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100 Bets to Broke Flat Season

12346

Comments

  • #252
    gazza1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,137 ✭✭✭gazza1


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Same Race

    This race has broken up considerably and I think paddy powers w/o fav market looks wrong. Kingsgate Choice which I was looking at this morning but decided against is 22/1 in the standard market and 20/1 in the w/o which looks value given the favourite here is 4/6. The way the market has broken up it looks decent value for this horse to come back to form. He was poor last time in a decent race but broke slowly. He was decent enough on his reappearance and of this mark could well get involved.

    1 Point 20/1 w/o FAV Paddy Power

    Think they might have kopped it as ive just gone on and hes 20s to win and 11s w/o now. Still good value though


  • #253
    Francie Barrett
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,765 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Same Race

    This race has broken up considerably and I think paddy powers w/o fav market looks wrong. Kingsgate Choice which I was looking at this morning but decided against is 22/1 in the standard market and 20/1 in the w/o which looks value given the favourite here is 4/6. The way the market has broken up it looks decent value for this horse to come back to form. He was poor last time in a decent race but broke slowly. He was decent enough on his reappearance and of this mark could well get involved.

    1 Point 20/1 w/o FAV Paddy Power
    Ugh, talk about hitting the crossbar.


  • #254
    Johnny_Fontane
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,098 ✭✭✭Johnny_Fontane


    great should Aidan, didnt see race. How close was it?


  • #255
    darced
    Registered Users Posts: 7,056 ✭✭✭darced


    This post has been deleted.


