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05-02-2019, 07:26   #5131
M.T. Cranium
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And also thanks to those forum members who have provided assistance with this thread both directly by making forecasts when I have time away, and indirectly by their work on other threads of forecast interest, that I can follow and direct readers to follow. This may seem like a lone wolf operation but in many ways it has been a team effort and I appreciate it ...

Tuesday, 5 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Breezy and briefly milder with showery outbreaks of rain, sometimes heavy but not expected to amount to much more than 10 mm, with winds southwest 50 to 80 km/hr, highs 11 to 13 C. Turning colder in stages this evening as winds veer to westerly, further showers likely.

TONIGHT ... Breezy and turning rather cold after midnight, lows 1 to 3 C. A few more showers likely.

WEDNESDAY ... Breezy and cold with passing showers, some of them mixed wintry showers on higher ground. Longer intervals of rain likely by evening. Highs near 7 C.

THURSDAY ... Variable cloud, breezy, occasional light rain, lows near 1 C and highs near 7 C.

FRIDAY ... Very windy with rain, heavy at times. Winds southwest 50 to 80 km/hr becoming stronger by afternoon, 80 to 110 km/hr at least, watching this for possibly even stronger gusts. About 15 to 25 mm rain likely also. Highs near 10 C.

SATURDAY ... Winds becoming less forceful by morning, but continuing rather breezy all day, showers, highs near 9 C.

SUNDAY ... Breezy and turning colder again, further showers and some mixed wintry falls on higher ground in north, highs near 6 C.

OUTLOOK ... Next week appears likely to stay relatively mild despite some cold air lurking off to the east and possibly affecting parts of southern Britain at times. The flow will remain southerly (according to most guidance) and while the week could start with some light frosts the days will easily reach 9 or 10 C and perhaps a bit higher.

My local weather on Monday was sunny and bitterly cold, with the strong north wind gradually easing to more moderate levels, but still adding several degrees of chill to daytime highs of only about -8 C (about as cold as it gets here usually). Clear and -15 C outside now. We are locked into this cold spell for several weeks by the looks of the guidance, with another snow and wind event this coming weekend. It has become very mild in the eastern U.S. and southern Ontario, readings above 10 C to near 17 C.
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06-02-2019, 07:28   #5132
M.T. Cranium
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Wednesday, 6 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Partly to mostly cloudy, passing showers, some heavier rain developing by afternoon (west) to evening (east), with sleet or wet snow possible towards the end of that precipitation. Highs near 8 C.

TONIGHT ... Rain turning to sleet or wet snow then clearing, colder. Lows near 2 C.

THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, wintry showers, becoming windy (south to southwest 50 to 80 km/hr) by late in the day, highs near 8 C.

FRIDAY ... Very windy with heavy rain at times, 15 to 30 mm likely. Winds southwest to west 60 to 110 km/hr, and potential for higher gusts in parts of the west and north, in particular Galway Bay region. Highs near 10 C. Some guidance shows potential for 130 km/hr wind gusts so stay tuned.

SATURDAY ... Windy, showers or intervals of rain, severe gusts moderating but still 40 to 70 km/hr most of the day, highs near 9 C.

SUNDAY ... Risk of sleet or snow during the early morning when winds veer to northerly, lows of about 1 C. A rather cold day will follow with passing wintry showers in a northerly wind, highs near 5 C.

OUTLOOK ... Most of the following week should be mild again with a southwest wind redeveloping and highs near 10 C, possibly a bit higher in south and west. There will be rain at times but a drying trend as high pressure pushes west from central Europe. So far it appears that any colder air from that will be either moderated or confined to southern Britain but it may bring some frosts to inland southeastern counties.

