Share Picks 2019

Thargor · 18-01-2019 2:01pm

Brave man.

Supercell · 18-01-2019 2:43pm

Supercell wrote: »

Staying away from UK/Irl stocks until Brexit has sorted itself out unless something seems extreme value.

My picks for the new year:

NOK, was $5.57 at close 03/01 (no current holdings, currently trading in an upwards channel with strong prospects, particularly in 5G space), looking for an entry around $5.40)

MU was $31.00 at close 03/01 (bought some at xmas at $29.01) - long term hold, memory prices low and expected to remain until second half this year, 3D XPoint looks very interesting. Market may have oversold to current levels. $31 area held strongly yesterday despite AAPL (which is a major customer) approx 10% fall.

UNFI was $11.00 at close 03/01, previously bought at $9.98 and sold (mistakenly) at $10.35, looking for reentry on this (technical analysis based), monitoring, may to have bottomed out as massive volume spike at last drop, fundamentals look solid seems to have be wildly oversold (IMO)

CLF ($7.63 at close 03/01), TA shows it trading in a downward channel since September however that channel is close to the longer term upward trend line (since 2016), Trump's dealings with China may well have a big bearing on it, from a TA point of view its interesting to watch.

Overall a lot will depend on the orange faced one's antics this year of course.

NOK, was $5.57 at close 03/01 - Currently $6.10 (didn't get a chance to enter, still watching)
MU was $31.00 at close 03/01 - Currently $34.06 (was >$36 a short while ago, holding)
UNFI was $11.00 at close 03/01 - Hit $15.58 two days ago, currently $12.90, should have stayed in...
CLF ($7.63 at close 03/01) - Bought at that price, $9.15 currently, will watch like a hawk around $9.50 for an exit or may just sell and sleep easy!

Happy so far. Biggest missed opportunity was UNFI, perfect technical setup and fell exactly at my TA zone, shoulda-wudda-coulda, hindsight is 20/20 as they say.

Currently eyeing up CLDR ($12.58), see short term resistance at $12.93 and around $14 with a target of $18.80

JD looks interesting too, but am a bit on the fence for now. Stock looks to have bottomed and has a possible triangle suggesting an upwards pop. Currently $22.41, think i'll wait to see if it fills the gap from Jan 14th before making a decision.

q85dw7osi4lebg · 18-01-2019 8:23pm

Tesla down 14%, tempted to take small position 5 minutes before the bell.

Nortus · 21-01-2019 9:53am

Cheers. It's up 130% since the other day which is great. Up 45% so far today. It will go way further. Action taken by shareholders will actually further increase the SP but slight fear is if it gets suspended it would not be good. Rollercoaster few days ahead I suppose

Cute Hoor wrote: »

Well done Nortus, I know nothing about them but that is a fabulous return in a couple of days, up 25% today. It might be worth taking out profit, you could get your initial investment back and still have significant stock, effectively free. With that sort of volatility there may be a chance to do a bit of short term trading as well. Well done!

greenfield21 · 21-01-2019 7:43pm

What are ye all holding now?

Captainsatnav · 21-01-2019 8:10pm

greenfield21 wrote: »

What are ye all holding now?

I want to say 'my lad' for all the worth degiro is to me at the moment.

drunkmonkey · 21-01-2019 9:04pm

Microsoft
Porsche
Walt Disney
Peugeot
Ryanair
Hive

retalivity · 21-01-2019 9:10pm

Atlassian
Alibaba
Ryanair
Baozun
Hive
Twitter
Avis

Atlassian is the golden child

beertons · 21-01-2019 9:58pm

retalivity wrote: »

Atlassian is the golden child

What's this now?

retalivity · 21-01-2019 10:20pm

beertons wrote: »

What's this now?