  • #256
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    horse points type advised Date Course FP bsp isp Place result adv Profit BSP Profit invested
    Sole Power 1 w 8.00 28-Mar-15 Meydan 1 7.84 6.5 w 8 6.84 1
    Dont Call Me 0.5 w 66.00 28-Mar-15 Doncaster 15 97.49 41 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Bertiewhittle 1 w 50.00 28-Mar-15 Doncaster 11 75.35 41 l -1 -1 1
    Burano 0.5 w 25.00 28-Mar-15 Doncaster 17 28.72 21 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Boots And Spurs 0.5 w 33.00 28-Mar-15 Doncaster 14 36 26 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Jack Dexter 1 w 12.00 28-Mar-15 Doncaster 4 8.25 7 l -1 -1 1
    Buthelezi  1 w 21.00 03-Apr-15 Musselburgh 1/11 16.95 17 4.65 w 20 15.95 1
    Excellent Guest 0.5 w 60.00 18-Apr-15 Newbury 21/22 49.52 34 9.54 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Pearl Ice 0.5 w 65.00 18-Apr-15 Newbury 14/22 45.07 34 8.65 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Swiss Cross 0.5 w 12.00 22-Apr-15 Epsom Downs 4/9 10.37 9 3.1 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Sennockian Star 0.5 w 13.00 22-Apr-15 Epsom Downs 10/11 13.82 13 4.07 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Emell  1 w 26.00 25-Apr-15 Haydock Park 1/13 32.66 26 7.67 w 25 31.66 1
    Arnold Lane 1 w 23.00 25-Apr-15 Ripon 13/16 19.34 17 4.4 l -1 -1 1
    Pastoral Player 1 w 12.00 02-May-15 Goodwood 2/12 15 12 5.3 l -1 -1 1
    Swiss Cross 0.5 ew 51.00 03-May-15 Newmarket (Rowley) 17/22 91.6 51 13.12 l -1 -1 1
    Mubaraza  1 w 15.00 06-May-15 Chester 13/17 30 21 4.9 l -1 -1 1
    Burano  1 w 17 09 May 15 Lingfield Park 1/8 14.65 12 3.57 w 16 13.65 1
    Rebellious Guest 1 w 26 09 May 15 Ascot 12/12 29.4 21 5.45 l -1 -1 1
    Hawkeyethenoo  1 ew 41 09 May 15 Ascot 3/26 33.29 26 6.99 p 9 4.99 2
    Cradle Mountain 1 w 21 10 May 15 Leopardstown 4/4 12.13 9 3.3 l -1 -1 1
    Sebadee  1 ew 26 11 May 15 Killarney 5/9 30.55 17 4.36 l -2 -2 2
    Caspar Netscher 1 w 25 13 May 15 York 4/15 38 26 7.59 l -1 -1 1
    Gathering Power 0.5 w 34 13 May 15 York 8/15 40 21 10.11 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Blaine 1 ew 26 13 May 15 York 8/17 21.7 17 5.6 l -2 -2 2
    Sir Jack Layden 0.5 w 51 13 May 15 York 15/18 338.63 67 19.19 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Icon Dream 0.5 ew 67 14 May 15 York 6/15 100.04 51 12.5 l -1 -1 1
    Sea Lord 1 w 10 15 May 15 Aintree 2/11 10.5 9 3.1 w 9 9 1
    Val de Ferbet 1 w 10 16 May 15 Auteuil 2/14 - 21 - l -1 -1 1
    Chiberta King 0.5 w 21 16 May 15 Newmarket (Rowley) 6/9 23.08 17 5.72 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Cougar Mountain 0.5 w 26 16 May 15 Newbury 11/16 28.57 26 6.06 l -1 -1 1
    Toormore  1 w 10 16 May 15 Newbury 2/16 12.26 11 3.94 l -1 -1 1
    Gramercy 1 ew 21 16 May 15 Thirsk 3/12 10.6 10 2.5 p 4 0.5 2
    Shipyard 1 w 13 17 May 15 Navan 12/15 9.74 10 3.1 l -1 -1 1
    Gramercy  1 w 13 23 May 15 Haydock Park 8/15 25.32 17 3.9 l -1 -1 1
    Grumeti  1 w 12 23 May 15 Goodwood 7/11 18.79 13 5.3 l -1 -1 1
    Jack Dexter 1 w 19 23 May 15 Haydock Park 2/11 15.09 13 4.1 l -1 -1 1
    Suegioo  1 w 17 23 May 15 Haydock Park 4/15 23 17 4.9 l -1 -1 1
    Ill De Re 1 ew 21 23 May 15 Haydock Park 15/15 23 17 4.9 l -2 -2 2
    Sole Power 2 w 6 23 May 15 Curragh 6/9 5.59 5 1.98 l -2 -2 2
    Qualify 0.5 ew 51 24 May 15 Curragh 10/18 100.77 51 15 l -1 -1 1
    Al Kazeem 2 w 4.3 24 May 15 Curragh 1/6 3.93 4 1.93 w 6.6 3.86 2
    Rebellious Guest 1 w 21 25 May 15 Redcar 8/8 29 21 5.98 l -1 -1 1
    Hoof It 0.5 w 26 30 May 15 Newmarket (Rowley) 13/13 32 26 8.4 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Mukmal  1 w 20 30 May 15 Newmarket (Rowley) 1/13 40 26 8.48 w 25 39 1
    Sir Jack Layden 0.5 w 51 30 May 15 Newmarket (Rowley) 12/12 78 34 14.81 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Chilworth Icon 0.5 ew 41 30 May 15 York 10/20 25.39 21 6.54 l -1 -1 1
    Giovanni Canaletto 1 w 17 06 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 4/12 8.06 7 2.4 l -1 -1 1
    Chilworth Icon 1 ew 21 03 Jun 15 Ripon 3/10 10.24 9 3.28 p 4 1.28 2
    Together Forever 1 w 11 05 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 7/11 12 10 3 l -1 -1 1
    Qualify  .5 ew 101 05 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 1/11 116.75 51 8.99 w 62.5 60.87 1
    Dance and Dance 1 w 17 05 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 9/13 18.19 17 4.78 l -1 -1 1
    Mirsalle  1 ew 41 06 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 16/19 90 34 13.55 l -2 -2 2
    Extrasolar  1 w 26 06 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 8/13 41.94 21 7.6 l -1 -1 1
    Epicuris  1 w 19 06 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 5/12 25.72 21 6.15 l -1 -1 1
    Smoothtalkingrascal  1 ew 34 06 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 6/20 52.1 26 8 l -2 -2 2
    Free Zone 1 ew 41 06 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 15/20 140 34 12.12 l -2 -2 2
    Bar De Ligne 1 w 34 07 Jun 15 Perth 5/8 30.5 26 5.63 l -1 -1 1
    Chiberta King 2 w 15 07 Jun 15 Goodwood 6/11 13.5 11 4.6 l -2 -2 2
    Rogue Angel 1 ew 26 08 Jun 15 Roscommon 5/15 23.52 17 6.8 l -2 -2 2.00
    Bishops Road 2 w 13 08 Jun 15 Roscommon 6/15 9.9 8 3.54 l -2 -2 2.00
    Uno Voice 1.5 ew 26 11 Jun 15 Leopardstown 1/14 21.63 17 5.92 w 27 16.74 1.50
    Icon Dream 1 w 15 12 Jun 15 York 8/12 8.78 8 2.9 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Top Notch Tonto 1 w 15 13 Jun 15 York 1/8 9.45 8 2.64 w 11 8.45 1.00
    Hawkeythenoo  1 w 17 13 Jun 15 Musselburgh 11/17 17.34 13 3.54 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Kingsgate Choice 1 w 23 13 Jun 15 Musselburgh 17/17 34.36 26 6.46 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Money Team 1 w 21 13 Jun 15 Musselburgh 8/16 9.36 8 2.4 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Highland Colori 1 w 26 13 Jun 15 York 4/17 26.04 17 5.76 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    York Glory 1 w 34 14 Jun 15 Doncaster 10/10 30.92 34 10.45 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Stepper Point 1 ew 34 16 Jun 15 Ascot 16/18 26.02 21 6.38 l -2 -2 2.00
    Handazan  1 ew 41 16 Jun 15 Ascot 15/19 186.59 41 13.6 l -2 -2 2.00
    Royal Irish Huzzar 1 ew 34 16 Jun 15 Ascot 19/19 66.55 34 12.42 l -2 -2 2.00
    Toscanini  1 w 17 17 Jun 15 Ascot 5/16 17 15 4.12 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Father Frost 0.5 ew 51 17 Jun 15 Ascot 9/16 120.86 51 19.97 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    American Hope 1 ew 26 17 Jun 15 Ascot 6/30 25.36 21 7.65 p 5.25 5.65 2.00
    Sirius Prospect 1 ew 51 17 Jun 15 Ascot 18/30 118.14 67 16.76 l -2 -2 2.00
    Rotherwick  1 w 26 18 Jun 15 Ascot 5/28 28.61 21 6.87 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Jargon  0.5 ew 101 18 Jun 15 Ascot 25/28 226.36 67 38 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Cape Clear Island 1 w 14 18 Jun 15 Ascot 10/11 16.08 13 4.11 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Simenon  1 w 13 18 Jun 15 Ascot 4/12 27.86 15 4 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Tac De Boistron’s 2 w 17 18 Jun 15 Ascot 12/12 9.62 9 4.5 l -2 -2 2.00
    Limato  2 w 7 19 Jun 15 Ascot 2/18 5.71 5.5 2.5 l -2 -2 2.00
    Hillstar  1 w 13 20 Jun 15 Ascot 5/7 21 17 8.2 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Educate  1 w 19 20 Jun 15 Ascot 11/13 24 15 3.5 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Ninjago  2 ew 21 20 Jun 15 Ascot 14/25 18.33 15 4.2 l -4.00 -4.00 4.00
    Blaine  1 ew 51 20 Jun 15 Ascot 22/25 45.77 34 11.89 l -2 -2 2.00
    Gordon Lord Byron 1 w 26 20 Jun 15 Ascot 8/15 32.62 21 7.69 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Caspar Netscher 1 w 33 20 Jun 15 Ascot 7/15 34.77 26 8.77 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Moon Dice 1 ew 26 22 Jun 15 Kilbeggan 6/16 53.42 26 5.9 l -2 -2 2.00
    Secret Witness 1 w 13 22 Jun 15 Chepstow 4/10 17 13 4.45 l -1 -1.00 1.00


    142.35 128.435 109.5



    Here is the updated stats after 90 bets. 10 more to go

    142 points advised profit and 128 BSP.

