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Irish Property Market 2020 Part 2

15152545657203

Comments

  • Administrators Posts: 54,110 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    Mic 1972 wrote: »
    We actually do have irish companies hiring for WFH jobs and they don't do what you say above.
    I work for one that hires home-based only and salaries are not benchmarked by location.

    Yes, but not many.

    The whole remote work market hasn't really hit here. People who work remotely here tend to do so for MNCs rather than Irish companies. There is no real functioning remote-work market here at the moment.

    If / when remote work really kicks in here it is truly delusional to think that everyone will get Dublin salaries. That is absolutely not how it works.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    awec wrote: »
    They do but it is more difficult to find talent in cheaper areas as the number of applicants is usually pretty small.


    Your statement is not correct.
    You can easily check jobs advertised in Cork for all the major IT companies based in there. Most are hiring WFH now and salaries are all the same

    IF you have leverage for negotiation during the hiring process that's a entirely different conversation


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭hometruths


    awec wrote: »
    They do but it is more difficult to find talent in cheaper areas as the number of applicants is usually pretty small.

    Again, the whole point is we are not talking about a job being advertised today.

    Next year, in 5 years time, in 10 years time.

    And the talent does not necessarily have to be living in Ballygobackwards when they apply for the job. They might live in Dublin, and choose to take the job precisely because it allows them to move to Ballygobackwards.


  • Posts: 17,728 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Mic 1972 wrote: »
    they dont do that, don't worry. You can apply from Dublin to companies hiring WFH in Cork and your salary won't be affected by the fact that you are in Dublin

    Indeed, I can't see someone's location in Ireland being a factor in their salary. Interesting to see how things will go.
    Back in March lots of folk reckoned they'd be back in the office in a few weeks etc, 6 months later we are still being advised to WFH if possible.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    awec wrote: »
    Yes, but not many.

    The whole remote work market hasn't really hit here. People who work remotely here tend to do so for MNCs rather than Irish companies.


    Most multinational company actually advertise WFH jobs at the moment, that's more than a few.


  • Administrators Posts: 54,110 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    Mic 1972 wrote: »
    Most multinational company actually advertise WFH jobs at the moment, that's more than a few.

    MNCs like Facebook, that said your salary will be adjusted if you relocate to a cheaper area?


  • Administrators Posts: 54,110 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    schmittel wrote: »
    Again, the whole point is we are not talking about a job being advertised today.

    Next year, in 5 years time, in 10 years time.

    And the talent does not necessarily have to be living in Ballygobackwards when they apply for the job. They might live in Dublin, and choose to take the job precisely because it allows them to move to Ballygobackwards.

    Even in 10 years time, the number of applicants in cities will outnumber those in rural areas, and cities with higher costs of living will attract higher salaries.

    But as I said, salary alone is a useless figure. Earning 50k in Wexford could leave you better off than earning 100k in Dublin.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,100 ✭✭✭Browney7


    Ok, first of all, I just realized 5 miles out of Dublin the countryside starts. I’ve been living in the countryside all this time without knowing it!

    Is Dublin accommodation comprised of only 2 bed apartments? Last time I checked there are plenty of houses with gardens to sit in from Crumlin to clongriffin

    No green space in the city? Last time I checked, Phoenix park is the largest city park in Europe. Plenty of houses with fantastic gardens within 5-10 minutes from city center by car

    What havoc are you talking about in crèches? AFAIK only one case happened recently

    Havoc in creches is the capacity and whether or not they will reopen and the price per child. WFH may prompt people to question whether it is worth paying a grand a child for childcare if they can move close to family (Granny minding a few hours a day whilst parents work remote).

    People will allocate their resources and spend accordingly - if you have 300k to spend you'd get a very decent house 10 mins from Limerick, Cork, Galway. What would 300k buy in Dublin? 2 bed apartment in D15 or clongriffin or maybe a small three bed ex corpo in crumlin or Cabra or ballyer - a lot of these options wouldn't be appealing to some people just as rural living may not be attractive to you.

    Phoenix park is a fantastic amenity but sitting out in your half acre site and gardening (albeit with maintenance) is different to going to the park as is keeping pets etc. There are pros and cons to rural vs urban and people will continue to weigh them up


  • Posts: 17,728 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    awec wrote: »
    MNCs like Facebook, that said your salary will be adjusted if you relocate to a cheaper area?

