Winter Weather 2015/16 : See Mod Note Post #1

pad199207 · 05-01-2016 3:04pm

16mm here in Kildare now and rain starting to get heavier. Miserable.

Meteorite58 · 05-01-2016 3:32pm

Dry during daylight hours here in Tralee and even got a spell of sunshine , slack winds. Feeling relatively mild.

Graces7 · 05-01-2016 4:26pm

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Dry during daylight hours here in Tralee and even got a spell of sunshine , slack winds. Feeling relatively mild.

WOW! What a treat!

Saw the sun yesterday for a while here too..

Gonzo · 05-01-2016 4:29pm

rain finally stopped, still a raw 6C but feels colder.

Mech1 · 05-01-2016 9:37pm

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ttplhunRfj4

Jpmarn · 05-01-2016 10:47pm

Met Eireann has issued a weather advisory for rainfall tomorrow. They are forecasting 15 to 25mm of rain. The forecasted amount is generally under the threshold for a full yellow warning. It is because of the situation the flooding problems around the country and the addition to it caused by the forecast rain.

elastico · 05-01-2016 11:38pm

Bbc weather still seems to be going for a cold plunge from North next week, what do the experts on here think?

icesnowfrost · 05-01-2016 11:48pm

It will be very cold but the problem is there might not be much snow but it's still early to no for sure.

weatherfiend · 05-01-2016 11:53pm

icesnowfrost wrote: »

It will be very cold but the problem is there might not be much snow but it's still early to no for sure.

Would love snow but please at least give us cold ðŸ‘‹

Nabber · 05-01-2016 11:58pm

elastico wrote: »

Bbc weather still seems to be going for a cold plunge from North next week, what do the experts on here think?

UK is not Ireland

Its often the case that UK can be cold but Ireland remain 3-4c warmer.

elastico · 06-01-2016 12:12am

Nabber wrote: »

UK is not Ireland Its often the case that UK can be cold but Ireland remain 3-4c warmer.

Yes I know that but funny enough the simulation showed the cold plunge cover ireland first before covering the uk😃

ninebeanrows · 06-01-2016 12:14am

Expect to see more gritters on the road in the coming days. Looking like frequent chilly nights!

Senna · 06-01-2016 12:20am

Chilly and wet or Chilly and dry?

ninebeanrows · 06-01-2016 5:24am

The pendulum swings back cold. EC will be interesting.

UKM
UW144-21.GIF?06-05

GFS

ninebeanrows · 06-01-2016 6:00am

GFS is a corker, would place us in an extended freeze/

Graces7 · 06-01-2016 6:34am

Weathercheck wrote: »

Expect to see more gritters on the road in the coming days. Looking like frequent chilly nights!

The council here said last week that there had been no gritters out as all their men were dealing with floods. I suppose that makes sense in a kind of Irish way... Set to change now clearly.

Graces7 · 06-01-2016 6:37am

Weathercheck wrote: »

GFS is a corker, would place us in an extended freeze/

Give us until after Friday please! Chill and still here this morning but I see a thread re gales and rain again...the respite has been bliss.. Friday? Getting the car sorted and coal etc. I see the Munster forecast includes the magic words, " wintry showers " for Thursday so it will be very pretty up here again. Happy Epiphany today!

littlema · 06-01-2016 9:46am

pad199207 · 06-01-2016 12:31pm

No the liffey isnt going to freeze over nor are we going to get 10 foot drifts, but it does look like some of us will be seeing some of the white stuff fly from next week!

q85dw7osi4lebg · 06-01-2016 12:32pm

It's begun. I keep refreshing this thread for updates. Bring it on!

KingdomRushed · 06-01-2016 12:33pm

I'm waiting for tonight's ECM operational run keenly. If that shows more pronounced ridging toward Santa land, then I'm going to call it as a pending 'cold spell'...a mid January one at that.....

Speak Now · 06-01-2016 12:35pm

Meh....unless I see Polar bears coming down the Liffey

Musicman2000 · 06-01-2016 12:40pm

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

Meh....unless I see Polar bears coming down the Liffey

lol I can understand some of the glass half full posts. Normally any decent cold spells implode before they get to our shores or we are on the edge while the UK & Europe are in the freezer. BUT its hard not to get excited looking at some of the morning runs. Looking forward to the 12z's

ronnie3585 · 06-01-2016 1:41pm

A lot of chatter about today's charts over on Netweather too. Won't be long til the gutter-press get a hold of this and we can look forward to days of measured headlines like DEATH FREEZE 2016 etc.

downwiththatsor · 06-01-2016 2:08pm

ronnie3585 wrote: »

A lot of chatter about today's charts over on Netweather too. Won't be long til the gutter-press get a hold of this and we can look forward to days of measured headlines like DEATH FREEZE 2016 etc.

