Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

CoDy1 · 20-09-2013 6:59pm

Munster(-4) 10/11
& Leinster to win 11/8
Double

Fireball07 · 20-09-2013 7:02pm

Munster -4 @10/11

Munster >24.5 Points @5/6

Munster >2.5 Tries @evens

>41.5 Points Munster V Treviso @4/6

aaaand

Zebre +20, Dragons +7, Leinster +6 and Munster Accumulator at around 11/2.

wp_rathead · 20-09-2013 7:10pm

something keep me interested over the evening, kinda copied Fireball's accy

Podge_irl · 20-09-2013 7:12pm

2 units on Glasgow -3 @ 10/11
2 units on under 40.5 points @ 5/6
2 units on Ian Madigan try scorer @ 13/5
2 units on Dave Kearney try scorer @ 5/2
2 units on Dragons @6/4

New total: 74 units

CoDy1 · 20-09-2013 7:15pm

Anytime try scorer double: The Ians:pac:

Madigan & Keatley 25/1

thomond2006 · 20-09-2013 7:26pm

Old Balance: 39.78 units

2 units (10/11) Munster -4
1 unit (evens) Munster over 2.5 tries
1 unit (10/11) Montpellier -4
.5 units (10/11) Connacht +5
.5 units (10/11) Perpignan +3
.25 units (17/10) Simon Zebo to score a try in 80 mins
.25 units (4/6) Munster to score a try in each half

New Balance: 34.28 units

P_1 · 20-09-2013 7:28pm

2.5 unit treble on:

Monty -4
Overs in the Munster match
Overs in the Currie Cup match

Fireball07 · 20-09-2013 9:29pm

Fireball07 wrote: »

Munster -4 @10/11

Munster >24.5 Points @5/6

Munster >2.5 Tries @evens

>41.5 Points Munster V Treviso @4/6

aaaand

Zebre +20, Dragons +7, Leinster +6 and Munster Accumulator at around 11/2.

Oh Munster, how you break my heart

Judgement Day · 20-09-2013 9:33pm

I'm not even posting my bets tonight (ffs Leinster couldn't even manage -8.5 in the 1st half) all of them failed and the account is empty. I think I'll stick to real rugby for the rest of the season.

thomond2006 · 20-09-2013 9:45pm

2.25 units lost tonight, 2.25 units came in. So I'm on a slight loss going into tomorrow, with Connacht and Perpignan bets still outstanding.

P_1 · 20-09-2013 9:46pm

P_1 wrote: »

2.5 unit treble on:

Monty -4
Overs in the Munster match
Overs in the Currie Cup match :mad:

Fecking dung in South Africa and my misreading of the Cape Town weather forecast to blame here

Podge_irl · 20-09-2013 9:50pm

Podge_irl wrote: »

2 units on Glasgow -3 @ 10/11 (but also )
2 units on under 40.5 points @ 5/6
2 units on Ian Madigan try scorer @ 13/5 :pac: refunded with MBS (first try forward)
2 units on Dave Kearney try scorer @ 5/2:pac: refunded with MBS (first try forward)
2 units on Dragons @6/4

New total: 74 units

New total: 90 units

thomond2006 · 22-09-2013 12:12pm

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 39.78 units
2 units (10/11) Munster -4 :mad:

1 unit (evens) Munster over 2.5 tries

1 unit (10/11) Montpellier -4

.5 units (10/11) Connacht +5 :mad:

.5 units (10/11) Perpignan +3 :mad:

.25 units (17/10) Simon Zebo to score a try in 80 mins :mad:

.25 units (4/6) Munster to score a try in each half

New Balance: 34.28 units

New Balance: 38.6 units, so a slight loss.

thomond2006 · 25-09-2013 8:15am

Taken South Africa at -11, I'm surprised the handicap is that low tbh.

Buer · 27-09-2013 9:23am

Leinster -8
Treviso +23

7.5 units.

Gracelessly Tom · 27-09-2013 9:37am

Have been lurking and not posting recently so hope this was worth the wait.....

South Africa to win the Rugby Championship - 4/1 They are at home to Aus and NZ and the way they are playing I can't see the kiwi's beating them in SA. The odds seem far too generous.

For this weekend I like

Zebre + 8 - Glasgow have made a lot of changes to the team that beat Leinster and Zebre are on a high.

Cardiff +17 - I hope Leinster smash this but I found out the hard way last season that when the big guns are coming back into the team after rest periods they tend to be a bit rusty and the tries are not as free flowing as you'd expect.

