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100 Bets to Broke Flat Season

13567

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    8:10 Ripon Wednesday

    Chilworth Icon
    was a pick of mine on Saturday at a huge price and after he missed the start he really looked improved on his other runs this year. He is 3lbs below his last winning mark and 10lbs below a very good run in the Portland last year. I don’t think well be waiting long for a win, but I’m not going to go mad with stakes here as it’s a bit close to his last run and id be suspicious he may have another target. That said I won’t be missing the 20/1 Available

    1 Point EW 20/1 365/PP/Lads


    ill put it in this tread as well to keep figures right


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Epson 2:35

    Dance and Dance
    is the one that interests me here. He has a good record around here with 1 win and 2 other good runs out of 3 goes. He is stepping up in trip which looks an advantage and with a good 7lbs claimer on today hell be carrying a very light weight which could wake him up. 16/1 is perhaps not as big as I would have liked but still decent value.

    1 Point win 16/1 Generally

    Epson Oaks 4:30


    I don’t think there is a lot between Legatissimo, Jack Naylor and Together Forever going on their form together so far but I think this trip is sure to suit Together Forever more than those 2 and she certainly looks the value at these prices. She was a standout in the trails and give the certain improvement from then after a run I think the 10/1 looks value.I also cant resist a tiny bet on Qualify I think she has improved in her last 2 runs and was eye-catching enough last time out in the irish 1000. If she isn’t a pacemaker here it isn’t out of the question that she places at 100/1.

    1 Point win 10/1 Together Forever Coral / Will Hill

    ½ Point EW Qualify 100/1 Bet365 / Paddy


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,020 ✭✭✭maximo31


    Just wow.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Jesus Aidan
    Unreal pick with Qualify


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,025 ✭✭✭skippymac6


    Holy f*ck


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,122 ✭✭✭Starscream25


    Exciting, kicking myself for not picking him myself, weldone Aidan, hats off.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,783 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    Excellent Stuff Aidan!!
    Covered a bit of my weekend!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,095 ✭✭✭hawaii501


    Typical only picked Together Forever. Always miss the winners ha


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,022 ✭✭✭madmoose


    By far the best tipster i know


  • Registered Users Posts: 656 ✭✭✭hurleronditch


    I actually can't f&cking believe it. €2ew saver.

    You're actually a genius


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,509 ✭✭✭✭retalivity


    balls...I didn't even see qualify when I looked last night??!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,172 ✭✭✭DANNY2014


    Aidan you Godddam legend I love it got it last nite at 100/1


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,135 ✭✭✭Gregk961


    Different class Aiden, wouldn't have backed it with stolen money even with your recommendation, but thats great stuff. Double points for a 100/1 touch!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,205 ✭✭✭Gringo180


    Outrageous stuff Aidan.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,761 ✭✭✭✭thesandeman


    Only a small bet but who cares!


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,340 ✭✭✭sdoc13


    retalivity wrote: »
    balls...I didn't even see qualify when I looked last night??!!

    Ditto. Sic. Well done aidan.


  • Registered Users Posts: 149 ✭✭Pearlstone


    I had no bet on the race but I salute you Sir Aidan..incredible tipping. Hope you unleashed hell on the enemy!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,941 ✭✭✭✭ShaneU


    Didn't back it but well done!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Stuck Qualify (x81) on the ends of few e/w 5 & 6-folds for a laugh, always fond of an underdog, pure genius.
    (not me, but aidankkk).


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,426 ✭✭✭Neon_Lights


    Oh man Aidan you're a genius


  • Registered Users Posts: 180 ✭✭kalinisi


    I didnt back it Aidan, but my jaysus that some picking fair play!


  • Registered Users Posts: 188 ✭✭Stewie Griffin


    Does anyone know if there's a way to set it up that you get an alert whenever someone specific posts a message on a thread? It's gone to the stage where I can't afford to missing these picks. I didn't get a chance to check the thread until now, and I see the 50/1 winner.

