Autumn 2018 - General discussion

Lucreto · 18-10-2018 8:33am

First light frost in Naas, enough to freeze the windscreen but not the other windows.

Hopefully plenty more to come.

highdef · 18-10-2018 8:44am

Fairly thick fog. Overnight low of -1.1c. currently -0.3c. North Kildare.

m17 · 18-10-2018 9:16am

Ballinasloe co galway 18/10/18 8.10 temperature -1°C

Elmer Blooker · 18-10-2018 9:40am

A new air pressure record for October looks certain, at the moment it stands at 1043hpa. Met.ie doesn't give the place or date where or when this record was set.

fax120s.gif?1

Gonzo · 18-10-2018 10:53am

first frost of the season has cleared here with dazzling autumn sunshine, perfect conditions for mid October.

sryanbruen · 18-10-2018 11:58am

Elmer Blooker wrote: »

A new air pressure record for October looks certain, at the moment it stands at 1043hpa. Met.ie doesn't give the place or date where or when this record was set.

31 October 1956 at Malin Head?

https://www.met.ie/climate/weather-extreme-records

Andy From Sligo · 18-10-2018 3:46pm

Donegal Storm wrote: »

Did anyone see a meteor/fireball in the sky at 11pm tonight? Saw a really bright streak travelling towards the south horizon that disappeared after about 2-3 seconds. Was very noticeable and bright but can't find any reports of it online!

my wife was driving through Edgeworthstown at around 1.30am and saw like a shooting comet thing in the sky

Oscar Bravo · 18-10-2018 7:44pm

Nice night out with a good view of Mars close alongside the Moon.

Harry Palmr · 18-10-2018 10:43pm

Mellow fruitfulness man

18-10-2018 11:16pm

A fab Summer and now a gorgeous Autumn in the south east. If only we could have more years like this:)
(I know it was TOO dry earlier on.... but what a year!!)

Donegal Storm · 19-10-2018 1:11am

Andy From Sligo wrote: »

my wife was driving through Edgeworthstown at around 1.30am and saw like a shooting comet thing in the sky

Odd if there were two in the one night, mine was 11pm on the dot! I've found a few reports on twitter from Derry so know I'm not crazy at least.

It looked pretty much identical to this

sryanbruen · 19-10-2018 6:14pm

https://twitter.com/MattHugo81/status/1053332176492789766

mickger844posts · 19-10-2018 6:31pm

Regardless to whether that blocking pattern verifies it must be a near record amount of patterns like this we have seen in the last year or so. Remarkable stuff considering how elusive they have been in the past.

pad199207 · 19-10-2018 6:48pm

mickger844posts wrote: »

Regardless to whether that blocking pattern verifies it must be a near record amount of patterns like this we have seen in the last year or so. Remarkable stuff considering how elusive they have been in the past.

I was just going to post the same thing. It has been a brilliant year for blocking. If the status quo continues well then I see no reason not to be excited going into the winter season.

Meteorite58 · 19-10-2018 8:52pm

Been a great spell of weather, cloudier today but decent temp getting up to 15.9C here in Tralee. Looking forward to a few frosty and foggy mornings hopefully, like here a few days ago, as pressure builds next week .

0M3nNT9.jpg?1

Donegal Storm · 19-10-2018 9:00pm

pad199207 wrote: »

I was just going to post the same thing. It has been a brilliant year for blocking. If the status quo continues well then I see no reason not to be excited going into the winter season.

Wasn't there a similar spell to this in October 2010? Maybe I have the wrong year but seem to recall a lot of clear calm weather with some frosty nights

sryanbruen · 19-10-2018 9:02pm

Donegal Storm wrote: »

Wasn't there a similar spell to this in October 2010? Maybe I have the wrong year but seem to recall a lot of clear calm weather with some frosty nights

Correct

Artane2002 · 19-10-2018 9:09pm

I don't think I've seen any frosts so far, hopefully I have my first frost soon. It's been a beautiful week with lots more nice weather to come

SleetAndSnow · 19-10-2018 10:08pm

No clear skies in Cork City this evening, just cloud. Was nice during the morning and afternoon though.