Collabarative software company, best known for JIRA. In and out from around $40 a year ago, currently at $90. I think it will be a major acquisition in the next few years, would be perfect for msft, so will keep my toes in

beertons · 21-01-2019 11:03pm

retalivity wrote: »

Collabarative software company, best known for JIRA. In and out from around $40 a year ago, currently at $90. I think it will be a major acquisition in the next few years, would be perfect for msft, so will keep my toes in

Too rich for me. Sounds good though.

q85dw7osi4lebg · 21-01-2019 11:06pm

BRK B
RGSE
HIVE
RYANAIR
NIO

After a dismal 2018 I don't feel like I can do too bad holding these at current prices.

Cute Hoor · 22-01-2019 12:51am

greenfield21 wrote: »

What are ye all holding now?

NERVE

RedRochey · 22-01-2019 9:37am

AURORA CANNABIS
AXON ENTERPRISE INC
BANDWIDTH INC. - CLASS
CANOPY GROWTH CORP
COCA-COLA COMPANY (THE
FMC CORPORATION COMMON
JOHNSON & JOHNSON COMM
MCDONALD'S CORPORATION
MICROSOFT CORPORATION
PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC.
RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
SQUARE INC - A
TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE S
TWILIO INC - A
UBISOFT ENTERTAIN
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC
VISA INC.
WALT DISNEY COMPANY (T
WEC ENERGY GROUP INC.

q85dw7osi4lebg · 22-01-2019 11:17am

Asher Wooden Coupon wrote: »

Back in on Ryanair at 9.85 after profit warning.

Up 9%, going the right way.

Browney7 · 22-01-2019 12:17pm

Asher Wooden Coupon wrote: »

Up 9%, going the right way.

Taking off and gaining altitude you could say...

q85dw7osi4lebg · 22-01-2019 4:01pm

In on Starbucks at 64.90, earnings this week.

evolving_doors · 22-01-2019 5:14pm

greenfield21 wrote: »

What are ye all holding now?

In order from success to train wreck:

Canopy Growth core
Aurora
Aphria
Organigram
Tetra Bio pharma
InMed
Kaly
MPX
Magnis resources
Viking
Verastem
Prometic Life Sciences

evolving_doors · 22-01-2019 8:18pm

Actually Magnis got a bit of a bump today as they're moving into gigafactory building in India (previously new York ).

https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/battery-metals-investing/graphite-investing/the-government-of-india-announces-interest-in-building-indias-first-lithium-ion-battery-gigafactory/

Bit of a bump now... and I reckon they'll edge down again like before. But if they go back to 28 it might be a good long term play.

Browney7 · 22-01-2019 9:13pm

Anyone have any thoughts on Johnson and Johnson (JNJ) at current levels?

Taken a bit of a dip the past month so thoughts are it's not a bad entry point for a long term play?

vargoo · 22-01-2019 10:57pm

Browney7 wrote: »

Anyone have any thoughts on Johnson and Johnson (JNJ) at current levels?

Taken a bit of a dip the past month so thoughts are it's not a bad entry point for a long term play?

Anything else come out about them "knowing" the asbestos was in the powder?

q85dw7osi4lebg · 23-01-2019 12:44pm

Hoping to get in on Tesla today at 295 or so.

q85dw7osi4lebg · 23-01-2019 3:37pm

Asher Wooden Coupon wrote: »

Hoping to get in on Tesla today at 295 or so.

In at 290.. hope to get out around 330 or so

Underground · 23-01-2019 4:53pm

Bought some Twilio (TWLO) at around $100, let's see how this one goes..

RedRochey · 23-01-2019 5:57pm

Underground wrote: »

Bought some Twilio (TWLO) at around $100, let's see how this one goes..

Bought some back on March @ $42 when my friend started working for them and I looked them up, best investment so far!

Underground · 23-01-2019 6:05pm

StockTwat29 wrote: »

Bought some back on March @ $42 when my friend started working for them and I looked them up, best investment so far!

Nice!

