Share Picks 2019

ct5amr2ig1nfhp · 01-05-2019 7:37pm

In observance of Labour Day. I guess it comes down to the ISE being owned by Euronext since 2018 (based in Amsterdam).

Mad_maxx wrote: »

Why was the iseq closed today?

drunkmonkey · 03-05-2019 3:05pm

We missed beyond burger yesterday still look like it's good for 10% today after a bad start to the morning https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/bynd
I'll be keeping my eyes open for the impossible foods IPO after this.

barry181091 · 03-05-2019 3:12pm

How do these IPO's work? It seems like very easy money surely...

You just buy X amount of shares as fast as you can once the market opens on day 1. Is there more to it?

drunkmonkey · 03-05-2019 3:15pm

They can go either way but yea that's pretty much it. Don't be greedy is the key. In and out quickly.

barry181091 · 03-05-2019 3:16pm

drunkmonkey wrote: »

They can go either way but yea that's pretty much it. Don't be greedy is the key. In and out quickly.

Interesting.

Is there a specific platform you have to be with to get them quick? I have an ETRADE account through my company and it seems to list them.

EDIT: Nevermind, it seems I cannot trade with this account as they have gotten out of the foreign (Outside US) market.

retalivity · 03-05-2019 5:35pm

VSTM heading for under $2.. maybhave to revisit at that price

drunkmonkey · 03-05-2019 6:24pm

barry181091 wrote: »

Interesting.

Is there a specific platform you have to be with to get them quick? I have an ETRADE account through my company and it seems to list them.

EDIT: Nevermind, it seems I cannot trade with this account as they have gotten out of the foreign (Outside US) market.

Most of us use Degiro here, ticker for beyond I'd BYND, up 5% since I posted earlier. Probably settle in a range in the next few days, nothing to really drive it higher from what I can see. It seems overvalued if anything as there's a bit of competition in this space especially from impossible who are due to launch a steak.

littlevillage · 03-05-2019 8:54pm

retalivity wrote: »

VSTM heading for under $2.. maybhave to revisit at that price

What are peoples thoughts on VSTM ? Its really stinking up my portfolio at this point. I have doubled down a couple of times to reduce my BEP over the last few Months but just keeps falling.

I am loath to invest any more ...in case it just disappears into the wilderness entirely like RGSE and I lose everything :eek:

redlead · 05-05-2019 9:44am

littlevillage wrote: »

What are peoples thoughts on VSTM ? Its really stinking up my portfolio at this point. I have doubled down a couple of times to reduce my BEP over the last few Months but just keeps falling.

I am loath to invest any more ...in case it just disappears into the wilderness entirely like RGSE and I lose everything :eek:

I wouldn't be putting on anymore. The Q1 results are being announced on Thursday and my fear is the markets already know sales aren't great. I bought in last week so am relatively flat in it but it went against all my principles. I just don't rate their prospects. I'll probably just leave them them for a few years and see how it pans out because its only a small holding anyway.

XMG · 05-05-2019 6:17pm

Be aware of the dangers of jumping on an IPO, LYFT is a good example to take note of. UBER is up for IPO this week, 9th May. UBER have dropped their valuation after the LYFT debacle in the hopes of avoiding the same fate.
LYFT - Lost $0.9 billion in 2018
UBER - Lost $1.8 billion in 2018

barry181091 wrote: »

How do these IPO's work? It seems like very easy money surely...

You just buy X amount of shares as fast as you can once the market opens on day 1. Is there more to it?

Thargor · 07-05-2019 4:16pm

Beyond Meat still going well.

retalivity · 09-05-2019 10:49pm

VSTM gonna open around $1.50 tomorrow after awful results

littlevillage · 10-05-2019 2:41pm

retalivity wrote: »

VSTM gonna open around $1.50 tomorrow after awful results

its even worse, $1.33 at the moment :eek:

Kilboor · 10-05-2019 3:02pm

retalivity wrote: »

VSTM gonna open around $1.50 tomorrow after awful results

Dodged a bullet here !

q85dw7osi4lebg · 10-05-2019 3:32pm

That was close !

Kilboor · 10-05-2019 3:35pm

Asher Wooden Coupon wrote: »

That was close !

Now is the perfect time to keep an eye on it tbh..... I'll take a look at this report later

Underground · 10-05-2019 5:51pm

Decided to get in on Uber at $43.90. Let's see how it goes.

Jim2007 · 12-05-2019 10:27am

Underground wrote: »

Decided to get in on Uber at $43.90. Let's see how it goes.