Two feet of snow only

http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/631670/Flood-Britain-misery-Arctic-blast-UK-weather

Gonzo · 06-01-2016 2:15pm

I really hope this works out, not just for the sake of snow but to shut the atlantic down for a few weeks, we really need a break from the constant rain and wild winds! Having said that a rerun of 2010 beast from the east would do very nicely indeed! After 5 winters without a decent snowfall it's about time we get something good this year!.

Rock Lesnar · 06-01-2016 2:19pm

Gonzo wrote: »

I really hope this works out, not just for the sake of snow but to shut the atlantic down for a few weeks, we really need a break from the constant rain and wild winds

This more then anything else, is why i hope it happens, i dont care if i don't see a snowflake, iv'e had water lying around the house 7 times since november 1st and the ground is mush, i just want dry weather

maquiladora · 06-01-2016 2:20pm

Cold spell looking increasingly likely for next week.

Whether it could be a snap or something of longer duration is impossible to say yet, since it depends on numerous hemispheric-wide things to take place to determine that. Same goes for the depth of cold and whether it will be a mostly dry spell or not, it's far too soon to say.

q85dw7osi4lebg · 06-01-2016 2:50pm

Just for fun..

droidman123 · 06-01-2016 2:59pm

maquiladora wrote: »

Cold spell looking increasingly likely for next week.

Whether it could be a snap or something of longer duration is impossible to say yet, since it depends on numerous hemispheric-wide things to take place to determine that. Same goes for the depth of cold and whether it will be a mostly dry spell or not, it's far too soon to say.

A week is too soon away to forecast what will happen? (Even with all the variables) yet a while back i was ridiculed on here for suggesting that irelands weather cant be predicted 2/3 months ahead and anyone that thinks it can is full of spoof and waffle.

JCX BXC · 06-01-2016 3:02pm

droidman123 wrote: »

A week is too soon away to forecast what will happen? (Even with all the variables) yet a while back i was ridiculed on here for suggesting that irelands weather cant be predicted 2/3 months ahead and anyone that thinks it can is full of spoof and waffle.

You seem to remember that, but do you remember all the times (Futilely it seems) that we explain what you MIGHT be able to forecast, and then what you MIGHT NOT be able to forecast.

We want discuss the weather, all you seem to want to do is destroy the discussions. Why?

droidman123 · 06-01-2016 3:07pm

Carnacalla wrote: »

You seem to remember that, but do you remember all the times (Futilely it seems) that we explain what you MIGHT be able to forecast, and then what you MIGHT NOT be able to forecast.

We want discuss the weather, all you seem to want to do is destroy the discussions. Why?

Sorry i am not falling into that trap.me giving an opinion about being able or not being able to long range irelands weather forecast IS discussing the weather.anyway im not going to drag that argument up again,i just thought it was funny the way it was said that next week is too far away to predict,but 2 or 3 months is fine. You can see where i am coming from i hope.

maquiladora · 06-01-2016 3:11pm

droidman123 wrote: »

Sorry i am not falling into that trap.me giving an opinion about being able or not being able to long range irelands weather forecast IS discussing the weather.anyway im not going to drag that argument up again,i just thought it was funny the way it was said that next week is too far away to predict,but 2 or 3 months is fine. You can see where i am coming from i hope.

But next week is not too far away to forecast, hence the increasing likelihood of a cold spell next week.
What is too far away to forecast is the detail: for how long, exactly how cold, how much precipitation.

Cantona's Collars · 06-01-2016 3:13pm

ronnie3585 · 06-01-2016 3:27pm

^^

Looking at Friday:

droidman123 · 06-01-2016 3:31pm

maquiladora wrote: »

But next week is not too far away to forecast, hence the increasing likelihood of a cold spell next week.
What is too far away to forecast is the detail: for how long, exactly how cold, how much precipitation.

Fair enough

JCX BXC · 06-01-2016 3:39pm

droidman123 wrote: »

Sorry i am not falling into that trap.me giving an opinion about being able or not being able to long range irelands weather forecast IS discussing the weather.anyway im not going to drag that argument up again,i just thought it was funny the way it was said that next week is too far away to predict,but 2 or 3 months is fine. You can see where i am coming from i hope.

Giving an opinion, and forcing your opinion in a patronising way is different. I respect your opinion, I think they are mostly hot air, but forcing your opinion on other again only causing arguing IMO.

droidman123 · 06-01-2016 3:44pm

Carnacalla wrote: »

Giving an opinion, and forcing your opinion in a patronising way is different. I respect your opinion, I think they are mostly hot air, but forcing your opinion on other again only causing arguing IMO.