Cute Hoor · 24-01-2019 8:21pm

Cute Hoor wrote: »

SAN.MC €4.10 (Target €4.51)
BUR.L £15.78 (Target £17.36)
MONC.MI €28.37 (Target €31.21)
RYA €10.41 (Target €11.46)
VOO $224.50 (Target $246.95)

Second one in

MONC.MI €28.37 (Target €31.21) - Reached €31.67 9/1/2019
BUR.L £15.78 (Target £17.36) - Reached €18.08 today 24/1/2019

greenfield21 · 24-01-2019 10:06pm

I was like just about to buy pcg before that news broke, could cry right now.fml. Made like 700 last week trading it should have just held them.

q85dw7osi4lebg · 25-01-2019 9:17pm

A very rare day, portfolio entirely in the green.

crushproof · 29-01-2019 9:02am

Has A40 (previously TAW) hit the bottom? At 17.5c today. This whole merger nonsense seems to have knocked the stuffing out of what was the share pick of 2018!

overkill602 · 29-01-2019 9:37am

Bought GGP awaiting some news results from surveys gold/copper prospecting aim market modest holding in at .0226p now after 2 wks .0242p

Thargor · 29-01-2019 10:28am

crushproof wrote: »

Has A40 (previously TAW) hit the bottom? At 17.5c today. This whole merger nonsense seems to have knocked the stuffing out of what was the share pick of 2018!

Its a mess, other lithium producers getting hammered aswell though, I've put my lithium investments in the drawer and forgotten about them now, come back in a year or two...

littlevillage · 29-01-2019 12:10pm

crushproof wrote: »

Has A40 (previously TAW) hit the bottom? At 17.5c today. This whole merger nonsense seems to have knocked the stuffing out of what was the share pick of 2018!

Its hard to know. Theres a large overhang (somewhere around 12 Million shares according to Hot Copper commentators) that need to be purchased from Shareholders that didn't qualify/subscribe for 'New' A40 shares. This is going to cause weakness for some time. But when that gets sorted there should be a strong re-bound. Lithium in general is not doing well either but that too will eventually turn around

I think its a buying opportunity at present, soo I bought a few more shares last night to bring my average BEP down from the original $0.2818 AUD offer price.

littlevillage · 29-01-2019 4:49pm

Underground wrote: »

Dalata has climbed nicely for me in the last two weeks or so, up about 10%. That being said, I'm not touching anything else on the ISEQ.

Whats your exit point for Dalata?. Results are out on Feb 26th. Rumour is they are going to be good....but this might already be priced into the SP which is up over 20% since Nov.

I'm thinking 'buy the rumour, sell the news'. The SP could fall back down when the results come out ?? €6 seems a nice exit point which would lock in 28% profit for me :rolleyes:

Prezatch · 29-01-2019 7:46pm

crushproof wrote: »

Has A40 (previously TAW) hit the bottom? At 17.5c today. This whole merger nonsense seems to have knocked the stuffing out of what was the share pick of 2018!

Spodumene pricing is taking a major hit as subsidies to Chinese chemical converters are cut (the like of which A40 and others have offtake agreements with) and the price of their carbonate/hydroxide output also falls. Given the number of gigafactories in the pipeline and the jumps in EV production in the last year or two I'm confident we'll see boom times again. Best to sit on it for now as fortunes can change very quickly in the lithium game.

https://www.metalbulletin.com/lithium-prices-update

ctomas · 29-01-2019 11:21pm

Share Pick 2019:

NYSE:AX (AXOS FINANCIAL) Formerly BOFI
Current price $28.57, Market Cap $1.8B, PE 11

This is an online banking stock with coverage mainly in LA, USA. They do not have any physical bank location.
It is a good growth stock with relatively safe loan portfolio (based around US property)

It does not declare any dividends so suitable for only Growth investors.

Underground · 29-01-2019 11:56pm

littlevillage wrote: »

Whats your exit point for Dalata?. Results are out on Feb 26th. Rumour is they are going to be good....but this might already be priced into the SP which is up over 20% since Nov.