This is a company who:
- Has failed to publish adequate financial data on it's website other than references to SEC fillings
- Despite a huge turnover it has failed to produce a signal years profit
- Growth financed by borrowings and cash injections
- Who's market is limited to a few major cities per country at best and who appears to have reached saturation point based on recent growth figures
- Who according to their own comments have penetrated 25% into the Eats market without a profit...

Who exactly is such company going to finance further growth? A further cash injection that will dilute your holdings?

Where exactly to you see value worth $43.90 in this?

TiGeR KiNgS · 12-05-2019 3:04pm

Jim2007 wrote: »

This is a company who:
- Has failed to publish adequate financial data on it's website other than references to SEC fillings
- Despite a huge turnover it has failed to produce a signal years profit
- Growth financed by borrowings and cash injections
- Who's market is limited to a few major cities per country at best and who appears to have reached saturation point based on recent growth figures
- Who according to their own comments have penetrated 25% into the Eats market without a profit...

Who exactly is such company going to finance further growth? A further cash injection that will dilute your holdings?

Where exactly to you see value worth $43.90 in this?

and don't forget the early stage Private Equity investors rushing for the exit

Underground · 12-05-2019 9:08pm

Jim2007 wrote: »

This is a company who:
- Has failed to publish adequate financial data on it's website other than references to SEC fillings
- Despite a huge turnover it has failed to produce a signal years profit
- Growth financed by borrowings and cash injections
- Who's market is limited to a few major cities per country at best and who appears to have reached saturation point based on recent growth figures
- Who according to their own comments have penetrated 25% into the Eats market without a profit...

Who exactly is such company going to finance further growth? A further cash injection that will dilute your holdings?

Where exactly to you see value worth $43.90 in this?

Did I say it's a dead cert? I'm well aware I'm speculating with my money when I buy Uber stock.

It's still on a massive growth journey and is dealing with the inevitable problems that come with transitioning to a more mature, (eventually) profitable company. It's a company consistently looking towards the future to an extent almost to its own detriment.

They've invested heavily in AI (sure, who hasn't) and high margin businesses like Eats and Uber Freight are performing well for them, I'm prepared to give it time.

Spotify did nothing but haemorrhage money until earlier this year but if you timed it right, you could have made a good few quid from selling their stock (it's priced below what it first listed at now so that ship has sailed).

Well aware that the $43.90 I paid may turn out to be poor value, happy to take the risk though.

q85dw7osi4lebg · 12-05-2019 9:17pm

I think you'll see a 10% gain soon and if you do I'd probably be taking it. Worth a punt, have a feeling may not have been the best time to IPO though.

Bob Harris · 13-05-2019 8:56am

retalivity wrote: »

VSTM gonna open around $1.50 tomorrow after awful results

The sales are very poor - outlook of $10-12M for the year.
They are still confident of 200-300M sales. They may well be right but what are the cost of these sales? From 31st of Dec to 31st of March the cash dropped by $38M. Keep doing that for 3/4 quarters and they'll need to raise more.

"Selling, general and administrative expense for the first quarter 2019 was $26 million compared to $9.8 million for the first quarter 2018. The increase of $16.2 million or 165% between these 2 periods was primarily due to higher personnel and related costs as well as promotional and consulting costs in support of the commercial launch of COPIKTRA"

All of that for $1.7M in net revenue.

A pretty picture it does not paint.

Jim2007 · 13-05-2019 11:34am

Underground wrote: »

It's still on a massive growth journey and is dealing with the inevitable problems that come with transitioning to a more mature, (eventually) profitable company. It's a company consistently looking towards the future to an extent almost to its own detriment.

They grew 2% in the last quarter, where is the growth going to come from. What exactly has to happen to turn their massive turnover figure into profits? Why is it loosing money?

Underground wrote: »

They've invested heavily in AI (sure, who hasn't) and high margin businesses like Eats and Uber Freight are performing well for them, I'm prepared to give it time.

But where are they going to get the finance from to do this???? And they are all ready 25% into Eats without any sign of profit. Sounds very much like you spend to long listening to the talking heads and not enough time on the analysis.

Underground wrote: »

Well aware that the $43.90 I paid may turn out to be poor value, happy to take the risk though.

What did you do? Buy 10 or 20 shares....

littlevillage · 13-05-2019 3:38pm

Theres blood on the trading room floors today Uber & Tech getting a kicking.

and Verastem (naturally) !!

mickoneill31 · 13-05-2019 8:42pm

littlevillage wrote: »

Theres blood on the trading room floors today Uber & Tech getting a kicking.

and Verastem (naturally) !!