DanielL18 · 19-10-2018 10:36pm

Wednesday‎ ‎17‎ ‎October‎ ‎2018 19:04, West Cork

Gaoth Laidir · 20-10-2018 7:24am

I think we're in for a very foggy period in the coming weeks. One of those that leads to disruption every few years. I remember one such period in early December a good few years back in the early-mid 2000s?

Meteorite58 · 20-10-2018 10:47am

Beautiful calm sunny morning here near Tralee, already 16.6C.

Gonzo · 20-10-2018 10:49am

Sunny and warm here at Dunshaughlin. Still currently wearing a t-shirt outside.

highdef · 20-10-2018 11:12am

Gonzo wrote: »

Sunny and warm here at Dunshaughlin. Still currently wearing a t-shirt outside.

Cloudy but bright to your southwest, just over the border in North Kildare. Looks like the sun may break through properly soon though. Rather breezy though.

Meteorite58 · 20-10-2018 11:21am

17.6C here near Tralee !

ZX7R · 20-10-2018 11:52am

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

I think we're in for a very foggy period in the coming weeks. One of those that leads to disruption every few years. I remember one such period in early December a good few years back in the early-mid 2000s?

Remember that ,I believe there was a big crash on the n7 or m7
There was a fatality if I remember correctly

mrsnrub2.0 · 20-10-2018 11:59am

Wearing shorts on the 20th October in Dun Laoghaire.

I'd say you'd get burnt if you spent a few hours outside.

highdef · 20-10-2018 12:09pm

mrsnrub2.0 wrote: »

Wearing shorts on the 20th October in Dun Laoghaire.

I'd say you'd get burnt if you spent a few hours outside.

Very unlikely for anyone to get a sunburn today, unless you have some skin condition that makes you extra sensitive to UV radiation. UV index today is about 2 at most. Remember, the temperature you feel from the sun has little or no bearing on the radiation hitting your skin. It's quite warm and sunny today but the UV index today is most likely to be a bit lower to what it was last Thursday, when it was also sunny but not as warm, as the sun is that bit lower in the sky today versus Thursday.

If you were to be high up in the snow covered Alps in the middle of summer in shorts and t-shirt, you'd be burnt to a crisp in an hour (much less if you are fair skinned), even if you were freezing your ass off.

SleetAndSnow · 20-10-2018 2:02pm

Grey sky and fog all day in Cork City pretty much.

m17 · 20-10-2018 6:23pm

Stateside

Meteorite58 · 20-10-2018 6:37pm

Got up to 19.1C here near Tralee. I thought my readings might be a bit high compared to the Met stations until I saw the Sat Pic showing a hole in the cloud over my location. From the ground could see the cloud North and E of me. Filled in the afternoon but broke up a bit again early evening leaving in some nice evening sunshine.

Still a very mild 15C with the cloud closed in again locking in the warmth.

trQlJJ5.jpg?1

sryanbruen · 20-10-2018 7:12pm

And we're off!

MidMan25 · 20-10-2018 7:15pm

Brief explanation of that chart Syran?

SleetAndSnow · 20-10-2018 7:18pm

Just saw carlow weathers tweet and it looks like 1 degrees during the day/negatives? 2pm? Is that at a certain height or

https://twitter.com/CarlowWeather/status/1053702910373191682

Artane2002 · 20-10-2018 7:51pm

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

Just saw carlow weathers tweet and it looks like 1 degrees during the day/negatives? 2pm? Is that at a certain height or

https://twitter.com/CarlowWeather/status/1053702910373191682

I'm not sure what exactly that is. I'm going to guess that it's the lowest temperature in the 6 hours preceding that chart. Someone can confirm I'm sure?

spookwoman · 20-10-2018 8:07pm

Artane2002 wrote: »

I'm not sure what exactly that is. I'm going to guess that it's the lowest temperature in the 6 hours preceding that chart. Someone can confirm I'm sure?

