100 Bets to Broke Hennessy to Cheltenham

Gringo180 · 28-02-2015 4:55pm

Aidan you little dancer, didn't back the first one but did Wayward Prince at 25s

:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D

razorhead · 28-02-2015 4:57pm

aidankkk wrote: »

3:45 Doncaster

This looks and really weak race for the money and I really can’t find anything of interest here at all in the main contenders so I’ve had a look at Wayward Prince’s old form and seen that he has suddenly run well a couple of times after poor runs and if he has woken up at all, he might get involved here of this mark. The light weight and good ground might get him going and he’s worth a shot at 33/1 just in case.

1 Point win 40/1 Stan James

2:50 Newbury

Royal Guardsman was a decent prospect a couple of years ago but it doesn’t look like chasing suited him. He performed ok but aside from his rather poor re-introduction over hurdles lately after a long break he has some decent hurdles form and looks of a nice enough mark here if he has come on from that opening run. 14/1 might be worth a small bet.

1 Point win 14/1 Various

3:25 Newbury

Easter Meteor is one I’m interested in for the festival, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he showed an improvement here. He is of a decent mark and there is a possibility it wont want to be ruined here so close to what might be his target but it’s a decent race and my gut feeling is he might be trying today. I’ll have a min bet at 11/1 as that will avoid any remote’s been trown at the TV iv im not on today and he wins.

1 Point win 11/1 Various

Well done Aidan

28-02-2015 5:01pm

Jeez Aidan You are on fire!!

The very weekend I didnt follow you! Me of little faith.

Top class form picking!

Gringo180 · 28-02-2015 5:01pm

614/1 double :eek::pac::pac:

Freak of a man Aidan!!!

longshotvalue · 28-02-2015 5:03pm

Beauties,,, Good things come to those who wait....

:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D

jimjamcos · 28-02-2015 5:04pm

Sensational stuff.

longshotvalue · 28-02-2015 5:07pm

racso1975 wrote: »

Hi Aidan can I ask why you'd go for the win only at 40/1 as opposed to e/w? Just curious

28-02-2015 5:12pm

aidankkk wrote: »

Beauties,,, Good things come to those who wait....

:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D:D

Im waiting for your Cheltenham picks!!!

longshotvalue · 28-02-2015 5:14pm

TheTorment wrote: »

Im waiting for your Cheltenham picks!!!

One of them might be the one that didn't win today, he got a very strange ride, and has very good cheltenham form.. Hoping for a big price on his on the day..

premierloco · 28-02-2015 5:16pm

Some picking, thanks Aidan!

mr.jingle · 28-02-2015 5:19pm

Only 2 from 3 Aidan? Terrible stuff

sdoc13 · 28-02-2015 5:20pm

Well on aidan. Unfortunately one of the few day's I didnt follow.

madmoose · 28-02-2015 5:29pm

Like i said aidan get some chelt caps up now while nrnb so we can all get on!! Wicklow brave lets hope goes close as a big fancy of yours.

handsfree2 · 28-02-2015 5:54pm

Good work

emigrate2012 · 28-02-2015 6:10pm

just found this thread, fair play to ye. f###kin ace picks, defo following this one from now on!
is it just a weekend thing or do you have any midweek picks going? (especially Friday, Wolves/Dundalk)

P.S. enjoy the pints tonight!

Pinesky · 28-02-2015 7:05pm

Well done .
Unfortunately i took my selections from the Sat thread today .

ste2010 · 28-02-2015 9:31pm

Well done Aiden serious picking!
Can you see vino griego being lined up for a chelt handicap or do you think he'll be kept for aintree?

Morleystreet · 28-02-2015 10:18pm

We'll done Aidan, super picks. Decided to give Saturday racing a miss today to wait for Cheltenham! Fair play to you - hope the good form continues.

longshotvalue · 28-02-2015 11:16pm

ste2010 wrote: »

Well done Aiden serious picking!
Can you see vino griego being lined up for a chelt handicap or do you think he'll be kept for aintree?