    Aidan, you are something else. Can we set up a club or something?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,172 ✭✭✭DANNY2014


    Does anyone know if there's a way to set it up that you get an alert whenever someone specific posts a message on a thread? It's gone to the stage where I can't afford to missing these picks. I didn't get a chance to check the thread until now, and I see the 50/1 winner.

    Aidan, you are something else. Can we set up a club or something?

    If you double that it was 100/1 winner...
    and I shall say again legend aidan...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 40,061 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    What is the return on investment so far?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,558 ✭✭✭Heroditas


    Does anyone know if there's a way to set it up that you get an alert whenever someone specific posts a message on a thread? It's gone to the stage where I can't afford to missing these picks. I didn't get a chance to check the thread until now, and I see the 50/1 winner.

    Aidan, you are something else. Can we set up a club or something?


    Yep, settings and alerts and set it to "instant notification". Don't think you can do it on a mobile phone though, think you have to do it on the desktop site


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,484 ✭✭✭Peintre Celebre


    Really outstanding stuff. Very well done


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 748 ✭✭✭Paul_Mc1988


    That some price. Unbelievable :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 42 Mr Ed2011


    Aidan, Great tip at a fantastic price well done


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,558 ✭✭✭Heroditas


    P.S. bloody awesome tipping!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Thanks Lads..

    It was one of those times when i was the only one cheering. I went into the bookies to watch the race and couldn't believe the way she traveled. I would have had more on if i could be sure she wasn't going to be a pacemaker.. Its a laugh when everyone else was cursing the FAV for getting beat and me with my Fist pump..:D:D


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 930 ✭✭✭jousting with chairs


    Well done mate, forgot about it myself >.<


  • Registered Users Posts: 1 Jeff Magnier


    Amazing mate. I've seen lots of tipsters in my time but someone just told me about you the other day when Chillworth Icon was running and I completely agree that he'd have won that race if he hadn't raced at the weekend.

    I've never seen anything like today. If I knew you, I'd buy you a lot of drinks!
    aidankkk wrote: »
    Thanks Lads..

    It was one of those times when i was the only one cheering. I went into the bookies to watch the race and couldn't believe the way she traveled. I would have had more on if i could be sure she wasn't going to be a pacemaker.. Its a laugh when everyone else was cursing the FAV for getting beat and me with my Fist pump..:D:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 307 ✭✭minibear


    Thanks Aidan. you're a legend. :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 22 premierloco


    Unreal, as always. Thanks Aidan!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,625 ✭✭✭✭Johner


    Brilliant stuff Aidan!


  • Registered Users Posts: 10 Relyod5454


    class picking Aidan!


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,224 ✭✭✭jimjamcos


    Some stuff Aidan!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    3:45 Epson

    Predictably enough I’m going for the outsider of the field here, with just enough zeros in his form to make it interesting. Free Zone basically hasn’t done a tap in long time, but amid all the last places over the last 2 years he has run well a few times, like the good 2nd at York at the end of last year. I never mind a few lasts with sprinters as these race can get away from you very quickly and there isn’t any point after that. He won’t mind the slightly softer ground here and if he can get away he should be able to perform of this mark. At 40/1 he’s worth the risk, especially with this trainer as he is a sprint specialist and surly would have a plan for this one. I’m also going for another at the end of the market in Smoothtalkingrascal. He was second in this 2 years ago and course form means a lot here. He has plummeted down the weights of late after a series of poor runs, but I’ve seen a bit to like in his last 2 runs and if the new stable have any sense they will have been getting him ready for today. His draw may not be ideal, but a big step up in form here wouldn’t be a huge surprise he is 20lbs below his highest mark and still only a 5yo. 33/1 is well worth a risk

    1 Point EW 40/1 Free Zone 5 Places Ladbrokes

    1 Point EW 33/1 Smoothtalkingrascal 5 Places Bet36


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Derby Ante-post

    I’ve been waiting to see what the stable did as regards Gleneagles and as he’s not running now I’m happy to have a bet NRNB on Giovanni Canaletto. I thought he looked good on his seasonal reappearance and with the given improvement as per usual from that stable 16/1 looks a very decent price. The French Derby yesterday was a perfect example of this with a very good 2nd, and I think it’s significant that they haven’t supplemented anything here.

