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Are there too many weather warnings?

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Comments

  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 7,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭pistolpetes11


    Red warning for City Centre and its a bit of slush. I'm aware other areas have red conditions but city centre isn't close, it's a bit of slush. Met Éireann concentrate on Dublin most as it's the highest densely populated area of the county. A red warning isn't Warranted for the city centre it's a bit of slush.

    They didn't just do warning for the City centre , they done Dublin as a whole , the City centre is a small enough part and overall the Warning was Valid


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 191 ✭✭Casualsingby


    Artane2002 wrote: »
    There's more to Dublin than the city centre. The red warning didn't say 'red warning for Dublin City Centre only'

    And that's exactly my point it's a blanket warning for Dublin when the city centre is at best a yellow. That's why they need to improve their warning system and get rid of blanket county warnings, introduce a bubble type warning.


  • Registered Users Posts: 15 Tobinjl91


    Met Eireann can never win with all the moaners on here :rolleyes:

    Either they didn't give enough warning for something or they've overestimated the warning. Just because temple bar or your part of the city got a light dusting doesn't mean other places aren't much worse.

    Just enjoy the snow :rolleyes::rolleyes:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,148 ✭✭✭amadangomor


    And that's exactly my point it's a blanket warning for Dublin when the city centre is at best a yellow. That's why they need to improve their warning system and get rid of blanket county warnings, introduce a bubble type warning.

    Have to agree with this, I'm a few hundred metres from the Meath border and thaey had a red warning today and here in Westmeath we were on yellow when the conditions on either side of the border were exactly the same. Need to break up the counties into zones and do it on that basis.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    jasper100 wrote: »
    Red warning was completely OTT. A bit of snowy and a bit cold but nothing exceptional, extreme or severe.
    Just as well they didn't issue one then.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,490 ✭✭✭pegasus1


    Have to agree with this, I'm a few hundred metres from the Meath border and thaey had a red warning today and here in Westmeath we were on yellow when the conditions on either side of the border were exactly the same. Need to break up the counties into zones and do it on that basis.

    Zones like counties...:rolleyes::p


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,569 ✭✭✭mugsymugsy


    Posting alerts by county is a bit crazy but then how else do they do it. Another one from Virginia here in East cavan and as others have said when I see an alert for Meath I take notice.

    Local schools here were closed and others in surrounding areas closed up halfway through the day.

    Can't believe this is only the start of it! Unreal never seen anything like it before.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,744 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Have to agree with this, I'm a few hundred metres from the Meath border and thaey had a red warning today and here in Westmeath we were on yellow when the conditions on either side of the border were exactly the same. Need to break up the counties into zones and do it on that basis.

    Would they be able to localize forecasts that well? What with the wind blowing snow all over the place, the snow doesn’t exactly obey county lines.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 191 ✭✭Casualsingby


    mugsymugsy wrote: »
    Posting alerts by county is a bit crazy but then how else do they do it. Another one from Virginia here in East cavan and as others have said when I see an alert for Meath I take notice.

    Local schools here were closed and others in surrounding areas closed up halfway through the day.

    Can't believe this is only the start of it! Unreal never seen anything like it before.

    Like so


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,148 ✭✭✭amadangomor


    pegasus1 wrote: »
    Zones like counties...:rolleyes::p

    LOL :). Some counties are fairly big and have a range of topography/climate type so for example Wicklow could be split into coastal Wicklow, highland Wicklow and western Wicklow,.

    Would be an actual Science based way of giving warnings instead of based on how the country was divided into counties a few hundred years which does not work as I've outlined already.

    Would add subtelty to the warning system that more accuratly reflects what's happening on the ground.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53


    [QUOTE=sdanseo;106289341]UKMO have issued red warnings for Scotland. Very rare to see that since their impact-based criteria for red is so much higher.
    The comments here sound positively scary


    Apparently the first ever red warning issued for snow in the UK.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    [QUOTE=sdanseo;106289341]UKMO have issued red warnings for Scotland. Very rare to see that since their impact-based criteria for red is so much higher.
    The comments here sound positively scary


    Apparently the first ever red warning issued for snow in the UK.

    The first red warning for snow in the UK was 18 January 2013 from what I know.

    EDIT: Never mind, it was 2 February 2009.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,589 ✭✭✭patmac


    [QUOTE=sdanseo;106289341]UKMO have issued red warnings for Scotland. Very rare to see that since their impact-based criteria for red is so much higher.
    The comments here sound positively scary


    Apparently the first ever red warning issued for snow in the UK.
    These warnings have only been in force since 2013 so not too surprising.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,584 ✭✭✭skeleton_boy


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    The first red warning for snow in the UK was 18 January 2013 from what I know.

