PopePalpatine's Motorsport Betting Log

PopePalpatine · 30-07-2017 10:37pm

PopePalpatine wrote: »

Feck it, it worked out the last two times I bet on the local hero in Indycar, €2.50 e/w on Columbus, Ohio native Graham Rahal to win the Honda Indy 200 @9/1 (1/4 odds for a podium finish) with Bet365.

Rahal finishes 3rd, making €3.13 of profit.

€216.99
+ €3.13
======
€220.12

I thought of betting on Vergne in the Formula E finale, but like I did with Ricciardo in the Azerbaijan GP, I dithered.

PopePalpatine · 05-08-2017 8:55pm

Another Reddit-inspired bet for tomorrow, €3 on Rossi to win the Czech MotoGP @5/1 with 188bet.

PopePalpatine · 05-08-2017 9:21pm

PopePalpatine wrote: »

Another Reddit-inspired bet for tomorrow, €3 on Rossi to win the Czech MotoGP @5/1 with 188bet.

I'll also cover myself with €4 on Crutchlow to finish on the podium @3/1 & €1 on him to win @20/1, both with Bet365. There's some chance of rain tomorrow, and that's the weather in which he claimed his maiden MotoGP win at this very circuit last season.

PopePalpatine · 06-08-2017 1:48pm

No luck, if only the weather was the other way around (a dry start but rain after 5 or so laps)...and if only Rossi listened to his team. :mad:
€220.12
- €8.00
======
€212.12

PopePalpatine · 12-08-2017 10:56am

€2.50 e/w on Maverick Vinales to take pole @9/1 (1/5 odds for the top 3) with Bet365 for this weekend's Austrian MotoGP.

PopePalpatine · 12-08-2017 2:57pm

PopePalpatine wrote: »

€2.50 e/w on Maverick Vinales to take pole @9/1 (1/5 odds for the top 3) with Bet365 for this weekend's Austrian MotoGP.

He qualified 4th, of course. :mad:

€212.12
- €5.00
=======
€207.12

PopePalpatine · 13-08-2017 12:15pm

€6 on Marc Marquez to win the Austrian MotoGP @6/4 with Coral.

PopePalpatine · 13-08-2017 2:21pm

PopePalpatine wrote: »

€6 on Marc Marquez to win the Austrian MotoGP @6/4 with Coral.

Fuck my life, another bet that loses by a couple of tenths.

€207.12
- €6.00
======
€201.12

PopePalpatine · 20-08-2017 7:28pm

I'm probably going to regret betting on an oval race, but feck it, €3 e/w on Simon Pagenaud in the ABC Supply 500 @6/1 (1/4 odds for a podium finish) with Bet365. It's either going to be a Ganassi or a Penske car which wins today, and Pagenaud looked decent in practice.

PopePalpatine · 20-08-2017 10:33pm

PopePalpatine wrote: »

I'm probably going to regret betting on an oval race, but feck it, €3 e/w on Simon Pagenaud in the ABC Supply 500 @6/1 (1/4 odds for a podium finish) with Bet365. It's either going to be a Ganassi or a Penske car which wins today, and Pagenaud looked decent in practice.

No luck, maybe if it was the ABC Supply 502.5 he could have snatched 3rd from Rossi.

€201.12
- €6.00
======
€195.12

PopePalpatine · 21-08-2017 10:59pm

Time to look ahead to this weekend's Belgian GP, one of my early leans for the race is for Bottas to beat Vettel @19/20 with Bwin, and a Mercedes double podium finish @9/10, also with Bwin.

PopePalpatine · 24-08-2017 6:35pm

My first picks (all with Bwin):

€3 on Ocon to finish top 6 in the 1st practice session @5/2
€6 on Sainz to score points @7/4
€10 on Sainz to beat Stroll @17/20

The bets on Sainz are pretty much me gambling on a wet race. He finished 6th in the downpour of last year's Brazilian GP, and I think he'd easily have the measure of Stroll around here.

As for Ocon, I think the Force Indias will do well here, and I think he's good value to sneak into the top 6 tomorrow morning.

PopePalpatine · 25-08-2017 12:48pm

No luck with Ocon, but on the bright side, Sainz has shortened to 6/4 to score points after a decent P1.

€195.12
- €3.00
======
€192.12

PopePalpatine · 26-08-2017 11:52am

€3 on the local hero Max to finish top 3 in qualifying @6/1 with Bwin.

PopePalpatine · 26-08-2017 12:50pm

50c e/w on Max to take pole @66/1 (1/3 odds for the top 2) with Coral, and €5 on him to finish on the podium @10/3 with Paddy.

PopePalpatine · 26-08-2017 2:10pm

Max only qualified 5th, and accordingly he's drifted out to 15/4 on Betfair Exchange.

