternoon, and potentially severe winds near the east coast
    in the evening.
    Highs of 14 to 16 degrees Celsius.


«1345

Comments

  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,450 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    Mean speeds from the Hirlam.

    tempresult_mhr5.gif


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,450 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    The Arome Gust chart showing the center much further down S on this run , just rolling out atm , keeping the strongest winds off shore.

    Big difference in track to the Hirlam .

    tempresult_sdd5.gif

    The Arpege very similar to the Arome

    tempresult_lzb3.gif


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,450 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Meteorite58


    The WRF more in line with the Hirlam.

    Gusts

    tempresult_dyz7.gif


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,664 ✭✭✭✭ JCX BXC


    Latest TAFs:

    Dublin (9pm-12am) and Shannon (6pm-8pm) both forecasting gusts of up to 45kts.

    Cork expecting gusts of up to 40kts (4pm-6pm)

    Knock not expecting wind above 15kts.

    The variableness of the wind tomorrow is quite cool, with Knock expecting winds from nearly every direction!


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,288 mickmackey1


    I love the way they add 'highs of 14 to 16 degrees Celsius' :p


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  • Registered Users Posts: 17,664 ✭✭✭✭ JCX BXC


    Shannon max gusts dropped to 43kts in the last TAF and Dublin has dropped to 40kts.

    Interestingly, Liverpool is expecting possible gusts of 60kts and Manchester expecting up to 55kts.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,440 ✭✭✭ pad199207


    Has been officially named as Aileen.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,347 ✭✭✭✭ MJohnston


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Has been officially named as Aileen.

    By the UKMO I presume?


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,440 ✭✭✭ pad199207


    MJohnston wrote: »
    By the UKMO I presume?

    By the UK Met Office and Met Eireann


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,628 ✭✭✭ Elmer Blooker


    A very vigorous depression for so early in the season and before the equinox.
    Why the polar front is so far south when the Arctic is at its warmest and always seems to be north of Scotland when the Arctic is at its coldest in mid-winter is beyond my rather limited knowledge of meteorology? :confused:
    Any opinions why the polar front moves north in winter? Why does the Azores high always build in winter?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭ ninebeanrows


    Yea looking more likely to undergo rapid deepening to the east of Ireland but these systems often develop very rapidly and sometimes before model guidance suggests


  • Registered Users Posts: 43 Ardrageen


    There are loads of power cuts all over the country at the moment .Of course mine is gone again as it likes to do every couple of days. I wonder whats going on as there is barely a puff of wind around at the moment. Maybe the ESB are practising for what's coming.:)


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,347 ✭✭✭✭ MJohnston


    pad199207 wrote: »
    By the UK Met Office and Met Eireann

    By that I meant that it must be because of an orange warning somewhere in the UK, rather than Ireland, right?


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,440 ✭✭✭ pad199207


    MJohnston wrote: »
    By that I meant that it must be because of an orange warning somewhere in the UK, rather than Ireland, right?


    I understand what your saying, but it relates to both countries


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,347 ✭✭✭✭ MJohnston


    pad199207 wrote: »
    I understand what your saying, but it relates to both countries

    Im asking a specific question though, was the storm named because of an orange level alert in the UK, or for another reason?


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,347 ✭✭✭✭ MJohnston


    To answer my own question, it appears that this was named due to the Orange level warnings in parts of the UK:
    http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-41228587


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,408 ✭✭✭ Jpmarn


    There is no mention of the name Aileen on met.ie ATM. Maybe it will be on the next update of it's forecast. I think the UKMO was responsible for the naming as the deepening low will have a bigger impact on Britain than Ireland. I think there is orange warnings over there.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,522 ✭✭✭ Darwin


    Storm Aileen now mentioned on their update to the weather warning. It would appear the track is a little further south than expected looking at the met.ie short range wind forecast.


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,101 Mod ✭✭✭✭ DOCARCH


    Met E and the UKMO do not have to jointly decide on naming the ndividual storms. Either can 'call it' (independently/without consultation).

    As above, looks like UKMO called this one as the low pressure will develop rapidly passing over Ireland and pack a punch into NW England and N Wales.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,347 ✭✭✭✭ MJohnston


    DOCARCH wrote: »
    Met E and the UKMO do not have to jointly decide on naming the ndividual storms. Either can 'call it' (independently/without consultation).

    As above, looks like UKMO called this one as the low pressure will develop rapidly passing over Ireland and pack a punch into NW England and N Wales.

    Yep, I'm just trying to clear up "whodunnit" before the arrival of the swathe of people living in Ireland complaining it was overhyped!


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,789 ✭✭✭ squarecircles


    dead calm,here in mayo,for a change.
    ahh,squabbling over the storm naming,
    really feels like autumn now.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,789 ✭✭✭ squarecircles


    STATUS YELLOW

    Rainfall Warning for Donegal, Leitrim, Mayo and Sligo
    Heavy rain with locally thundery bursts developing today, turning more showery tonight and for tomorrow with totals 25 to 40 mm in parts.

    Issued:Tuesday 12 September 2017 13:00
    Valid:Tuesday 12 September 2017 14:00 to Wednesday 13 September 2017 14:00


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,664 ✭✭✭✭ JCX BXC


    Wind hasn't lived up to expectations at all yet.

    Cork and Shannon have both stayed below 15kts and no gusts, while both forecasts have it above 20kts and gusts of 35-38kts.

    Here the wind is a solid 10kts with a max gust all day of 16kts.

    Rain is the main feature, and that's 3.2mm.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,440 ✭✭✭ pad199207


    Yeah nearly dead calm here since lunchtime, unusual


  • Registered Users Posts: 33,709 Cantona's Collars


    Steady rain has reached Wexford. No real wind to speak of yet.


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭ ninebeanrows


    The Sind will be when the low moves through and wind backs NW


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,440 ✭✭✭ pad199207


    The Sind will be when the low moves through and wind backs NW

    Think its delayed a bit, what do you think?


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,664 ✭✭✭✭ JCX BXC


    Corks supposed to be gusting up to 40kts, yet it's at 13kts.

    What has gone so horribly wrong?


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭ ninebeanrows


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Think its delayed a bit, what do you think?

    Cloud signature improving rapidly to the west of Ireland now. Will likely undergo rapid deepening in next few hours. Best estimate would be Leinster at greatest risk of severe gusts 9pm-3am. As low exits into Irish Sea, next few hours of sat and obs will be critical- looks nasty for parts of Britain.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭ ninebeanrows


    Rapid pressure drops in last hour , Shannon and Mace fallen 4hPa in one hour


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