"Forcing my opinion"? Not sure what you mean,i give my opinion,some people dont like it and thats fine,but its all about healthy debate.you accused me of trying to destroy the discussion on here, which i hope you can see now is not the case.moving on,roll on (hopefully) this cold snap and hopefully a bit of snow for dublin

ronnie3585 · 06-01-2016 4:04pm

Ah lads, would you put down the handbags - you're ruining the best run of charts for the last number of years for everyone!

sryanbruen · 06-01-2016 4:15pm

ronnie3585 wrote: »

Ah lads, would you put down the handbags - you're ruining the best run of charts for the last number of years for everyone!

Yep, I have had my first big "joy smile" in quite some time thanks to this ongoing cold spell!

aboyro · 06-01-2016 4:17pm

maquiladora wrote: »

Cold spell looking increasingly likely for next week.

Whether it could be a snap or something of longer duration is impossible to say yet, since it depends on numerous hemispheric-wide things to take place to determine that. Same goes for the depth of cold and whether it will be a mostly dry spell or not, it's far too soon to say.

Mac, any opinions or facts on a prolonged cold spell with a strong el nino. has it happened before??? or could it be a first.

also has anyone any info on whether or not storm frank is/was the cause of this disruption at the N pole??

Speak Now · 06-01-2016 4:19pm

ronnie3585 wrote: »

^^

Looking at Friday:

Friday Week!

sryanbruen · 06-01-2016 4:29pm

aboyro wrote: »

Mac, any opinions or facts on a prolonged cold spell with a strong el nino. has it happened before??? or could it be a first.

also has anyone any info on whether or not storm frank is/was the cause of this disruption at the N pole??

Yes it was according to news that I have seen. And yes also, it does look like the first strong El Nino with an expected cold spell (all my strong El Nino Winter months were all warmer than normal up to December 2015 inclusive)

Speak Now · 06-01-2016 4:31pm

aboyro wrote: »

Mac, any opinions or facts on a prolonged cold spell with a strong el nino. has it happened before??? or could it be a first.

also has anyone any info on whether or not storm frank is/was the cause of this disruption at the N pole??

2009 El Nino - Nov Flooding and Dec freeze

2015 El Nino - Dec Flooding and Jan Freeze????

Not very scientific I know LOL!

I think 82/83 has a strong El Nino and we got an Easterly in Feb.

maquiladora · 06-01-2016 4:32pm

aboyro wrote: »

Mac, any opinions or facts on a prolonged cold spell with a strong el nino. has it happened before??? or could it be a first.

also has anyone any info on whether or not storm frank is/was the cause of this disruption at the N pole??

72-73 was a strong El Nino and we still got heavy snow in Feb 73.

But there hasn't been many strong El Nino's and there hasn't been too many prolonged cold spells either, so I'm not really sure about any concrete correlations. There are other factors that influence the atmosphere apart from ENSO, especially in this part of the world.

sryanbruen · 06-01-2016 4:32pm

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

2009 El Nino - Nov Flooding and Dec freeze

2015 El Nino - Dec Flooding and Jan Freeze????

The 2009 El Nino wasn't "STRONG" though :cool: but I see what you're saying

sryanbruen · 06-01-2016 5:28pm

May I ask anybody, before November 2009, when was Ireland's previous wettest month on record?

It is mad how I seen comparisons with the Winter of 1997 / 98 (with Storm Eva in particular) but now it is completely matching 2009 / 10 just different months.

2009 / 10

November: Exceptionally wet (second wettest month on record now) and mild. Sunny though.
December: Becoming very cold, sunny and dry after a wet and windy start.
January: Very cold, sunny and dry.

2015 / 16

December: Exceptionally wet (wettest month on record) and warm. Dull also.
January: Relatively wet so far (like December 2009) and mild (not particularly so, like December 2009!). Relatively sunny in places (like December 2009!)

I see a repeat!

pad199207 · 06-01-2016 5:47pm

Okay I'm excited now ❄️⛄️❄️⛄️❄️⛄️

teddybones · 06-01-2016 5:48pm

WheatenBriar wrote: »

We'd need minus nines,but its complex because,there'd be a large volume of surface to 5000ft cold air and dewpoints coming in the wake of that,which means temps at 850 level don't need to be as low,if you get me?
Lets see

Thanks. Will be glued to the forum for forseeable.

gerrybhoy · 06-01-2016 5:52pm

Winter Weather 2015/16 : See Mod Note Post #1

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