€192.12
- €4.00
======
€188.12

PopePalpatine · 27-08-2017 4:53pm

Max screws me over again, but more importantly, Sainz held off Stroll to keep 10th place!

€188.12
- €5.00
+ €8.50 (Sainz beating Stroll)
+ €10.50 (Sainz finished 10th)
=======
€202.12

PopePalpatine · 31-08-2017 9:00pm

My first bet for this weekend's Italian GP is €5 on neither McLaren to finish @9/2 with Bwin. McLaren have announced Alonso will use the same engine from Belgium, where he also failed to finish, and I don't have high hopes for Vandoorne either at the "cathedral of speed".

Also, former US Grand Prix venue Watkins Glen is hosting IndyCar this weekend, and I think Scott Dixon is attractive @7/2 with BetStars. He holds the record for most IndyCar/CART/IRL wins at the track (4), including winning last year's event from pole, and races for the team with the most wins at this track, that of Chip Ganassi.

PopePalpatine · 02-09-2017 10:16am

€5 in-play on Lewis Hamilton to finish top in the 3rd practice session @13/8 with Bet365, this is typically when teams do their practice for qualifying, and Lewis has dominated that so far.

PopePalpatine · 02-09-2017 11:09am

PopePalpatine wrote: »

€5 in-play on Lewis Hamilton to finish top in the 3rd practice session @13/8 with Bet365, this is typically when teams do their practice for qualifying, and Lewis has dominated that so far.

He didn't even set a laptime. :rolleyes:

€202.12
- €5.00
======
€197.12

PopePalpatine · 02-09-2017 12:58pm

Today's word is "driveability" - it's absolutely bucketing down at Monza, and I think that could limit Lewis's ability to go flat out and thus negate his power advantage over Vettel, and I'm putting €5.49 on him to take pole @11/2 with BetVictor.

PopePalpatine · 02-09-2017 1:59pm

€6 on Sainz to reach Q3 @6/5 with Bwin.

PopePalpatine · 02-09-2017 4:09pm

€3 on Vettel to finish top of Q2 @3/1 with Bwin.

PopePalpatine · 02-09-2017 4:19pm

Q2 ruined me.

€197.12
- €9.00
======
€188.12

PopePalpatine · 02-09-2017 4:43pm

PopePalpatine wrote: »

Q2 ruined me.

€197.12
- €9.00
======
€188.12

And so has the main session. Lesson learned, avoid backing Ferrari in the wet.

€188.12
- €5.49
======
€182.63

PopePalpatine · 03-09-2017 12:20pm

Anyone who can pose a threat to Hamilton had their qualifying compromised, so I'm putting €8 on a winning margin of over 10 seconds @2/1 with Paddy Power.

Now watch as Stroll takes out Lewis in the first corner. :rolleyes:

Guffy · 03-09-2017 12:23pm

PopePalpatine wrote: »

Now watch as Stroll takes out Lewis in the first corner. :rolleyes:

Have a cheeky fiver on stroll to lead at end of lap 1 for this reason. Can see hamilton playing cautious with this unknown quantity on turn 1. If stroll is over aggressive he could give him the lead with the aim of retaking it later. 7/1 on 365 seems awful high.

Or am i way off the mark?

PopePalpatine · 03-09-2017 12:58pm

Yeah, I think that's a value pick, I'm just going with a fiver on him to finish top 6 @8/5 with Bwin, and another fiver on Williams to get both cars in the points @5/2 with Ladbrokes.

Guffy · 03-09-2017 1:14pm

Did not expect that aggression from hamilton. Stroll got away well too

PopePalpatine · 03-09-2017 2:26pm

I should have capitalised more on Ladbrokes' mistake.

€182.63
- €5.50
======
€177.13

PopePalpatine · 03-09-2017 6:44pm

€1 each way on Bourdais to win the Grand Prix at the Glen @28/1 (1/4 odds for a podium finish) with Bet365.

PopePalpatine · 03-09-2017 10:59pm

PopePalpatine wrote: »

€1 each way on Bourdais to win the Grand Prix at the Glen @28/1 (1/4 odds for a podium finish) with Bet365.

Just sums up the weekend for me, he finished last.

On the bright side, at least Bet365 refunded my "Hamilton to top P3" bet.

€177.13
+ €3.00
======
€180.13

PopePalpatine · 10-09-2017 10:49am

€2 on Dovizioso to win the San Marino MotoGP @9/2 with Bet365.

PopePalpatine · 10-09-2017 1:53pm

PopePalpatine wrote: »

€2 on Dovizioso to win the San Marino MotoGP @9/2 with Bet365.

Of course I forgot about the conditions of Petrucci's first win.

