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Possible flooding in Munster and Connaught Thursday

  • 15-11-2011 10:31pm
    #1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭


    Met Éireann have this evening mentioned on both radio and their website the possibility of localised flooding in Munster on Thursday as a band of heavy rain affects the western and south of the country. Jean didn't mention it at 21:30 though.
    Updated: 15:56 Tuesday.

    THURSDAY: Mainly dry during the morning and early afternoon with some sunny spells. Becoming rather windy though, with widespread rain pushing in from the Atlantic, heavy and persistent in the west and south. Risk of localised flooding over parts of Munster later. Highest temperatures 11 or 12 degrees, with fresh to strong and gusty southerly winds.

    The GFS has up to 70 mm falling in the southwest up to Friday night, with around 40 of these falling during Thursday.

    181461.gif

    Hirlam 3-hr totals at 15Z Thursday.

    181466.png


    One to watch.


«1

Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Actually a chance of spot flooding in the east and southeast today.

    181478.png

    Wednesday 05:15.

    Some dry spells in the morning, but generally cloudy, with patches of rain and drizzle becoming more widespread and persistent. The rain will turn quite heavy and possibly thundery in the east and southeast this afternoon and evening also, with a risk of some spot flooding. Top temperatures 10 to 13 C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,478 ✭✭✭vickers209


    Just in From Met

    Weather Warning

    Issued at 16 November 2011 - 14:24
    Weather Warning
    Heavy rainfall and strong winds at times in all areas on Thursday.
    Amounts of up to 50mm of rain likely in parts of Cork, Kerry, Galway and Mayo in the period from 6am on Thursday to 6am on Friday. Strong south to southeast winds will be gusting to between 80 and 100km/hr in exposed places, strongest in the southwest.
    Further falls of rain on Friday leading to total accumulations over the two days of up to 80mm in these areas.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,333 ✭✭✭Saganist


    Updated: From Breaking News:

    The west of the country is in for some stormy weather in the coming days.

    Met Éireann today issued a weather warning saying up to 80mm of rain is forecast to fall between tomorrow morning and Saturday.

    West Munster and west Connacht are likely to be worst hit.

    Motorists are being urged to drive with extra care as coastal flooding is expected and conditions will be dangerous


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    The November Floods of 2009 started off with a good soak in late October....just like the ones Dublin got. Then it got worse.

    http://www.met.ie/publications/Rainfall%20November%202009.pdf

    The GFS right now shows a front a day right out to early December @ 384 hours apart from this Sunday more or less.

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsavneur.html Animation (Niederschlag=Rain)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭gbee


    Just as Met Eireann are issuing a severe weather warning, a presenter on 4FM radio [about 3:30 today 16th/11/11] said we are getting some good rain today but tomorrow will be grand like, guaranteed.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,632 ✭✭✭darkman2


    There is a real prospect of spot flooding in the East of the country during the first part of tonight with a risk of embedded thunderstorms. Later in the night it will gradually clear.


    Rtavn124.png


    Then further heavy rain coming in during tomorrow and tomorrow night. And then on Friday a belt of heavy rain will be hugging the west coast so some flooding definately likely at that stage.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,572 ✭✭✭DominoDub


    Widespread Panic in Ireland as news of more Flooding Continues...!

    5jU5A.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 492 ✭✭glimmerman123


    DominoDub wrote: »
    Widespread Panic in Ireland as news of more Flooding Continues...!

    5jU5A.jpg
    That's right boy's drink all the beer before it gets washed away.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,333 ✭✭✭sunbabe08


    ohhhhh i'm all excited about the next two days. :D:D:D as long as every one is safe and not much damage, i'll be happy


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    11 mm in Johnstown Castle this afternoon. Dublin Airport had 4 mm, while Casement only had 0.9 mm. We were in a marked rain shadow for a lot of the afternoon here in southwest Dublin. Also, wind is westerly at Casement, and southeasterly at Dublin Airport at 6pm....


