Tuesday, 17 November, 2020
Forecasts for Ireland
TRENDS for week of 17 to 23 Nov 2020
-- Temperatures will average 2 deg above normal values.
-- Rainfall will average 50-75 per cent of normal.
-- Sunshine will average near normal (2-2.5 hours a day).
TODAY will be mainly cloudy and very mild with occasional drizzle, south to southwest winds 40 to 60 km/hr, hill fog and mist. Highs 13 to 16 C.
TONIGHT will bring somewhat stronger winds and rain (5-10 mm) with a gradual windshift to west-southwest 50 to 70 km/hr. Lows by morning around 7 C although staying very mild especially in Leinster and Munster until after midnight.
WEDNESDAY will be breezy and cooler with passing squally showers, and brighter intervals. An interval of very strong winds is likely by late afternoon and evening, with severe gusts possible in exposed western and northern counties. Winds westerly 50-80 km/hr most of the day will increase to 80-120 km/hr near Atlantic coasts and to 60-100 km/hr elsewhere, with risk of an interval of severe wind gusts in other areas especially inland north central to central Leinster, during the overnight hours. These very strong winds will veer from west to northwest before they diminish by Thursday morning. Highs on Wednesday around 8 C and temperatures during the strong winds 6-7 C.
THURSDAY will become less windy and there may be a brief dry spell but by afternoon and evening, mild southwest winds will set in again bringing light rain at times, lows of 5-7 C and highs 10-12 C.
FRIDAY will be breezy and very mild, rather similar to today in fact with drizzle and mist, highs 11 to 14 C.
SATURDAY will be breezy with passing showers, turning slightly cooler, temperatures steady 9 to 11 C sliding slowly down to about 6 C.
SUNDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with isolated showers, lows near 4 C and highs near 9 C.
The OUTLOOK for next week is for somewhat cooler weather to develop, as well as generally rather dry conditions, possibly ending up with a cool southeast wind with outbreaks of drizzle or light rain, temperatures generally closer to seasonal normals of 6 to 8 C.
Hurricane Iota reached cat-5 status before hitting the same part of Nicaragua that cat-4 Eta visited a few days ago. November cat-5 hurricanes are very rare, it may be as far back as 1932 to the previous one. The count for the season is now an amazing (or ridiculous) 30/13/6 which is about double what many had predicted in what they thought would be a rather active season. Well ... my local weather produced about 5 cm of wet snow during the day, it is now misty and about 2-3 C with drizzle falling. Hopefully it won't turn to heavier rain as the surface is already quite slushy on top of the 20 cm snow pack we still have.