100 Bets to Broke Flat Season

madmoose · 09-06-2015 11:00am

With ascot now nrnb what do you make of hawkeyethenoo at 33/1 for the wokingham?

longshotvalue · 09-06-2015 3:23pm

madmoose wrote: »

With ascot now nrnb what do you make of hawkeyethenoo at 33/1 for the wokingham?

I don't see any nrnb, but its way to early for that race. He is also in Scotland this weekend possibly. Looks likely to win something soon enough judging by his last run..

madmoose · 09-06-2015 3:41pm

Its nrnb all ascot with 365. I backed at 33/1 anyway

longshotvalue · 11-06-2015 7:52pm

Leopardstown 8:00

Uno Voice looks overpriced here after a decent run last time out in a similar race and of the bottom weight here. He is 40 on Betfair and that too big. He has a bit of form that gives him a better than 40/1 chance in this race.

½ Point win 40 betfair 1 Point place 8 betfair

jousting with chairs · 11-06-2015 8:03pm

aidankkk wrote: »

Leopardstown 8:00

Uno Voice looks overpriced here after a decent run last time out in a similar race and of the bottom weight here. He is 40 on Betfair and that too big. He has a bit of form that gives him a better than 40/1 chance in this race.

½ Point win 40 betfair 1 Point place 8 betfair

WOW, that's all I can say ,just WOW

longshotvalue · 11-06-2015 8:03pm

aidankkk wrote: »

Leopardstown 8:00

Uno Voice looks overpriced here after a decent run last time out in a similar race and of the bottom weight here. He is 40 on Betfair and that too big. He has a bit of form that gives him a better than 40/1 chance in this race.

½ Point win 40 betfair 1 Point place 8 betfair

BOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMM....

:D:D:D:D

gazza1 · 11-06-2015 8:04pm

aidankkk wrote: »

Leopardstown 8:00

Uno Voice looks overpriced here after a decent run last time out in a similar race and of the bottom weight here. He is 40 on Betfair and that too big. He has a bit of form that gives him a better than 40/1 chance in this race.

½ Point win 40 betfair 1 Point place 8 betfair

Just got on in time. Once again amazing stuff

Mostly Harmless · 11-06-2015 8:04pm

Ah here... Great stuff!

Relyod5454 · 11-06-2015 8:04pm

incredible!,,well done again AIDAN

kalinisi · 11-06-2015 8:04pm

unbelievable!

Mostly Harmless · 11-06-2015 8:06pm

Any thoughts on Rex Imperator tomorrow Aidan?

I'll be leaving well alone at the price.

longshotvalue · 11-06-2015 8:09pm

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Any thoughts on Rex Imperator tomorrow Aidan?

I'll be leaving well alone at the price.

Looked a while ago,Wouldn't be putting him up yet at that price, but could hose up ill be looking later... Possible wins there and again under a penalty in a better race soon enough..

El Canelo · 11-06-2015 8:13pm

Thanks again Aidan.

maxmo · 11-06-2015 8:22pm

Missed it, but well done.By the way very nice web site.

SmallBalls · 11-06-2015 8:28pm

Missed it as well, but keep it up Aidan, well done!

jkelly85 · 11-06-2015 9:14pm

Serious stuff again

CH3OH · 11-06-2015 9:38pm

Bang head against wall...

then press " follow thread"

Well done

madmoose · 11-06-2015 9:43pm

Missed this one but as per you are diff class! Mukmal runs at york sat, can he improve again? Scalzo the fav though mukmal 14/1

Neon_Lights · 11-06-2015 10:15pm

betfair exchange and seeing this five minutes before the race.....fml wasnt matched at good odds.... aidan hats off you gentleman..... betfair grrrr!!!!

sdoc13 · 11-06-2015 10:41pm

Serious stuff Aidan, not a good time for me to be up the walls at work and have my phone die.

Starscream25 · 11-06-2015 10:44pm

Went to see Jurassic world and I come back to the iPad to see a winner, can't believe I missed this one but fair play all the same.

