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27-02-2020, 17:19   #46
Harry Palmr
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Looks like a total nothing for Spain, why are they getting in on the act?!
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27-02-2020, 17:42   #47
 
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Looks like a total nothing for Spain, why are they getting in on the act?!
Our fish for years, now stealing our storm naming rights.. the bas*ards!
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27-02-2020, 17:47   #48
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IMO

ECM o6Z and GFS 12Z quite similar in bringing the center of the Storm closer to the W and across the NW / N

Showing 50 kt mean barbs and 70 Kt gust barbs along the coasts from Kerry up to Galway. Winds gusting up around 110 km/h overland.

Possible or fairly probable frontal snow event Saturday morning, very wintry at least for a time. Looks like accumulations inland but details will firm up more tomorrow re this.

Thinking this has increased wind speeds over the last few runs, ECM ,UKMO and GFS quite bunched in track and strength, ARPEGE and ICON have the system a bit further North so keeping the strongest winds to the W.

Thinking that it wouldn't take much more to make this a red warning for Kerry and Clare going by the current ECM and GFS. I think the GFS at close range is quite reliable and that is a fairly severe chart just out. More counties will probably go into the Orange wind warning category .

















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27-02-2020, 18:05   #49
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I see the National Emergency Coordination Group is to meet tomorrow in advance of Storm Jorge

https://www.rte.ie/news/2020/0227/11...ather-warning/

PS That's a nice photo of Fenit
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27-02-2020, 18:13   #50
pad199207
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George Lee nailing it all “The Spanish noticed it first”
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27-02-2020, 18:22   #51
bazlers
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Originally Posted by Meteorite58 View Post
IMO

ECM o6Z and GFS 12Z quite similar in bringing the center of the Storm closer to the W and across the NW / N

Showing 50 kt mean barbs and 70 Kt gust barbs along the coasts from Kerry up to Galway. Winds gusting up around 110 km/h overland.

Possible or fairly probable frontal snow event Saturday morning, very wintry at least for a time. Looks like accumulations inland but details will firm up more tomorrow re this.

Thinking this has increased wind speeds over the last few runs, ECM ,UKMO and GFS quite bunched in track and strength, ARPEGE and ICON have the system a bit further North so keeping the strongest winds to the W.

Thinking that it wouldn't take much more to make this a red warning for Kerry and Clare going by the current ECM and GFS. I think the GFS at close range is quite reliable and that is a fairly severe chart just out. More counties will probably go into the Orange wind warning category .

















How much precipitation are we likely to get between tomorrow morning and Sunday evening.
Is the Shannon going to get worse with flooding?
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27-02-2020, 18:24   #52
endainoz
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How much precipitation are we likely to get between tomorrow morning and Sunday evening.
Is the Shannon going to get worse with flooding?
I'm fairly sure more rain is due later tonight, so I'd say there could be a good chance of more flooding. Todays break from the rain was badly wanted
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27-02-2020, 18:28   #53
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I'm fairly sure more rain is due later tonight, so I'd say there could be a good chance of more flooding. Todays break from the rain was badly wanted
Heavy rain just started out here now. West mayo offshore
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27-02-2020, 18:40   #54
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Heavy rain just started out here now. West mayo offshore
Just a passing shower Graces7
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27-02-2020, 18:40   #55
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Met É have released a commentary on their thoughts for Storm Jorge.

https://www.met.ie/forecasts/meteorologists-commentary
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27-02-2020, 18:40   #56
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It will be another non event. I am calling it now.

What a surprise.
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27-02-2020, 18:41   #57
downwiththatsor
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The commentary Sryanbruen mentions includes this Harmonie map
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27-02-2020, 18:56   #58
sdanseo
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That's a fairly large swathe of 80km/h+ mean winds just off the coast. Can understand the warnings.
(The orange is 76km/h +, red is 89km/h + . 80km/h + over land is a red warning criterion).
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27-02-2020, 18:59   #59
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No mention of snow in the forecast for Saturday. Just sleet and hail...
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27-02-2020, 19:05   #60
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Looks severe but not end or worldly.

Once in a season type storm
Take care.
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