Not just tech. Down across the board. Thanks to the US trade war with China.

Voltex · 13-05-2019 9:45pm

mickoneill31 wrote: »

Not just tech. Down across the board. Thanks to the US trade war with China.

From what I understand, there's a lot of support for Trump's position on China...including bi-partisan support. Trade deficit with China is something like €400B. Trade war will hurt China far far more than US. Trump can carry this on for a lot longer than China can....remember PBOC have already eased reserve limits, eased credit access and central Government giving tax breaks as stimulus.

RedRochey · 13-05-2019 9:50pm

He needs a good win before elections though so I can see them settling for a deal soon enough

redlead · 13-05-2019 10:13pm

littlevillage wrote: »

and Verastem (naturally) !!

I'm starting to get worried that when the Verastem stock runs out of numbers to go down someone's going to call around to my house and start taking furniture off me ;-)

Voltex · 13-05-2019 10:25pm

StockTwat29 wrote: »

He needs a good win before elections though so I can see them settling for a deal soon enough

Going by the level and number of contributions his 2020 campaign has gathered so far he is looking like a shoe-in. I think a lot of us in Europe have misread the popularity of Trump in the US. His style maybe irksome, but his convictions have traction!

Kilboor · 14-05-2019 1:33pm

Uber and Lyft

q85dw7osi4lebg · 14-05-2019 1:36pm

CNBC guests extremely bearish on UBER.

Could this be the end of banana tech vals?

Kilboor · 14-05-2019 1:44pm

Asher Wooden Coupon wrote: »

CNBC guests extremely bearish on UBER.

Could this be the end of banana tech vals?

When all is said and done basic fundamentals are most important when it comes to valuating a company.

A company whose CEO says it may never be profitable is not a good sign. Big bubble, when will it pop? Who knows.

Irishder · 14-05-2019 7:11pm

VSTM on the move in the right direction.

bcklschaps · 14-05-2019 8:20pm

Irishder wrote: »

VSTM on the move in the right direction.

Up 17% today. Now only another 200% to climb and I'll be at my break even point on this sh*t sandwich :-)

Captainsatnav · 15-05-2019 8:13am

bcklschaps wrote: »

Up 17% today. Now only another 200% to climb and I'll be at my break even point on this sh*t sandwich :-)

On a serious note though I hope you only put a couple hundred drinking money on it and not serious cash?

Irishder · 15-05-2019 10:28am

I only opened up a DEGIRO account yesterday and made my first trades, there seems to be a platora of websites giving advice. What websites and resources do people use here for their research?

Kilboor · 15-05-2019 11:13am

Irishder wrote: »

I only opened up a DEGIRO account yesterday and made my first trades, there seems to be a platora of websites giving advice. What websites and resources do people use here for their research?

Research due diligence, fundamentals, and then cognitive bias, after research key terms on websites such as investopedia, or watch youtube tutorials.

Following this extract as much information as you can whether be it on here, seekingalpha, reddit, or forums specifically for those stock exchanges (hotcopper for asx comes to mind). Most people tend to stick to US Stocks due to volume, solid fundamentals, and gains to be made.

Reddit investing is a good place to start.

ct5amr2ig1nfhp · 15-05-2019 1:01pm

Thanks for the TTWO tip, whoever that was (i think InstaSte). Up over 15%.

Jim2007 · 15-05-2019 1:09pm

Voltex wrote: »

From what I understand, there's a lot of support for Trump's position on China...including bi-partisan support. Trade deficit with China is something like €400B. Trade war will hurt China far far more than US. Trump can carry this on for a lot longer than China can....remember PBOC have already eased reserve limits, eased credit access and central Government giving tax breaks as stimulus.

The trade deficit is still growing and most likely will do until American consumers can no longer take it. They will then start to realise that the are the ones paying for the tariffs and we'll see how it goes from then on.

The other issue is debt, China is a major buyer and holder of US debt... if they were to stop buying or start to sell....

Jim2007 · 15-05-2019 1:15pm

Asher Wooden Coupon wrote: »

CNBC guests extremely bearish on UBER.

Could this be the end of banana tech vals?

Stop listening to the talking heads And start thinking for yourself.

RedRochey · 15-05-2019 1:16pm

Jasiah Tight Geese wrote: »

Thanks for the TTWO tip, whoever that was (i think InstaSte). Up over 15%.

