Amber Snow Alert

Darwin · 19-02-2005 10:28am

Yes, metcheck are showing precipitation early Monday morning for some eastern counties, but theyr.net are showing little or no precipitation at all ?

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 11:10am

Who is up for Monday...Snowy Monday??

Well Eastern counties should be but the west will
have to deal with sleety crap.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn484.gif

Totals of accumalated snow should reach 15cm's or more in the east after that

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 11:11am

Snow flurries should start to affect the east from
tonight and continue through Sunday. Accumaltions
of 1cm or 2 are possibly by tomorrow morning!

Scubadevils · 19-02-2005 11:12am

Will we have Monday morning disruptions so?

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 11:13am

The flood gates to heaven open.......
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn782.gif

i mean Siberia... :eek:

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 11:16am

Felixdhc wrote:

Will we have Monday morning disruptions so?

In Eastern counties yes

Heavy snow will arrive early morning 3am

Might turn a bit wet by 6am before turning back to dusty snow

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 11:20am

This little run through shows how the mild air nearly makes
it to the east but doesnt

Sunday mighnight
http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/geturl/daten/profi/en/basis06.19022005/rart_05022100_1906.gif?d760c8a9ddfd71592e411fb5769d1e7a

Monday 6am - Very close - heavy snow in the east
http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/geturl/daten/profi/en/basis06.19022005/rart_05022106_1906.gif?e9ce36d3021b6d9f3b755cc2c01aca72

Monday 12am - Cold air pushes any mild intrusion back
http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/geturl/daten/profi/en/basis06.19022005/rart_05022112_1906.gif?6d4d0600c7d73ccfbe936a93713b06b8

Everythings there for one hell of a dumping in the east..
Reminds me eerily of one day in late February 2001

:eek:

Scubadevils · 19-02-2005 11:20am

How come met eireann are still going for rain / sleet on Monday? I would have thought by now they would indicate snow if it was on the way, by your reckoning its less than 48hrs away now.

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 11:23am

Abit from the latest UKMO warning that concerns us

DURING MONDAY A MORE
GENERAL AREA OF SLEET OR SNOW WILL RUN ACROSS SOME WESTERN PARTS.
THE EXTENT OF THIS IS UNCERTAIN, BUT NORTHERN IRELAND MOST AT RISK.
IT IS ON MONDAY THAT THE HIGHEST RISK OF DISRUPTION TO TRANSPORT IS
EXPECTED, AS SNOW AND ICE ON UNTREATED ROADS BRING DANGEROUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

FOR ENQUIRIE

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 11:27am

Felixdhc wrote:

How come met eireann are still going for rain / sleet on Monday? I would have thought by now they would indicate snow if it was on the way, by your reckoning its less than 48hrs away now.

I honestly dont know Felix, it's shocking really although as i say
the snow is on a knife edge but ground temps at 0-1c and dew points
below freezing will swing the pendulum in our favour for snow. They
wont mention it until maybe tonight or even tomorrow but hell
they will menton it

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 11:30am

Wednesday spells powder in the east

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn961.gif

Heavy power snow pushing inland

:eek:

Really a dream week ahead

Scubadevils · 19-02-2005 11:36am

I think I feel a bit more confident about it now, been so many let downs, not just this winter but for years! 2001 was good but from memory only lasted a day really. Other than that I think 1996 is the last decent bit of snow I can remember - if this week comes near that I will be happy!

billy the squid · 19-02-2005 11:49am

weather checks

button must be broken

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 12:46pm

Look at the Irish Met sneaking in the words snow in a few places!

Tonight
Cloudy, damp weather in the West and Southwest this evening will gradually clear away overnight. Elsewhere there will be largely clear skies. A few wintry showers of sleet or snow are expected near North facing coasts during the night. It will be a very cold night, lowest temperatures plus 3 to minus 1 degrees, coldest over the eastern half of the country with a widespread frost.
Tomorrow
20 February 2005
Wind speeds in km/h Tomorrow
Staying cold tomorrow but dry and bright for most areas. Counties along the North and East facing coasts are at risk of a few snow showers. Temperatures will typically reach 3 to 6 degrees in the cold northerly wind.

I saw that forecast when it was issued this morning and it was quite the different!

Danno · 19-02-2005 12:55pm

Heck, Laois and West Kildare look like doing the best from this Monday scenario!

The front hovers over us for 12 hours! WOW!

kleefarr · 19-02-2005 1:04pm

I'm sure there was sleet late last night. 2am. didn't last long though.

19-02-2005 1:13pm

Wenesdays precipitation looks mad-thats looking like a very snowy day along the East coast.

