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Storm Deirdre - Saturday 15 December 2018

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24567…20

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    #32
    Villain
    Registered Users Posts: 15,944 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    DOCARCH wrote: »
    No. Very unlikely.

    Joanna D going for a wetter spell weather, Monday into Tuesday, than tomorrow.

    Yep ECMWF showing serious rain Monday night into Tuesday

    https://twitter.com/CarlowWeather/status/1073489079680012288


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    #33
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Cantona's Collars wrote: »
    Just to make people jealous,they mentioned disruptive snow


    Apart from kids wanting a day off school nobody should be jealous of disruptive snow.


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    #34
    BLIZZARD7
    Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    Deleted User wrote: »
    Apart from kids wanting a day off school nobody should be jealous of disruptive snow.

    Its the deep snow that causes disruption that people like, not the disruption itself. Unfortunately deep snow means disruption in a country not too used to it. Anyway this is a weather forum, full of fans of extreme weather, and this is off topic.


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    #35
    Mount Vesuvius
    Registered Users Posts: 269 ✭✭Mount Vesuvius


    Projected Rainfall accumulations to 6am Sunday . Gives an idea where most showers will fall.
    468171.jpg


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    #36
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,114 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    [Deleted User] wrote: »
    Apart from kids wanting a day off school nobody should be jealous of disruptive snow.

    The snow in march was "disruptive" yet beloved by many.


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    #37
    Mount Vesuvius
    Registered Users Posts: 269 ✭✭Mount Vesuvius


    Aviation forecast for midnight tonight showing nice bit of thunderstorm activity out to the south west.

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    #38
    mickger844posts
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    Warnings issued this morning for tomorrow.

    Status Yellow - Rainfall warning for Ireland
    Heavy rain during Saturday will lead to accumulations of 30 to 50mm with some mountainous areas exceeding these limits.

    Issued: Friday 14 December 2018 10:00

    Updated: Friday 14 December 2018 10:00

    Valid from Saturday 15 December 2018 00:01 to Saturday 15 December 2018 23:59

    Status Yellow - Wind warning for Ireland
    South to southeast winds will increase to reach 55 to 60 km/h during Saturday morning, strongest in the east.

    Later on Saturday afternoon or evening winds veer west to northwest and further increase to reach 55 to 65 km/h with severe gusts of 90 to 110 km/h, possibly exceeding these limits for a time.

    Issued: Friday 14 December 2018 10:00

    Updated: Friday 14 December 2018 10:00

    Valid from Saturday 15 December 2018 00:01 to Saturday 15 December 2018 23:59


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    #39
    MJohnston
    Registered Users Posts: 10,522 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    Worth re-iterating: Met Eireann do not refer to Status Yellow as a 'warning', they call them 'alerts', and subtitle this "be aware". Anyone who wants to go off on a rant about this just being our standard winter weather, they aren't paying attention to the intent of these alerts:
    The concept behind YELLOW level weather alerts is to notify those who are at risk because of their location and/or activity, and to allow them to take preventative action. It is implicit that YELLOW level weather alerts are for weather conditions that do not pose an immediate threat to the general population, but only to those exposed to risk by nature of their location and/or activity.


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    #40
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users Posts: 18,114 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    MJohnston wrote: »
    Worth re-iterating: Met Eireann do not refer to Status Yellow as a 'warning', they call them 'alerts', and subtitle this "be aware". Anyone who wants to go off on a rant about this just being our standard winter weather, they aren't paying attention to the intent of these alerts:

    Eh.....I can't agree because they genuinely do refer to them as warnings. However, a yellow warning is just a be-aware advisory, but it's still a warning.

    spdcgy.jpg


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    #41
    Kamili
    Registered Users Posts: 2,479 ✭✭✭Kamili


    MJohnston wrote: »
    Worth re-iterating: Met Eireann do not refer to Status Yellow as a 'warning', they call them 'alerts', and subtitle this "be aware". Anyone who wants to go off on a rant about this just being our standard winter weather, they aren't paying attention to the intent of these alerts:

    Uhm..
    they actually do call them warnings.

    Status Yellow - Wind warning for Ireland
    South to southeast winds will increase to reach 55 to 60 km/h during Saturday morning, strongest in the east.

    Later on Saturday afternoon or evening winds veer west to northwest and further increase to reach 55 to 65 km/h with severe gusts of 90 to 110 km/h, possibly exceeding these limits for a time.

    Issued: Friday 14 December 2018 10:00

    Updated: Friday 14 December 2018 10:00

    Valid from Saturday 15 December 2018 00:01 to Saturday 15 December 2018 23:59

    Status: Green
    no warning
    Status Yellow - Rainfall warning for Ireland
    Heavy rain during Saturday will lead to accumulations of 30 to 50mm with some mountainous areas exceeding these limits.