Absolutely and i see on one of those festival previews Jamie Moore was talking him up big time, he has been tried with a Tongue Tie and is going well at home.. I probably wont put up anymore AP bets as i've too many up as it is, but if he is still 33/1 near the day ill probably be on..

mailburner · 01-03-2015 2:22am

great tipping aiden, good time to make a few bob
how I wish I followed

longshotvalue · 03-03-2015 9:19am

I'm adding another 1pt EW on Wicklow Brave for the County as I was waiting for 33/1 NRNB and that is available with Betfred and totesport

1 Pt EW 33/1 NRNB Betfred Totesport

mohican22 · 03-03-2015 10:36pm

aidankkk wrote: »

I'm adding another 1pt EW on Wicklow Brave for the County as I was waiting for 33/1 NRNB and that is available with Betfred and totesport

1 Pt EW 33/1 NRNB Betfred Totesport

Hi Aidan,
Always look forward to your picks and your analysis.
Would you post your Cheltenham AP portfolio on here please if it too much trouble no probs mate

ste2010 · 03-03-2015 10:50pm

Eddie O'Leary suggesting tiger roll won't be going to Cheltenham and that he has gone backwards.. (Also backed him antepost) probably been kept for galway

bit of a bogey · 03-03-2015 10:50pm

Great picking Aidan!!

Do you keep a record of your bets and loss/profit for the year?

longshotvalue · 03-03-2015 11:30pm

bit of a bogey wrote: »

Great picking Aidan!!

Do you keep a record of your bets and loss/profit for the year?

Yep i have records going back a few years. This years isn't updated yet, but will be in decent profit so far for sure..

longshotvalue · 03-03-2015 11:31pm

mohican22 wrote: »

Hi Aidan,
Always look forward to your picks and your analysis.
Would you post your Cheltenham AP portfolio on here please if it too much trouble no probs mate

I have them all on this tread, but ill be starting a new one for the festival shortly and will list out what i have so far..

ste2010 · 04-03-2015 8:10pm

Looks like Wicklow brave could be going for the imperial cup double..

longshotvalue · 04-03-2015 9:18pm

ste2010 wrote: »

Looks like Wicklow brave could be going for the imperial cup double..

I saw that i'm not sure what to think but ill be sticking him up as a bet as soon as its NRNB. 20/1 at the moment.

longshotvalue · 05-03-2015 8:41pm

Imperial Cup Sandown

In for a penny in for a pound, I am of course going to have a few quid on Wicklow Brave in this race. I’m on NRNB already for the County Hurdle but the 25/1 here looks well worth a gamble. He never got a run last time in the Betfair hurdle having been out the back early and he is still a horse with plenty of potential to me and should be suited by this race.

1 Point EW 5 places 25/1 BetVictor and few other places

longshotvalue · 05-03-2015 11:43pm

RSA

Coneygree’s form is a long way clear of anything in this field and I feel we have to take the 9/2 on offer with Boyles at the moment because if he is confirmed for this race he should go off 5/2 or less. I’m not that convinced with the Irish form as it looks to me as if there are too many too close together. His style of going to the front and staying there should suit this race and his last run was off the charts for a novice. He is sure to stay the trip as well.

2 Points win 9/2 Boyles NRNB 4/1 Elsewhere

Nulty · 06-03-2015 1:07am

aidankkk wrote: »

RSA

Coneygree’s form is a long way clear of anything in this field and I feel we have to take the 9/2 on offer with Boyles at the moment because if he is confirmed for this race he should go off 5/2 or less. I’m not that convinced with the Irish form as it looks to me as if there are too many too close together. His style of going to the front and staying there should suit this race and his last run was off the charts for a novice. He is sure to stay the trip as well.

2 Points win 9/2 Boyles NRNB 4/1 Elsewhere

Took the decision yesterday to back him at 11/2 antepost. I have a feeling he'll go for this race.

frank93 · 06-03-2015 2:31am

Nulty wrote: »

Took the decision yesterday to back him at 11/2 antepost. I have a feeling he'll go for this race.