Still unsure about this, Red Dead was disappointing and the future of the gaming industry is so unsure

Jim2007 · 15-05-2019 1:39pm

Irishder wrote: »

I only opened up a DEGIRO account yesterday and made my first trades, there seems to be a platora of websites giving advice. What websites and resources do people use here for their research?

None, if those guys were able to make money out of it, they would not need to sell their services to you.

First of all understand yourself, your approach to risk and your limitations. Be honest with yourself, no one else needs to know! This is probably one of the most important aspects of investing if you want to keep losses to a minimum.

Determine what your investing objective is and not make as much money as possible is not an objective. Next figure out how much risk you need to take on in order to achieve that objective and don't take on risk beyond that. It is not a race and there are not winners, but there are an incredible number of losers!

Learn at least the basics of fundamental analysis, technical analysis and economics. So that you are comfortable going through a set of accounts, economic reports etc... If you don't have much business experience, then take advantage of any open door events offered by companies in your area, so you can start to build up some kind of a feeling for what it is like in business and you'll get a feel for what is behind the reports and the figures.

You can be an expert in everything, so pick a few sectors and become an expert in those. When you do decide to invest in a company, then you need to not only know everything about it, but also about it's cometitors.

q85dw7osi4lebg · 15-05-2019 1:43pm

Jasiah Tight Geese wrote: »

Thanks for the TTWO tip, whoever that was (i think InstaSte). Up over 15%.

Took my profits a bit early. Think if I was still holding I'd consider moving them on for now unless happy to stay long.

ct5amr2ig1nfhp · 15-05-2019 3:58pm

Well I'm glad I didn't hit sell this morning at 103... got pulled into a meeting. At 108 now.

Asher Wooden Coupon wrote: »

Took my profits a bit early. Think if I was still holding I'd consider moving them on for now unless happy to stay long.

q85dw7osi4lebg · 15-05-2019 5:23pm

Jasiah Tight Geese wrote: »

Well I'm glad I didn't hit sell this morning at 103... got pulled into a meeting. At 108 now. Edit: Not going to be greedy, sold half at 108.5

Excellent work !

Voltex · 15-05-2019 10:14pm

Jim2007 wrote: »

None, if those guys were able to make money out of it, they would not need to sell their services to you.

First of all understand yourself, your approach to risk and your limitations. Be honest with yourself, no one else needs to know! This is probably one of the most important aspects of investing if you want to keep losses to a minimum.

Determine what your investing objective is and not make as much money as possible is not an objective. Next figure out how much risk you need to take on in order to achieve that objective and don't take on risk beyond that. It is not a race and there are not winners, but there are an incredible number of losers!

Learn at least the basics of fundamental analysis, technical analysis and economics. So that you are comfortable going through a set of accounts, economic reports etc... If you don't have much business experience, then take advantage of any open door events offered by companies in your area, so you can start to build up some kind of a feeling for what it is like in business and you'll get a feel for what is behind the reports and the figures.

You can be an expert in everything, so pick a few sectors and become an expert in those. When you do decide to invest in a company, then you need to not only know everything about it, but also about it's cometitors.

TBH...not a whole lot wrong with sitting through an hour or so of Squawk Box in the morning to learn a few bits. Steve Sedgwick makes it very easy to watch...

q85dw7osi4lebg · 17-05-2019 3:05pm

Anybody eyeing up entry or reentry to TSLA?

Captainsatnav · 17-05-2019 3:45pm

Asher Wooden Coupon wrote: »

Anybody eyeing up entry or reentry to TSLA?

Think there's some good news about to break? As the Euro launch continues apace? (on a separate but related note - definitely getting 2nd hand a Model 3 in about 18 months or so)

ct5amr2ig1nfhp · 17-05-2019 3:46pm

Not I. Share price is down nearly 50% in six months. Continues to miss delivery targets. Will the Maxwell purchase pay off? Who know. The company is losing billions each year. Its' technology is no longer 'years ahead' of the competition (IMHO). Elon is too unpredictable.

The kid in mean loves his vision though.

Asher Wooden Coupon wrote: »

Anybody eyeing up entry or reentry to TSLA?

Supercell · 20-05-2019 8:30pm

Have to say, SPY daily is looking grim. I fomo'd too late into the TTD party and am feeling the pain now, should have managed that far better.
I'm already seeing value on stocks but they are still falling, time to go to cash I think unless trapped in them ( like me now in TTD @ $205 ).

Share Picks 2019

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