    1 Point win 16/1 Paddy Power NRNB

    Previously selected running today. 16/1 looks good now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    4:30 Epson Derby

    I put up Giovanni Canaletto for this last weekend at 16/1 and I wouldn’t be swapping that now given he is only 8/1. I also think that Epicuris is probably a bit overlooked here at a decent price. He was a very good unbeaten 2yo in France winning a Group 1 at the end of last year. He was poor enough on his reappearance but I just don’t think he would be coming here without a bit of a chance from this trainer. His 2yo for is really top drawer and if it does get in any way softer tomorrow that certainly won’t bother him. 18/1 with Paddy Power is too big to ignore.

    1 Point win 18/1 Paddy Power


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Epson 5:50

    Extrasolar
    has always taken a few runs to get going and despite being poor so far this year he is now of a mark he can win off. He has been slowly away the last 2 times so if he can get away this time he should be getting near fit enough to do himself justice at a decent looking 25/1. He looks worth a gamble at that price.

    1 Point win 25/1 Various


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Epson 5:15

    Going for last minute change of heart here. I had a look at Mirsalle in this last night and decided against it, but on a second look he is down to a very nice mark and won around here on his first run of the season 2 years ago. He had 1 very good run last year when 2nd to Gatewood on level weights and today of 89 with a 3lbs claimer on he may be in with a shout at 40/1

    1 Point EW 40/1 Betfair/Tote/Sporting/Betfair


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    4:05 Goodwood

    Chiberta King
    is one I had tracked after a decent run for me last time out, when obviously needing a step up in trip. If he improves for the run and with a good 5lbs claimer on today over the right trip he won’t be far away. I think 14/1 looks value.

    2 Points win 14/1 Generally


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,642 ✭✭✭Luap


    Neymar just won at Newcastle he better hurry up to get back for the 2nd half!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,484 ✭✭✭Peintre Celebre


    aidankkk wrote: »
    4:05 Goodwood

    Chiberta King
    is one I had tracked after a decent run for me last time out, when obviously needing a step up in trip. If he improves for the run and with a good 5lbs claimer on today over the right trip he won’t be far away. I think 14/1 looks value.

    2 Points win 14/1 Generally

    Backed him too I'd have taken 10/1. That was a good race he returned in and he fared much better than the bare result probably needing the run. 14/1 is quite big but not one for maximum faith


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Perth 4:25

    Bar De Lign
    e has been poor since he moved stable but this stable is well capable of getting him back to his best with a target in mind, and given his good course record around here, I think there is a better than 33/1 chance that he may be back on his game today. He has some very decent form last year and any kind of recovery here will put him ring in the firing line if this mark with a 7lbs claimer on and a very light weight. At the prices he is worth the risk. We should know where we stand before the race because if he is to improve today there will surely be a few quid for him at these prices.

    1 Point win 33/1 Generally


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    This Tread is up 140 so far after 57 bets.

    Winners have been

    Sole Power 8/1
    Buthelezi  20/1
    Emell  25/1
    Burano  16/1
    Sea Lord 9/1
    Al Kazeem 100/30
    Mukmal  20/1
    Qualify  100/1


    There is only 1 way for this tread to go after that start..


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Roscommon 8:30

    This looks a very nice race for a Monday and the minute I looked at it the 2 Gigginstown runners stood out a mile at the prices. Bishop’s Road has some very good form and is still very unexposed. He was poor enough last time but it was due to poor jumping from the start and if he can get that together here he should go close. The future form of some of his runs this year couldn’t have worked out any better. I’m also going for and old favourite in Rogue Angel who should be at home on decent ground and over this trip off this mark with a very good 5lbs claimer on today. He travelled well last time out but just didn’t stay having tried to go outside all the way and that didn’t work out. 25/1 looks a huge price

    2 Points win Bishops Road 12/1 365/Stanjames

    1 Point EW Rogue Angel 25/1 General


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 305 ✭✭hudhastings


    bishops road out in front all about staying power in these 3m


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 698 ✭✭✭Sirtoyou


    Good showing from both. Poor jump three out cost Bishops Road.


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