    One noticeable factor in these is EW is a pure looser and for ROI it would be better without. That said ill always go for it when there is an extra place in a big Saturday handicap.


  • #257
    Harry Palmr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 40,061 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    I take it you'll go again for the next 100 to broke for the rest of the flat season....yes? :)


  • #258
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    3:45 Newcastle

    One look at Swynmor’s run at Galway last year of 4 lbs higher than this, will make his current price of 28/1 seem a tad generous. He was poor since in 2 runs but has surly been readied for this after a long break and a pipe opener a few weeks ago. I’d imagine they might think he has a bit in hand off this mark.

    2 Points EW 28/1 5 places Sky/Ladbrokes/Paddypower

    3:10 Newcastle

    Apostle     is a horse I expect to come to life soon enough, and I’d like to get in while the price is decent. He was good towards the end of last year and if he can get back to that form he will be competitive of this mark as he has been before. 25/1 looks worth a small gamble that today is the day he starts to improve

    1 Point EW 25/1 Generally


  • #259
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Irish Derby 6:30

    I’ve changed my mind here in that although I prefer Highland Reel to put it up to the favourite, at the prices Giovanni Canaletto is way too big at 12/1. On a re-watch of the Epson Derby he finished a lot better than I remembered and took too long to get going. That would signify that he will be more suited by the Curragh and 12/1 looks a huge price

    1 Point win 12/1 Sporting/Betfair/Hills


  • #260
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Curragh 5:00
    Caspian Prince has proven that he can perform of this mark and I’ll give him a pass on his first 2 runs this year after a very good Meyden season and it often takes a couple of runs to get back on form afterwards. He was heavily backed for the Epson Dash and didn’t perform but that gives me a bit of hope that he may be going well at home. He was 2nd in this last year and 25/1 with 5 places looks worth an EW bet.
    1 Point EW 25/1 5 Places 365/Paddy/Sky


  • #261
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Thirsk 4:30


    Surly today is finally the day Rex Imperator takes advantage of his plumetting mark. He has been running well lately probably over a trip that doesnt suit him best and the drop back to 6 here is to his advantage along with an even lower mark. If he settles at all here he should win and 7/2 looks value.

    The Favourite look dangerous enough but to give Rex 10lbs looks to be pushing it.


    2 Points win 7/2 Generally


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  • #262
    dwinkin09
    Registered Users Posts: 19 ✭dwinkin09


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Thirsk 4:30


    Surly today is finally the day Rex Imperator takes advantage of his plumetting mark. He has been running well lately probably over a trip that doesnt suit him best and the drop back to 6 here is to his advantage along with an even lower mark. If he settles at all here he should win and 7/2 looks value.

    The Favourite look dangerous enough but to give Rex 10lbs looks to be pushing it.


    2 Points win 7/2 Generally

    Cheers for that Aidan 😊


  • #263
    ShaneU
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,941 ✭✭✭✭ShaneU


    Sweet, won with a free bet too ;)


  • #264
    magicmoves
    Registered Users Posts: 473 ✭✭magicmoves


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Thirsk 4:30


    Surly today is finally the day Rex Imperator takes advantage of his plumetting mark. He has been running well lately probably over a trip that doesnt suit him best and the drop back to 6 here is to his advantage along with an even lower mark. If he settles at all here he should win and 7/2 looks value.

    The Favourite look dangerous enough but to give Rex 10lbs looks to be pushing it.


    2 Points win 7/2 Generally

    Good shout


  • #265
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Epson 7:25

    Looking back through Geological's form reveals that all his good runs at the end of last year have worked out really well; with every horse he was involved in a finish with going up in mark afterwards and performing. He came back here last month and travelled well but ran out of steam which was understandable on his seasonal reappearance and the trip was over 7 furlongs which was probably too far. He is back over 6 furlongs here and if he can repeat his improvement at the end of last year he shouldn’t be far away here. This does look a fairly tough race with a few in it that could come back to form of a good mark, but 12/1 about the selection seems decent value.


    1 Point win 12/1 Sky/Hills/Betway


  • #266
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Tipperary 8:30

    My record in these kinds of races is pretty shoddy to say the least but there is a couple in here on very low mark that probably has a race like this in them at some stage. I’m going to go with a trainer and jockey that haven’t had a winner yet this year, but on his last run Cape Explorer might just be about to get into some kind of half decent form, which would be enough to get involved here of this mark. He was a very decent mid 70’s horse on the flat in the uk before being a promising enough Hurdler. He was very lightly raced before moving to his current stable and its fair to say he may not be going to get back to his former mark any time soon. His last run was a step up on a very poor series of runs and off this mark 25lbs below his best with a 10 lbs claimer on he may stand a decent chance in this low level race. If I’m going to have a bet in these low level races they will be min bets.


    ½ Point EW 25/1 Generally


  • #267
    ShaneU
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,941 ✭✭✭✭ShaneU


    Balls, just out of the places


  • #268
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    ShaneU wrote: »
    Balls, just out of the places


    fecking non runners .... 15 ran and only 3 places.:mad: ahh well still..


  • #269
    byronbay2
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,772 ✭✭✭byronbay2


    aidankkk wrote: »
    fecking non runners .... 15 ran and only 3 places.:mad: ahh well still..

    Would still have got 4 places with the Betpack bookies in that situation!


  • #270
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Haydock 2:50 Old Newton Cup

    This looks a tough race with very little between lots of the participants. In some respects is don’t fancy anything to win but in looking for value Great Hall appeals at a decent price. He had a good seasonal reappearance and if he builds on that run he should get competitive here where he has in fact a decent record in 2 runs here. He is relatively lightly raced for a 5yo and could still have a bit of improvement in him. 16/1 looks a decent price.


    1 Point win 16/1 boyles/VC/365/Lads

    Sandown 2:35

    Baltic Knight sticks out here at a very big price. He has been running well in decent races an looks well worth his mark at the moment. He also has a great record in the few handicaps he has contested with a record of 112 is 3 races. He actually won of 1lb higher than this mark last year and in my mind is no 33/1 shot here. He does have a negative of a poor enough draw but I’m hopeful class will out here and he can get involved in the finish.

