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Possible flooding in Munster and Connaught Thursday

  • 15-11-2011 10:31pm
    #1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Met Éireann have this evening mentioned on both radio and their website the possibility of localised flooding in Munster on Thursday as a band of heavy rain affects the western and south of the country. Jean didn't mention it at 21:30 though.
    Updated: 15:56 Tuesday.

    THURSDAY: Mainly dry during the morning and early afternoon with some sunny spells. Becoming rather windy though, with widespread rain pushing in from the Atlantic, heavy and persistent in the west and south. Risk of localised flooding over parts of Munster later. Highest temperatures 11 or 12 degrees, with fresh to strong and gusty southerly winds.

    The GFS has up to 70 mm falling in the southwest up to Friday night, with around 40 of these falling during Thursday.

    181461.gif

    Hirlam 3-hr totals at 15Z Thursday.

    181466.png


    One to watch.


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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Actually a chance of spot flooding in the east and southeast today.

    181478.png

    Wednesday 05:15.

    Some dry spells in the morning, but generally cloudy, with patches of rain and drizzle becoming more widespread and persistent. The rain will turn quite heavy and possibly thundery in the east and southeast this afternoon and evening also, with a risk of some spot flooding. Top temperatures 10 to 13 C.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,460 ✭✭✭vickers209


    Just in From Met

    Weather Warning

    Issued at 16 November 2011 - 14:24
    Weather Warning
    Heavy rainfall and strong winds at times in all areas on Thursday.
    Amounts of up to 50mm of rain likely in parts of Cork, Kerry, Galway and Mayo in the period from 6am on Thursday to 6am on Friday. Strong south to southeast winds will be gusting to between 80 and 100km/hr in exposed places, strongest in the southwest.
    Further falls of rain on Friday leading to total accumulations over the two days of up to 80mm in these areas.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,333 ✭✭✭Saganist


    Updated: From Breaking News:

    The west of the country is in for some stormy weather in the coming days.

    Met Éireann today issued a weather warning saying up to 80mm of rain is forecast to fall between tomorrow morning and Saturday.

    West Munster and west Connacht are likely to be worst hit.

    Motorists are being urged to drive with extra care as coastal flooding is expected and conditions will be dangerous


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    The November Floods of 2009 started off with a good soak in late October....just like the ones Dublin got. Then it got worse.

    http://www.met.ie/publications/Rainfall%20November%202009.pdf

    The GFS right now shows a front a day right out to early December @ 384 hours apart from this Sunday more or less.

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsavneur.html Animation (Niederschlag=Rain)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭gbee


    Just as Met Eireann are issuing a severe weather warning, a presenter on 4FM radio [about 3:30 today 16th/11/11] said we are getting some good rain today but tomorrow will be grand like, guaranteed.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,633 ✭✭✭darkman2


    There is a real prospect of spot flooding in the East of the country during the first part of tonight with a risk of embedded thunderstorms. Later in the night it will gradually clear.


    Rtavn124.png


    Then further heavy rain coming in during tomorrow and tomorrow night. And then on Friday a belt of heavy rain will be hugging the west coast so some flooding definately likely at that stage.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,572 ✭✭✭DominoDub


    Widespread Panic in Ireland as news of more Flooding Continues...!

    5jU5A.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 492 ✭✭glimmerman123


    DominoDub wrote: »
    Widespread Panic in Ireland as news of more Flooding Continues...!

    5jU5A.jpg
    That's right boy's drink all the beer before it gets washed away.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,315 ✭✭✭sunbabe08


    ohhhhh i'm all excited about the next two days. :D:D:D as long as every one is safe and not much damage, i'll be happy


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    11 mm in Johnstown Castle this afternoon. Dublin Airport had 4 mm, while Casement only had 0.9 mm. We were in a marked rain shadow for a lot of the afternoon here in southwest Dublin. Also, wind is westerly at Casement, and southeasterly at Dublin Airport at 6pm....


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,633 ✭✭✭darkman2


    Most of Co Dublin is out of the rain shadow now. In North Dublin, where I am, the rain is noticeably heavier and persistent in the last hour.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,909 ✭✭✭✭Wertz


    Is this front due tomorrow for the west the same system that swallowed up Sean on saturday?
    No guage here but lots of standing water in the streets here in Dundalk...been especially heavy the last couple of hours.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    I hope the county councils Act now for the next 48hrs... At least give out sandbags to the most at risk area .
    80mms over 48hrs on saturated ground isnt a good thing!


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,827 ✭✭✭pauldry


    rem my rain gauge question! wel no one anwsered it so i fixed the old one just in time for todays deluge

    Sligo 1mm :mad: actual

    Geevagh 5mm:rolleyes: estimate

    Ballyfarnon to Geevagh 8mm :D bucketing estimate


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,267 ✭✭✭ Elsa Better Violist


    Shannon is flowing very fast around Athlone.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,237 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Forecast just there sounded pretty ominous! between 50 and 100mm of rain over the next 5 days! :-O


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    Very good warning for all there by Evelyn saying 50mm to 100mm of rain over the coming days.
    Rivers could end up fairly high again.


  • Registered Users Posts: 882 ✭✭✭fr wishy washy


    I get the feeling from her that were in for more of the same.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Can't blame Evelyn!

    Thursday

    Rtavn064.png

    Friday

    Rtavn364.png

    Saturday

    Rtavn784.png

    Sunday is dry :D

    Monday

    Rtavn1144.png

    Tuesday

    Rtavn1444.png

    Wednesday

    Rtavn1624.png

    Thursday

    Rtavn1924.png

    Tuesday Week

    Rtavn3124.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,489 ✭✭✭bb1234567


    so its pretty much going to rain over the whole country sort of on off bar a few days til next tuesday?


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    No, until Tuesday WEEK!


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,027 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    No, again, till February.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Will we make 600mm total in places like we did in November 2009 ??


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,827 ✭✭✭pauldry


    itl rain until tomorrow and tomorrow itl rain again until tomorrow:p


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,827 ✭✭✭pauldry


    also there will be a lot of rain until the end of November and very little sn*w(banned word by moderators and weather alike) if any


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,015 ✭✭✭✭Mc Love


    Feck going to West Kerry tomorrow! Gonna be fun road trip if this amount of rain falls


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,849 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Amazing how few posts there are abouth the heavy rain in the South and West, if this was forecast for the East coast it would be ten pages long by now :D:D:D


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    12.3mm in the past 2 hours in Valentia alone. We does be hardy bucks when a drop falls of a day in the west :)

    The higher record rainfalls are usually recorded in Climatological Stations at altitude in the west ...eg in Cloosh forest near Oughterard not at Mace Head on the coast 20 miles SW.

    So assume 20mm fell somewhere in the Magillicuddys or in Killarney climatological station if 12mm fell lower down on the coast and that the records will be set there once they get up there to collect the data.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,027 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    @ Storm10.
    Normal rainy day so far, you know the story. Heavy band seems to be passing over Clare atm(www.met.ie), but even then it will ease again.
    Seems to be more about the rain amounts over the 24hr period rather than a deluge as experienced in the east recently.
    Plus we are too busy working in the west to be on boards all day!:D


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    Amazing how few posts there are abouth the heavy rain in the South and West, if this was forecast for the East coast it would be ten pages long by now :D:D:D

    We are just used to getting weather here. That is not a boast, believe me.

    9.5mm has fallen here in the past hour. Strongest gust 68kph in past half hour.

    A soft day to be sure, to be sure.


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