    I'm in a large MNC pharma plant a few days most weeks, staff (lots) are being encouraged to WFH. Lots of them aren't from Dublin, there's a few I know of gone back to their county of origin, no talk of adjusting remuneration packages.
    Can't see how it would work really, 10% less if you go to Kildare, 20% if you go to Roscommon .......


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    awec wrote: »
    MNCs like Facebook, that said your salary will be adjusted if you relocate to a cheaper area?


    Correct.
    Salary benchmark will be reassessed and will apply to everyone who WFH, that's how they are doing it here in Ireland anyway


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  • Administrators Posts: 54,110 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    Augeo wrote: »
    I'm in a large MNC pharma plant a few days most weeks, staff (lots) are being encouraged to WFH. Lots of them aren't from Dublin, there's a few I know of gone back to their county of origin, no talk of adjusting remuneration packages.
    Can't see how it would work really, 10% less if you go to Kildare, 20% if you go to Roscommon .......

    It would not be this granular in a place like Ireland.

    It would likely be Dublin + commuter belt vs everywhere else.


    Anyway, I don't want to keep dragging this thread off topic, so I'll move on!


  • Posts: 17,728 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    awec wrote: »
    It would not be this granular in a place like Ireland.

    It would likely be Dublin + commuter belt vs everywhere else.

    ..................

    But within Dublin you've folk living in places with wildly varying house prices..... D4 isn't far from Dolphin's Barn etc etc etc


  • Registered Users Posts: 58 ✭✭M256


    awec wrote: »
    MNCs like Facebook, that said your salary will be adjusted if you relocate to a cheaper area?

    It has nothing to do with remote working, if they had an office in the middle of nowhere they would pay lower salaries. They don’t pay Silicon Valley salaries in their offices in Poland, India, etc.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭PropQueries


    Augeo wrote: »
    I'm in a large MNC pharma plant a few days most weeks, staff (lots) are being encouraged to WFH. Lots of them aren't from Dublin, there's a few I know of gone back to their county of origin, no talk of adjusting remuneration packages.
    Can't see how it would work really, 10% less if you go to Kildare, 20% if you go to Roscommon .......

    I think it will work like the current older vs younger teachers. The older (pre-2011) teachers are on higher pay and benefit than the new hires.

    So, I reckon it's the new hires that will have to live with the new reality of salaries linked to where you live e.g. if you currently live in Carlow, they will ask you where you're living and advise that the salary will be based on the living costs e.g. housing etc. in that county.

    Mercer etc. already does cost of living surveys for multinationals which they use to decide on pay rates based on whatever city their office is based in.

    It also then gives rural based employees a hiring cost advantage (from the employers perspective) over city based employees.


  • Registered Users Posts: 58 ✭✭M256


    Augeo wrote: »
    But within Dublin you've folk living in places with wildly varying house prices..... D4 isn't far from Dolphin's Barn etc etc etc
    So what? Salaries of those working in the office do not depend on their zip code. Why would that matter when working remotely?


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭hometruths


    According to the 2016 census (apologies to the census deniers!), over half a million people work in Dublin city and suburbs on a daily basis.
    Dublin city and suburbs recorded an 10.9 per cent increase in the number of workers commuting from outside the urban area, rising to 130,447 from 117,764 in 2011. Twenty five per cent of Dublin workers commute from outside the city and suburbs.

    So 25% of people who work in Dublin have, for whatever reason, chosen to live outside Dublin. Many of those endure a fairly draining daily commute.

    Surely if rising are numbers are choosing to live outside the city and commute, it stands to reason that numbers will only increase if WFH becomes an option, i.e live outside the city and work without the commute?

    It baffles me that this could possibly be considered an illogical assumption.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭PropQueries


    M256 wrote: »
    So what? Salaries of those working in the office do not depend on their zip code. Why would that matter when working remotely?

    I think because employers will use Facebook as an example of a real world, respected company that will have a similar policy in place. It will be difficult for new hires to bargain in such a situation.


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭hometruths


    I think it's unlikely that the Irish SMEs who don't currently model their payscales on Facebook are going to start any time soon.


  • Posts: 17,728 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    M256 wrote: »
    So what? Salaries of those working in the office do not depend on their zip code. Why would that matter when working remotely?

    That is essentially my point "Can't see how it would work really, 10% less if you go to Kildare, 20% if you go to Roscommon ......."


