Storm Lorenzo: October 3/4 2019 Technical Discussion Only

Meteorite58 · 03-10-2019 7:53am

ECM 0Z a bit down on previous runs but still quite windy in the W getting up around 120km/h on coastal areas ( wouldn't rule out a bit higher on exposed coastal headland ). Later away from coastal areas gusting 70 to 90 km/h inland , higher towards the coast and 90 - 100km/h on high ground . Mayo, Galway, Clare getting the highest winds followed by Kerry. Would think Kerry max of 100km/h or 110km/h and this from the Dingle Peninsula up towards N Kerry and coastal. More gusting 70 to 90 km/h inland.

Meteorite58 · 03-10-2019 7:55am

10 min avg 34 km/h, gust 71 km/h here near Tralee.

13.4C

Bar 1002.5 hPa Falling Rapidly

Meteorite58 · 03-10-2019 7:59am

Oneiric 3 · 03-10-2019 8:03am

Pressure trend at my station over the last 12 hrs. Fairly steady fall since midnight though a few curious 'wobbles' occurring earlier on this morning:

Graces7 · 03-10-2019 8:07am

skyscapes out here half an hour ago

West Mayo offshore.
Bitterly cold

SleetAndSnow · 03-10-2019 8:16am

Removing cork from orange was the right thing, If anything it was only small parts of cork that needed it. Regardless that doesn’t mean the winds won’t still be strong. Some gusts already this morning blowing the trees fairly strongly causing leaves to be everywhere. I’d still be vigilant as it is a different type of yellow warning with the very wet ground and trees full of leaves, could still be plenty of damage.

M.T. Cranium · 03-10-2019 8:58am

Cristian Unimportant Starch wrote: »

Are the strongest winds/gusts always on the southwest side of a storm/hurricane?

Not always, but when storms of all kinds are moving northeast the strongest winds are usually found in the southeast quadrant. A storm moving from west to east would likely have strongest winds to the south.

But for hurricanes or typhoons moving northwest, you would expect the strongest winds to be in the northeast quadrant. For those moving east to west, the strongest winds (as with Dorian recently in Bahamas) would be north of the centre.

However, in all cases, the stronger the tropical system, the more concentrated the strong winds would be in the eyewall in general, and while the same rules generally apply, the eyewall all around the centre can have almost equally strong winds.

Reasons for this include the interaction of upper level winds steering the storm with boundary layer, and the forward motion of the storm added to the wind direction.

Mortelaro · 03-10-2019 9:39am

1012.4mb in Arklow falling rapidly
Wind SSE gusting to 47 kmh

Snow Garden · 03-10-2019 9:42am

Can someone repost the chart that shows the storm centre on a time basis - I saw the chart a few times with crudely drawn timelines. Effective for all the 'when will it hit' questions.

MJohnston · 03-10-2019 9:49am

Snow Garden wrote: »

Can someone repost the chart that shows the storm centre on a time basis - I saw the chart a few times with crudely drawn timelines. Effective for all the 'when will it hit' questions.

No longer available since Lorenzo transitioned from being a hurricane. The NHC create those charts, and the storm is out of their area of responsibility now (and has been for about a day, so most of the previous charts wouldn't be accurate)

uck51js9zml2yt · 03-10-2019 9:54am

MJohnston wrote: »

No longer available since Lorenzo transitioned from being a hurricane. The NHC create those charts, and the storm is out of their area of responsibility now (and has been for about a day, so most of the previous charts wouldn't be accurate)

I chuckled at the idea of someone having responsibility for a storm.

SeaBreezes · 03-10-2019 9:54am

Snow Garden wrote: »

Can someone repost the chart that shows the storm centre on a time basis - I saw the chart a few times with crudely drawn timelines. Effective for all the 'when will it hit' questions.

Their last update:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/143913.shtml?mltoa34#contents

Oneiric 3 · 03-10-2019 9:56am

Nice WV image taken half an hour ago.

Gaoth Laidir · 03-10-2019 9:58am

FAX analysis at 06Z. At 969 hPa it was 5 hPa higher than that forecasted 24 hours ago.

Kamili · 03-10-2019 10:00am

Snow Garden wrote: »

Can someone repost the chart that shows the storm centre on a time basis - I saw the chart a few times with crudely drawn timelines. Effective for all the 'when will it hit' questions.

Google have started tracking it for you

https://www.google.com/maps/@49.663661,-11.8838656,5z/data=!3m1!4b1!4m3!15m2!1m1!1s%2Fg%2F11fnqbt298?hl=en

Pic from the National Hurricane Center

Hector Savage · 03-10-2019 10:07am

https://www.yr.no/place/Ireland/Munster/Fastnet_Rock/

I thought Fastnet would get a battering, but seems fine, mind you map above explains it..

Oneiric 3 · 03-10-2019 10:08am

Sky is getting very strange looking here. Clouds are broken with a mix of high based Altocumulus and Altostratus with deep blue sky in between. Odd thing is though there are short little heavy showers springing up and all falling from these higher based clouds with light being dispersed in a very surreal way as a result.

Hector Savage · 03-10-2019 10:21am

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

Sky is getting very strange looking here. Clouds are broken with a mix of high based Altocumulus and Altostratus with deep blue sky in between. Odd thing is though there are short little heavy showers springing up and all falling from these higher based clouds with light being dispersed in a very surreal way as a result.

Where are you ?
Post a photo if possible!

Oneiric 3 · 03-10-2019 10:22am

ICON 06z going for a Donegal landing later tonight:

Oneiric 3 · 03-10-2019 10:24am

Hector Savage wrote: »

Where are you ?
Post a photo if possible!

Galway. Didn't take a photo

Sky is closing in rapidly now anyway.

pad199207 · 03-10-2019 10:27am

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

Galway. Didn't take a photo Sky is closing in rapidly now anyway.

Same here. Gone dark and clouds have lost their HD clarity look to them

dacogawa · 03-10-2019 10:27am

The M3 buoy (60km off SW of Cork) and M6 (390km off Galway Bay) 9am reports. The wave height is picking up. 969hPa on the M6.

Widdershins · 03-10-2019 10:29am

Same cloud layers in Clare. I didn't mention it because I didn't remember the cloud names until I saw Oneiric's post.

MJohnston · 03-10-2019 10:29am

Here's where those buoys are for reference:

Water John · 03-10-2019 10:30am

Lashing rain here in Cork for the last hour.

Oneiric 3 · 03-10-2019 10:31am

pad199207 wrote: »

Same here. Gone dark and clouds have lost their HD clarity look to them

'HD Clarity' That perfectly describes the scene.

pad199207 · 03-10-2019 10:34am

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

'HD Clarity' That perfectly describes the scene.

only way I could describe it really lol the way the sun was behind the clouds

Oneiric 3 · 03-10-2019 10:39am

Widdershins wrote: »

Same cloud layers in Clare. I didn't mention it because I didn't remember the cloud names until I saw Oneiric's post.

Very handy site to help you refresh those forgotten cloud names. Just click on any of the images and it will give you the name of them and a brief description.

https://cloudatlas.wmo.int/search-image-gallery.html

Could look at these all day.

Villain · 03-10-2019 10:51am

The M6 Buoy is the one to watch, seems center passed very close in last hour.

https://twitter.com/CarlowWeather/status/1179693956382236672?s=20

pad199207 · 03-10-2019 10:53am

Odd shapes and sizes

Storm Lorenzo: October 3/4 2019 **Technical Discussion Only**

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Storm Lorenzo: October 3/4 2019 Technical Discussion Only