    First red snow warning for Scotland according to the BBC


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,666 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    First red snow warning for Scotland according to the BBC

    Yeah, it was just that Cork Boy said the UK, which confused me.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,153 ✭✭✭jimbobaloobob


    I think the amount of warnings is proportional to the increase in people doing things for their famous for five minute videos.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,785 ✭✭✭piuswal


    And that's exactly my point it's a blanket warning for Dublin when the city centre is at best a yellow. That's why they need to improve their warning system and get rid of blanket county warnings, introduce a bubble type warning.

    I’m afraid you are displaying lack of knowledge of weather forecasting and its challenges with your comments.

    Let us step back from Dublin City Centre to the source of this weather.

    Have a look at Europe, Google Maps or whatever and see Europe, from the top of Norway to Northern Italy and from Moscow to Galway.

    Since Met Eireann issued a Weather Advisory last week regarding the current weather what we are getting now, it has travelled, roughly, across the area mentioned, c 4 million sq km or so.

    On its way it has encountered a range of modifying factors.

    Cities adding varying amounts of heat, mountains and valleys changing the wind flow, the influences of different vegetation, frozen water and open seas to list some.

    It crosses into Britain, dumps a lot of snow there and then moves across the Irish Sea picking up energy again and finally impacts on Ireland.

    Now add in the vertical extent, for simplicity let us say 10 km. We are now talking about a volume of 40 million cubic km.

    During the week or so that it has taken to get here, that volume has had to be repeatedly measured and analysed and millions upon millions of mathematical calculations run, with the slightest error in the initial measurements being magnified over and over again, to arrive at values for the conditions over the island of Ireland, c 80,000 sq Km, which is just 2% of the area it has travelled over.

    Now, you want Met Eireann to differentiate Dublin City Centre from its surrounds.

    Let us be generous and say DCC is 2 by 2 km, 4 sq km. That is .005 % of the island, which in turn is 2% of the area over which the weather has travelled and been modified

    and you want Met Eireann to distinguish between the City centre and the suburbs!

    Really!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,907 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    The Red warning has been extended to the entire 26 counties while the 6 counties is yellow. Someone is off beam here. Few of the models show much snow in Monaghan or Donegal.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,535 ✭✭✭Radharc na Sleibhte


    It’s madness. Schools and businesses now are gonna close in Sligo, Mayo, Donegal today? For what exactly? Freezing cold and the very very feint possibility of a tiny bit of snow or hail here? High winds, freezing temperatures and snow are not a new phenomenon in the north west...!!!

    Red warning, there has been a hail shower in Glenties. Please everybody stay indoors.

    They need to adjust these red warnings, either the parameters for issuing or something, particularly now with what comes (shutdown) as a result of them being issued. And yes “people could die, just because it wasn’t bad in your area” etc etc..... But that’s exactly the point. They have issued a general nationwide red warning again when there is absolutely no need to do so again. Red warnings must be reserved for definitive specific chaos/danger/threat to life in a definitive area. They should up the parameters of orange or create an amber warning and save red for “get in your bunker”. Maybe we are just more weather hardy on the Atlantic coast but two days now sitting around and looking out the window at the same weather we always get, I don’t know.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,971 ✭✭✭_Dara_


    Blizzards aren’t common anywhere in Ireland.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,698 ✭✭✭greenpilot


    Red warning for the west not warranted. No snow here yet schools now jumped at the opportunity to close. Just back in from walking dog. Bit cold, bit windy, usual stuff. Now need to find babysitters as work has remained opened. Completely overhyped. Ballaghaderreen area.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 695 ✭✭✭beefburrito


    greenpilot wrote: »
    Red warning for the west not warranted. No snow here yet schools now jumped at the opportunity to close. Just back in from walking dog. Bit cold, bit windy, usual stuff. Now need to find babysitters as work has remained opened. Completely overhyped. Ballaghaderreen area.

    Check out Lahinch

    http://www.lahinchsurfshop.com/lahinch-web-cam-271257cm1.html

    It's not overhyped


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,652 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    greenpilot wrote: »
    Red warning for the west not warranted. No snow here yet schools now jumped at the opportunity to close. Just back in from walking dog. Bit cold, bit windy, usual stuff. Now need to find babysitters as work has remained opened. Completely overhyped. Ballaghaderreen area.