    1 Point EW 33/1 VC/Coral


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  • #271
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Beverly 3:00

    Money Team really caught the eye last time when he ran well without getting the breaks in a much tougher race than this. He was my selection that time and although following up with sprinters can be the quick way to the poorhouse he looks ready to pounce. 10/1 looks a bit of value here, I’m fairly certain he will go off at 7/1 or less.


    1 Point win 10/1 Generally


  • #272
    meath4sam
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 605 ✭✭✭meath4sam


    byronbay2 wrote: »
    Would still have got 4 places with the Betpack bookies in that situation!

    I put a fiver e.w on that in Bamburys yesterday evening. So you reckon they will pay the place for forth?


  • #273
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Sandown 2:00

    Stepper Point is an old favourite of mine, and I think he is being overlooked here because of things not going his way in the Kings Stand. He does have a few possibly very good 3yo’s to face here that could well be anything but with Mecca’s Angel now a non-runner I think he is superb value against a field of unknown quantities and horses that he has beaten regularly enough. 12/1 seems way to big a price for him even given his slightly inconsistent form, which in fairness is common enough in these 5 furlong sprints where everything has to come right to win.


    1 Point win 12/1 sky/vc/lads


  • #274
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Sandown 2:35

    Now that Baltic Knight is a nonrunner, I'm going to go with my second choice here in Munaaser. He looked to be on an upward curve at the end of last year culminating with a very good 2nd to a top horse in GM Hopkins . He has been poor this year but I'm assuming that he will start to improve soon and 20/1 looks a risk worth taking..

    1pt win 20/1 generally.


  • #275
    qwabercd
    Registered Users Posts: 2,218 ✭✭✭qwabercd


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Sandown 2:35

    Now that Baltic Knight is a nonrunner, I'm going to go with my second choice here in Munaaser. He looked to be on an upward curve at the end of last year culminating with a very good 2nd to a top horse in GM Hopkins . He has been poor this year but I'm assuming that he will start to improve soon and 20/1 looks a risk worth taking..

    1pt win 20/1 generally.

    Great run from near the back of the field, looked momentarily like he was going to get there but pipped to either 2nd or 3rd.


  • #276
    billy_beckham
    Registered Users Posts: 425 ✭✭billy_beckham


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Sandown 2:00

    Stepper Point is an old favourite of mine, and I think he is being overlooked here because of things not going his way in the Kings Stand. He does have a few possibly very good 3yo’s to face here that could well be anything but with Mecca’s Angel now a non-runner I think he is superb value against a field of unknown quantities and horses that he has beaten regularly enough. 12/1 seems way to big a price for him even given his slightly inconsistent form, which in fairness is common enough in these 5 furlong sprints where everything has to come right to win.


    1 Point win 12/1 sky/vc/lads

    Dunno how stewards didn't promote this one to third!


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  • #277
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Cheers, Munaaser marked as 16/1 winner for me (using W/O fav), always worth considering using that.
    Similarly that other one from yesterday Cape Explorer was 1/4 placed @18/1 yesterday, (again using the W/O).
    Handy for accumulators where 3pl are offered as usually still adheres to the 3places as per faller insurance etc.


  • #278
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Limerick 4:50

    Bishops Road travelled better than anything last time out and I think the slightly shorter trip here in a weaker race could make him hard to beat here despite giving weight to the field. He will need to win this to get into the Galway Plate. Some of his form reads very well in the context of this type of race and I thought he would be a solid favourite here. 7/1 with Ladbrokes is a standout price.


    2 Points win 7/1 Ladbrokes


  • #279
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Ayr 4:10

    Pintura may not have his ideal softer conditions here, but with the ground just gone from g/soft to good he should still be able to act on that. He was poor on proper firm ground last time out but showed that a return to form was possible on his seasonal reappearance when 2nd over c&d on good ground . G Lee is a eye-catching booking and the trainer has had a couple of winners lately. 16/1 looks a few points too big and worth a small bet.


    1 Point win 16/1 VC/Stan/Hills/Betfair


  • #280
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Doncaster 5:10

    Hoofalong looks to one to be on here. He gave the impression he was about to strike 2 runs ago in a much better contest than this and was heavily backed last time out but unseated just after the start. Off this mark in this poor enough race which has got a bit poorer after a few non-runners 6/1 looks value. I wouldn’t be surprised if he started on around the 7/2 mark.

    2 Points win 6/1 365/VC/Betfair

    Epson 8:50

    Swiss Cross has been expect to come good a few times lately but has disappointed on most occasion’s. His record here though is very decent and a repeat of his run over c&d in June in a much stronger contest would be enough to win here off 4lbs lower. He has disappointed a few times since but he’ll be better here. 8/1 is bigger than I expected him to be and worth a bet.

    1 Point win 8/1 365/VC

    Newmarket 3:15

    Hillstar is probably the best horse in this race on known form and if he can improve from his fairly decent seasonal reappearance at Ascot he may well do what he should do and win this. He has been abandoned by Ryan Moore but that has resulted in the bit of value and given his super consistent runs last year 13/2 looks value. The favourite has to step up a lot to be beating all of these decent group horses.

    1 Point win 13/2 Generally


  • #281
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    York 4:00

    I’m going to go with a couple of horse that have been coming down the weights but have showed lately that a return might not be far off. Ballesteros is now on a winnable mark well below his last winning mark but is just beginning to show that he may be able to win soon judging by his last run or 2. Free Zone is very similar and has showed improvement lately. I’m going to back both with minimum stakes for and interest in this good 5 furlong sprint. With these sprinters it’s a matter of timing to get the first good run at the time of a decent price.


    ½ Point win Ballesteros 20/1 Ladbrokes
    ½ Point win Free Zone 16/1 Lads/Betfair/VC


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  • #282
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Newmarket 3:45

    Burnt Sugar could easily outrun his huge odds here. He hasn't had much luck in running a few times this year but the form of his 5th at Ascot earlier this year could not have worked out any better. He can perform of this mark and with a good 5lbs claimer on today 40/1 seems far to big .