Buer · 27-09-2013 9:56am

I'd be relatively confident in your selections, GT. Some good shouts in there even if there is a conflict between our respective Leinster bets. I expect Leinster to win by 10-15 but mostly down to the incompetence of the Blues as opposed to anything impressive by Leinster.

irishbucsfan · 27-09-2013 10:01am

I'm on 48.97 units.

No decent value in the. Leinster or Ulster handicaps so I've gone for:

Dave Kearney to score a try - 6/5 - 3 Units
Mike Allen to score a try - 5/6 - 3 Units
(Both of these in a double 1.5 Units)

And then also Edinburgh to win by 1-12 points (8/5) - 1 Unit

P_1 · 27-09-2013 12:33pm

Paddy have decided to give me a free bet so I'll have that on a daft accy of:
Leinster
Glasgow
Ulster
Northampton
Stade Francais
South Africa
Wasps
Munster
Grenoble
Man Utd
Bayern Munich
Dortmund
Real Madrid or Draw
Dnipro or Draw

Podge_irl · 27-09-2013 12:57pm

Over 2.5 tries in first half Leinster-Cardiff: 1 unit @ 5/4
Dave Kearney to score a try: 2 units @ 6/5
Glasgow -8: 2 units @10/11

(also for the sake of completeness and so I can keep track of this
Bears: 1 unit @13/10
Chargers: 1 unit @ 11/10
Cardinals: 2 units @23/20
accy on the above: 1 unit)

New balance: 80 units

Have a feeling my lucky streak will end this weekend!

Ugo Monye spacecraft experience · 27-09-2013 1:47pm

Did Toner to score a try in 80 minutes at 11/1

God knows why!

Judgement Day · 27-09-2013 4:40pm

Ugo Monye spacecraft experience wrote: »

Did Toner to score a try in 80 minutes at 11/1

God knows why!

I used to regularly have a punt on Toner to score a try - he's always a good price, hangs around the fringes of rucks near the try line and bound to get over sooner or later. Tonight could be the night, I think I'll copy you.:D

thomond2006 · 27-09-2013 6:31pm

Old Balance: 38.6 units

- 4 units (10/11) South Africa -11
- 1 unit (10/11) Leinster -17
- .5 units (15/8) Ian Madigan try in 80 mins
- .25 units (11/1) Devin Toner try in 80 mins
- .1 units (175/1) Cardiff Blues to win by 13 or more
- 1 unit (10/11) Munster -14
- .5 units (10/11) Northampton -18
- 1 unit (10/11) Edinburgh -1

New Balance: 30.75 units

No, you're a... · 27-09-2013 8:56pm

Old Balance: 49.11 units

2 units (10/11) South Africa -11
1 unit (10/11) Leinster -17
1 unit (10/11) Munster -14
1 units (10/11) Northampton -18
1 unit (10/11) Scarlets +1

1 unit on a accumulator

New Balance: 42.11 units

Buer · 27-09-2013 9:27pm

Buer wrote: »

Leinster -8
Treviso +23

7.5 units.

Up to 55.25 units.

Judgement Day · 27-09-2013 10:02pm

Judgement Day wrote: »

I used to regularly have a punt on Toner to score a try - he's always a good price, hangs around the fringes of rucks near the try line and bound to get over sooner or later. Tonight could be the night, I think I'll copy you.:D

Didn't go for Toner in the end but he had another good game and I'm sure I'll return to him soon. Various try scorers let me down but with my account facing obliteration (again) Ian Madigan's late try left me 15% up on the night.

CatFromHue · 27-09-2013 10:31pm

I put 30 or 40 euro into my paddy power account at the start of last season and the season before and I'd gamble that for the season on rugby. Sometimes I'd be up quite a bit, like over 100euro, and other times i'd be down to 2 euro. At the end of each season I'd end up taking out 30 or 40 euro.

I enjoyed it but for what ever reason I've no interest in doing it this season.

Best of luck everyone!

Gracelessly Tom · 28-09-2013 11:57am

Gracelessly Tom wrote: »

Have been lurking and not posting recently so hope this was worth the wait.....

South Africa to win the Rugby Championship - 4/1 They are at home to Aus and NZ and the way they are playing I can't see the kiwi's beating them in SA. The odds seem far too generous.

For this weekend I like

Zebre + 8 - Glasgow have made a lot of changes to the team that beat Leinster and Zebre are on a high.

Cardiff +17 - I hope Leinster smash this but I found out the hard way last season that when the big guns are coming back into the team after rest periods they tend to be a bit rusty and the tries are not as free flowing as you'd expect.

