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10-03-2019, 22:00   #1
Meteorite58
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Storm Gareth: Tues 12 /Weds 13 March 2019 (Orange Warning for NW)

Tracking across the N of Scotland and then down the E coast of the UK producing a very large strong windfield with this Storm later Tues into Weds . Looks like Connaught and Ulster getting the strongest winds especially in coastal areas . Safe to say we will have warnings issued, will put up a yellow for the moment and it might be higher in the above mentioned areas.

Looks like gusting 110 to 120km/h in coastal areas and 90 to 110 km/h overland in parts of Connaught and Ulster.














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10-03-2019, 22:26   #2
Meteorite58
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EURO 4 Hi Res looking very strong in its early stages, strong windfield taking in more of the W and SW coasts , might tame down a bit in further runs. Will see .

Just runs to 18.00 Tues at the moment.











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10-03-2019, 22:40   #3
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EURO 4








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10-03-2019, 23:32   #4
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ARPEGE 18Z just coming out and looking very strong , probably showing up to 130 km/h and maybe more in coastal fringes on this run.



The front crossing the country tomorrow night which will probably have it's own warnings is the cold front from the storm which in itself will track close to us Tues in to Weds.

Monday / Tues





Satellite shows the Storm developing well off the W/NW of Ireland





-------------------------------------------------------

NOAA Charts showing the track of the storm up until Weds.








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10-03-2019, 23:50   #5
Gaoth Laidir
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ECM Extreme Weather Index for gusts for 24 hours up to midnight Wednesday. It's on a scale of 0 to 1, where 1 is highly unusual for this area at this time of year.

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11-03-2019, 00:24   #6
Meteorite58
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EURO 4 18Z just out and looking very to extremely windy in coastal areas of the SW, W , NW and N and showing it particularly windy along the W, NW and N with widespread 120 to 130 km/h and 140 km/h in places and around Malin perhaps 140km/h +.

Showing it getting up to 110 - 120 km/h inland also in parts of Connaught and widespread 110 to 120 km/h in Ulster and perhaps higher in places and possibly 110 to 120 km/h in coastal areas of Kerry and Clare . Also showing fairly widespread 90 to 100 km/h gusts across much of Ireland.

Would need to compare and verify these wind speeds with other reliable models in the morning especially the ECM, they might be a tad high although the ARPEGE looks similar enough.








Last edited by Meteorite58; 11-03-2019 at 01:14.
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11-03-2019, 01:06   #7
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Wow, that would be in the red level for Western counties.
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11-03-2019, 07:23   #8
Meteorite58
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Just looking through the models and especially the ECM and they would suggest atm winds up to 110 to 120 km/h in coastal areas of the W , NW and N , possibly a bit higher on headlands.

Strongest winds inland in parts of N Connacht and Ulster look like gusting up around 110 km/ h . Looks like weds morning will see the strongst winds overland of around 80 to 100km/ h.

EURO 4 looks to be overdoing it a bit .

Last edited by Meteorite58; 11-03-2019 at 07:33.
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11-03-2019, 09:32   #9
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Well that settles that, leaving the west tomorrow morning rather than evening! Been debating whether morning or evening travel would suit the baby better but we’ll get on the road early.

Interesting to see that chart about how unusual the weather is, I’ve never seen it before
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11-03-2019, 10:14   #10
shmaupel
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I count 6 big boats in Donegal bay here. Never a great sign.
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11-03-2019, 10:17   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by shmaupel View Post
I count 6 big boats in Donegal bay here. Never a great sign.
Make that 8
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11-03-2019, 10:39   #12
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Will be an interesting one to track, 4 different models here at +41 from 00z
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11-03-2019, 11:12   #13
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Yellow warnings have now been issued

STORM GARETH

Status Orange - Wind warning for Donegal, Leitrim, Mayo and Sligo

As storm Gareth approaches, westerly winds will reach mean speeds of 65 to 75km/h with damaging gusts reaching 110 to 130km/h. There is also the risk of coastal flooding due to high seas.

Valid: Tuesday 12 March 2019 12:00 to Wednesday 13 March 2019 09:00

Issued: Monday 11 March 2019 11:00

Updated: Monday 11 March 2019 11:00

WIND

Status Yellow - Wind warning for Ireland

Westerly winds will reach mean speeds of 50 to 65km/h and gusts of 90 to 110km. There is a risk of coastal flooding due to high seas along Atlantic coasts.

Valid: Tuesday 12 March 2019 12:00 to Wednesday 13 March 2019 12:00

Issued: Monday 11 March 2019 11:00

Updated: Monday 11 March 2019 11:00

RAINFALL

Status Yellow - Rainfall warning for Connacht, Donegal, Clare, Cork, Kerry and Limerick

Heavy rain followed by squally showers will lead to the risk of rainfall accumulations of around 25mm.

Valid: Monday 11 March 2019 18:00 to Tuesday 12 March 2019 06:00

Issued: Monday 11 March 2019 10:57

Updated: Monday 11 March 2019 10:57

Last edited by pad199207; 11-03-2019 at 11:36.
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11-03-2019, 11:34   #14
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....and....

An orange warning too.

Status Orange - Wind warning for Donegal, Leitrim, Mayo and Sligo.

As storm Gareth approaches, westerly winds will reach mean speeds of 65 to 75km/h with damaging gusts reaching 110 to 130km/h. There is also the risk of coastal flooding due to high seas.

Valid: Tuesday 12 March 2019 12:00 to Wednesday 13 March 2019 09:00

Issued: Monday 11 March 2019 11:00

Updated: Monday 11 March 2019 11:00
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11-03-2019, 11:34   #15
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And we're orange! Hello Storm Gareth

Quote:
Originally Posted by Met Eireann
Status Orange - Wind warning for Donegal, Leitrim, Mayo and Sligo
As storm Gareth approaches, westerly winds will reach mean speeds of 65 to 75km/h with damaging gusts reaching 110 to 130km/h. There is also the risk of coastal flooding due to high seas.

Valid: Tuesday 12 March 2019 12:00 to Wednesday 13 March 2019 09:00

Issued: Monday 11 March 2019 11:00

Updated: Monday 11 March 2019 11:00
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