    1 point Ew 40/1 various


  • #283
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Ascot 4:10

    Tamayuz star looks too big a price here. He has performed well in decent races off a much higher mark and started this year running well of this mark . He was poor enough last time out but didn't get the run of the race . Decent 3 lbs claimer on today and in this race from a trainer who can train a winner here 20/1 looks too big.

    1 point win 20/1 generally


  • #284
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Ascot 4:10

    Tamayuz star looks too big a price here. He has performed well in decent races off a much higher mark and started this year running well of this mark . He was poor enough last time out but didn't get the run of the race . Decent 3 lbs claimer on today and in this race from a trainer who can train a winner here 20/1 looks too big.

    1 point win 20/1 generally


  • #285
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    York 3:25

    Blue Huzzar might just have found s workable mark here . I watched his last run at Ascot after putting him up at a huge price and looking back on it he was never put in the race and stayed on nicely in a very tough race. He has a good 3 lbs claimer on today and is due to a very nice mark on his old form . He is worth a risk.

    1 point Ew 33/1 generally


  • #286
    magicmoves
    Registered Users Posts: 473 ✭✭magicmoves


    Your are on fire today Aidan with the tips:)


  • #287
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    magicmoves wrote: »
    Your are on fire today Aidan with the tips:)

    On holidays and it's too hot to go out !! So board enough to look at race cards ..


  • #288
    skippymac6
    Registered Users Posts: 1,025 ✭✭✭skippymac6


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Sandown 2:00

    Stepper Point is an old favourite of mine, and I think he is being overlooked here because of things not going his way in the Kings Stand. He does have a few possibly very good 3yo’s to face here that could well be anything but with Mecca’s Angel now a non-runner I think he is superb value against a field of unknown quantities and horses that he has beaten regularly enough. 12/1 seems way to big a price for him even given his slightly inconsistent form, which in fairness is common enough in these 5 furlong sprints where everything has to come right to win.


    1 Point win 12/1 sky/vc/lads

    I think Stepper Point has a great chance in the 2.55 at York tomorrow. He can be forgiven his last run and I reckon he'll go very close tomorrow.


  • #289
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Newmarket 3:45

    Burnt Sugar could easily outrun his huge odds here. He hasn't had much luck in running a few times this year but the form of his 5th at Ascot earlier this year could not have worked out any better. He can perform of this mark and with a good 5lbs claimer on today 40/1 seems far to big .

    1 point Ew 40/1 various

    :-((. Feck it ran well finish 5th .


  • #290
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Gutted that my bet of the flat season didn’t get into the Bunbury Cup & my second choice is now a non-runner, but anyway nothing can be done.

    York 2:55

    Sometimes I look at a price and think some of the odds compilers must be on drugs or something. Stepper Point is no 10/1 shot here. He came up against 2 very good young horses last time out and ran a great race to be denied 3rd by a couple of bumps near the end. He is around 6/1 at best maybe less and Out Do looks the main danger.

    2 Points win 10/1 Betfair/888

    Ascot 2:10

    Kingsgate Choice is also a surprisingly big price here. He got back to form last time in no uncertain terms and judging by his previous profile when he was on form he is as consistent as any sprinter. I fully expected him to be at best 12/1 here so the 20/1 on offer will have to be taken.

    2 Points Win 20/1 Sky/Stan/Lads

    Newmarket 3:45

    Sole Powers record in Group 1 6 furlong races is not as bad as many people make out. In his last 3 Group 1 6 furlong races he has ran well each time and with his style of racing he needs the breaks to win anyway. There is a price for every horse and 16/1 is just too high for the horse with the fastest kick in racing. The 2 favourites are way too short here. Muthmir may also be overpriced as the step up will more than likely suit him.
    Something silly always happens in these races and my original big price selection Jack Dexter probably isn’t much value now since he has been pricewised. Steps has really caught the eye in each of his last 2 runs and he has looked to me as if the step up to 6 furlongs will suit him as he has been really finishing his races well. He was the only one really who did anything from the stand side in the Kings Stand and if he can break a bit better here I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he can sneak into a place at a huge price.

    1 Point win Sole Power 16/1 Various

    1 Point EW Steps Paddy Power 66/1 4 Places


  • #291
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    York 3:25

    Having ruled out the whole field from having no chance of winning this nightmare race, I’ve settled on a min bet on the outsider Odeon . I picked the big price winner of the a few years ago who had a somewhat similar profile in that he had some class for the year before. Odoen was 3rd in the Great Voltigeur last year looking like he would be better over shorter. The 10 Furlongs he has here will be ideal and despite the fact that he has been last in his 3 starts this year and they would be mad to be even trying here as he will go down further if he does run poorly here, at 120 on betfair I’ll have a min bet. In general his course form is very good so it would make a tiny bit of sense to have targeted this race. I’ll probably have another one for this in the morning

    ½ Point win 120 Betfair


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  • #292
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    York 3:25

    I've decided to add Tres Coronas to my ammunition for this race because his York record is very good really and I think his place potential today is very good for a 40/1 shot. He has looked good a few times this year and has been looking like a good run is coming.

    1 point ew 40/1 vc/coral/888


  • #293
    qwabercd
    Registered Users Posts: 2,218 ✭✭✭qwabercd


    aidankkk wrote: »
    Gutted that my bet of the flat season didn’t get into the Bunbury Cup & my second choice is now a non-runner, but anyway nothing can be done.

    York 2:55

    Sometimes I look at a price and think some of the odds compilers must be on drugs or something. Stepper Point is no 10/1 shot here. He came up against 2 very good young horses last time out and ran a great race to be denied 3rd by a couple of bumps near the end. He is around 6/1 at best maybe less and Out Do looks the main danger.

    2 Points win 10/1 Betfair/888

    Ascot 2:10

    Kingsgate Choice is also a surprisingly big price here. He got back to form last time in no uncertain terms and judging by his previous profile when he was on form he is as consistent as any sprinter. I fully expected him to be at best 12/1 here so the 20/1 on offer will have to be taken.