I'm thinking 'buy the rumour, sell the news'. The SP could fall back down when the results come out ?? €6 seems a nice exit point which would lock in 28% profit for me :rolleyes:

I sold all my Dalata last week at €5.50. Looks like it was probably a bit early as it's only gone up since then but still happy with what I got!

It's a tough one to call, I think if a no deal Brexit is taken off the table once and for all over the next few weeks Dalata (results permitting) and some others could get a nice bump.

Mad_maxx · 30-01-2019 10:51pm

Sold Facebook going into earnings having bought at $127 around Xmas

Nothing feels worse than seeing a stock bounce hard when you have taken profits

Pussyhands · 31-01-2019 10:12am

So thoughts on this market upturn?

Thargor · 31-01-2019 10:31am

Pussyhands wrote: »

So thoughts on this market upturn?

Is there one? I read somewhere yesterday that mortgage lending and property sales have gone off a cliff in the US in exactly the way that has predicted 9/10 of the last few recessions. Not much to get excited about on my watch list anyway.

Pussyhands · 31-01-2019 10:44am

Thargor wrote: »

Is there one? I read somewhere yesterday that mortgage lending and property sales have gone off a cliff in the US in exactly the way that has predicted 9/10 of the last few recessions. Not much to get excited about on my watch list anyway.

9% off s&p500 ATH.

Even some chinese stocks going well up, BABA up nearly 30% this month.

Then if China deal gets done the markets will rally.

I wouldn't be surprised if Trump does whatever he can to get the markets to rally going into the election....

q85dw7osi4lebg · 31-01-2019 11:37am

Sick about dropping Facebook and a few others before Christmas, but it had been a dismal year and I needed a fresh start. Rally was predictable, but can't see it being sustained. There is still a lot of talk about property lending and the recession word is still being thrown around.

Could be a year before we see any more signs of a downturn but I'm not prepared to risk it in the short term.

Still holding 5 US stocks for now.

whatever76 · 31-01-2019 12:04pm

MSFT breaking my heart - should have sold last week

Bob Harris · 31-01-2019 12:21pm

Asher Wooden Coupon wrote: »

Sick about dropping Facebook and a few others before Christmas, but it had been a dismal year and I needed a fresh start. Rally was predictable, but can't see it being sustained. There is still a lot of talk about property lending and the recession word is still being thrown around.

Could be a year before we see any more signs of a downturn but I'm not prepared to risk it in the short term.

Still holding 5 US stocks for now.

I've seen RGSE mentioned here a few times. It seems dependent on the US housing numbers which appear under pressure so I stayed away. Am i taking a very simplistic view?

Underground · 31-01-2019 12:22pm

Have held on to FB since getting in at $136...very tempted to sell at this point and just put it in the bank for now.

q85dw7osi4lebg · 31-01-2019 12:26pm

Bob Harris wrote: »

I've seen RGSE mentioned here a few times. It seems dependent on the US housing numbers which appear under pressure so I stayed away. Am i taking a very simplistic view?

History of reverse splits for a well established firm, most recent conference call says no future splits. California has a new solar mandate, worth googling it. They are manufacturing pretty much an identical product to Tesla, except they are already selling it. Earnings second week of March, might be worth a play heading up to that. Was .88 a few months ago after a random rally, so potential to make a few quid.

q85dw7osi4lebg · 31-01-2019 12:27pm

Forgot to mention, lots of insider buying too just before Christmas.

q85dw7osi4lebg · 31-01-2019 1:04pm

Bob Harris wrote: »

I've seen RGSE mentioned here a few times. It seems dependent on the US housing numbers which appear under pressure so I stayed away. Am i taking a very simplistic view?

National TV commercial rolling out in February apparently.

q85dw7osi4lebg · 31-01-2019 1:17pm

Amazon up 27% since its December low. I don't go short, but if I did, that would be one for me.

Underground · 31-01-2019 3:50pm

Christ, FB is up 11% today bringing my overall gain to 21%, time to cash out!

Share Picks 2019

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