Where did you get the 11/2 . ?

Nulty · 06-03-2015 2:51am

frank93 wrote: »

Where did you get the 11/2 . ?

William Hill

longshotvalue · 06-03-2015 9:43am

Day 1

5:15 CHAPS Restaurants Barbados Novices' Handicap Chase

Looking at last year’s races reminded me of an eye-catching performance from Keltus in the Fred Winter. He absolutely flew up the hill into 4th and would surely be suited by this step up in trip and the with usual improvement in Paul Nichols horses over fences he should be right there in this. He has 2 good 2nds this year to horses who has gone up the handicap significantly since and really does look a couple of pounds at least well in here. Factor in the Festival form factor and he is an easy pick here. 16/1 with Ladbrokes NRNB is a standout at the moment and I can’t see him going off greater than 8/1.

2 Points EW 16/1 Ladbrokes NRNB

jimjamcos · 06-03-2015 10:54am

aidankkk wrote: »

Day 1

5:15 CHAPS Restaurants Barbados Novices' Handicap Chase

Looking at last year’s races reminded me of an eye-catching performance from Keltus in the Fred Winter. He absolutely flew up the hill into 4th and would surely be suited by this step up in trip and the with usual improvement in Paul Nichols horses over fences he should be right there in this. He has 2 good 2nds this year to horses who has gone up the handicap significantly since and really does look a couple of pounds at least well in here. Factor in the Festival form factor and he is an easy pick here. 16/1 with Ladbrokes NRNB is a standout at the moment and I can’t see him going off greater than 8/1.

2 Points EW 16/1 Ladbrokes NRNB

Was at the Café En Seine preview last night and MC Denis Kirwan when giving him as a handicap tip said he'd been over at Nicholls yard last week and when Nicholls had a few drinks into him, he was asked for a proper tip and gave Keltus. Will be following you.

Deco99 · 06-03-2015 3:19pm

aidankkk wrote: »

Day 1

5:15 CHAPS Restaurants Barbados Novices' Handicap Chase

Looking at last year’s races reminded me of an eye-catching performance from Keltus in the Fred Winter. He absolutely flew up the hill into 4th and would surely be suited by this step up in trip and the with usual improvement in Paul Nichols horses over fences he should be right there in this. He has 2 good 2nds this year to horses who has gone up the handicap significantly since and really does look a couple of pounds at least well in here. Factor in the Festival form factor and he is an easy pick here. 16/1 with Ladbrokes NRNB is a standout at the moment and I can’t see him going off greater than 8/1.

2 Points EW 16/1 Ladbrokes NRNB

12s now. Boyles at 14s.

ste2010 · 07-03-2015 12:11am

aidankkk wrote: »

Imperial Cup Sandown

In for a penny in for a pound, I am of course going to have a few quid on Wicklow Brave in this race. I’m on NRNB already for the County Hurdle but the 25/1 here looks well worth a gamble. He never got a run last time in the Betfair hurdle having been out the back early and he is still a horse with plenty of potential to me and should be suited by this race.

1 Point EW 5 places 25/1 BetVictor and few other places

the money is starting to come similar to the betfair!

I backed Keltus for the handicap chase also 2 weeks ago, looks kept for the race. backed champagne James on Monday at 25's. Read his last comments in running..stinks of another horse from the same owner, trainer jockey combo before he was punted off the boards at an xmas festivals :-)

longshotvalue · 07-03-2015 11:49am

Gowran 3:50

Caolaneoin has been looking for a step up in trip and although this is only a couple of furlongs further it is in heavy ground and the finish here could well be a bit of a clog which will probably suit him. He can perform of this mark and has a fair bit of form over hurdles of a fair bit higher mark than this that would put him in with a shout. 14/1 looks value

