Why would anyone give away good tips.

mayoman1973 · 06-09-2017 1:32pm

Lingfield
06.09.2017
13:50 Bizet @ 21.00

mayoman1973 · 06-09-2017 1:35pm

Lingfield
06.09.2017
13:50 Light Gunner @ 51.00

mayoman1973 · 06-09-2017 1:36pm

41.0 is still good for light gunner

mayoman1973 · 06-09-2017 1:41pm

"Lingfield 13:50"
Tojosimbre
still good at 17.0

mayoman1973 · 06-09-2017 1:56pm

Kempton
06.09.2017
19:55 The Yellow Bus @ 11.00

mayoman1973 · 06-09-2017 3:21pm

Place in the 13:50 .... any one get on Zamoyski @ 19.0? Tweeted 2 hrs ago and the price stayed around a good while... Just won the 15:00 southwell

BorneTobyWilde · 06-09-2017 3:29pm

Good example. I was keeping track on here today, and then out of blue something was posted on twitter but not here and it wins. That is the frustration of trying to follow.
Why wasn't that tip posted here like rest.

mayoman1973 · 06-09-2017 3:30pm

Chepstow
06.09.2017
17:10 Celtik Secret @ 34.00

mayoman1973 · 06-09-2017 3:34pm

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

Good example. I was keeping track on here today, and then out of blue something was posted on twitter but not here and it wins. That is the frustration of trying to follow.
Why wasn't that tip posted here like rest.

I can't repeat this anymore ... Tips are tweeted on Twitter first and foremost. If I put it on the forum here then so be it, I have made it clear. Follow me on twitter because that is the easiest place and the fastest way of getting time critical info out.
Its not like I come along after the event and say " I meant to post it" If people don't want to be arsed installing twitter, following me on that and rely on what I post here as a secondary data feed then there is nothing I can do about that.

BorneTobyWilde · 06-09-2017 3:35pm

I need a smart phone in that case. What bank would one need.

eric hoone · 06-09-2017 4:03pm

mayoman1973 wrote: »

Place in the 13:50 .... any one get on Zamoyski @ 19.0? Tweeted 2 hrs ago and the price stayed around a good while... Just won the 15:00 southwell

2nd to you on number one London, fair play, I'll learn my lesson, although mine was the one that shortened, go figure

mayoman1973 · 06-09-2017 4:06pm

Any time I have ever followed an unproven tipster I start with a £20 max bank !!! That theory has prob saved me a lot of money over the years. And I wouldnt expect my tipster reputation to be treated any differently. Also suggest you don't go any higher than 2% of bank per bet ..... If you can't grow £20 into £40 then the system doesn't work or you don't have the patience. Turning £500 into £50 is a mistake a lot of impatient people make.

mayoman1973 · 06-09-2017 4:10pm

the 13:50 was a let down. Something frightened the folks with the money and the markets went buck mad ... hence the 3 rapid fire tips for that on 20 min b4 the off. I layed the fav as well as I figured it was something about him that spooked the markets

gerrybbadd · 06-09-2017 4:12pm

mayoman1973 wrote: »

Chepstow
06.09.2017
17:10 Celtik Secret @ 34.00

What does the @34.00 mean? I see this in all the Twitter posts (well, different numbers for each)

mayoman1973 · 06-09-2017 4:12pm

Lingfield
06.09.2017
16:55 Insurgence Ladbrokes @ 34.00

mayoman1973 · 06-09-2017 4:17pm

Odds of 34.0
In fractions that's 33/1
Brain thinks quicker in decimal. Mine does anyways. Bookies default to fractions you will have noticed. I'm sure their research shows them that is better for them. Though I always use fractions when logged into bookies as it makes you look more muggish but its a pain in the ass

ShamoBuc · 06-09-2017 4:17pm

gerrybbadd wrote: »

What does the @34.00 mean? I see this in all the Twitter posts (well, different numbers for each)

The odds in decimal or 33/1

thesandeman · 06-09-2017 4:21pm

gerrybbadd wrote: »

What does the @34.00 mean? I see this in all the Twitter posts (well, different numbers for each)

34 is 33/1, 9 is 8/1 etc.

BorneTobyWilde · 06-09-2017 5:39pm

True Companion won

mayoman1973 · 06-09-2017 10:15pm

Today: 21 picks, 42 pts staked, returns 64pts, +22pts
195 selections to date, 390pts staked, Bank = +180pts.

mayoman1973 · 06-09-2017 10:40pm

If anyone has taken the trouble to collate results you might start to notice a trend. The higher the odds then the more profit. This trend has been consistent since the systems inception. It was not something the maths would have predicted. What does this mean for any one following these tips?
The fact we are in profit ( though well short of 1000 picks yet ) is not open for debate. If you find yourself missing quoted prices by being a few min late looking then apply this simple formula. % profit is proportional to the odds, so this means you can take a bigger % drop in the odds as the odds increase and still cut a profit.
If as I expect will be the case with anyone who does not hit the bookie the instant a tip is tweeted then they are less likely to get the price, apply this formula. Take the quoted odds, divide it by 2 and the answer is the percentage reduction in odds you can afford to take. Example.
Odds quoted = 5.0 ,
Divide by 2 = 2.5
You can take 2.5% less than 5.0 ..... not lot of leeway there !!
Example 2
Quoted odds = 51.0
Divide by 2 = 25.
You can take a 25% reduction in the odds for a 51.0 tipped price. 25% of 51.0 = 10.0 So you can take 51.0 - 10 = 41.0
... So if 51.0 is quoted ideally you want to get on at 51.0 but you will still make money at 41.0
So if you afraid of bookie giving you the boot because you betting with them too much ( and you should be if you not spreading the action around amongst friends ) then my advice would be to just cherry pick the higher odds