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  • Registered Users Posts: 200 ✭✭King Cantona


    Facebook employees in Dublin have already been told that there will be pay scales based on their location, but it will be at european level, not Irish county level.

    i.e if you decide to move to Portugal / Spain, expect your Dublin salary to drop.

    If you move from Dublin to Kildare - no difference in salary.

    None of this will come into effect until at least Summer 2021.


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Augeo wrote: »
    That is essentially my point "Can't see how it would work really, 10% less if you go to Kildare, 20% if you go to Roscommon ......."

    From the employers point of view one of the benefits of WFH is in it's simplicity. There is no chance they are going to start devising payscales based on location.

    It will be very simple.

    Do we need this job in the office 5 days a week? Yes, grand, pay is X so. No? Pay is Y so. Live where you like. As long as you're doing your job well, we don't care.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭PropQueries


    schmittel wrote: »
    I think it's unlikely that the Irish SMEs who don't currently model their payscales on Facebook are going to start any time soon.

    True and it will probably take time. But remember, in many big companies, the older staff members may be on defined benefit pension schemes while all the younger staff are on defined contribution pension schemes.

    I reckon location based salaries will be implemented in a similar way.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,275 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    schmittel wrote: »
    From the employers point of view one of the benefits of WFH is in it's simplicity. There is no chance they are going to start devising payscales based on location.

    It will be very simple.

    Do we need this job in the office 5 days a week? Yes, grand, pay is X so. No? Pay is Y so. Live where you like. As long as you're doing your job well, we don't care.

    either there will be payscales based on location, or more likely, office based jobs in cities will pay one salary, WFH based jobs, live where you like in ireland will pay another.

    One thing is for sure, you wont get paid the same if WFH becomes as widescale as some of you are suggesting.

    We agree on that.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    schmittel wrote: »
    According to the 2016 census (apologies to the census deniers!), over half a million people work in Dublin city and suburbs on a daily basis.



    So 25% of people who work in Dublin have, for whatever reason, chosen to live outside Dublin. Many of those endure a fairly draining daily commute.

    Surely if rising are numbers are choosing to live outside the city and commute, it stands to reason that numbers will only increase if WFH becomes an option, i.e live outside the city and work without the commute?

    It baffles me that this could possibly be considered an illogical assumption.

    its all about flexibility. However, if my current job allowed WFH fulltime, I wouldn't move outside commutable distance to Dublin. What if i moved job and it required me to be in the office 2 days per week etc.... Flexibility has to work both ways.


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Hubertj wrote: »
    its all about flexibility. However, if my current job allowed WFH fulltime, I wouldn't move outside commutable distance to Dublin. What if i moved job and it required me to be in the office 2 days per week etc.... Flexibility has to work both ways.

    I am not suggesting that somebody like you is going to leave Dublin if your job says crack on Hubertj, work from home.

    You have bought yourself a nice home in Dublin, and from what I can gather from your posts, you are very happy and settled there, with no incllnation to leave notwithstanding your work situation.

    The impact will come from FTBs who are currently renting in Dublin, or apartment owners who are looking at moving up the ladder to a long term family home.

    WFH opens up many more options for them than have previously been available.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    schmittel wrote: »
    I am not suggesting that somebody like you is going to leave Dublin if your job says crack on Hubertj, work from home.

    You have bought yourself a nice home in Dublin, and from what I can gather from your posts, you are very happy and settled there, with no incllnation to leave notwithstanding your work situation.

    The impact will come from FTBs who are currently renting in Dublin, or apartment owners who are looking at moving up the ladder to a long term family home.

    WFH opens up many more options for them than have previously been available.

    i agree, the point i was making is i wouldn't move too far from a metropolitan area (trying not to be Dublin focused) as it could limit you job wise if your situation changed. I think you would need to live within a commutable distance.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,969 ✭✭✭Assetbacked


    Mark Zuckerberg has already said he expects to pay lower salaries to workers living in lower cost areas.

    He said employees "should not expect to get Silicon Valley salary levels if they relocate to less-expensive areas.".