Agh! Got greedy and added Treviso -17 to the double. Stupid last minute try cost me there.

Buer · 28-09-2013 12:03pm

Gracelessly Tom wrote: »

Agh! Got greedy and added Treviso -17 to the double. Stupid last minute try cost me there.

Ah no, Tom. I was reading back over this last night thinking you absolutely nailed it.

I had the Treviso game but was a little reluctant to go so low thinking Ulster's bench had a bit of a punch in it.

Judgement Day · 28-09-2013 12:24pm

Springboks now at evens to win -12 which looks mighty tempting and to get more than 13.5 points in first half at 5/6. They'll surely fling the kitchen sink at the hapless Aussies.

Buer · 28-09-2013 12:33pm

Munster -5
Boks -6

7.5 units.

P_1 · 28-09-2013 5:02pm

P_1 wrote: »

Paddy have decided to give me a free bet so I'll have that on a daft accy of:
Leinster
Glasgow
Ulster
Northampton
Stade Francais
South Africa don't matter now
Wasps don't matter now
Munster don't matter now
Grenoble don't matter now
Man Utd :mad:
Bayern Munich
Dortmund
Real Madrid or Draw don't matter now
Dnipro or Draw don't matter now

Fcuk sake Utd, gonna take a wee break for a while

Judgement Day · 28-09-2013 9:04pm

Just the one bet today - so far - I wisely kept away from the Munster game but still can't make up my mind about Pumas vs ABs. Might keep away from the betting here too. I'm just over 110% on the start of the weekend thanks to throwing everything on the Boks to get more than 13.5 points in the first half.

thomond2006 · 28-09-2013 9:22pm

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 38.6 units

- 4 units (10/11) South Africa -11
- 1 unit (10/11) Leinster -17
- .5 units (15/8) Ian Madigan try in 80 mins
- .25 units (11/1) Devin Toner try in 80 mins
- .1 units (175/1) Cardiff Blues to win by 13 or more
- 1 unit (10/11) Munster -14
- .5 units (10/11) Northampton -18
- 1 unit (10/11) Edinburgh -1

New Balance: 30.75 units

New Balance: 40.78 units

Could have been a little bit better if Leinster hadn't given away a cheap intercept and Munster hadn't been pretty shíte. Anyway it's a slight win and with the betting season I've had I'll take it!

P.C. · 28-09-2013 9:36pm

P.C. wrote: »

Old balance 55 units.

Put 3 on SA to win -

Put 3 on Argentina to win -

New balance 49 units.

Old balance 49 units

10 on SA to win by 13 or more points (evens).

1 on Argentina to win.

Buer · 28-09-2013 10:04pm

Buer wrote: »

Munster -5
Boks -6

7.5 units.

That'll do pig. That'll do.

61.4 units.

No, you're a... · 29-09-2013 9:36pm

No, you're a... wrote: »

Old Balance: 49.11 units

2 units (10/11) South Africa -11
1 unit (10/11) Leinster -17
1 unit (10/11) Munster -14
1 units (10/11) Northampton -18
1 unit (10/11) Scarlets +1

1 unit on a accumulator

New Balance: 42.11 units

New Balance: 49.97 units; essentially back to where I began (damn leinster and munster, very close to the silly accumulator!)

McCBrian · 01-10-2013 12:03am

Not made any bets in the last 2 week as preoccuopied (although up 20+points on my original 50 units) going away to the Caribbean for a week this weekend, so unless any super tips before Friday will be bowing out until the 14th of October

Podge_irl · 01-10-2013 12:21am

Podge_irl wrote: »

Over 2.5 tries in first half Leinster-Cardiff: 1 unit @ 5/4
Dave Kearney to score a try: 2 units @ 6/5
Glasgow -8: 2 units @10/11

(also for the sake of completeness and so I can keep track of this
Bears: 1 unit @13/10
Chargers: 1 unit @ 11/10
Cardinals: 2 units @23/20
accy on the above: 1 unit )

New balance: 80 units

Have a feeling my lucky streak will end this weekend!

Ended on the rugby anyway.

Standing at 86 units

P.C. · 02-10-2013 9:57pm

P.C. wrote: »

Old balance 49 units

10 on SA to win by 13 or more points (evens).

1 on Argentina to win.

