The White Christmas Thread 2014

BLIZZARD7 · 17-12-2014 11:35pm

bpmurray wrote: »

Have all the posters here been drinking? It's actually going to be warm through to Stephen's Day, with double-digit temperatures and absolutely zero chance of any snow, at least on the East coast. The West will get plenty of rain, if that's any consolation!

Pass us the crystal ball when you're finished. Thanks.

Very encouraging signs today for a colder regime to take hold sometime between Christmas day and the new year. Some excellent charts from The gfs especially today with the other models showing similar variations of the same theme. The North west/North has the best chance of seeing some of the white stuff on Christmas day as it stands, Even then though its only a possibility... No guarantees. Will be Saturday/Sunday before we get a clearer picture.

sideswipe · 18-12-2014 12:07am

fryup wrote: »

looks like we're going to get boring old mild wet weather as usual

even a foggy xmas day will do

Fog around Christmas is not that unusual.......sure isn't that how Rudolf got his big break;)

Harry Palmr · 18-12-2014 1:04am

The latest runs pretty much put snow to bed I think.

icesnowfrost · 18-12-2014 1:34am

Harry Palmr wrote: »

The latest runs pretty much put snow to bed I think.

How do u figure? Charts are looking 100 times better for cold than they did a day ago

barney 20v · 18-12-2014 1:57am

icesnowfrost wrote: »

How do u figure? Charts are looking 100 times better for cold than they did a day ago

I think he meant for Xmas

pauldry · 18-12-2014 11:35am

cold just after xmas for a day or two then roasting !:cool:

NoMore MrNiceGuy · 18-12-2014 12:26pm

pauldry wrote: »

cold just after xmas for a day or two then roasting !:cool:

That's FI.

leahyl · 18-12-2014 12:31pm

pauldry wrote: »

cold just after xmas for a day or two then roasting !:cool:

Ah here!

pauldry · 18-12-2014 12:46pm

nah sorry it is fi but the high on wetterzentrale looks very red.

surely going to be something wintry from 26th to 28th or 29th then high pressure

NoMore MrNiceGuy · 18-12-2014 2:10pm

pauldry wrote: »

nah sorry it is fi but the high on wetterzentrale looks very red.

surely going to be something wintry from 26th to 28th or 29th then high pressure

Which will lead to..... Cold. You know. Winter.

Harry Palmr · 18-12-2014 2:51pm

Not snow though.

Villain · 18-12-2014 5:55pm

Not a good run

xmas

Blizzard 2010 · 18-12-2014 6:13pm

Place a bet that by sunday the synoptics will have changed. We are still in the realms of F1. So lets not draw to conclusions too quickly. I still think we have a potential surprise in store.

icesnowfrost · 18-12-2014 7:37pm

Villain wrote: »

Not a good run

xmas

I no we are still in fi but I don't think that will happen at all. Just can't see it

fryup · 19-12-2014 12:05am

Blizzard 2010 wrote: »

Place a bet that by sunday the synoptics will have changed. We are still in the realms of F1. So lets not draw to conclusions too quickly. I still think we have a potential surprise in store.

not a hope

dull & dreary is how it will be

icesnowfrost · 19-12-2014 12:10am

fryup wrote: »

not a hope

dull & dreary is how it will be

Baaaaaaaaahhhhhhhaaha! !!!!

Supercell · 19-12-2014 1:00am

Once these things start to go pear shaped, well I don't ever recall it being pulled back, at least not here.
Oh well, plenty of time for reloads, this roller coaster isn't done yet!

Larbre34 · 19-12-2014 12:50pm

Might as well move your money to a stake on the Queen abdicating at this stage....

This party's over, I'm going.......out to another party.

maquiladora · 19-12-2014 12:58pm

Looking unlikely for snow on the 25th, still a bit early to say, if anywhere will have a chance its high ground in the northwest, but not looking great at the moment.