    Link to RTE article here: https://www.rte.ie/brainstorm/2020/0527/1142847-lower-wages-no-promotions-working-from-home/

    The reason for that is because Facebook are covering up for the fact their business (online advertisement) is going to be hit in a big way once the economy in the US is unfrozen. Marketing is always the first budget to be hit when cutting costs, for example, Airbnb have reduced head count by 25% and its advertising budget has been slashed. There is also an advertising boycott ongoing with Facebook the past couple of months


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    awec wrote: »
    Well if you end up unemployed, you'll not be living your life at all no matter if your house cost 100k or 500k. But anyway, again this will vary massively from person to person.

    You could buy your house at 80% of the price your neighbour paid, and move in feeling all smug thinking you're an economic genius and that your neighbour is a loser. Then next year, someone could move in beside you at 80% of the price you paid. By your logic, you'd be a loser here. In reality, you wouldn't give two fcuks.

    You will realise this when you actually buy a house.

    If you can afford the monthly repayments, then the value or price of your house is of very little consequence until you want to sell it. Nobody is getting their house re-valued every year to figure out if their net worth on paper has increased (ok, maybe a few weirdos do). Nobody engages in this willy waving of comparing what you paid compared to someone else, because as I said, there will always be someone who got a better deal than you.
    Agreed unless you are intending to sell it makes no difference
    If your house falls in price the house you are buying will have fallen roughly the same
    If you are trading up you have a smaller mortgage ,trading down slightly less cash in your pocket.
    But a family home is not a disposable asset


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭PropQueries


    The reason for that is because Facebook are covering up for the fact their business (online advertisement) is going to be hit in a big way once the economy in the US is unfrozen. Marketing is always the first budget to be hit when cutting costs, for example, Airbnb have reduced head count by 25% and its advertising budget has been slashed. There is also an advertising boycott ongoing with Facebook the past couple of months

    You do have a valid point but according to CNBC: "Facebook reports 11% revenue growth even amid pandemic slowdown". Fortunately for Facebook, there's really only three options when advertising online i.e. Facebook, Google or Amazon.

    But maybe the next quarter will show different results.

    CNBC link is here: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/30/facebook-fb-earnings-q2-2020.html


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,157 ✭✭✭Markitron


    brisan wrote: »
    Agreed unless you are intending to sell it makes no difference
    If your house falls in price the house you are buying will have fallen roughly the same
    If you are trading up you have a smaller mortgage ,trading down slightly less cash in your pocket.
    But a family home is not a disposable asset

    I'm not sure if it was in this thread, it may have been in the currently buying/selling thread, but a while back some spacer on here refused to pay asking on a house because the current owners had paid 100k less for it in 2005.

    Some people get really obsessed with the value of their property.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,788 ✭✭✭Vikings


    Can everyone agree that WFH will not have any impact on 2020 property prices, kick it to touch and discuss it elsewhere and get back to talking about the current property market?

    Viewed a house today asking 450k commuter town just outside Dublin. Sold for 410k 3 years ago and received significant work. EA reckons it'll go for 500k. I think in the present market it'll certainly fetch over asking probably 475-480.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    Cyrus wrote: »
    Because we hit affordability limits in Dublin a few years ago at most levels from 500k to 1m. Stuff was/is still selling but more slowly as developers have been slow to reduce prices on new builds which are selling at decent premium to old stock.

    I know of estates with houses ranging from 900k to 1.1m they all sold but it took 18 months.

    i know 6 houses at 895k in a prime location and only 5 have sold in 18 months


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,111 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    For those anticipating a market decline: i hope to soon be putting a rural property with high amenity values on the market. I have already had two potential buyers who I informed of the upcoming sale, offer up to 13% above a valuation done only 2 or so months ago.

    Now my only conundrum is whether to list through a REA and put it on the open market or go with the bird in hand.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    And you still haven't addressed some of the reasons why buying now is right for some people.

    Here's a scenario for you:

    - A Couple with a 2 almost school age children and a deposit saved of 100,000.
    - They are currently renting a 2 bedroom apartment at 1900 euros p/m outside their preferred schools catchment area
    - They are both working from home for the foreseeable future due to CoViD
    - There are currently no suitable rental properties inside the catchment area. If one comes up, they would be committed to a new 12 month lease, and likely have to pay additional rent.
    - They have found a 3 bed house at €350,000 that suits them, with a mortgage of 1100 per month, near the school they want their kids to go to.
    - They know that houses near this school in their price range come on the market 2-3 times a year.
    - The house will suit their needs for at least 10 years.