I wont even begin to talk of what some models are saying of thursday and friday as its too far out, but if it comes to pass(a lot of doubt) the country would be closed

Weathercheck wrote:

Wednesday spells powder in the east

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn961.gif

Heavy power snow pushing inland :eek:

Really a dream week ahead

/Ramp
Is that -35c air by tuesday at 500hpa directly over Ireland?
That should deliver sub zero daytime temps in the East particularally if theres snow cover - bloody hell /Ramp

I agree with yer man on the radio.. Girls yez are going to have to wear your knickers

Gordon · 19-02-2005 1:15pm

Is there such a thing as a Yellow Snow Alert?

Carpenter · 19-02-2005 1:16pm

Earthman wrote:

Wenesdays precipitation looks mad-thats looking like a very snowy day along the East coast.

I wont even begin to talk of what some models are saying of thursday and friday as its too far out, but if it comes to pass(a lot of doubt) the country would be closed

/Ramp
Is that -35c air by tuesday at 500hpa directly over Ireland?
That should deliver sub zero daytime temps in the East particularally if theres snow cover - bloody hell /Ramp

I agree with yer man on the radio.. Girls yez are going to have to wear your knickers

are you saying were in for a bad snow fall

19-02-2005 1:19pm

Carpenter wrote:

are you saying were in for a bad snow fall

I'm saying its going to be cold enough and the indications are that there will be active snow showers during the week along the East coast and temperatures near zero.
The snow will be a hit and miss affair because its in shower form but if you get it, theres little doubt that it will settle I think.

Danno · 19-02-2005 1:24pm

kleefarr wrote:

I'm sure there was sleet late last night. 2am. didn't last long though.

There was!

I was in Kilkenny City last night and there was sleet around 12am, some wet snow flakes around Freshford and Cullohill on the way home.

kleefarr · 19-02-2005 1:31pm

Danno wrote:

There was!

I was in Kilkenny City last night and there was sleet around 12am, some wet snow flakes around Freshford and Cullohill on the way home.

Thought so. I'm just on the outskirts of the City. It's pretty chilly out there now. Lots of heavy looking clouds in the sky.

Danno · 19-02-2005 1:48pm

It is 6.5c out there at the moment - http://www.nra.ie/RoadWeatherInfo/Map/data/htm/WeatherTable.htm

It is rounded up to 7c for this - http://www.met.ie/recentweather/

Eitherway, far too mild for sleet or snow at the moment.

And the radar is showing sweet FA in the lines of precip around us: http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ukweather/n_ireland/rainfall.shtml

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 2:05pm

Bide your time people later tonoght and tomorrow is when
snow flurries will begin to arrive in the east and Monday
is bingo for the east but rain for the west

Danno · 19-02-2005 2:18pm

Any FAX charts in the 6z by 6z range for Sunday and Monday?

Danno · 19-02-2005 2:22pm

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/maps/britainsymbol3.jpg

Ooooh look, this does not happen often, and snow over Ireland is rarely pinned by the BBC, regardless of whether it will snow here!

Danno · 19-02-2005 2:23pm

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/maps/britainsymbol4.jpg

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/maps/britainsymbol5.jpg

And there's more!

WOW!

Right, I am in official RAMP mode!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/maps/brwind036.jpg

Oh, those little blue arrows!

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 2:35pm

According to the 6z GFS 28mm of precipitation will fall in Dublin on Monday..

If that fell as snow it would accumalate to 28cm's, need i say anymore!!

:eek:

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 2:41pm

Latest ensembles show total agreement on a 7 day freeze
with 7/10 going for a 12 dayer :eek:

Danno · 19-02-2005 2:58pm

Charts please, charts please Weatherceck!

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 2:58pm

Who would have thought at the start of February that we would
have a chance of entering our coldest spell and most prolonged spell
of weather in years! The cold spell WILL last until next Saturday
with most runs keeping it going until the following Wednesday :eek:

There are few words to describe what we are about to enter,
it is a weather lovers paradise! The coldest and most prolonged
spell of weather since well i dont know somewhere in the mid 90's anyway!

Snow showers will affect the east everyday next week i have never
experienced that! All i remeber from the worst of cold spells is one
big snow and that's it, not this time folks! This is something out
of a fanatasy world and boy you'll know it

There could be a 20cm's of lying snow in Dublin on Monday
for god sake

:eek: :eek: :eek:

Scubadevils · 19-02-2005 3:01pm

boats moving up Grafton st by next Friday?

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 3:01pm

Flick throught the charts here
http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/rart_frame.htm

And i got the totals from the wetterzentrale chart by
adding up the totals at 6 hour intervals

Ensembles here
http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/geturl/daten/profi/en/ensdia/03969_06.gif?59d244a18a7b5b2e385eec41049ab335

Carpenter · 19-02-2005 3:04pm

Weathercheck wrote:

Flick throught the charts here
http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/rart_frame.htm

And i got the totals from the wetterzentrale chart by
adding up the totals at 6 hour intervals

Ensembles here
http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/geturl/daten/profi/en/ensdia/03969_06.gif?59d244a18a7b5b2e385eec41049ab335

hi weathercheck
carpenter here will i try get my money back after last weeks bet same bet again what u think pal

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 3:08pm

Yep this times a certainty

Danno · 19-02-2005 3:22pm

Okay okay Weathercheck, chill a bit!

