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Coronavirus Part II - Its arrived - We're Doomed!!! See OP for Mod warnings

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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 19 longvacation


    Rumour mill in my area is that person is
    from Carrickmacross


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,960 ✭✭✭skimpydoo


    You're a nutjob.

    Scaremongering.
    How do you know? He posted nothing that borders on scaremongering.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,933 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Hubei cases
    New 570
    Deaths 34

    Add on a couple for the rest of China, meanwhile in the real world

    I will go with 6 cases everywhere else in China.

    It's total madness but they need the factories open.

    Having said that, isn't that a rise in cases in Hubei province?


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭BanditLuke


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Hubei cases
    New 570
    Deaths 34

    Add on a couple for the rest of China, meanwhile in the real world

    I think it's pointless putting up the Chinese figures tbh. They are more interested in getting their economy going again now and putting out a positive spin.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Rob A. Bank


    sdanseo wrote: »
    That doesn't make the numbers irrelevant. The only figures I discounted were the epicentre (whose health system was crippled beyond any imagination, not least because they didn't know what they were dealing with) and Iran for obvious reasons.

    The figures include all the other areas with large outbreaks.

    Impressive maths... But you assumed 50% of cases undetected thus halving the quoted death rates.

    However the WHO China mission report says... "Asymptomatic infection has been reported, but the majority of the relatively rare cases who are asymptomatic on the date of identification/report went on to develop disease. The proportion of truly asymptomatic infections is unclear but appears to be relatively rare and does not appear to be a major driver of transmission."

    Dr Bruce Aylward the WHO expert said in his news conference that there is NO rest of the iceberg, the figures from China are real.

    https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,996 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    they must be breathing a sigh of relief!

    Who?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,146 ✭✭✭DellyBelly


    Absolutely.
    Irish government are suppressing information.
    I work as a healthcare worker. I posted on Thursday that there was a confirmed case in the mater hospital. Strange it didn’t get released to the public until 9pm Saturday night.

    That is scary if that's the case. Why woukd they be suppressing it do you think?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,148 ✭✭✭amadangomor


    BanditLuke wrote: »
    I'm beginning to wonder if this is true. I seen a photo of a blocked off corridor inside the Mater on Thursday in a Whatapp group and thought nothing of it.

    Actually here it is.

    Drill maybe. Don't fall for the LCD ****e going around


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 567 ✭✭✭tillyfilly


    Researchers currently think that between five and 40 coronavirus cases in 1,000 will result in death, with a best guess of nine in 1,000 or about 1%


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 1,915 ✭✭✭Cupatae


    I said this in the thread earlier but I reckon in 2 weeks time we will be hearing FF and FG talk about the national interest and going in with the greens to deal with the coronavirus emergency and economic fallout from it plus mentioning the election promises and Brexit trade talks.

    This virus will force FF/fg/greens into government. I no longer see a second election as viable with this outbreak.

    I was thinking the same, hardly be a great idea to have the masses in one spot with a outbreak like this.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,148 ✭✭✭amadangomor


    DellyBelly wrote: »
    That is scary if that's the case. Why woukd they be suppressing it do you think?

    Don't believe the ****ehawk


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,235 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    Singapore
    99 cases
    72 fully recovered from the infection and have been discharged
    20 confirmed cases are stable
    7 are in critical condition.
    0 deaths.

    I suppose this shows what a good health system will do in the early stages of an outbreak. It seems the problems mount when your system gets overwhelmed with people who need oxygen or intensive care and the capacity is not there. This is what I would worry about with Ireland.

    It's also not spreading despite Singapore being one of the most densely populated countries on the face of the earth.
    99 cases and it was one of the first to declare a case outside China.
    Compare that with Europe.

    We suck at isolation / more draconian measures because we westerners are more accustomed to wide-ranging freedoms.
    Those freedoms will probably need to be curtailed to slow this down. And I do believe Europe will see higher infection rates than Asia as a direct result of the political failures to implement those sort of measures soon.

    Inane example. I could work from home indefinitely. My job doesn't require my physical presence other than for meetings that could be teleconferenced and printing the occasional document. There would still need to be a warehouse staff, but over 100 office personnel could do the same - everything is remote desktop, they'd just need access.

    It's laughable that our company would introduce work from home over this. It would be seen as unthinkable, not progressive. Anyone suggesting it will be laughed at until things get out of hand by which point the purpose of it happening en masse will be partially defeated.

    Equally so, if the government was to promote it. They're be lambasted by employer groups and accused of scaremongering.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,444 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    Unbelievable that they won't warn people of the place this man is from, and his travel route. How long before this County is put on lockdown?
    Where is he from?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 988 ✭✭✭brendanwalsh


    I won’t be providing information on this thread to prove my credentials due to concern for doxing and how it may effect my employment , mod can pm me privately if they feel necessary.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,933 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    tillyfilly wrote: »
    Researchers currently think that between five and 40 coronavirus cases in 1,000 will result in death, with a best guess of nine in 1,000 or about 1%

    Italy, which I think we all can trust in as much as any country can be trusted, is 29 in 1,000.