    So I can see 3 options:

    1: Stay in the current place, deal with the stress of the lack of space and garden for a 12-15 months and risk missing out on getting their kids into their preferred school.
    2: Hope that a rental comes up in their school area, and then commit to a 12 month lease at higher rent then they are currently paying.
    3: Buy the house that suits them with the mortgage they can afford, accepting that the market will likely drop by some unknown amount, over some unknown timeframe

    Which do they go for?

    I'd be interested to see what other posters think as well.

    No 3
    I cannot see any other option if they want to move on with their lives and give their kids a headstart in life


  • Registered Users Posts: 681 ✭✭✭Pelezico


    And you still haven't addressed some of the reasons why buying now is right for some people.

    Here's a scenario for you:

    - A Couple with a 2 almost school age children and a deposit saved of 100,000.
    - They are currently renting a 2 bedroom apartment at 1900 euros p/m outside their preferred schools catchment area
    - They are both working from home for the foreseeable future due to CoViD
    - There are currently no suitable rental properties inside the catchment area. If one comes up, they would be committed to a new 12 month lease, and likely have to pay additional rent.
    - They have found a 3 bed house at €350,000 that suits them, with a mortgage of 1100 per month, near the school they want their kids to go to.
    - They know that houses near this school in their price range come on the market 2-3 times a year.
    - The house will suit their needs for at least 10 years.


    So I can see 3 options:

    1: Stay in the current place, deal with the stress of the lack of space and garden for a 12-15 months and risk missing out on getting their kids into their preferred school.
    2: Hope that a rental comes up in their school area, and then commit to a 12 month lease at higher rent then they are currently paying.
    3: Buy the house that suits them with the mortgage they can afford, accepting that the market will likely drop by some unknown amount, over some unknown timeframe

    Which do they go for?

    I'd be interested to see what other posters think as well.

    I think you are in a great position.. to wait. I would advise you to rent a nice place and wait for one year.

    Enjoy the house price falls and they will come. We are in the midst of the worst recession in 100 years.

    The person selling tou the house which you want to live in will pay for your rent for the year. Any savings beyond that is a further bonus.

    You will get credit with a deposit like that.

    Good luck.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,275 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    brisan wrote: »
    i know 6 houses at 895k in a prime location and only 5 have sold in 18 months

    5 out of the 6 or 5 out of 11?

    depends on your definition of prime as well, some locations are more prime than others, whatever it is, houses at that price on the northside dont tend to shift as well as similar on the southside.


  • Registered Users Posts: 681 ✭✭✭Pelezico


    This thread is supposed to be about house prices not a WFH discussion.


    WFH is a minor issue compared to the economic disaster we see every day.

    The consequences of the economic disaster have not yet been felt. The government is supporting a dying edifice.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭PropQueries


    Vikings wrote: »
    Can everyone agree that WFH will not have any impact on 2020 property prices, kick it to touch and discuss it elsewhere and get back to talking about the current property market?

    Viewed a house today asking 450k commuter town just outside Dublin. Sold for 410k 3 years ago and received significant work. EA reckons it'll go for 500k. I think in the present market it'll certainly fetch over asking probably 475-480.

    But all the Google employees are WFH until next July at the earliest. My understanding, from London anyway, is that they are looking at ways in the meantime to make many of these positions WFH permanently. But we will see.

    In the meantime, I'd assume at least a percentage of the Google and similar company employees have returned to their home countries and their apartments etc. should become available as their leases expire in the next month or two and aren't renewed, for the next 12 months anyway.

    Shouldn't that add significantly to supply? And, that doesn't include many of the ex-AirBnB and ex-student houses that should also re-enter the market in the next 6 weeks or so. Not counting the student accommodation units currently seeking planning permission to become residential. More supply should mean lower rents in the next few months as they re-enter the market.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    If Blackstone thinks that there equity is gone and cannot be recovered they will walk away. However it's just as likely they are trying to discount the existing loans. The pillar lenders will hold tough as GS is exposed. The questions do Blackstone believe that Blanchardtown is not capable of recovering any of there investment.

    Like I said hardball with a balloon

    Judging by the daily press releases of retail job losses in Britain,and my own experience of walking around Dublin city centre I would say commercial landlords of retail property are in for a rude awakening and major losses.
    People have got used to online shopping and the retail experience as we know it is dead
    Masks ,lack of changing rooms ,inability to browse at your leisure .all are a deathknell for high street retail


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    Cyrus wrote: »
    ultimately builders build what people want, and most people want a house not an apartment and will stretch to get it.

    also you refer to WFH pushing people to look outside dublin, if that all comes to pass prices in dublin will decrease but these cheap houses outside will start to get more expensive.