My local weather remained very cold with sunshine and moderate but at times brisk northerly winds. Highs only around -7 C and morning lows reported to be -20 C in nearby hilly areas. Meanwhile, a freezing rain storm has hit northwest of Chicago with milder air streaming into the lower Great Lakes and northeastern states. A stronger storm is developing and heavy snow will follow in parts of the upper Midwest by tomorrow.
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07-02-2019, 07:23   #5133
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Thursday, 7 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Some sunny intervals and breezy, isolated showers but long dry intervals for most, winds westerly 40 to 70 km/hr. Rain will develop along with stronger south to southwest winds by late afternoon in the west.

TONIGHT ... Rain becoming heavy at times, strong south to southwest winds increasing to 70 to 110 km/hr. About 10 to 20 mm rain by morning, 5 to 10 in eastern counties where it will start later. Lows about 7 C.

FRIDAY ... Very windy, with peak gusts around late morning and mid-day hours in western counties. Winds southwest veering to westerly later, 80 to 120 km/hr in exposed west coast regions, 60 to 100 km/hr fairly widespread elsewhere (110 km/hr exposed coastal areas). A further 5-10 mm rain in the morning and some clearing followed by more passing squally showers. Temperatures steady around 10 C.

SATURDAY ... Still quite breezy and not as mild, with winds westerly 50 to 80 km/hr, occasional rain likely (2-5 mm). Temperatures steady around 7 C falling to 4 C by evening.

SUNDAY ... Wet snow or sleet in the morning on some higher ground in south and east, followed by variable cloud and wintry showers in a gusty north to northwest wind. Temperatures around 4 C.

MONDAY ... Bright but chilly for most, milder by afternoon in western counties, as a southerly flow resumes. Lows near -2 C and highs around 8 to 10 C.

OUTLOOK ... Next week will be generally mild with occasional rain but longer dry intervals for eastern counties, with some influence felt in the southeast and east coast from a colder regime setting up over eastern Britain. Highs will probably average about 11 C in the west and 7 C in the east. Nights will also show this east-west divide with some risk of frosts in the east.

My local weather on Wednesday was sunny and very cold with lows near -15 C and highs near -7 C. Expecting some light snow by Friday here then more severe cold for a week or two after that. A fairly strong low is developing in the plains states and will bring sleet and snow to the upper Midwest, but very mild temperatures further east. Highs could reach 20 C in Washington D.C. and 15 C in New York City later this week.
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08-02-2019, 07:21   #5134
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Friday, 8 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Very windy as storm "Erik" arrives, with peak gusts around morning to mid-day hours in western counties, but only a slight moderation is now expected before a second peak in winds this evening. Winds southwest veering to westerly later, 80 to 120 km/hr in exposed west coast regions, 60 to 100 km/hr fairly widespread elsewhere (110 km/hr exposed coastal areas). A further 5-10 mm rain in the morning and some clearing followed by more passing squally showers. Temperatures steady around 10 C.

TONIGHT ... A second interval of strong winds will develop, with peak gusts similar to those recorded this morning. These will blow from a west to northwest direction and may be somewhat stronger in counties near Donegal Bay than the first round, also in parts of the midlands where they find easier passage between high ground. Rain or drizzle will accompany these strong winds, as temperatures slowly fall to about 5 or 6 C.

SATURDAY ... Still quite breezy and not as mild, with winds westerly 50 to 80 km/hr, occasional rain likely (2-5 mm). Temperatures steady around 7 C falling to 4 C by evening.

SUNDAY ... Wet snow or sleet in the morning on some higher ground in south and east, followed by variable cloud and wintry showers in a gusty north to northwest wind. Temperatures around 4 or 5 C.

MONDAY ... Bright but chilly for most, milder by afternoon in western counties, as a southerly flow resumes. Lows near -2 C and highs around 8 to 10 C.

OUTLOOK ... Next week will be generally mild with occasional rain but longer dry intervals for eastern counties, with some influence felt in the southeast and east coast from a colder regime setting up over eastern Britain. Highs will probably average about 11 C in the west and could top out near 13 C, but will average closer to 7 C in the east. Nights will also show this east-west divide with some risk of frosts in the east.