New balance 58 units

SA and Argentina to win this weekend, not sure of the margin yet.

thomond2006 · 02-10-2013 10:50pm

Old Balance: 40.78 units

- 1.5 units (10/11) Argentina +1
- 1.5 units (10/11) Munster +4
- .5 units (10/11) Oyonnax +24
- .5 units (13/8) Perpignan to win
- .5 units (11/4) Bayonne to win
- 1 unit (10/11) Toulon -10
- .75 units (10/11) Racing -15

New Balance: 34.53 units

I might add a few more closer to the weekend.

Edit: Toulon and Racing bets added.

Judgement Day · 02-10-2013 11:29pm

It's going to be a fantastic Saturday of rugby whatever about the betting - Toulon vs Clermont first up, followed by the Springboks vs ABs, then Munster vs Leinster and winding down with watching Argentina pile on the misery with a wipeout of the Aussies.

I'm far away from deciding on my bets but will be definitely be going with Argentina to beat Australia by more than 5 at 15/8 and more than 8 at 11/4.

Suckfisher · 03-10-2013 3:14pm

Judgement Day wrote: »

It's going to be a fantastic Saturday of rugby whatever about the betting - Toulon vs Clermont first up, followed by the Springboks vs ABs, then Munster vs Leinster and winding down with watching Argentina pile on the misery with a wipeout of the Aussies.

I'm far away from deciding on my bets but will be definitely be going with Argentina to beat Australia by more than 5 at 15/8 and more than 8 at 11/4.

Do you ever give reasonings for your bets?
Would like to hear some.

Judgement Day · 03-10-2013 3:31pm

Suckfisher wrote: »

Do you ever give reasonings for your bets?
Would like to hear some.

What reasoning would you like? The Aussies are in woeful form and the Argentinians almost beat them in the first match at home (14-13) and the way they played against the ABs I reckon they could run out convincing winners.

Suckfisher · 03-10-2013 4:45pm

Judgement Day wrote: »

What reasoning would you like? The Aussies are in woeful form and the Argentinians almost beat them in the first match at home (14-13) and the way they played against the ABs I reckon they could run out convincing winners.

Wasent having a dig and i fancy the bet myself.
I just like some reasoning when i place bets.
Wish it was wet but the forecast is dry and only 6mph wind.

The last game is oz was there for the winning but Argentina bottled it.
They could scrum the ozzies into submission and could possibly be the last time Contemponi plays for his country hope they send him out on a high.
Geni is back but his form has been poor but on his day is superb.
Will never have a better chance to get a maiden win in the championship.

wp_rathead · 03-10-2013 4:57pm

Connacht to Recieve First Yellow Card @ 11/10

4 Words:
Rodney Ah You starts

deckycoop · 03-10-2013 5:10pm

wprathead wrote: »

Connacht to Recieve First Yellow Card @ 11/10

4 Words:
Rodney Ah You starts

Who's tat with.

wp_rathead · 03-10-2013 5:12pm

deckycoop wrote: »

Who's tat with.

Paddy

Buer · 04-10-2013 8:46am

Treviso
Dragons
Arg +10

7.5 units.

Gracelessly Tom · 04-10-2013 12:22pm

Some tough calls this weekend but I'm leaning toward the following.....

A small bet on SA to win the title @7/1 (would be some finish to the tournament if they get a late 4th try that puts them 8 or 9 points ahead!!) This is more in hope than belief but I do think 7/1 is a bit on the big side seeing as the game is in Ellis Park and SA know what they need to do.

Treviso - Should be a comfortable win for them, the h'cap of -10 is a little higher than I wanted but will probably take it on.

Dragons -12 - tempts me slightly but will most likely leave it alone.

Leinster - I think this game will be tight but Leinster to shade it. I think Leinster are suspect this season so far in defence but Munster (for me) seem to lack a cutting edge and sharpness. Having said that this is THE derby so all of that can be thrown out the window!

Arg - I think this is my nap for the weekend. Yes, Aus can pull it out of the fire and have the players to do it (Genia, Falou, Cooper) but none of them are playing well and up front Arg will destroy them. They pushed the ABs around last week and only for some typical long range brilliant tries by the Blacks this would have been far closer. I think Argentina could do some real damage to a toothless Aussie side. Arg to win and I will also be having some of Arg -3, Arg by 10-20pts and Arg to score over 20.5 points in the game. They will score a try or two and they will get quite a few penalties from scrums.

Treble of Arg, SA and Leinster pays around 11/2

Add Ospreys, Treviso, Dragons, Racing and Bath to that in an accum as well pays 23/1 or so. Would pay for a few pints.....

Happy gambling y'all!:)

* Edit - also did Perpignan(13/8), Castres(5/4) & Stade Francais(5/1) treble.

Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

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