    2 Points Win 20/1 Sky/Stan/Lads

    Newmarket 3:45

    Sole Powers record in Group 1 6 furlong races is not as bad as many people make out. In his last 3 Group 1 6 furlong races he has ran well each time and with his style of racing he needs the breaks to win anyway. There is a price for every horse and 16/1 is just too high for the horse with the fastest kick in racing. The 2 favourites are way too short here. Muthmir may also be overpriced as the step up will more than likely suit him.
    Something silly always happens in these races and my original big price selection Jack Dexter probably isn’t much value now since he has been pricewised. Steps has really caught the eye in each of his last 2 runs and he has looked to me as if the step up to 6 furlongs will suit him as he has been really finishing his races well. He was the only one really who did anything from the stand side in the Kings Stand and if he can break a bit better here I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he can sneak into a place at a huge price.

    1 Point win Sole Power 16/1 Various

    1 Point EW Steps Paddy Power 66/1 4 Places

    Stepper point a non runner.


  • #294
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Newmarket 3:10

    Now that my bet of the flat year didn’t get in, I’ve been looking at this race trying to find a margin and it looks to me as if most of the field are priced up about right apart from possibly the outsider of the lot Sirius Prospect. He blew his load far too early last time out and I was somewhat impressed he lasted as long as he did. He is proven of this mark and apart from that run had been running well this year. I’m pretty sure he is better over 7 furlongs anyway and I think he is worth a shot at 50/1 EW.


    1 Point EW 50/1 VC/Stan


  • #295
    another36
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 109 ✭✭another36


    Best of luck have followed some of them


  • #296
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Now this tread is finished after 116 Bets the following are the results

    119 Points Profit from 147 Points invested to Advised and 108 to BSP

    I think that my 11th tread and 10 have been profitable

    We hit a goal post a few times near the End which brought down the points won, but its way higher than could be expected for 100 bets