    Mod Edit: To avoid mis-information, the red warning is in effect now.


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,159 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    igCorcaigh wrote: »
    The red warning is for later today.

    It's actually in effect now! As of 2300 yesterday.

    http://www.met.ie/nationalwarnings/default.asp


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,918 ✭✭✭✭Discodog


    Very bad to issue the nationwide Red at 11pm. Many parents simply won't know. Here in West Galway the conditions are no different to yesterday. Emma isn't due until tonight.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,971 ✭✭✭_Dara_


    Discodog wrote: »
    Very bad to issue the nationwide Red at 11pm. Many parents simply won't know. Here in West Galway the conditions are no different to yesterday. Emma isn't due until tonight.

    This afternoon.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,918 ✭✭✭✭Discodog


    _Dara_ wrote: »
    This afternoon.

    Around 8pm this evening according to Hirlam & ME.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,717 ✭✭✭firemansam4


    A Nationwide red warning is totally unwarranted, schools closed for 2 days and there is hardly a few flakes of snow most places in Donegal. Most charts show there will be little to no snow that will make it as far north as Donegal on friday. Complete over reaction from met eireann.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 998 ✭✭✭dharma200


    greenpilot wrote: »
    Red warning for the west not warranted. No snow here yet schools now jumped at the opportunity to close. Just back in from walking dog. Bit cold, bit windy, usual stuff. Now need to find babysitters as work has remained opened. Completely overhyped. Ballaghaderreen area.

    good grief. Have you seen any of the weather models? Have you looked a few miles down the road? Have you seen that people ehave to drive through 1. lucky areas like yours straight into inches and inches of compacted ice and snow?
    Galway city is so dangerous I cant even tell you.
    The motorway between Gort and Tuam deadly
    Cars parked up as they cannot move,
    Blizzard coming tonight along with high winds with possible electric outages
    wind chill factor -10

    While you may have not been affected and unfortunate you have to find baby sitters, have a think for the people down the road who are stranded. People who have driven through two counties to get to work like my partner and who nearly lost the car.
    People who might loose electricicty later with the storm and no heating source.
    People who actually have more than a myopic view of their own back yard. Ther eis a reason it is country wide because people who have to drive might well have to leave one small town and go into another.
    Stay safe later.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,971 ✭✭✭_Dara_


    Discodog wrote: »
    Around 8pm this evening according to Hirlam & ME.

    Met Éireann is forecasting blizzard conditions of Munster and Leinster this afternoon and evening. And because it’s a storm, there’s probably a degree of uncertainty about the other two provinces.

    The below forecast was issued in the small hours and is still in place.

    E43_B7122-0_A60-4_FE5-_A1_A1-935183_E4_B35_A.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 62 ✭✭Conelan


    greenpilot wrote: »
    Red warning for the west not warranted. No snow here yet schools now jumped at the opportunity to close. Just back in from walking dog. Bit cold, bit windy, usual stuff. Now need to find babysitters as work has remained opened. Completely overhyped. Ballaghaderreen area.

    Just to let you know schools don't jump at the opportunity. There is a national directive in place that if your area is declared Red Alert the school closes, it's very simple really


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 893 ✭✭✭PLL


    dharma200 wrote: »
    Galway city is so dangerous I cant even tell you.

    Particularly when you live on a steep hill and don't fancy sliding down it, nevermind attempting to get back up.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,698 ✭✭✭greenpilot


    It’s madness. Schools and businesses now are gonna close in Sligo, Mayo, Donegal today? For what exactly? Freezing cold and the very very feint possibility of a tiny bit of snow or hail here? High winds, freezing temperatures and snow are not a new phenomenon in the north west...!!!

    Red warning, there has been a hail shower in Glenties. Please everybody stay indoors.

    They need to adjust these red warnings, either the parameters for issuing or something, particularly now with what comes (shutdown) as a result of them being issued. And yes “people could die, just because it wasn’t bad in your area” etc etc..... But that’s exactly the point. They have issued a general nationwide red warning again when there is absolutely no need to do so again. Red warnings must be reserved for definitive specific chaos/danger/threat to life in a definitive area. They should up the parameters of orange or create an amber warning and save red for “get in your bunker”. Maybe we are just more weather hardy on the Atlantic coast but two days now sitting around and looking out the window at the same weather we always get, I don’t know.