After the 25th still looking interesting but a long way to go.

maquiladora · 19-12-2014 5:28pm

Not a mild Christmas Day on the 12Z GFS. -2 in Leinster at 6pm.

150-580UK.GIF?19-12

M.T. Cranium · 19-12-2014 9:07pm

It may feel a bit like a white Christmas if there's a thick frost in the morning, at least you'd be looking out on something white although not snow. Slight chance from current guidance of a few light flurries in parts of the northwest perhaps, but things are very uncertain past about mid-day 23rd at this point, would not want to write off chances altogether yet.

jack o shea · 19-12-2014 9:20pm

mt nobody has a clue about the weather these ridiculous threads should be closed down, them models "predicting" snow at 5 30 pm on jan 21st or whatever are a load of crap.

jack o shea · 19-12-2014 9:21pm

Not aimed at you btw mt i know you do good short range forecasts which are a great help.

BLIZZARD7 · 19-12-2014 11:39pm

jack o shea wrote: »

mt nobody has a clue about the weather these ridiculous threads should be closed down, them models "predicting" snow at 5 30 pm on jan 21st or whatever are a load of crap.

Christmas is on the 25th of December is it not? This is the white Christmas chat thread remember... 6 days away not over a month.

pauldry · 20-12-2014 1:04am

hey jack o shea ill never forgive you for the cr&p was you made Mayo play when you managed them. Snow or no snow

pauldry · 20-12-2014 1:07am

also i do NOT think Xmas day will have snow but like you say MT it will be cold so frost and a dry day in general wouldnt be too bad.

A lot of the FI snow gets pulled back once the date arrives and on previous runs the 26th to 28th were looking a snow fest, now just the 27th. In Ireland when we get snow it tends to be for a few hours or a day or two since Climate change kicked in big time.

With the exception of 2010 of course. A truly exceptional year in terms of snow. It would be a lot to expect a repeat

icesnowfrost · 20-12-2014 7:44am

jack o shea wrote: »

mt nobody has a clue about the weather these ridiculous threads should be closed down, them models "predicting" snow at 5 30 pm on jan 21st or whatever are a load of crap.

Close the door on hour way out.

Rebelbrowser · 21-12-2014 9:35am

Well, 4 days out its pretty much set in stone that Christmas day will be cold with frosts to start and end the day (will be an ice day in North facing areas methinks). With the possibility of snow in the days that follow I must say I'd be very happy with that any Christmas.....

See:-

and

Very seasonal.

In fact, according to MT, there might be a few, generally in the NW, who could even get an official White Christmas. Will keep an eye on that....

Pangea · 21-12-2014 11:19am

Rebelbrowser wrote: »

Well, 4 days out its pretty much set in stone that Christmas day will be cold with frosts to start and end the day (will be an ice day in North facing areas methinks). With the possibility of snow in the days that follow I must say I'd be very happy with that any Christmas.....

In fact, according to MT, there might be a few, generally in the NW, who could even get an official White Christmas. Will keep an eye on that....

maquiladora · 21-12-2014 9:45pm

ECM showing a slight chance of wintry showers in Donegal early on Christmas morning. Should be a dry day pretty much everywhere else though.

fryup · 22-12-2014 12:15am

not a snowball chance in hell

rilz · 22-12-2014 3:36am

Anyone else put any money on a white xmas. I put a 5 note on 3 months ago at 40-1/ Looks not very good :pac:

Doesn't look good at all

Rebelbrowser · 22-12-2014 9:47am

rilz wrote: »

Anyone else put any money on a white xmas. I put a 5 note on 3 months ago at 40-1/ Looks not very good :pac:

Doesn't look good at all

At least you got good odds. 40-1 is in fact very generous - up North I suspect you get a technical white Christmas every decade anyway. You sometimes hear of guys getting 3-1 and the like!

In any event, I wouldn't 100% rule out some snow during the 24hr period in question in your neck of the woods.....

The White Christmas Thread 2014

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