Boards.ie uses cookies. By continuing to browse this site you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Click here to find out more x
Post Reply  
 
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
08-09-2010, 16:05   #1
maquiladora
Registered User
 
maquiladora's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 11,117
Hurricane IGOR



...IGOR FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...

11:00 AM AST Wed Sep 8
Location: 13.7°N 23.5°W
Max sustained: 40 mph
Moving: W at 8 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb
maquiladora is offline  
Thanks from:
Advertisement
08-09-2010, 21:05   #2
dexter647
Registered User
 
dexter647's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Posts: 1,135
another monster on the way i'd say
dexter647 is offline  
08-09-2010, 21:42   #3
Hal1
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 8,451
Quote:
Originally Posted by dexter647 View Post
another monster on the way i'd say
It's alive . *claps of thunder*... /coat
Hal1 is offline  
09-09-2010, 09:05   #4
maquiladora
Registered User
 
maquiladora's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 11,117
Looking at that turn towards the end of the forecast track, it looks like Igor could just be a fish storm. Long way to go yet though.
maquiladora is offline  
09-09-2010, 10:31   #5
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 4,257
He's suffering a little from windshear at the moment but should come through it in the next 24hrs or so and start strengthening

Quote:
000
WTNT41 KNHC 090837
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM IGOR DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
500 AM AST THU SEP 09 2010

THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS DETERIORATED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND
CONTINUES TO BE HIGHLY SHEARED. NEITHER SATELLITE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES NOR ASCAT MEASUREMENTS SUPPORT TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED DOWN TO 35 KNOTS AND THIS
ESTIMATE IS GENEROUS. IGOR COULD WEAKEN A LITTLE MORE TODAY BUT
GIVEN THAT THE CYCLONE STILL HAS A LARGE CIRCULATION AND IS MOVING
TOWARD A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF LOWER SHEAR AND WARMER
OCEAN...A GRADUAL STRENGTHENING COULD BEGIN IN 24 HOUR OR SO. IGOR
IS STILL FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN ABOUT 3 DAYS.

FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CENTER IS STILL
LOCATED SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS SUGGESTING THAT IGOR HAS
BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...THE LARGE
CIRCULATION SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
LATER TODAY. THE STEERING PATTERN OVER THE ATLANTIC HAS BEEN QUITE
PERSISTENT AND CONSISTS OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN
PART OF THE BASIN AND A BROAD TROUGH OSCILLATING BETWEEN THE
EASTERN UNITED STATES AND THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE BASIN. THIS
STEERING PATTERN WHICH IS FORECAST BY THE GLOBAL MODELS TO
CONTINUE...WOULD FAVOR A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AND THEN A TURN MORE TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TRACK
GUIDANCE DEPICTS THIS SCENARIO WHICH IS REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 09/0900Z 13.8N 24.3W 35 KT
12HR VT 09/1800Z 14.0N 25.3W 30 KT
24HR VT 10/0600Z 15.0N 28.0W 40 KT
36HR VT 10/1800Z 16.0N 31.0W 45 KT
48HR VT 11/0600Z 16.5N 34.0W 55 KT
72HR VT 12/0600Z 17.0N 40.0W 65 KT
96HR VT 13/0600Z 18.0N 44.5W 75 KT
120HR VT 14/0600Z 19.5N 49.0W 85 KT

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
Su Campu is offline  
Advertisement
09-09-2010, 11:45   #6
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 4,257
Some nice convection from Igor showing up on the Santa Maria webcam in Cape Verde today

Su Campu is offline  
11-09-2010, 12:55   #7
maquiladora
Registered User
 
maquiladora's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 11,117
...IGOR NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH...

5:00 AM AST Sat Sep 11
Location: 17.1°N 37.8°W
Max sustained: 70 mph
Moving: W at 21 mph
Min pressure: 995 mb
maquiladora is offline  
11-09-2010, 21:34   #8
dexter647
Registered User
 
dexter647's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Posts: 1,135
igor looks heads on to big be a major hurricane next week but the big question is will it pose a risk to land or be just another fish storm
dexter647 is offline  
11-09-2010, 21:48   #9
maquiladora
Registered User
 
maquiladora's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 11,117
Quote:
Originally Posted by dexter647 View Post
igor looks heads on to big be a major hurricane next week but the big question is will it pose a risk to land or be just another fish storm


Good model support for Igor to start to curve NW after a couple of days. It's still too early to know for sure though, he isnt a hurricane yet.

One for Bermuda to watch maybe.
maquiladora is offline  
Thanks from:
Advertisement
12-09-2010, 03:43   #10
billy the squid
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 12,219
Send a message via Yahoo to billy the squid
Igor has just been declared a cat 1 hurricane. tis going to be a fish though.
billy the squid is offline  
12-09-2010, 08:51   #11
gally74
Registered User
 
gally74's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 1,765
i hope it tracks over iceland!!!
gally74 is offline  
12-09-2010, 08:52   #12
gally74
Registered User
 
gally74's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 1,765
i find this site quite good, turn on forecast models,

http://tropical.rbee44.com/
gally74 is offline  
12-09-2010, 09:56   #13
Iancar29
Registered User
 
Iancar29's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 5,010
Tis Hurricane Igor now people!
Iancar29 is offline  
12-09-2010, 12:49   #14
maquiladora
Registered User
 
maquiladora's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 11,117
Doesn't look like a threat to the US east coast but Bermuda and perhaps Newfoundland should keep an eye on Igor.

Looks like we will have two new TD's soon too. Invest 92 is at 60% and Invest 93 at 90%.
maquiladora is offline  
12-09-2010, 19:00   #15
gally74
Registered User
 
gally74's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 1,765
now a cat 2
gally74 is offline  
Post Reply

Quick Reply
Message:
Remove Text Formatting
Bold
Italic
Underline

Insert Image
Wrap [QUOTE] tags around selected text
 
Decrease Size
Increase Size
Please sign up or log in to join the discussion

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search



Share Tweet