    Completely agree, No snow here from Roscommon northwards towards Donegal. usual conditions for this time of the year. Public asked to stay indoors from 4pm? Seriously.? As other posters have mentioned in these areas, the weather was worse two weeks ago. Staff are now calling work and giving the excuse of the red warning not to go in, yet the roads are completely clear. My boss will not close work as the roads are fine. Red warnings should have been confined to the worse counties.
    I appreciate that things are extremely dangerous for the rest of the country, but further west, the red warning is a joke. especially today.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,717 ✭✭✭firemansam4


    Not sure why Met Eireann have issued a nationwide red alert, it seems to be completely unnecessary for counties that are not being badly effected by this weather. Here where I am in Donegal there is hardly a flake of snow outside, and from looking at most the models it seems that the snow from Fridays storm will not reach the northern parts of this country bar maybe a few flurry's.
    An orange warning should have stayed in place for some areas that will not be badly affected. Seems like a complete over reaction from Met Eireann.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,971 ✭✭✭_Dara_


    Blizzards are forecast. When did you last experience a blizzard in Ireland?

    The warning concerns the afternoon onwards, not now. Why are you talking about current conditions? People could get stranded later if they venture out to work now. Why is this so difficult to grasp?

    And it’s a storm so there is a degree of uncertainty about where will be worst affected. They need to be cautious. If lives were cost, they’d be blamed.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir



    Looks lovely there


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,708 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    Not sure why Met Eireann have issued a nationwide red alert, it seems to be completely unnecessary for counties that are not being badly effected by this weather. Here where I am in Donegal there is hardly a flake of snow outside, and from looking at most the models it seems that the snow from Fridays storm will not reach the northern parts of this country bar maybe a few flurry's.
    An orange warning should have stayed in place for some areas that will not be badly affected. Seems like a complete over reaction from Met Eireann.

    The models are at conflict about how far north Emma will get.

    No matter what the weather or the warning colours they will never get it 100% right.

    It's just the nature of the beast (weather)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,435 ✭✭✭ixus


    Not sure why Met Eireann have issued a nationwide red alert, it seems to be completely unnecessary for counties that are not being badly effected by this weather. Here where I am in Donegal there is hardly a flake of snow outside, and from looking at most the models it seems that the snow from Fridays storm will not reach the northern parts of this country bar maybe a few flurry's.
    An orange warning should have stayed in place for some areas that will not be badly affected. Seems like a complete over reaction from Met Eireann.

    Well, if fireman Sam thinks it's ok...but you have to watch out for Norman. He's always up to divilment.


  • Registered Users Posts: 227 ✭✭mobil 222


    Not sure why Met Eireann have issued a nationwide red alert, it seems to be completely unnecessary for counties that are not being badly effected by this weather. Here where I am in Donegal there is hardly a flake of snow outside, and from looking at most the models it seems that the snow from Fridays storm will not reach the northern parts of this country bar maybe a few flurry's.
    An orange warning should have stayed in place for some areas that will not be badly affected. Seems like a complete over reaction from Met Eireann.

    The problem is that Sligo has been in the same boat.
    We have hardly seen any snow,just very cold dry days.
    But not so this morning,it has been snowing for the past hour and sticking.
    So very hard to predict


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Conelan wrote: »
    Just to let you know schools don't jump at the opportunity. There is a national directive in place that if your area is declared Red Alert the school closes, it's very simple really

    No, it's still up to schools. The school transport will not run, but there is not a directive stating schools MUST close.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,717 ✭✭✭firemansam4


    Speak Now wrote: »
    The models are at conflict about how far north Emma will get.

    No matter what the weather or the warning colours they will never get it 100% right.

    It's just the nature of the beast (weather)

    I can understand that, iv'e been looking at some of the models and there still seems to be quite a lot of divergence in them.
    The severe snow is looking very unlikely to reach many places in the north west according to most the models, and I still think an orange warning would have sufficed in these areas until such time that a red warning will actually be warranted.

    There are many schools shut unnecessarily today in my opinion.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,751 ✭✭✭mirrorwall14


    No, it's still up to schools. The school transport will not run, but there is not a directive stating schools MUST close.

    Actually it’s not if the department come out and specify which is what has happened here https://www.education.ie/en/Press-Events/Press-Releases/2018-press-releases/PR18-02-28.html


  • Registered Users Posts: 697 ✭✭✭glack


    No, it's still up to schools. The school transport will not run, but there is not a directive stating schools MUST close.

    The Minister has ordered all schools to close!https://twitter.com/richardbrutontd/status/968995784711696385?s=21


  • Registered Users Posts: 86 ✭✭jdcv94


    I was a bit confused when Wexford was upgraded to level 3 for overnight accumulations last night.