ShaneU · 11-06-2015 11:20pm

Okay have to set email notifications on this thread now this is unreal

Guffy · 11-06-2015 11:46pm

Aidan would you mind If I set up a whats app group solely for your picks?

m1989 · 11-06-2015 11:54pm

Missed this too, no notification came through! Boards is fecked! Would definitely be interested in a Whatsapp group or some group for better notifications! Good work again Aidan!

longshotvalue · 12-06-2015 1:01am

m1989 wrote: »

Missed this too, no notification came through! Boards is fecked! Would definitely be interested in a Whatsapp group or some group for better notifications! Good work again Aidan!

Thanks lads, i post everything on twitter @longshotvalue.

My gut is starting to follow now, might not be the greatest idea, as with these longshots its easy go go for ages without a winner, and this amount of luckboxing it will surly come back to bite me..

Guffy · 12-06-2015 1:16am

aidankkk wrote: »

Thanks lads, i post everything on twitter @longshotvalue.

My gut is starting to follow now, might not be the greatest idea, as with these longshots its easy go go for ages without a winner, and this amount of luckboxing it will surly come back to bite me..

Wouldn't do it unless you were happy for me to. Didn't realise you were on twitter though

longshotvalue · 12-06-2015 1:17am

4:40 York

Icon Dream was a selection of mine last time out at a huge price and ran a great race in a similar race to this. The form of that race has worked out really well, and he is weighted to be competitive here. He has a big turnaround with Trendsetter for only a couple of lengths and at 14/1 he looks value. I can see a load of negatives with a lot of the runner’s in this, and I’m hopeful he has found a decent opportunity.

1 Point win 14/1 365/VC/Coral

bigwil · 12-06-2015 8:22am

Just seen this well done

longshotvalue · 12-06-2015 7:53pm

York 2:35

Highland Colori looks the value here at a big looking 25/1. He is being underestimated probably because of a poor enough run around here last time out but he was slow away and had to do too much to get involved early, then was wide into the straight. It would have taken a miracle to get close under those circumstances and that run can be ignored. It’s better to have a look at his second last run, when a good 3rd in a very decent Goodwood race. That race signalled a return to form and if he is back at all any improvement will have him right in the firing line here.

1 Point win 25/1 Coral/Betfair

longshotvalue · 12-06-2015 8:16pm

Musselburgh 2:50

Money Team hasn’t had a lot of luck in running lately, but I think he has proved best over 5 furlongs, and the step back here should really help. If he can recover the form of some of his very good 3yo handicap runs on a fast 5 furlongs he should have a decent shout here of this mark. Were probably with the right trainer for this type of race as well. 20/1 looks a bit of value for a horse with a bit of potential

1 Point win 20/1 Paddy/StanJames

longshotvalue · 12-06-2015 8:39pm

Musselburgh 3:25

Kingsgate Choice is a former winner of this race who hasn’t had much racing since. I thought his seasonal reappearance was very decent given that he probably needed the run and you’d have to think today would be the plan for this very fast sprinter. He has a very good 5lbs claimer on here and off that mark he is well capable on his old form. He seems the value of the race at 22/1. I had a good look at Hawkeyethenoo given his last very good run when I was on in the Victoria Cup but I think he may be better over further and I expect him to show up at Ascot with a chance after perhaps a midfield run here to sharpen him up.

1 Point win 22/1 tote/Fred/betfair

longshotvalue · 12-06-2015 8:56pm

York 3:10

Top Notch Tonto has been running well in races much too good for him but this step down in class looks to be what’s required for him to get involved at a big price. He has plenty of good results on decent ground and on a line through some of these a lot higher up in the betting he is great value at 14/1. He is still only a 5yo and his standard level of form might just be enough here.

1 Point win 14/1 Various

longshotvalue · 13-06-2015 10:01am

Musselburgh 3.25

Actually I’ve had a change of heart here and I just can’t not have a bet on Hawkeythenoo at 16/1. The TV would be in danger of having a remote buried in it if he won and I didn’t put him up. He is obviously back to form and a 1 point win bet just in case is in order here
.
1 Point win 19.0 Betfair 16/1 Generally

longshotvalue · 13-06-2015 10:14am

Sandown 2:20

Apostle is beginning to interest me here. He didn’t get the run of the race last time out at Chester but it looks an improvement in form over his other runs this year. 33/1 is past the point of value where I have to have a small bet. He was very consistent last year and it may only be a matter of time until he gets back into the grove. I’ll have a min bet in case today is the day he starts to show.