We have seen quite a bit of snow this year already (compared to years since 1996)

It will snow, and there will be quite a bit for Dublin, after all you guys done poorly in the recent zonality setup snow showers.

I am very interested in the 3am to 12pm Monday period, looks very good for a regional part of Ireland:

North Kilkenny, North West Carlow, West Kildare, Laois, North East Tipperary, Offaly Westmeath, Meath South West.

Basically, a 30 - 40 mile radius of Mountmellick.

19-02-2005 3:34pm

Carpenter wrote:

hi weathercheck
carpenter here will i try get my money back after last weeks bet same bet again what u think pal

This time,I'd keep the money firmly in my pocket if I were you if you live in the East

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 3:35pm

Think it will be abit to mild in them locations,

Monday will suit,
Wexford, Wicklow, Meath, Kildare, Dublin, Louth, Westmeath, Down,
Antrim and Armagh

And also possibly Laois

Carpenter · 19-02-2005 3:42pm

dub

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 3:54pm

My personal opinion is Dublin will see about 10cm's of snow on Monday

Danno · 19-02-2005 4:23pm

I dunno Weathercheck...

http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/Rtavn6017.gif

Shows 1c for the areas I mentioned earlier.

The areas you mentioned are at 3c, slightly too warm for snow, also with the 8-10c SST of the Irish sea, it would further dampen the snow - literally speaking.

Not trying to p*ss on your parade or anything.

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 4:30pm

Those temp charts are notourisly poor for coastal regions
as they mix up the temperature off the coast for on land

These tables represent better and more accurate
interpretations of the GFS output

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample_C.shtml?text=EIDW

Basically those temp charts are useless for coastal regions..
years of experience

Gonzo · 19-02-2005 4:51pm

it all seems very touch and go weather we'll see snow here in the east tomorrow night, it will be cold but it has often rained here at 1C, and yet some other times we would get a snow shower at 4C, all we can do is wait and see what happens tomorrow night, it may snow in some areas and rain in others, i think the real chance of snow wont happen till monday onwards. I would love if it did snow alot here tomorrow night and in dublin too... i could really do with a week away from college.

Danno · 19-02-2005 4:55pm

Ah, looks like a good weekend!

Snow on the way, Laois beating Clare 1-06 to 0-06!!!

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 5:01pm

Hard to believe somehting like this is only a few days away
http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn541.html

Full on easterly blast

Monday night precip still there an the cold about 50 miles
further west

As Gonzo said we really wont know until the
day itself

Danno · 19-02-2005 5:04pm

It will snow in Laois and the other areas I mentioned, and thats for sure. I would put the coastal strip of the east on a knife edge.

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 5:07pm

Sorry i disagree Danno because the cold air will be
to the east and a milder intrusion will come into
the west

So the east will be more at risk than the midlands.

Im 30m asl so we'll see what happens

Danno · 19-02-2005 5:11pm

FROM: http://www.metcheck.com/discussion.asp

Synoptic Discussion: - Western Britain, Frontal Wave -

There remains significant uncertainty with regards to a frontal wave moving down some Western parts of the UK during Monday, namely Western Scotland, Ireland and possible Western Wales and extreme Southwest England.

There is no continuity with regards to its location or development, however there is a reasonable risk that this feature will bring a mixture of precipitation of rain, sleet and snow to the above mentioned areas, with Ireland at the moment likely to be the main region at greatest risk of seeing snowfall from this system. Forecast atmospheric soundings over Northern and Eastern Ireland especially show that while surface temperatures will generally be a few degrees above the freezing mark, the overall atmosphere will still support snowfall. As a result a few centimetres of snowfall is currently possible in association with this system. It will continue to be monitored closely and any significant changes will be discussed here between now and the time of the event.

Danno · 19-02-2005 5:13pm

Weathercheck wrote:

Sorry i disagree Danno because the cold air will be
to the east and a milder intrusion will come into
the west

So the east will be more at risk than the midlands.

Im 30m asl so we'll see what happens

We'll see!

DANNO - 90m ASL

ninebeanrows · 19-02-2005 5:21pm

Lucky i'm on the Hillyest part of this coastal town

12z GFS absolutely stunning blinding easterlies by 54hrs
heavy snow showers being blown ashore all the way
next week. Expect real a real dumping of snow in the east
after Monday possible whiteout

:eek:

Dreaming of a white wonderland... :eek: I have gone crazy :eek:

Amber Snow Alert

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