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,632 ✭✭✭darkman2


    Most of Co Dublin is out of the rain shadow now. In North Dublin, where I am, the rain is noticeably heavier and persistent in the last hour.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 11,909 ✭✭✭✭Wertz


    Is this front due tomorrow for the west the same system that swallowed up Sean on saturday?
    No guage here but lots of standing water in the streets here in Dundalk...been especially heavy the last couple of hours.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    I hope the county councils Act now for the next 48hrs... At least give out sandbags to the most at risk area .
    80mms over 48hrs on saturated ground isnt a good thing!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,295 ✭✭✭pauldry


    rem my rain gauge question! wel no one anwsered it so i fixed the old one just in time for todays deluge

    Sligo 1mm :mad: actual

    Geevagh 5mm:rolleyes: estimate

    Ballyfarnon to Geevagh 8mm :D bucketing estimate


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,267 ✭✭✭h57xiucj2z946q


    Shannon is flowing very fast around Athlone.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,357 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Forecast just there sounded pretty ominous! between 50 and 100mm of rain over the next 5 days! :-O


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    Very good warning for all there by Evelyn saying 50mm to 100mm of rain over the coming days.
    Rivers could end up fairly high again.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 882 ✭✭✭fr wishy washy


    I get the feeling from her that were in for more of the same.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Can't blame Evelyn!

    Thursday

    Rtavn064.png

    Friday

    Rtavn364.png

    Saturday

    Rtavn784.png

    Sunday is dry :D

    Monday

    Rtavn1144.png

    Tuesday

    Rtavn1444.png

    Wednesday

    Rtavn1624.png

    Thursday

    Rtavn1924.png

    Tuesday Week

    Rtavn3124.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,513 ✭✭✭bb1234567


    so its pretty much going to rain over the whole country sort of on off bar a few days til next tuesday?


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    No, until Tuesday WEEK!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,074 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    No, again, till February.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Will we make 600mm total in places like we did in November 2009 ??


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,295 ✭✭✭pauldry


    itl rain until tomorrow and tomorrow itl rain again until tomorrow:p


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,295 ✭✭✭pauldry


    also there will be a lot of rain until the end of November and very little sn*w(banned word by moderators and weather alike) if any


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,015 ✭✭✭✭Mc Love


    Feck going to West Kerry tomorrow! Gonna be fun road trip if this amount of rain falls


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,009 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Amazing how few posts there are abouth the heavy rain in the South and West, if this was forecast for the East coast it would be ten pages long by now :D:D:D


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    12.3mm in the past 2 hours in Valentia alone. We does be hardy bucks when a drop falls of a day in the west :)

    The higher record rainfalls are usually recorded in Climatological Stations at altitude in the west ...eg in Cloosh forest near Oughterard not at Mace Head on the coast 20 miles SW.

    So assume 20mm fell somewhere in the Magillicuddys or in Killarney climatological station if 12mm fell lower down on the coast and that the records will be set there once they get up there to collect the data.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,074 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    @ Storm10.
    Normal rainy day so far, you know the story. Heavy band seems to be passing over Clare atm(www.met.ie), but even then it will ease again.
    Seems to be more about the rain amounts over the 24hr period rather than a deluge as experienced in the east recently.
    Plus we are too busy working in the west to be on boards all day!:D


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    Amazing how few posts there are abouth the heavy rain in the South and West, if this was forecast for the East coast it would be ten pages long by now :D:D:D

    We are just used to getting weather here. That is not a boast, believe me.

    9.5mm has fallen here in the past hour. Strongest gust 68kph in past half hour.

    A soft day to be sure, to be sure.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,206 ✭✭✭eskimocat


    Was just thinking on the way to work this morning that it is a good job that the council have created runoffs for any floods along the road, this was after the last deluge, when roads became impassible in a very short period of time. Time will tell if it works! Come on rain guage...do your thing... :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 48,335 ✭✭✭✭km79


    http://www.met.ie/forecasts/3hour.asp
    Don't know why I bother even looking at that


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,551 ✭✭✭SeaFields


    Some serious gusts in south kerry at the mo and its bucketing down. Its still practically dark too. Have recorded 10.1 mm in the last hour.

    An unusually soft day ;):D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 862 ✭✭✭Vudgie


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    Amazing how few posts there are abouth the heavy rain in the South and West, if this was forecast for the East coast it would be ten pages long by now :D:D:D

    God, these types of posts are so tiresome at this stage.

    I really hope the south and west don't get a hammering given the damage that was done a couple of weeks ago in the east.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,732 ✭✭✭weisses


    Vudgie wrote: »
    I really hope the south and west don't get a hammering given the damage that was done a couple of weeks ago in the east.