  • #297
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    horse points type advised Date Course FP bsp isp Place result adv Profit BSP Profit invested
    Sole Power 1 w 8.00 28-Mar-15 Meydan 1 7.84 6.5 w 8 6.84 1
    Dont Call Me 0.5 w 66.00 28-Mar-15 Doncaster 15 97.49 41 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Bertiewhittle 1 w 50.00 28-Mar-15 Doncaster 11 75.35 41 l -1 -1 1
    Burano 0.5 w 25.00 28-Mar-15 Doncaster 17 28.72 21 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Boots And Spurs 0.5 w 33.00 28-Mar-15 Doncaster 14 36 26 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Jack Dexter 1 w 12.00 28-Mar-15 Doncaster 4 8.25 7 l -1 -1 1
    Buthelezi  1 w 21.00 03-Apr-15 Musselburgh 1/11 16.95 17 4.65 w 20 15.95 1
    Excellent Guest 0.5 w 60.00 18-Apr-15 Newbury 21/22 49.52 34 9.54 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Pearl Ice 0.5 w 65.00 18-Apr-15 Newbury 14/22 45.07 34 8.65 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Swiss Cross 0.5 w 12.00 22-Apr-15 Epsom Downs 4/9 10.37 9 3.1 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Sennockian Star 0.5 w 13.00 22-Apr-15 Epsom Downs 10/11 13.82 13 4.07 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Emell  1 w 26.00 25-Apr-15 Haydock Park 1/13 32.66 26 7.67 w 25 31.66 1
    Arnold Lane 1 w 23.00 25-Apr-15 Ripon 13/16 19.34 17 4.4 l -1 -1 1
    Pastoral Player 1 w 12.00 02-May-15 Goodwood 2/12 15 12 5.3 l -1 -1 1
    Swiss Cross 0.5 ew 51.00 03-May-15 Newmarket (Rowley) 17/22 91.6 51 13.12 l -1 -1 1
    Mubaraza  1 w 15.00 06-May-15 Chester 13/17 30 21 4.9 l -1 -1 1
    Burano  1 w 17 09 May 15 Lingfield Park 1/8 14.65 12 3.57 w 16 13.65 1
    Rebellious Guest 1 w 26 09 May 15 Ascot 12/12 29.4 21 5.45 l -1 -1 1
    Hawkeyethenoo  1 ew 41 09 May 15 Ascot 3/26 33.29 26 6.99 p 9 4.99 2
    Cradle Mountain 1 w 21 10 May 15 Leopardstown 4/4 12.13 9 3.3 l -1 -1 1
    Sebadee  1 ew 26 11 May 15 Killarney 5/9 30.55 17 4.36 l -2 -2 2
    Caspar Netscher 1 w 25 13 May 15 York 4/15 38 26 7.59 l -1 -1 1
    Gathering Power 0.5 w 34 13 May 15 York 8/15 40 21 10.11 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Blaine 1 ew 26 13 May 15 York 8/17 21.7 17 5.6 l -2 -2 2
    Sir Jack Layden 0.5 w 51 13 May 15 York 15/18 338.63 67 19.19 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Icon Dream 0.5 ew 67 14 May 15 York 6/15 100.04 51 12.5 l -1 -1 1
    Sea Lord 1 w 10 15 May 15 Aintree 2/11 10.5 9 3.1 w 9 9 1
    Val de Ferbet 1 w 10 16 May 15 Auteuil 2/14 - 21 - l -1 -1 1
    Chiberta King 0.5 w 21 16 May 15 Newmarket (Rowley) 6/9 23.08 17 5.72 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Cougar Mountain 0.5 w 26 16 May 15 Newbury 11/16 28.57 26 6.06 l -1 -1 1
    Toormore  1 w 10 16 May 15 Newbury 2/16 12.26 11 3.94 l -1 -1 1
    Gramercy 1 ew 21 16 May 15 Thirsk 3/12 10.6 10 2.5 p 4 0.5 2
    Shipyard 1 w 13 17 May 15 Navan 12/15 9.74 10 3.1 l -1 -1 1
    Gramercy  1 w 13 23 May 15 Haydock Park 8/15 25.32 17 3.9 l -1 -1 1
    Grumeti  1 w 12 23 May 15 Goodwood 7/11 18.79 13 5.3 l -1 -1 1
    Jack Dexter 1 w 19 23 May 15 Haydock Park 2/11 15.09 13 4.1 l -1 -1 1
    Suegioo  1 w 17 23 May 15 Haydock Park 4/15 23 17 4.9 l -1 -1 1
    Ill De Re 1 ew 21 23 May 15 Haydock Park 15/15 23 17 4.9 l -2 -2 2
    Sole Power 2 w 6 23 May 15 Curragh 6/9 5.59 5 1.98 l -2 -2 2
    Qualify 0.5 ew 51 24 May 15 Curragh 10/18 100.77 51 15 l -1 -1 1
    Al Kazeem 2 w 4.3 24 May 15 Curragh 1/6 3.93 4 1.93 w 6.6 3.86 2
    Rebellious Guest 1 w 21 25 May 15 Redcar 8/8 29 21 5.98 l -1 -1 1
    Hoof It 0.5 w 26 30 May 15 Newmarket (Rowley) 13/13 32 26 8.4 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Mukmal  1 w 20 30 May 15 Newmarket (Rowley) 1/13 40 26 8.48 w 25 39 1
    Sir Jack Layden 0.5 w 51 30 May 15 Newmarket (Rowley) 12/12 78 34 14.81 l -0.5 -0.5 0.5
    Chilworth Icon 0.5 ew 41 30 May 15 York 10/20 25.39 21 6.54 l -1 -1 1
    Giovanni Canaletto 1 w 17 06 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 4/12 8.06 7 2.4 l -1 -1 1
    Chilworth Icon 1 ew 21 03 Jun 15 Ripon 3/10 10.24 9 3.28 p 4 1.28 2
    Together Forever 1 w 11 05 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 7/11 12 10 3 l -1 -1 1
    Qualify  .5 ew 101 05 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 1/11 116.75 51 8.99 w 62.5 60.87 1
    Dance and Dance 1 w 17 05 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 9/13 18.19 17 4.78 l -1 -1 1
    Mirsalle  1 ew 41 06 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 16/19 90 34 13.55 l -2 -2 2
    Extrasolar  1 w 26 06 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 8/13 41.94 21 7.6 l -1 -1 1
    Epicuris  1 w 19 06 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 5/12 25.72 21 6.15 l -1 -1 1
    Smoothtalkingrascal  1 ew 34 06 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 6/20 52.1 26 8 l -2 -2 2
    Free Zone 1 ew 41 06 Jun 15 Epsom Downs 15/20 140 34 12.12 l -2 -2 2
    Bar De Ligne 1 w 34 07 Jun 15 Perth 5/8 30.5 26 5.63 l -1 -1 1
    Chiberta King 2 w 15 07 Jun 15 Goodwood 6/11 13.5 11 4.6 l -2 -2 2
    Rogue Angel 1 ew 26 08 Jun 15 Roscommon 5/15 23.52 17 6.8 l -2 -2 2.00
    Bishops Road 2 w 13 08 Jun 15 Roscommon 6/15 9.9 8 3.54 l -2 -2 2.00
    Uno Voice 1.5 ew 26 11 Jun 15 Leopardstown 1/14 21.63 17 5.92 w 27 16.74 1.50
    Icon Dream 1 w 15 12 Jun 15 York 8/12 8.78 8 2.9 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Top Notch Tonto 1 w 15 13 Jun 15 York 1/8 9.45 8 2.64 w 11 8.45 1.00
    Hawkeythenoo  1 w 17 13 Jun 15 Musselburgh 11/17 17.34 13 3.54 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Kingsgate Choice 1 w 23 13 Jun 15 Musselburgh 17/17 34.36 26 6.46 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Money Team 1 w 21 13 Jun 15 Musselburgh 8/16 9.36 8 2.4 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Highland Colori 1 w 26 13 Jun 15 York 4/17 26.04 17 5.76 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    York Glory 1 w 34 14 Jun 15 Doncaster 10/10 30.92 34 10.45 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Stepper Point 1 ew 34 16 Jun 15 Ascot 16/18 26.02 21 6.38 l -2 -2 2.00
    Handazan  1 ew 41 16 Jun 15 Ascot 15/19 186.59 41 13.6 l -2 -2 2.00
    Royal Irish Huzzar 1 ew 34 16 Jun 15 Ascot 19/19 66.55 34 12.42 l -2 -2 2.00
    Toscanini  1 w 17 17 Jun 15 Ascot 5/16 17 15 4.12 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Father Frost 0.5 ew 51 17 Jun 15 Ascot 9/16 120.86 51 19.97 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    American Hope 1 ew 26 17 Jun 15 Ascot 6/30 25.36 21 7.65 p 5.25 5.65 2.00
    Sirius Prospect 1 ew 51 17 Jun 15 Ascot 18/30 118.14 67 16.76 l -2 -2 2.00
    Rotherwick  1 w 26 18 Jun 15 Ascot 5/28 28.61 21 6.87 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Jargon  0.5 ew 101 18 Jun 15 Ascot 25/28 226.36 67 38 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Cape Clear Island 1 w 14 18 Jun 15 Ascot 10/11 16.08 13 4.11 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Simenon  1 w 13 18 Jun 15 Ascot 4/12 27.86 15 4 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Tac De Boistron’s 2 w 17 18 Jun 15 Ascot 12/12 9.62 9 4.5 l -2 -2 2.00
    Limato  2 w 7 19 Jun 15 Ascot 2/18 5.71 5.5 2.5 l -2 -2 2.00
    Hillstar  1 w 13 20 Jun 15 Ascot 5/7 21 17 8.2 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Educate  1 w 19 20 Jun 15 Ascot 11/13 24 15 3.5 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Ninjago  2 ew 21 20 Jun 15 Ascot 14/25 18.33 15 4.2 l -4.00 -4.00 4.00
    Blaine  1 ew 51 20 Jun 15 Ascot 22/25 45.77 34 11.89 l -2 -2 2.00
    Gordon Lord Byron 1 w 26 20 Jun 15 Ascot 8/15 32.62 21 7.69 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Caspar Netscher 1 w 33 20 Jun 15 Ascot 7/15 34.77 26 8.77 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Moon Dice 1 ew 26 22 Jun 15 Kilbeggan 6/16 53.42 26 5.9 l -2 -2 2.00
    Secret Witness 1 w 13 22 Jun 15 Chepstow 4/10 17 13 4.45 l -1 -1.00 1.00
    Kingsgate Choise 1 w 21 25-Jun-15 Newmarket (July) 2/13 24.03 21 5.10 l -1.00 -1 1.00
    Smoothtalkingrascal  1 w 17 25 Jun 15 Newmarket (July) 9/10 20 15 4.44 l -1.00 -1 1.00
    Giovanni Canaletto 1 w 13 27 Jun 15 Curragh 3/8 11.98 9 2.94 l -1.00 -1 1.00
    Apostle  1 ew 26 27 Jun 15 Newcastle 7/12 36 26 9.11 l -2.00 -2 2.00
    Swynmor’s  2 ew 26 27 Jun 15 Newcastle 17/19 81.8 34 9.24 l -4.00 -4 4.00
    Caspian Prince 1 ew 26 28 Jun 15 Curragh 5/21 23.29 21 5.6 p 5.25 3.6 2.00
    Rex Imperator 2 w 4.5 01 Jul 15 Thirsk 1/8 6.6 5.5 2 w 7.00 9 2.00
    Cape Explorer 0.5 ew 26 02 Jul 15 Tipperary 4/15 28.54 21 4.17 l -1.00 -1 1.00
    Geological 1 w 13 02 Jul 15 Epsom Downs 3/8 9.4 7 2.96 l -1.00 -1 1.00
    Munaaser 1 w 21 04 Jul 15 Sandown Park 2/12 26.81 21 6.66 l -1.00 -1 1.00
    Stepper Point 1 w 11 04 Jul 15 Sandown Park 4/9 8 8 3.15 l -1.00 -1 1.00
    Money Team 1 w 11 04 Jul 15 Beverley 5/16 8.26 6.5 2.23 l -1.00 -1 1.00
    Great Hall 1 w 17 04 Jul 15 Haydock Park 7/14 20.25 15 4.09 l -1.00 -1 1.00
    Pintura  1 w 17 05 Jul 15 Ayr 6/9 26.36 23 8.32 l -1.00 -1 1.00
    Bishops Road 2 w 8 05 Jul 15 Limerick F/8 4.32 4 1.79 l -2.00 -2 2.00
    Hillstar  1 w 7.5 09 Jul 15 Newmarket (July) 5/8 7.18 7 2.39 l -1.00 -1 1.00
    Swiss Cross 1 w 9 09 Jul 15 Epsom Downs 3/10 9.2 8 2.74 l -1.00 -1 1.00
    Hoofalong  2 w 7 09 Jul 15 Doncaster 5/8 5.8 5.5 1.93 l -2.00 -2 2.00
    Blue Huzzar 1 ew 34 10 Jul 15 York 12/15 34 26 6.37 l -2.00 -2 2.00
    Tamayuz star 1 w 21 10 Jul 15 Ascot 5/12 14.61 13 4.6 l -1.00 -1 1.00
    Ballesteros  0.5 w 21 10 Jul 15 York 14/16 17.64 13 4.4 l -0.50 0.5 0.50
    Free Zone 0.5 w 17 10 Jul 15 York 12/16 32.33 17 4.87 l -0.50 0.5 0.50
    Sirius Prospect 1 ew 51 11 Jul 15 Newmarket (July) 8/17 70 34 8.04 l -2.00 -2 2.00
    Odeon  0.5 w 120 11 Jul 15 York 17/17 115.8 51 12 l -0.50 0.5 0.50
    Sole Power 1 w 17 11 Jul 15 Newmarket (July) 4/14 25 17 5.16 l -1.00 -1 1.00
    Steps 1 ew 67 11 Jul 15 Newmarket (July) 14/14 25 17 5.16 l -2.00 -2 2.00
    Kingsgate Choice 2 w 21 11 Jul 15 Ascot 17/18 36.46 21 6.8 l -2.00 -2 2.00
    Burnt Sugar 1 ew 41 10 Jul 15 Newmarket (July) 5/17 38.33 26 7.2 -2.00 -2 2.00