    Issued: Friday 14 December 2018 10:00

    Updated: Friday 14 December 2018 10:00

    Valid from Saturday 15 December 2018 00:01 to Saturday 15 December 2018 23:59

    https://www.met.ie/warnings


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    #42
    MJohnston
    Registered Users Posts: 10,522 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    Kamili wrote: »
    Uhm..
    they actually do call them warnings.

    https://www.met.ie/warnings

    Fair, but they are very clear about what they mean:

    FtiZ7EA.png


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    #43
    Kamili
    Registered Users Posts: 2,479 ✭✭✭Kamili


    MJohnston wrote: »
    Fair, but they are very clear about what they mean:

    Going off topic and probably for the too many warnings thread..

    But why still call them warnings in the title then? Why not just say it in the update that its a yellow weather advisory?
    This is what confuses people. They call it one thing in one place then something else somewhere else. When people see Yellow Warning - they go yeah thats a Warning.


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    #44
    MJohnston
    Registered Users Posts: 10,522 ✭✭✭✭MJohnston


    Kamili wrote: »
    Going off topic and probably for the too many warnings thread..

    But why still call them warnings in the title then? Why not just say it in the update that its a yellow weather advisory?
    This is what confuses people. They call it one thing in one place then something else somewhere else. When people see Yellow Warning - they go yeah thats a Warning.

    I think the advisory/warning differentiation is something else though - 'advisory' being something that is still far enough out timewise that they aren't sure where it will end up on the actual warning scale.

    They definitely need to clean up their language for these things, it's all a bit vague for the casual viewer.


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    #45
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,839 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Mod Note: Need to get back on topic guys please.


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    #46
    thecomedian
    Registered Users Posts: 1,601 ✭✭✭thecomedian


    So at this stage, is there any chance of missing that rain tomorrow?


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    #47
    cherryghost
    Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,133 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    thecomedian wrote: »
    So at this stage, is there any chance of missing that rain tomorrow?

    Yes, indoors.


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    #48
    irishrover99
    Registered Users Posts: 2,023 ✭✭✭irishrover99


    thecomedian wrote: »
    So at this stage, is there any chance of missing that rain tomorrow?

    I take it by your name that must be a joke right?:)


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    #49
    Graces7
    Registered Users Posts: 32,634 ✭✭✭✭Graces7


    Marine forecast has gone orange which affects coastal areas

    Status Orange - Gale Warning
    Southeasterly winds will increase to gale force 8 or strong gale 9 tonight on coastal waters from Rossan Point to Howth Head to Hook Head and on the Irish Sea, extending to all coastal waters on Saturday morning.

    West to northwest winds will increase to gale 8 or strong gale 9 during Saturday afternoon/evening on coastal waters from Hook Head to Loop Head to Erris Head, increasing to storm force 10, possibly violent storm 11 from Hook Head to Valentia.


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    #50
    Villain
    Registered Users Posts: 15,944 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    I wish I was in Scotland tomorrow.

    https://twitter.com/CarlowWeather/status/1073618364998844423


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    #51
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,839 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Big upgrade from the ECM 12Z bringing very strong winds over Ireland, high end Yellow wind warning now . Will it deepen further and potentially stronger winds ?

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    #52
    Storm 10
    Registered Users Posts: 5,882 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Valentia Coastguard now broadcasting storm warnings for shipping , from a friend on a fishing trawler


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    #53
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,839 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    That wind with the driving rain going to make for difficult conditions tomorrow

    Models each a bit different with rainfall accumulations, so would need to look for an average, leaning towards the ECMWF I would think.

    hj4VDOS.png

    aromehd-25-34-0_yqs5.png

    arpegeuk-25-36-0_aqt6.png

    hirlamuk-25-34-0_sea4.png


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    #54
    aisling86
    Registered Users Posts: 584 ✭✭✭aisling86


    Going by NW radar it's not really raining compared whats to come....they have started letting the dam go in cork. Lee fields all flooded, I was wondering would they do this because behind the dam macroom area the river levels were very high today never mind come Tuesday!


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    #55
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,121 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Already fairly windy in Kildare. I’ve a feeling tomorrow will be more than “a bit windy and wet” as perceived by some yesterday.


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    #56
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,741 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    pad199207 wrote: »
    Already fairly windy in Kildare. I’ve a feeling tomorrow will be more than “a bit windy and wet” as perceived by some yesterday.

    Very windy/gusty now in Dublin 16.


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    #57
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,839 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The Low can be seen on the ECM projected to drop from 1000hPa at 22.00 Fri to 976 hPa at 18.00 Sat , drop of 24 hPa in 20 hrs , a weather bomb, explosive cyclogenseiss. This could get nasty.

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    #58
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,839 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Strong jet aiding the rapid deepening of the Low well off to the W of Portugal . Put on the strong coffee.

    cQ2ZHPl.png

    pO7nU0L.jpg


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    #59
    Sycamore Tree
    Closed Accounts Posts: 796 ✭✭✭Sycamore Tree


    May you live in interesting climes!


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    #60
    SleetAndSnow
    Registered Users Posts: 4,678 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    Wind suddenly starting to pick up here in cork city alright. Drizzling aswell


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    #61
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,989 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    could we go orange i wonder ?

    this was being perceived as a vicious little system on and off all week
    by the gfs, not surprised by its nasty little development.


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