    There was plenty damage in the weekend in the south/west prior to the floods in the east

    Only media coverage about that was snowed under by the floods in Dublin :D

    There were Landslides and numerous homes got damaged


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Valentia up to 18mm accumulation from 7-10am. May be _just_ clearing out of there aas I post. I don't think any other IMT station will beat Valentia today except Shannon or Mace perhaps.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,074 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    Small bit of 16mm/hr+ in the circled area on the radar. www.met.ie

    181587.png

    Went for a quick drive to check out local roads.
    Here is a video of one road(lane) I use to by-pass the town on occasion. This is after this mornings rain. Maybe I will re-visit if there is alot more to come.

    It's a bit shaky!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Even more >16mm /hr rates now!

    Web_radar.gif

    Sorry couldnt upload saved image, uploader not working for me :(

    WISH WE HAD THE HIGH RES RADAR AVAILABLE TO US! :(:(: (

    There, I put up the old image for ya!

    Su Campu


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    Even more >16mm /hr rates now!

    WEB_radar2_201111171130.png
    Sorry couldnt upload saved image, uploader not working for me :(

    It'll be interesting to see Mullingar's and Ballyhaise's rainfall totals to 1200!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,512 ✭✭✭Oh_Noes


    Very full-on weather in Athlone at the moment. I think one of those red patches must be passing over because the wind is whalloping around the place and the rain is bucketing it down mercilessly.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Iancar29 wrote: »
    Even more >16mm /hr rates now!
    There, I put up the old image for ya!

    Wrong one! ha , the >16mms showed up on the smaller scale one. :rolleyes:
    Su Campu


    BUT !... I found this!!... OK STILL not working! :(

    EDIT: WENT THE LONG WAY AROUND!
    390474_322611704421884_175249952491394_1552004_623020168_n.jpg

    The 9.15 image from the Original Radar page ( 32mm range)... IS that a 32mm echo just over east clare region OR are my eyes decieving me and its just the same one that you posted? :rolleyes:
    Su Campu wrote: »
    It'll be interesting to see Mullingar's and Ballyhaise's rainfall totals to 1200!


    My guess.... 45mm! :)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Iancar29 wrote: »



    My guess.... 45mm! :)

    WTF...

    Mullingar 3 mm
    Ballyhaise 5 mm! (since 6am)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,542 ✭✭✭Tactical


    I'm not up too long due to working until early into the morning, but its been raining steadily here in West Limerick.

    Rain is occassionally comming in heavier bursts with a blustry wind.

    Nothing too unusual with that to be honest as I'm in a reasonably exposed loaction. The interesting part is that I'm seeing a lot more traffic than usual on our road, even articulated lorries and two private coaches so far. This certainly would raise an eyebrow as normally you wouldn't get that type of traffic on this road.

    Must investigate a little further, perhaps there's a tree down or a large puddle on the main road.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    6-hour totals (mm) to midday:

    Valentia 31
    Cork Airport 15
    Mace Head 14
    Claremorris 12
    Connaught Airport 9
    Sherkin Island 8
    Roches Point 7
    Finner 6
    Ballyhaise, Gurteen, Shannon Airport 5


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,542 ✭✭✭Tactical


    Do Shannon report?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Su Campu wrote: »
    6-hour totals (mm) to midday:

    Valentia 31
    Cork Airport 15
    Mace Head 14
    Claremorris 12
    Connaught Airport 9
    Sherkin Island 8
    Roches Point 7
    Finner 6
    Ballyhaise, Gurteen, Shannon Airport 5

    1200 hrs.... 0000 hrs.... woopsy... 45mm for 0000 i mean! :)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    24-hour summary up to 1200 today.

    37 mm at Valentia since yesterday, 31 of which fell this morning.

    http://www.ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynres?lang=en&state=Irel&osum=no&fmt=html&ord=REV&ano=2011&mes=11&day=17&hora=12&ndays=1&Send=send


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Was i right about this being a 32mm echo?

    390474_322611704421884_175249952491394_1552004_623020168_n.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,542 ✭✭✭Tactical


    Tactical wrote: »
    Do Shannon report?

    Aw crap,

    Sorry gang. Didn't spot Shannon at the botom of the report.

    Perhaps I should go back to bed :o


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 48,335 ✭✭✭✭km79


    Just back to normal wet day here in east Galway after a lovely week or 2


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