    119.1 108.535 149


  • #298
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    I'm still going to post tips here (possibly on a saturday), as i have been for a number of years. But most likely ill be concentrating on posting them to my Website longshotvalue.com & Twitter. Anyone who want to follow the ups and down of longshots could follow either and get every tip.

    Twitter in particular i handy with immediate notice and the possibility of some tips closer to races etc..

    These 100 bet treads have been fun and profitable.. (if only i backed them all:(:mad:). Doing the figures since the first one (http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?p=64640337) in 2010 the combined profit is 740 points


  • #299
    skippymac6
    Registered Users Posts: 1,025 ✭✭✭skippymac6


    Stepper point, the non runner that came back to haunt me


  • #300
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    One more bet for this tread on Saturday, Hard to resist. Just waiting for the right price and 5 place terms..:rolleyes:

    Have 3 bets up today. 1 of those agreeing with Navajo Chief selection from Friday tread.


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  • #301
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    Ascot 3:15 International Handicap

    We waited a while for Hawkeyethenoo to get into one of these races after what I thought was a great run here to be 3rd in the Victoria Cup. He ran a comical race next time out when on the bridle all the way in the course record run of the Scottish Sprint Cup and that run has made me think this horse is ready to get back to top form. There is the negative of that fact that its been a bit of a wait for a race but the positives outweigh them. He is drawn high and is certainly not inconvenienced by the softer ground here tomorrow. I think the ground makes his EW prospects very good indeed and I think the 25/1 with 5 places is good (I had hoped for 33/1 but still I can’t complain).

    2 Points EW 25/1 5 Places Paddy/888/tote/Betfair and others

    Other selection will be on my site.. Fingers crossed for a good finish..


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