Minimum temperature over 6 hours

ZX7R · 20-10-2018 8:17pm

I believe that's ground d temperature up to 1 meter,
I could be wrong.
-4 uppers at 850
I can't see how ground temperature could reach that low with -4 uppers unless there is lying snow cover.
Cold rain and a slight dusting to the highest peaks is all I can see from those charts .
Hard frost at night

It's temperature for last 6 hours posted by another poster.
Frost from early morning so.
I thought it was temperature at that time

spookwoman · 20-10-2018 8:42pm

27th showing snow for Wicklow

SleetAndSnow · 20-10-2018 11:05pm

Well, theres fog up high in cork city tonight which i expect will drop even further, very dense. Noticed it when walking home just now with two planes. Can usually see their lights but they were so low down and could only hear the engines!

Kermit.de.frog · 20-10-2018 11:06pm

It does look like the first cold spell of the season will occur toward the end of next week with a couple of very cold nights for the time of year and some wintriness in the showers over higher ground for a time.

Exciting eh?

sryanbruen · 20-10-2018 11:28pm

MidMan25 wrote: »

Brief explanation of that chart Syran?

It's showing the mean zonal wind speeds at 10hPa in the stratosphere, the red line at the end is the GFS ensemble mean of what they predict the zonal wind speeds to be into the beginning of November. The black line is the trend (whilst the blue line is where we've been in 2018-19 so far) or average of how the zonal wind speeds should go. At first we have stronger than normal zonal wind speeds but due to how disorganised the Polar Vortex is, there is not much tropospheric response to this - would usually mean stormy and mild if there was. At the start of November, the trend of the GFS ensembles is downwards to weak zonal wind speed levels i.e. slower than average. This translates to an increased risk of blocking around the Arctic which obviously increases the chance of colder than average conditions for us. Whether this slow trend in early November is a sign of what's to come (i.e. a rare SSW event in November/December like in 1962) or a toppler waits to be seen. Whatever the case, I will be focusing on the stratosphere as it's one of my favourite things to monitor every Winter as you might have imagined given my posts last Winter

.

https://twitter.com/MetEireann/status/1053772087029063681

JCX BXC · 21-10-2018 2:21am

Finding it slightly difficult to sleep tonight, 14.7c, light drizzle and 95% humidity. Nothing bizzare just unusual for October.

m17 · 21-10-2018 12:49pm

Irelands temperature 20/10/18
Athenry 15.7
Ballyhaise 14.8
Casement 16.7
Claremorris 14.8
Cork airport 13.4
Dublin airport 17.0
Finner camp 17.8
Gurteen 16.7
Knock airport 13.7
Malin head 17.1
Oak Park 17.6
Shannon airport 17.6
Valentina 14.1

YFlyer · 21-10-2018 1:54pm

MidMan25 wrote: »

Brief explanation of that chart Syran?

That chart is bull.

sryanbruen · 21-10-2018 2:01pm

YFlyer wrote: »

That chart is bull.

What?

YFlyer · 21-10-2018 2:07pm

sryanbruen wrote: »

What?

That graph be more accurate to predict lack of daylight.

sryanbruen · 21-10-2018 2:09pm

YFlyer wrote: »

That graph be more accurate to predict lack of daylight.

I have no idea what you are talking about or get the point of your comments.

Artane2002 · 21-10-2018 2:12pm

YFlyer wrote: »

That graph be more accurate to predict lack of daylight.

It's a professional forecast, not a James Madden-style long range winter forecast.

YFlyer · 21-10-2018 2:17pm

sryanbruen wrote: »

I have no idea what you are talking about or get the point of your comments.

That prediction line you put up is too smooth for my liking.

MJohnston · 21-10-2018 2:47pm

YFlyer wrote: »

That prediction line you put up is too smooth for my liking.

What does *your* liking have to do with anything?

Autumn 2018 - General discussion

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