1 Point win 14/1 Will Hill 12/1 Generally

longshotvalue · 07-03-2015 12:06pm

Sandown 3:10

I’m going to add 2 small win bets on big outsiders with a small chance here. Hint of Mints form this year has been good and there is plenty of evidence that his current mark is within his grasp. Over 50/1 on Betfair is worth a min bet here. In addition Zaidiyn’s last run was eye-catching to say the least and he finished like a horse with more to show no his next run. He is in here near the bottom of the weights looks overprice at 48 on Betfair

½ Point win Hint Of Mint 55 Betfair
½ Point win Zaidiyn 48 Betfair

hawkhead · 07-03-2015 1:57pm

I've just been refunded my bet on Wicklow Brave for the county hurdle.

longshotvalue · 07-03-2015 2:05pm

hawkhead wrote: »

I've just been refunded my bet on Wicklow Brave for the county hurdle.

I haven't yet, but probably wouldn't be the end of the world if he didnt go, maybe today is the day

blindside88 · 07-03-2015 2:05pm

hawkhead wrote: »

I've just been refunded my bet on Wicklow Brave for the county hurdle.

That's strange, he's still available in the betting

longshotvalue · 07-03-2015 2:13pm

hawkhead wrote: »

I've just been refunded my bet on Wicklow Brave for the county hurdle.

Actually so have i.. Seems strange they have no market up at all..

superfurry1 · 07-03-2015 2:19pm

Wouldnt make much sense to win today and not go for the county if there is a big bonus?

hawkhead · 07-03-2015 3:07pm

Now my bet on Wicklow for the county has been opened again and they have taken the refund back

stretchaq · 08-03-2015 3:16am

Will he go county now?? Missed the start twice??

Backstreet Moyes · 09-03-2015 1:21pm

What's the thoughts on Wicklow Brave now? Thinking of going in again at 33/1 e/w if he jumps off surely will have a good chance.

Shemale · 09-03-2015 2:25pm

Nuts102 wrote: »

What's the thoughts on Wicklow Brave now? Thinking of going in again at 33/1 e/w if he jumps off surely will have a good chance.

One last chance for me, think Saturday was used as a pipe opener

longshotvalue · 09-03-2015 7:23pm

Previously Adviced running today

Champion Hurdle

I’ve seen enough Jezki looks better than ever this year so far just going down to hurricane fly on soft around Leopardstown, and for me should be favourite for the Champion Hurdle. His main opponent from last year isn’t there this year and on good ground he seems to me to be a bit clear of the new one and Faugheen on all known form. 5/1 is great value.

2 Points win 5/1 NRNB Various

This bet looks very decent now that the ground is goind to be good.

5:15 CHAPS Restaurants Barbados Novices’ Handicap Chase

Looking at last year’s races reminded me of an eye-catching performance from Keltus in the Fred Winter. He absolutely flew up the hill into 4th and would surely be suited by this step up in trip and the with usual improvement in Paul Nichols horses over fences he should be right there in this. He has 2 good 2nds this year to horses who has gone up the handicap significantly since and really does look a couple of pounds at least well in here. Factor in the Festival form factor and he is an easy pick here. 16/1 with Ladbrokes NRNB is a standout at the moment and I can’t see him going off greater than 8/1.

2 Points EW 16/1 Ladbrokes NRNB

This looks a great price now and he just got in to the bottom of the handicap i can see him going of at 10/1 or less.

longshotvalue · 09-03-2015 7:24pm

2:40 3m 1f Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase

I like the look of Indian Castle in this at a big looking price. He was all the rage last year for the Kim Muir and was in the process of a top 4 finish when he nearly fell at the last and ended up 7th of 1lbs higher. I think he ran an eye-catching race over too short a trip in the Paddy Power here, and if he can travel that well for most of that race he will do well here over a more suitable longer trip. I think his place chance looks very decent and 25/1 with 5 places is worth a bet.

1 Point EW 25/1 5 Places Bet365

100 Bets to Broke Hennessy to Cheltenham

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