My local weather on Thursday was overcast with light snow developing in the afternoon, now about 2 cm coating the ground, and it has remained bitterly cold, rising from -15 C to about -8 C during the day. As mentioned yesterday, very mild air is making a charge to the northeast over the eastern U.S., reaching New York City later today where the high may reach 17 C. Even warmer in Washington D.C. (22 C possible) although turning colder there by mid-day. This storm is producing heavy snow in northern Ontario and will move into northern Quebec today.
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09-02-2019, 07:22   #5135
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Saturday, 9 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Blustery west to northwest winds will gradually diminish to 50-80 km/hr, with passing showers sometimes rather squally, and then some longer intervals of rain developing mid-day in the west, heading mainly for the southeastern counties by evening. Rather cold with highs in the 6 to 8 C range.

TONIGHT ... Breezy, cold, rain or sleet mostly in southern counties may turn to wet snow before ending around sunrise. Lows -1 to +2 C. Watch for icy sections on roads in central and southeastern counties after midnight.

SUNDAY ... Windy and cold with sleet, hail or snow showers, sometimes cold rain near sea level, in a moderate to strong northwest to north wind occasionally reaching 60-90 km/hr. Highs only 4 to 7 C. Some snow could accumulate on higher terrain. Clearing and very cold overnight into Monday morning, frosts and lows near -3 C.

MONDAY ... After a frosty start, gradual moderation of temperatures and relatively calm conditions with partly sunny skies, a big improvement that should last most of the week, with highs near 9 C.

TUESDAY ... Partly cloudy east, overcast west with occasional light rain, mild. Highs near 11 C in a southwest wind of 30 to 50 km/hr.

OUTLOOK ... Generally mild and dry, with another outbreak of light rain around Friday. Highs near 12 C in western counties, 9 on average in eastern counties. Nights may be close to freezing when skies clear. Eventually, a more unsettled pattern returns in time for the weekend of the 16th-17th after which it may begin to turn somewhat colder.

My local weather on Friday was overcast with light snow but slightly milder with a high near -5 C. We are going back into the deep freeze on Saturday as northerly winds develop, expecting a wind chill of -20 C later today.
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10-02-2019, 06:51   #5136
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Sunday, 10 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Partly cloudy, some outbreaks of sleety light rain or drizzle, wet snow possible over hills in southeast counties, then becoming rather windy this afternoon (west to northwest 40 to 70 km/hr) with strong gusts near Donegal Bay to 100 km/hr. Intervals of rain or wintry showers likely in the north, more isolated in the south from this small-scale disturbance. Highs 4 to 7 C.

TONIGHT ... Wintry showers ending, clearing, cold. Lows -3 to +1 C.

MONDAY ... Sunny intervals, cool, but with light winds feeling more pleasant by mid-day and afternoon, highs 7 to 9 C.

TUESDAY to FRIDAY will bring a mild and generally dry regime with light rain confined to west and north where it will be more frequent on Tuesday, Wednesday morning, and again Friday. Even there, amounts will be rather slight (2 to 5 mm). Highs each day 10 to 13 C in the west and 7 to 10 C east. Nights will be reasonably mild with light frost possible in parts of the inland east and southeast.

OUTLOOK ... A more active Atlantic pattern will develop towards weekend of 16th-17th and more frequent rain and the return of stronger winds will be the result. Highs will continue to be around 10 C. A colder turn seems inevitable before we get entirely clear of the winter, but timing it is very uncertain.

My local weather remains very cold with sunshine on Saturday, and a high near -6 C, currently -12 C under clear skies.
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11-02-2019, 07:11   #5137
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Monday, 11 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Partly cloudy with light winds, highs 8 to 10 C.

TONIGHT ... Some clear intervals south and east, overcast west and north with occasional light rain. Lows 5 to 7 C.

TUESDAY ... Mostly cloudy, outbreaks of light rain (2-5 mm) mostly in west, central, northern counties. Mild, highs near 11 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Some hazy sunshine at times, mild. Lows 4 to 7 C and highs 11 to 13 C.

THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, very mild, moderate southerly winds. Lows 3 to 6 C, highs 11 to 13 C.

FRIDAY ... Rain at times, mild. Highs near 12 C.

OUTLOOK ... Somewhat colder from Saturday to Monday 18th, frequent rain and moderate southwest winds, highs 8 to 10 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Milder again later next week, highs back into low teens.

My local weather started out clear and very cold (-12 C at sunrise with -20 C a little higher up in the region), then became overcast with a high of about -5 C. There was heavy snow to our south and southwest including 5-15 cm in Vancouver and parts of Washington state. If you follow golf, you may have seen that there was hail stopping play at Pebble Beach in coastal California (cold weather hail rather than severe storm hail). This is believed to be the second time this has happened in over seventy years of the event. Somewhat milder weather continues across eastern North America but heavy snow is expected ahead of warm fronts in the inland northeast, sleet turning to rain for coastal cities later today.
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12-02-2019, 07:02   #5138
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Tuesday, 12 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Mostly cloudy, although some brighter intervals likely for eastern counties, outbreaks of light rain (2-5 mm) more persistent in west, central, northern counties. Mild, highs near 11 C.

TONIGHT ... Gradual clearing, southerly breezes will keep it mild at 4 to 7 C (possibly a bit higher near south and west coasts).

WEDNESDAY ... Some hazy sunshine at times, mild. Lows 4 to 7 C and highs 11 to 13 C. Moderate southerly breezes 40 to 60 km/hr.

THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, very mild, moderate southerly winds 50 to 70 km/hr. Lows 3 to 6 C, highs 11 to 13 C. Patchy light rain in west by late in the day.

FRIDAY ... Rain at times, mild. Highs near 12 C. Some clearing and turning colder by evening and overnight. Saturday morning lows around -1 C.

SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy, outbreaks of light rain, moderate southwest winds, a bit cooler than recent days, highs 7 to 9 C.

OUTLOOK ... Somewhat colder Sunday and Monday, frequent rain and moderate southwest winds, highs 8 to 10 C.

FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Blustery with frequent showers and near normal temperatures with a slightly colder theme later in the month.

My local weather on Monday was partly cloudy to overcast with a bit of light snow during the early morning hours but dry since then, still very cold at -5 C for our maximum. We are now into day eight of near-record cold here, lake not yet frozen (it has not frozen since 1979) so that's the big weather story for my little corner of the world. Heavy snow again near the coast in the larger urban areas such as Vancouver, Victoria BC and Seattle towards Portland WA. Some of that may spread back north to give us a few centimetres later on today. Bands of rain, sleet and snow (from coast to interior mountains) for the eastern U.S. and lower Great Lakes region.
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13-02-2019, 07:33   #5139
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Wednesday, 13 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Cloudy with some hazy sunshine at times, mild with highs 11 to 13 C. Moderate southerly breezes 40 to 60 km/hr.

TONIGHT ... Partly cloudy, breezy, mild. Lows 3 to 8 C.

THURSDAY ... Partly cloudy, very mild, moderate southerly winds 50 to 70 km/hr with highs 11 to 13 C. Patchy light rain in west by late in the day.

FRIDAY ... Rain at times, mild. Highs 12 to 14 C. Some clearing and turning a bit fresher by evening and overnight. Saturday morning lows around 2 C.

SATURDAY ... Partly cloudy, outbreaks of light rain, moderate southwest winds, a bit cooler than recent days, highs 8 to 11 C.

SUNDAY ... Occasional rain, moderate south to southwest winds, highs near 9 C.

OUTLOOK ... Continued rather mild but with more frequent rain and stronger winds at times. There are indications that the last week of the month may be colder, although not severely cold (or snowy on current evidence) like last year.