    It's been (really painfully) obvious for us that the streamers were coming from a corridor inbetween the IOM and Angelsey. The fetch was not long enough from here to the Welsh coast for any significant snowfall streamers to build. There isn't even 1cm of snow on the ground here and I am 150m asl. It's extremely icy but I think most of the country is at the moment. Snowfall has been few and far between (although it is kinda heavy as I type).

    Now later on the snowfall is due from the south so we need the red alert, it's just yesterday I could not see why ME upgraded us so early.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,390 ✭✭✭facehugger99


    The 'better safe than sorry' mindset that infests all our public institutions will ensure that exaggerated and over-hyped of weather warnings are likely to remain a feature of Irish life.

    Advising people to stay indoors between 4pm today and 12pm tomorrow? Despite a good chunk of the country remaining largely unaffected? It's the nanny-state at its finest.

    Of course the teachers couldn't wait to close the schools and inconvenience thousands of parents. No surprises there.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,732 ✭✭✭BarryD2


    Not sure why Met Eireann have issued a nationwide red alert, it seems to be completely unnecessary for counties that are not being badly effected by this weather.

    It's far too coarse a model. Their problem is borders - they announce a RED alert for Leinster and a lesser one elsewhere, then people living in peripheral counties to Leinster are confused - 'should I go to work, should I not? The local conditions are the same here as over the hill in the RED county' etc etc.

    So ME have to extend their warning and that creates more confusion... until eventually they realise they may as well lump the whole country into the one RED warning. Same happened with the windy spell there a while back.

    We live in Carlow but if I rolled a stone down the hill, it'd end up in Wicklow. Yesterday DUBLIN and Wicklow were RED but Carlow some other colour. But I hear some Dublin residents complaining they'd no or little snow, whilst our local Carlow roads were covered..

    So as a system, this colour coded thing is OK for VERY SERIOUS weather events but in the general scheme of things, it's too coarse, borders cause confusion and it just tends to put the frighteners on those who are inclined to be worried about such matters.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,478 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    The 'better safe than sorry' mindset that infests all our public institutions will ensure that exaggerated and over-hyped of weather warnings are likely to remain a feature of Irish life.

    Advising people to stay indoors between 4pm today and 12pm tomorrow? Despite a good chunk of the country remaining largely unaffected? It's the nanny-state at its finest.

    Of course the teachers couldn't wait to close the schools and inconvenience thousands of parents. No surprises there.

    When I was in primary school 20+ years ago, you listened intently to the local radio to check if your school was open. Invariably ours was as it was in a low lying town that didn't get the snow as bad. You got on with it and accepted it as a feature of life for a day or two. If it was really bad then the school closed. This decision was (sensibly) made on a local basis- there was no social media for people to rant and rave about the government.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,601 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    jdcv94 wrote: »
    I was a bit confused when Wexford was upgraded to level 3 for overnight accumulations last night.

    It's been (really painfully) obvious for us that the streamers were coming from a corridor inbetween the IOM and Angelsey. The fetch was not long enough from here to the Welsh coast for any significant snowfall streamers to build. There isn't even 1cm of snow on the ground here and I am 150m asl. It's extremely icy but I think most of the country is at the moment. Snowfall has been few and far between (although it is kinda heavy as I type).

    Now later on the snowfall is due from the south so we need the red alert, it's just yesterday I could not see why ME upgraded us so early.

    So you agree that a red alert is justified for your location, just that it was too early?

    Do you not think that its better to issue one before people go to work rather than in the middle of the day and leave people stranded?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,732 ✭✭✭BarryD2


    The 'better safe than sorry' mindset that infests all our public institutions will ensure that exaggerated and over-hyped of weather warnings are likely to remain a feature of Irish life..

    Agreed, it's one thing advising people that they might be best for their own comfort to stay indoors but Minister Eoin Murphy has been practically telling everyone not to move.

    There are many people who are fit, able, well equipped and able to be outdoors if they so wish to. People should feel free to make their own decisions and take responsibility for themselves. Rather than be subject to excoriating comment on social media led by a nanny state mindset.


  • Registered Users Posts: 86 ✭✭jdcv94


    Akrasia wrote: »
    So you agree that a red alert is justified for your location, just that it was too early?

    Do you not think that its better to issue one before people go to work rather than in the middle of the day and leave people stranded?

    Yeah now you put it like that it was probably justified. Every chart I see has the SE getting a direct blast from the storm later. I'm just bitter we didn't see any real accumulations the past few nights :D.


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