1 Point win 33/1 Sky/VC/Betfair

Mr Ed2011 · 13-06-2015 10:38am

aidankkk wrote: »

Sandown 2:20

Apostle is beginning to interest me here. He didn’t get the run of the race last time out at Chester but it looks an improvement in form over his other runs this year. 33/1 is past the point of value where I have to have a small bet. He was very consistent last year and it may only be a matter of time until he gets back into the grove. I’ll have a min bet in case today is the day he starts to show.

1 Point win 33/1 Sky/VC/Betfair

Non Runner

ShaneU · 13-06-2015 2:43pm

aidankkk wrote: »

York 2:35

Highland Colori looks the value here at a big looking 25/1. He is being underestimated probably because of a poor enough run around here last time out but he was slow away and had to do too much to get involved early, then was wide into the straight. It would have taken a miracle to get close under those circumstances and that run can be ignored. It’s better to have a look at his second last run, when a good 3rd in a very decent Goodwood race. That race signalled a return to form and if he is back at all any improvement will have him right in the firing line here.

1 Point win 25/1 Coral/Betfair

Placed. Great run

ShaneU · 13-06-2015 3:12pm

aidankkk wrote: »

York 3:10

Top Notch Tonto has been running well in races much too good for him but this step down in class looks to be what’s required for him to get involved at a big price. He has plenty of good results on decent ground and on a line through some of these a lot higher up in the betting he is great value at 14/1. He is still only a 5yo and his standard level of form might just be enough here.

1 Point win 14/1 Various

Yes you beauty! ðŸ‡

Deco99 · 13-06-2015 3:12pm

aidankkk wrote: »

York 3:10

Top Notch Tonto has been running well in races much too good for him but this step down in class looks to be what’s required for him to get involved at a big price. He has plenty of good results on decent ground and on a line through some of these a lot higher up in the betting he is great value at 14/1. He is still only a 5yo and his standard level of form might just be enough here.

1 Point win 14/1 Various

Get in

sdoc13 · 13-06-2015 3:12pm

aidankkk wrote: »

York 3:10

Top Notch Tonto has been running well in races much too good for him but this step down in class looks to be what’s required for him to get involved at a big price. He has plenty of good results on decent ground and on a line through some of these a lot higher up in the betting he is great value at 14/1. He is still only a 5yo and his standard level of form might just be enough here.

1 Point win 14/1 Various

BOOM. Get in. Super stuff Aidan was considering this and you convinced me.

Deco99 · 13-06-2015 3:13pm

Was there any rule 4 on this?

longshotvalue · 13-06-2015 3:15pm

Deco99 wrote: »

Was there any rule 4 on this?

about 20% i think.

Still

:D:D:D:D

ShaneU · 13-06-2015 3:17pm

Was actually thinking it had no chance half way through, some turn of foot

jimjamcos · 13-06-2015 3:17pm

Some run you're on Aidan, even the losers are running with credit.

Deco99 · 13-06-2015 3:18pm

aidankkk wrote: »

about 20% i think.

Still :D:D:D:D

super stuff

CH3OH · 13-06-2015 3:21pm

Top notch kemosabe

jousting with chairs · 13-06-2015 3:27pm

Brilliant stuff, cheers.

sdoc13 · 13-06-2015 3:40pm

Going to give Mukhmal another go ew today. Fav strong but should place with a run like the last day,

longshotvalue · 13-06-2015 3:41pm

sdoc13 wrote: »

Going to give Mukhmal another go ew today. Fav strong but should place with a run like the last day,

yeah just had a small dabble at 25 on betfair which is a bit big...

ShaneU · 13-06-2015 3:54pm

Mukhmal 5th I think? I had 5 places

Edit 6th

Relyod5454 · 13-06-2015 3:56pm

THANKS AGAIN AIDAN!

100 Bets to Broke Flat Season

Comments