My local weather was snowy to say the least, we had a total of 30 cms of snow and it hasn't quite stopped yet. It was a very light density snow that probably had about 10 mm liquid equivalent, and was quite easy to move. The high temperature reached -4 C. Heavy snow or sleet are moving through many parts of the inland northeast U.S. and Great Lakes regions, with milder rainy conditions in the larger coastal cities. A warm sector near Washington DC has temperatures as high as 15 C but this won't reach New York or Boston which will stay just above freezing in fog and rain. About 30 cms of snow will fall in areas like Vermont, southern Quebec and northern New Hampshire into Maine.
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14-02-2019, 07:11   #5140
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Thursday, 14 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Hazy with some sunny intervals, more cloud likely in western counties where a few light showers are possible, moderate south to southwest winds at times. Highs 12 to 15 C.

TONIGHT ... Overcast, occasional light rain, lows 7 to 10 C.

FRIDAY ... Occasional light rain (3-7 mm possible), highs near 13 C. Moderate southwest winds at times.

SATURDAY ... Variable cloud, outbreaks of rain during the morning with some clearing later, temperatures steady near 10 C.

SUNDAY ... Occasional rain, turning slightly colder by afternoon and evening, temperatures falling to around 7 C.

OUTLOOK ... Rather cool on Monday and Tuesday with showers and highs near 7 C. Then it seems likely to become milder again for a few days. Highs will return to the 11-14 C range then.

My local weather was mostly sunny as we cleared away the snow from the previous day, highs near -3 C.
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15-02-2019, 07:28   #5141
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Friday, 15 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Misty over parts of north and west this morning, eventually some light rain will develop there, 2 to 5 mm, highs near 12 C. South and east should remain largely dry with partly cloudy skies, some sunny intervals, and very mild, highs 13 to 15 C.

TONIGHT ... Drizzle and fog patches, mild, lows 7 to 9 C.

SATURDAY ... Occasional rain, becoming more persistent by afternoon, spreading gradually eastward, highs near 11 C.

SUNDAY ... Rain tapering to showers, some partly cloudy breaks by afternoon, a bit cooler at 9 C. Becoming rather windy by late afternoon and evening, strong southwest gusts in Connacht and west Ulster, 60 to 100 km/hr.

MONDAY ... Breezy to windy, cool, passing showers, some with hail and thunder. Highs near 7 C.

TUESDAY ... Cloudy, outbreaks of light rain, highs near 9 C.

OUTLOOK ... A strong southerly flow will develop, with frequent rain likely, and temperatures steady in the 8 to 11 C range. Although it will be relatively mild, the air mass will be mixing some colder air from central Europe with the Atlantic flow, temperatures in Britain where not as wet will also be several degrees lower in southeast winds.

My local weather continued dry and cold with some sunny breaks and highs near -3 C. Snow is moving in overnight and we're expecting about 15 cms today and Saturday. Further east, it's a rather inactive weather pattern for eastern North America with weak systems bringing light snowfalls or sleet to some areas.
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16-02-2019, 07:25   #5142
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Saturday, 16 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Some bright spells this morning, then overcast with rain spreading northeast across the country by afternoon or at the latest, early evening. Mild with southerly winds 40 to 70 km/hr, highs 10 to 12 C.

TONIGHT ... Rain heavy at times, 10-20 mm likely. Lows around 7 C.

SUNDAY ... Rain becoming showery with some chance of thunder and hail, then partial clearing, scattered showers following as winds veer more to southwest, temperatures steady in the 7 to 9 C range. Rather windy by evening in the north, gusts to 80 km/hr near exposed coasts around Donegal Bay.

MONDAY ... Partly cloudy, passing showers, some with hail, rather cool with temperatures steady around 7 C.

TUESDAY ... Windy with rain, 10-15 mm likely, winds south to southwest 70-100 km/hr, highs near 10 C.

OUTLOOK ... Mild especially in western counties where it may often exceed 13 C, closer to 10 C in east but brighter at times there. Intervals of rain mid-week but somewhat drier trend after that.