    With the availability of cheap plentiful building land they will never reach Dublin prices.
    A new build in wexford costing 235k will cost 400k in Dublin
    I do not see where the 165k difference comes from.
    i have always believed builders will charge what they can get for a house not what its worth,and I believe their published margins are pure fantasy


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,028 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals


    brisan wrote: »
    With the availability of cheap plentiful building land they will never reach Dublin prices.
    A new build in wexford costing 235k will cost 400k in Dublin
    I do not see where the 165k difference comes from.
    i have always believed builders will charge what they can get for a house not what its worth,and I believe their published margins are pure fantasy

    If legit those margins are astonishing


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    The government policy and they do seem to have a real intention to do it, is to hook up every existing house in the country to super-fast broadband.

    While this is the short-term benefit for potential WFH opportunities, I think the next big impact, admittedly about 10 -15 years away, is the self-driving car. This is what will truly open up every rural home to a potential buyer. And, apparently, there's tens of thousands of them right there, already built and ready to go.

    https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2020/0820/1160212-virgin-media-broadband/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 991 ✭✭✭cubatahavana


    Back to topic, my property is already nearly a 10% over asking in the 2 1/2 weeks that it has been on the market. I’m not complaining. More viewings this weekend


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,642 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    brisan wrote: »
    i have always believed builders will charge what they can get for a house not what its worth

    :confused:

    If they're getting the asking price you can assume that's what it's worth. No?

    That you might not think it's worth it is neither here nor there.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    smurgen wrote: »
    Rural Ireland isn't bustling,you drew that inference yourself. The point is that the main advantage of living in Dublin like the bustling lifestyle and the access to higher paying jobs has now changed dramatically. So is it still worth the premium on housing?

    Having spent a week in killarney recently it was more bustling than Dublin city has been at any time over the last 5 months
    Granted all the businesses know that come September that they are in the sh1t ,once the kids are back in school


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    Graham wrote: »
    I don't think it will take huge number for it to be significant.

    Exactly take 10,000 FTB out of the Dublin market over a 2 year period and watch the results


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,275 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    brisan wrote: »
    With the availability of cheap plentiful building land they will never reach Dublin prices.
    A new build in wexford costing 235k will cost 400k in Dublin
    I do not see where the 165k difference comes from.
    i have always believed builders will charge what they can get for a house not what its worth,and I believe their published margins are pure fantasy

    you think cairn and glenveagh are publishing false accounts?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 173 ✭✭Springy Turf


    Pelezico wrote: »
    I think you are in a great position.. to wait. I would advise you to rent a nice place and wait for one year.

    Enjoy the house price falls and they will come. We are in the midst of the worst recession in 100 years.

    The person selling tou the house which you want to live in will pay for your rent for the year. Any savings beyond that is a further bonus.

    You will get credit with a deposit like that.

    Good luck.

    This isn't my situation specifically to be clear. But in my view, the very obvious choice in this case is to go ahead and buy rather than spending 24000+ a year in rent to be in a precarious rental situation.

    I think you will be very much in the minority if you think this couple shouldn't go ahead with their 350k deal.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    awec wrote: »
    I suggested ages ago that any movement of people out of Dublin to rural properties would drive up prices of properties in rural areas, as areas with traditional low demand see increased demand. Pretty much a carbon copy of what happened in the Dublin commuter belt the past 8 or 9 years, but not to the same scale.

    Of course, this idea was rubbished and we were told it couldn't possibly happen, prices would totally collapse everywhere. There was no way increased demand in rural areas could have a positive affect on prices there. Anyone who suggested such a thing was a lunatic property bull or an EA.

    Bigger availability of cheaper building land in rural areas.
    Do you not think councils would fast track planning and builders build quickly if they thought there was a market


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    awec wrote: »
    Huh?

    That's not what is being suggested. The person in Wexford will get paid less than the person in Dublin.

    If you live in Dublin, you get a Dublin salary. If you live in Wexford you get a Wexford salary.

    So 2 people in the same company doing exactly the same job and one gets paid less
    Good luck to the company if the one getting paid less is a woman


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