€180.13
- €2.00
=======
€178.13

PopePalpatine · 14-09-2017 6:07pm

€6 on Vettel to win the Singapore GP from pole and either Red Bull to finish on the podium @11/2 with William Hill (under #YourOdds).

PopePalpatine · 15-09-2017 9:26am

As much as I hate betting on the 1st practice session, IMHO Bwin messed up by giving Vettel 5/2 odds to top that session, so I'll put €3 on that.

PopePalpatine · 15-09-2017 11:03am

The good news is that the Red Bulls look really good from that first session...the bad news is that they were too good.

€178.13
- €3.00
=======
€175.13

PopePalpatine · 15-09-2017 8:58pm

€1 on the long-shot Request-A-Bet on Sky - Vettel to win from pole, Ricciardo to finish on the podium and set the fastest lap and Alonso to finish top 6 @100/1.

PopePalpatine · 15-09-2017 10:29pm

Just so I don't have all of my eggs in the "Vettel to take pole" basket

, I'll have €10 on him to win the race @19/10 with Betsafe. I think Ferrari were sandbagging today, and I should have noticed back when Danny Ric was 5/1 to top P1 when Hamilton went fastest around the halfway stage. :rolleyes:

PopePalpatine · 16-09-2017 1:55pm

€7 on Wehrlein to out-qualify Ericsson @3/4 with Bwin.

Also, €3 each on Vettel to finish top 2 with Verstappwn/Ricciardo @13/4 & €4.90 on Haas to out-qualify Williams @13/10, also with Bwin.

PopePalpatine · 16-09-2017 2:23pm

Williams are out, but Grosjean isn't, and Wehrlein lines up 19th...ahead of Ericsson!

€175.13
+ €11.62
=======
€186.75

PopePalpatine · 16-09-2017 3:06pm

Vettel takes pole with a Red Bull alongside him. The important thing is my Request-A-Bets live on for another day.

€186.75
+ €6.75
=======
€193.50

PopePalpatine · 17-09-2017 12:19pm

My final bets before lights out:

€4 on Raikkonen to be in 5th or worse at the end of lap 1 (Bet365). Hamilton starts right behind him, so I think he can jump him off the line or into the first corner.
€4 each on Perez & Magnussen to win their groups on Ladbrokes @6/4 & 7/4 respectively - both of them have scored points on all their visits to Singapore. I used an odds boost on these to boost them to 31/20 & 9/5.
€1 on Vettel to win, Ricciardo to finish on the podium, Hülkenburg to score points, and Kvyat & Palmer to fail to finish @40/1 on SkyBet.

Finally, it's currently pouring down in Singapore. So, to cover myself, I'll have €9 on Max @3/1 & €6 on Danny Ric @5/1 on Bwin.

PopePalpatine · 17-09-2017 12:30pm

OK, one last bet: €5 on Hulk to beat Bottas @12/5 with Bwin.

PopePalpatine · 17-09-2017 1:07pm

Typical Max. :rolleyes:

€193.50
- €9.00
- €1.50 (I bet on Ricciardo to lead the 1st lap)
- €3.00 (...and Max)
+ €4.00 (...but at least he took out Kimi)
- €18.00 (...but of course Seb had to be taken out too)
======
€168.00

PopePalpatine · 17-09-2017 1:27pm

€1.50 e/w on Adam Morgan in the second BTCC race today @8/1 with Bet365, he finished 3rd earlier and the Mercedes looks quite good. That sounds familiar...

PopePalpatine · 17-09-2017 2:51pm

PopePalpatine wrote: »

OK, one last bet: €5 on Hulk to beat Bottas @12/5 with Bwin.

And he's out with mechanical issues.
€168.00
- €5.00
======
€163.00

PopePalpatine · 17-09-2017 5:40pm

Morgan doesn't come close, and Perez provides the only consolation after a disastrous day.

€163.00
- €4.00
- €3.00
- €6.00
+ €6.20
======
€156.20

PopePalpatine · 18-09-2017 1:33am

€2 on Newgarden to win the Sonoma GP @4/1 with Bet365.

EDIT: What was I thinking...

€156.20
- €2.00
======
€154.20

PopePalpatine · 28-09-2017 9:12pm

My picks for the weekend:

€10 on either Red Bull to finish on the podium @EVS (Bwin)
€5 on Ricciardo to beat Raikkonen @13/10 (Bwin)
€3 on Verstappen to beat Raikkonen in the 1st practice session @6/5 (Bwin)
€5.52 on Toro Rosso to beat Haas @7/10 (Bwin)
€4 on Stroll to score points @11/4 (Betstars)

Hamilton is 5/4 to win from pole with Bet365, I'll shop around to see who can beat that.

PopePalpatine's Motorsport Betting Log

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