    However, they are about to do what China did and change the criteria to not include cases with no symptoms.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,843 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    tillyfilly wrote: »
    Researchers currently think that between five and 40 coronavirus cases in 1,000 will result in death, with a best guess of nine in 1,000 or about 1%

    Seems like this will be highly dependent on the available medical facilities.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,401 ✭✭✭all about the mane


    the tinfoil hats are out in force now


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭BanditLuke


    504267.jpg

    Cheers didn't know how to do that. Yeah the guy that sent it to me works in the hospital but i didn't want to spread misinformation without confirmation but looks like it could be true.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,220 ✭✭✭cameramonkey


    tom1ie wrote: »
    This isn’t supposed to take the piss but if you ranked there’s on a scale of 1 to 10 what would it be.......now do Ireland’s.


    I didn't have to experience their health system but here are some world rankings.


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Health_Organization_ranking_of_health_systems_in_2000#Ranking


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,772 ✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    Drill maybe. Don't fall for the LCD ****e going around

    what do you think was happening in the hours or days before the news of a confirmed case was released?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,410 ✭✭✭old_aussie


    Muslims lick coronavirus infected shrines...and loving it!

    This will not work out well for Iran!



    This confirms my suspicion all along....

    islam the religion of death wishers.

    Not capable of having logical thought!


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭BanditLuke


    Mr.S wrote: »
    This is a really common scene on a hospital ward.

    Yeah could be nothing but it was taken Thursday in the Mater that's all i know.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,449 ✭✭✭Call Me Jimmy


    Why not release specifics about the case? What hospital are they in? When did they get back from Italy? What condition are they in? What age are they? This would be useful info

    It's madness. In South Korea they send out a text to everyone in the area when there is a new case saying where it was confirmed and where that person has been for the past 24 -48 hrs so people can get tested. Any of these places are shut down and sterilized.

    This weekend they advised the whole country to stay indoors. Many countries have banned travel in and out. For context on the numbers, the German health minister stated they were at a beginning of an epidemic... after 20 confirmed cases. He accepted it couldn't be contained that early.

    'In the east' ffs


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,401 ✭✭✭all about the mane


    I didn't have to experience their health system but here are some world rankings.


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Health_Organization_ranking_of_health_systems_in_2000#Ranking

    Ireland 19th best. Not bad at all to be fair. Better than the likes of Sweden and Switzerland. Thats actually impressive.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 988 ✭✭✭brendanwalsh


    DellyBelly wrote: »
    That is scary if that's the case. Why woukd they be suppressing it do you think?

    I presume they wanted to do the test again to confirm, also don’t want to incite panic in general public, before contact tracing the individuals exact movements and encounters.
    Irish healthcare system is not equipped for this. HSE is at breaking point without 1000 extra people showing up with a cough.
    HSE will minimize testing and hope that 80% of people who catch it will be fine or asymptomatic and that the 20% who do get it will eventually present. But if they announce corona is disseminated through Ireland 100% of people with coughs will start turning up to EDs spreading it more and looking for treatment (of which there is none for mild disease)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,676 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    There's a small cohort of people here continually posting crap and rumours and then going around thanking each others posts


  • Administrators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 77,612 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭Beasty


    Absolutely.
    Irish government are suppressing information.
    I work as a healthcare worker. I posted on Thursday that there was a confirmed case in the mater hospital. Strange it didn’t get released to the public until 9pm Saturday night.
    Cut out the conspiracy talk. You are no different from any other poster in this thread and you are not a reliable source.

    Any questions PM me - do not respond to this warning in-thread


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,762 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    the tinfoil hats are out in force now

    How?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,148 ✭✭✭amadangomor


    old_aussie wrote: »
    Muslims lick coronavirus infected shrines...and loving it!

    This will not work out well for Iran!



    This confirms my suspicion all along....

    islam the religion of death wishers.

    Not capable of having logical thought!

    In fairness it's not just Islam anyone who believes in any religion is not exactly logical.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,579 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    I presume they wanted to do the test again to confirm, also don’t want to incite panic in general public, before contact tracing the individuals exact movements and encounters.
    Irish healthcare system is not equipped for this. HSE is at breaking point without 1000 extra people showing up with a cough.
    HSE will minimize testing and hope that 80% of people who catch it will be fine or asymptomatic and that the 20% who do get it will eventually present. But if they announce corona is disseminated through Ireland 100% of people with coughs will start turning up to EDs spreading it more and looking for treatment (of which there is none for mild disease)

    You are actively adding to this Scaremongering.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,960 ✭✭✭skimpydoo


    One thing worth noting that the confirmation of our first southern Covid 19 patient was released on Saturday night at around 9 so that it won't get in the Sunday papers unless they manage to squeeze it in their second editions.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,909 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    They stated that they had contacted people first before announcing it today. So people that were beside this person etc already know.


    One man's suppressing information is another man's giving people warning.