Bandana boy · 07-09-2017 12:50am

For all those complaining
yes its hard to follow as they come thick and fast

yes it is unorthodox , backing ew and several selections in the same race

But stop trying to get the man to stop posting
There has been some serious winners posted , if you don't like or trust then don't follow but don't run him out of boards with your negativity.
We should always welcome a guy trying to take on the bookies , we should always give new theories room to breathe and expand.

Mayo man long may you continue

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 9:37am

Chelmsford City
07.09.2017
17:40 Priscillas Dream @ 6.50

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 9:38am

Chelmsford City
07.09.2017
17:40 Gold Filigree @ 6.00

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 9:39am

Gold Filigree one is falling fast

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 9:40am

17:40"Priscillas Dream ok to take at 5.50

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 9:59am

Gold Filigree still ok to take at 5.0

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 10:37am

Clonmel
07.09.2017
19:25 All Good Things @ 2.88

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 11:47am

Haydock
07.09.2017
15:30 Wasm @ 34.00

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 12:00pm

Chelmsford City
07.09.2017
17:40 Weeton @ 15.00

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 12:45pm

Clonmel
07.09.2017
19:25 Anakar @ 26.00

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 12:49pm

21.0 stiill ok for anakar

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 1:26pm

Chelmsford City
07.09.2017
21:10 Munthany @ 5.00

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 1:36pm

Sedgefield
07.09.2017
14:10 Viognier @ 13.00

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 1:39pm

Clonmel
07.09.2017
18:55 Theydon Park Bet bet365 @ 8.00

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 1:41pm

Haydock
07.09.2017
15:00The Revenant Bet 365 @ 6.50

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 1:58pm

Sedgefield
07.09.2017
14:10 Viognier still ok to take @ 12.00

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 2:05pm

Clonmel 19:25 Anakar ...still good @ 21.0 on bet 365

SpliffPolitics · 07-09-2017 3:12pm

Been following this guy the past two days on twitter. Great tips.

bren2002 · 07-09-2017 3:27pm

IFTTT alerts can be used to notify of tweets, might be useful to some.
I've just set it up, seems to alert within about a min or so of a tweet.

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 3:43pm

Alright start , faller, 34.0 placer and a winner ...that 34.0 hung about @ 29.0 for a good while.

BorneTobyWilde · 07-09-2017 5:37pm

SpliffPolitics wrote: »

Been following this guy the past two days on twitter. Great tips.

How many accounts do you have. What stakes you using per pt ?

Richmond Ultra · 07-09-2017 9:36pm

I've been going here and there with your tips over the past three days and I am up about 20 points. Just one question regarding your system that has been playing on my mind observing the way the market reacts around some horses you mention, do you ever benefit from a drift in the market?

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 10:42pm

Today: 19 picks, 38 pts staked, returns 30pts, profit -8pts
Overall: 214 picks, 428pts staked, Bank = +172pts.

mezzz · 07-09-2017 10:46pm

best of luck mayoman,

may all your horses win by a dirty nose,

mayoman1973 · 07-09-2017 11:05pm

Richmond Ultra wrote: »

I've been going here and there with your tips over the past three days and I am up about 20 points. Just one question regarding your system that has been playing on mind observing the way the market reacts around some horses you mention, do you ever benefit from a drift in the market?

Not sure what you mean by benefiting from a drift? The expectation is that the shorter priced horses are under priced and my systems selections are over priced. Very rarely do I get any BOGs as the SP will have generally shortened but have got some from time to time. I did try with no success at laying off any horse that I back which subsequently drifted before the off. These ones normally broke even on the win and still made decent profit on the place. So all bets I do now are set n forget.
I have a bot running on Betfair that makes a small profit by laying underpriced favs in some of these races. Esp ones where there are 3 or more outsiders popping up as having value. With a market like Betfair which is as close to 100% efficient as you will get any +% profit is hard to come by as lot of sharp punters there. So in those races the theory is if there are 3 or more over priced horses then there must be some under priced ones as well and starting with laying the potentially under priced fav is as good a place as any. That laying system may prove to be a load of B***ix as time goes by or the markets may eventually evolve to close off any value that can be found but after between 3000 to 4000 fav lays it seems to be holding up.

Richmond Ultra · 07-09-2017 11:15pm

Regarding the drift, I meant you put a horse at, 20/1 yet a while later it is 25/1.

Thanks for the explanation. Keep up the tips.

mayoman1973 · 08-09-2017 8:33am

Kempton
08.09.2017
19:20 Tanseeq BetfairSportsbook @ 6.00

mayoman1973 · 08-09-2017 8:47am

Kilbeggan
08.09.2017
17:25 Sharps Choice BetfairSportsbook + PP @ 4.50

mayoman1973 · 08-09-2017 8:55am

Ascot
08.09.2017
14:40 Archie Mckellar BetfairSportsbook @ 6.50

Why would anyone give away good tips.

Comments