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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Autumn 2019 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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Comments

  • #202
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Certainly not as cold as last nights run but not that mild either I would have thought. Still showing some cold weather at the end of the week and a bit milder after that if the ridge materializes. But as we have seen over the last few days huge chopping and changing going on.


    U9OpY2l.png

    RH2xLhh.png


    WNGmgkE.png

    gfs-0-240_ahh9.png

    anim_acr3.gif


  • #203
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Similar type run by the ECM 12Z as yesterdays showing some cold weather briefly around next weekend and the ridge building but not as well established on the latest run. Southerly winds look set to introduce milder air.

    GFS similar but not showing as cold next weekend.


    pRoxvzm.png



    hxlU1jo.png


    rvfR6JA.png


    XL09owC.png







    anim_ipb2.gif


  • #204
    Nabber
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    It doesn't have to be probable to be in FI

    gens-13-0-192.png


  • #205
    BLIZZARD7
    Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    ECM this evening has winter arriving right on cue !

    ECMOPNH12_144_1.png

    1st December

    ECMOPNH12_168_1.png


  • #206
    BLIZZARD7
    Registered Users Posts: 1,985 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    Snow showers piling into the East/North East off the Irish Sea -

    ECM1-192.GIF?24-0

    ECM0-192.GIF?24-0


    Interesting charts appearing again today... hopefully the models stick with this trend.

    We don't quite manage to keep the Greeny high in situ on this run but the potential is there.


  • #207
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,898 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    giphy.gif

    I'd like to see more solid mid Atlantic ridging a bit further north but the ECM is perfectly poised by 168.


  • #208
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The coldest chart yet to show up.....and from the ECM to boot!

    Will it be there tomorrow.

    Main models showing a cold weekend into the early days of the following week. ECM leading the way as regards cold from about next Thurs to the following Weds. Seems to be a cross model trend now for the weekend being cold anyway. Thinking around next Sun /Mon /has the look of wintry precipitation as Blizzard7 said above.


    aT98u9e.png

    ECU0-192_phz2.GIF


  • #209
    nacho libre
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,956 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    I suppose dry and cold for a few days will be a welcome relief to many from the incessant rain. It looks like the weather might become more unsettled after that for a few days, then perhaps a second attempt at a mid atlantic ridge, which will probably topple over us as well. Lets hope the GFS is on to something with its strat' charts in order for us to get some proper snowy cold sometime in January. A potent cold spell during the heart of winter would be welcome by some of us.


  • #210
    Comhrá
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,816 ✭✭✭Comhrá


    nacho libre wrote: »
    I suppose dry and cold for a few days will be a welcome relief to many from the incessant rain. It looks like the weather might become more unsettled after that for a few days, then perhaps a second attempt at a mid atlantic ridge, which will probably topple over us as well. Lets hope the GFS is on to something with its strat' charts in order for us to get some proper snowy cold sometime in January. A potent cold spell during the heart of winter would be welcome by some of us.

    Careful what you wish for now.... :)



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  • #211
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Some nice cold charts still for the weekend . The ECM 12Z showing the ridge building quicker over Ireland than previous runs by Monday. Early days of next week could have some cold frosty nights and looks foggy. Seems like an age since we had a HP build over us.

    i8R2PWF.png

    8WNRH4T.png

    DUVAiTs.png

    yb8DvtT.png

    8Y9UmUM.png


  • #212
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,959 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    the gfs continues to get dryer and dryer and about time too. We really need a break from all the rain. Driest run I've seen since July.

    ens_image.php?geoid=64981&var=201&run=18&date=2019-11-27&model=gfs&member=ENS&bw=1


  • #213
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,898 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Not a bad ECM this morning all be it post 168. But this is the kind of set up I like. A weak jet meandering with higher pressure just to the north. It's a snow setup for us but it's fragile too.

    ECM1-216.GIF?29-12


  • #214
    Villain
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,951 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Yes indeed, nice trend on GEFS too, interesting to see where this goes.

    graphe_ens3_sks1.gif


  • #215
    highdef
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,323 ✭✭✭highdef


    I'm going on holiday a week before Christmas so a nice cold and snowy spell just before that would make holidays seem all the better.... Bring it on! Knowing my luck it'll get delayed and there'll be the blizzard of the century the day after I go away.


  • #216
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,066 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Mod Note New FI thread for winter 2019 / 2010 here


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