    If someone was on a flight from Milan then they should be alert to the possibility of picking up this pox even in the absence or timing of this announcement.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,401 ✭✭✭all about the mane


    tom1ie wrote: »
    How?

    the bullsh1t conspiracy theories...


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,401 ✭✭✭all about the mane


    skimpydoo wrote: »
    One thing worth noting that it was released on Saturday night at around 9 so that it won't get in the Sunday papers unless they manage to squeeze it in their second editions.

    so what?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,181 ✭✭✭CinemaGuy45


    I won’t be providing information on this thread to prove my credentials due to concern for doxing and how it may effect my employment , mod can pm me privately if they feel necessary.

    I think this poster seems genuine and the account is over two years old.


    Drip feeding out bad news on a Saturday evening not to cause panic and chatter in work sound like something the HSE might do.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 288 ✭✭citysights


    From the looks of the schools that went on trips around the infected areas of northern Italy, most arrived home last week. Reports of incubation were up to a max of 14 days (but small % even higher reported). If Italy can go from 14 cases on to over 1000 in 8 days, I think things here will look very different by Sunday next week, unless we can slow the spread similar to the UK. It's only buying us some time at this stage, we will get more cases and as Dr John Campbell has said recently, it will come in waves.

    But why do we have to look at a worst case scenario. Uk has 23 cases to date( just checked) so maybe if we can stop the spread we won’t end up like Italy. If we can contain it which looks like what UK have done. Other countries in Europe too have low numbers of cases also. Hopefully this will be us as well low numbers and taking all steps to stop the spread. Maybe I’m being too optimistic but hope we can.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,772 ✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    so what?

    it'll be yesterday's news by monday


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,627 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    Impressive maths... But you assumed 50% of cases undetected thus halving the quoted death rates.

    However the WHO China mission report says... "Asymptomatic infection has been reported, but the majority of the relatively rare cases who are asymptomatic on the date of identification/report went on to develop disease. The proportion of truly asymptomatic infections is unclear but appears to be relatively rare and does not appear to be a major driver of transmission."

    Dr Bruce Aylward the WHO expert said in his news conference that there is NO rest of the iceberg, the figures from China are real.

    https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf

    He may be an expert but he is making a judgment call on the information presented to him by the Chinese authorities. These are the same Chinese authorities who deny any large scale detention of the Uighur population despite massive evidence to the contrary.
    What is the official Chinese figure, 40,000 extra health care workers to treat 80,000 infected? You won’t get that staff ratio in any Irish ICU.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 1,915 ✭✭✭Cupatae


    old_aussie wrote: »
    Muslims lick coronavirus infected shrines...and loving it!

    This will not work out well for Iran!



    This confirms my suspicion all along....

    islam the religion of death wishers.

    Not capable of having logical thought!

    Looks like a case of natural selection to me...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 310 ✭✭Osborne


    I won’t be providing information on this thread to prove my credentials due to concern for doxing and how it may effect my employment , mod can pm me privately if they feel necessary.

    Stop posting if you're not going to provide further info.

    What's stopping any of us posting "inside information" that we can't back up otherwise? It isn't helping and you're not a source we can trust if we only have your word to go by.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 988 ✭✭✭brendanwalsh


    You are actively adding to this Scaremongering.

    I answered the person’s question with my personal opinion.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,401 ✭✭✭all about the mane


    I think this poster seems genuine and the account is over two years old.


    Drip feeding out bad news on a Saturday evening not to cause panic and chatter in work sound like something the HSE might do.

    or maybe they were waiting on test results and contacting people involved


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 567 ✭✭✭tillyfilly


    Does anybody know which hospital the patient zero in Ireland is in?


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭BanditLuke


    I presume they wanted to do the test again to confirm, also don’t want to incite panic in general public, before contact tracing the individuals exact movements and encounters.
    Irish healthcare system is not equipped for this. HSE is at breaking point without 1000 extra people showing up with a cough.
    HSE will minimize testing and hope that 80% of people who catch it will be fine or asymptomatic and that the 20% who do get it will eventually present. But if they announce corona is disseminated through Ireland 100% of people with coughs will start turning up to EDs spreading it more and looking for treatment (of which there is none for mild disease)

    Just goes to show not everything going around on Whatapp is BS


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,933 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,401 ✭✭✭all about the mane


    tillyfilly wrote: »
    Does anybody know which hospital the patient zero in Ireland is in?
    no, but plenty on here will make it up


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,162 ✭✭✭LawBoy2018


    My asthma is quite bad, would I be more affected by the virus than the average citizen? If I don't sit my exams, it will set me back almost a year, would I be stupid not to sit them when there has only been two cases confirmed in Ireland?


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,591 ✭✭✭gabeeg


    Unbelievable that they won't warn people of the place this man is from, and his travel route. How long before this County is put on lockdown?
    Where is he from?

    Stop fear-mongering.

    Just stay out of the east of Ireland like the rest of us


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,293 ✭✭✭billybonkers


    I did post on Wednesday saying there was something happening in the mater. Friend works there
    Wonder if this is that person


This discussion has been closed.
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