My local weather was overcast with light snow and highs reaching -1 C. We had about 4 or 5 cms over the day and expect another similar amount today.
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17-02-2019, 07:04   #5143
M.T. Cranium
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Sunday, 17 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Rain, with a few brief thunderstorms possible, in blustery southerly winds this morning. Some clearing mid-day then further showers developing. Highs near 11 C. About 10-15 mm rain likely.

TONIGHT ... Outbreaks of light rain with some clear intervals, colder, lows near 5 C. Rather windy with some stronger gusts in northwest counties, southwest 50 to 80 km/hr.

MONDAY ... Showers, cool, moderate southwest winds continuing, highs near 9 C.

TUESDAY ... Windy with rain (10-15 mm likely), highs near 12 C.

OUTLOOK ... Spring-like weather will follow with highs 14 to 16 C possible, 12 C near some coasts. This may continue for several days and as higher pressure edges closer, the main change will be cooler nights as the days will remain quite mild. Any cooling influence of this high pressure will be confined to parts of Britain.

My local weather continues wintry, although the severe cold has given way to temperatures close to freezing. A little more snow fell during the morning, perhaps 2 cm, and we now have a cover of about 20 to 25 cms.
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18-02-2019, 07:03   #5144
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Monday, 18 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Frequent showers in western counties, 10-15 mm rain expected. Occasional showers further east, 5-10 mm likely there. Cooler than recent days with highs around 8 to 10 C.

TONIGHT ... Some clearing for eastern counties, cold for the first part of the night then overcast with rising temperatures. Cloudy from late evening in west, some rain by morning. Lows 1 to 4 C, coldest in east.

TUESDAY ... Rather windy with rain developing, foggy at times, temperatures slowly rising to about 8 to 10 C by late in the day. About 10 to 15 mm rain likely. Winds southerly 50 to 80 km/hr.

WEDNESDAY ... Milder again with some light rain or drizzle at times, then partly cloudy, highs reaching 13 C.

OUTLOOK ... Very mild from Thursday to about Sunday, highs 13 to 16 C for many parts of the country, 11 to 13 C in some coastal regions exposed to south or southeast winds. Rather windy at times, especially towards Atlantic coasts, southerly winds 50 to 80 km/hr. Some rain will brush outer west coast but it may remain dry for most other areas during this mild spell. Eventually, temperatures will return to more average late February values towards the end of the month.

My local weather on Sunday was overcast with a bit of sunshine at times, and the high was about -1 C. After such a long cold spell this felt rather mild but it's still a few degrees below average for here.

note: full moon 3:54 p.m. Tuesday 19th February.

Last edited by M.T. Cranium; 18-02-2019 at 07:08.
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19-02-2019, 07:19   #5145
M.T. Cranium
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Tuesday, 19 February, 2019

Forecasts for Ireland



TODAY ... Rain will spread gradually east after some cloudy but dry weather this morning in the east. Temperatures rather cool until late afternoon or evening, slowly rising to about 9 C. Rainfall 10-15 mm expected. Winds southerly 50 to 80 km/hr.

TONIGHT ... Misty, rain ending, mild with fog patches, low 8 to 10 C.

WEDNESDAY ... Variable cloud, a few more light showers but not much further accumulation, highs 11 to 13 C.

THURSDAY ... Sunny spells, very mild. Highs near 15 C.

FRIDAY ... Increasing cloud, some rain at times near west coast, very mild, highs near 15 C.

OUTLOOK ... Staying mild, with occasional light rain mostly confined to west on Saturday, several more dry and mild days to follow with at least some sunshine. Highs generally 13 to 16 C.

A colder spell is likely just around the end of the month into the first week to ten days of March. Temperatures may fall gradually to levels slightly below average at times.

My local weather on Monday was cloudy with a few brighter intervals, dry, and cold with highs only about -3 C. Eastern and central regions of the continent are expecting messy mixed precipitation turning to rain for most but possibly starting out with sleet or snow.
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