Missing Icelandic man

Not to keep on going back to the €4,000 but the only way this could have been lost is in a cash game. The festival schedule can be found here:

https://dublinpokerfestival.com/?page_id=39

You can see from the guide that the most in tournament losses he could have had would €230 maybe + the €80 if timing allowed him to enter the turbo too. So the losses would have to have come in the side cash games. Now the cash games are untracked so the only way they could have got to the €4,000 is either from dealer/fellow player testimony or only by an admission by himself to his Girlfriend the next morning which the Gardai then took as fact.

One key question I would be asking in this would be how was the €4,000 made up. Was it all cash he carried through with him or was it from bank cards. I have to assume it was all cash. Bank cards are very hard to withdraw from abroad with low maximum daily withdrawals and you never really want your financial institutions finding out about €4,000 weekend poker splurges. Let's say it was all cash. The most you can carry into the country without declaring it is €10,000 I think. Assuming he carried in the max before declaration so says €9,999 to last him for the 10 days. I am going to assume the guy didn't make a customs declaration on entry and wasn't carrying more than the €10,000 max. So In anyone's life blowing 40% of your stash 10% into your holiday before the girlfriend arrives is not within the parameters of normal losses.

Going back to the cash games the highest blinds they would typically play in the Bonnington from my mild observations would be max €1/€2. Someone feel free to correct me on this because I don't play the cash games myself. The average amount you would buy into a cash game is around 100 x the big blind. Or in this instance is €200. In some case, you might go as high as 200 x the Big blind so let's say €400. Say Jon started off with around €4,000 to play in cash games. He would then have to completely lose the typical max buy-in of €400 nearly 10 times over in one night. I don't care who you are or how rich you are. To have a deck of cards run that bad against for a long while and to keep on buying in can only mean one thing. He crossed the threshold of misery. This is a concept in poker talked about by Mike Cairo where you've lost so much and you feel like luck is against to such a degree where you get to a point in time where any additional euro lost does not matter because you feel the maximum amount of pain you can feel while sitting at the table. Usually, the worst effects of this can come the morning after when it kind of dawns on you what happened the night before.

I'd like even simply know did he go up and down from his room a few times to reload or did he bring the entire €4,000 down with him from the start. He must have been in and out of the room a few times reloading. No one anticipates losing that much before sitting down.

nc6000 wrote: »

I think it's a camera at the side of the hotel pointing towards Seven Oaks.

Thanks I see it now, so purely looking at the footage it doesn’t actually show the man turning right or left onto swords road, the reports suggest he turned northbound on swords road past Highfield Hospital which suggests there would be further footage not released or a possible sighting. In terms of not being picked up on cctv at The Viscount Pub that’s not necessarily unusual as it’s the opposite side of road to Highfield so it may not pick up across the street, but the junction of collins ave is full of cameras, however I am unsure as to how long traffic cam footage is kept so possibly wiped. From looking at the area again and with the cigarette box found on grace park rd (if indeed it is his) it looks like he was walking the block which would seem like a normal thing to do if you just wanted to stretch the legs. Looking at it objectively he had to of A. taken transport out of the area very soon after this either in taxi or bus or B He was picked up in a private vehicle. If he kept on walking the chance of no other cameras or dashcams picking him up is highly unlikely.

GLaDOS wrote: »

The independent link on the previous page has the CCTV footage that shows him leaving the Hotel, but nothing from Highfield Hospital. Any one know why? Is it possible they're not 100% it's actually him in the footage from the Hospital?

From my understanding there is no actual cctv footage of him outside the entrance of the hospital that has been released, it’s just been reported in the media so I can only assume it either means they have footage from hospital which they haven’t released to public or they have a verified sighting of him there.

Continuing nightmare for his family and friends, we all hope for a positive outcome, the longer it goes on, the dimmer the hope gets.
Hope they get closure soon, and its good news.

Lion Killer wrote: »

No more news on this?

Nothing, it’s gone cold, so bizarre, there were a few reports on this thread of possibly the man being spotted out by clontarf, I don’t know if that was definite but nothing since then, It doesn’t look good, almost two months missing, bizarre to vanish from such a busy area

Yes, it is very tragic that so many are gone through suicide and mostly men as you said.

It is still baffling that Jon Jonsson wasn't seen leaving the area after leaving the Bonnington Hotel.

An Irishman who went missing in Malaysia quite recently turned up after 2 months.

I know of someone who went missing from Dublin many years ago. He was found by his brother, wandering on a street in London. He had had a temporary break down.

The family of Jon Jonsson are still searching for Jon. I can understand that completely. Someone must know something. My heart goes out to them.

Appeal for information on crimecall with CCTV.

Very strange case.

I'd say due to the fact he lost money at the poker tournament he either commited suicide or owed money to the wrong people