Fancies For Today III

Excellent racing at the Curragh on sunday and i will be backing the following horses.

In the 2.oc (a 25 runner handicap over 6 furlongs) luck will play a part as jockeys scrimmage for position,Richard Fahey sends MR LUPTON over from the UK and has made a shrewd move in getting Colin Keane to ride.

Its not difficult to imagine Fahey or his rep telling Keanes agent that MR LUPTON has a very good chance of landing the big pot.

The horse has run well in races such as this and has plenty of group race form and is actually well handicapped. and is a standout price of 11/1 with PP who are paying 6 places online.

MR LUPTON was beaten less than a length in one of the most competitive 6 furlong handicaps of the year (the Great st Wilfrid at Ripon) last time out and given luck in running will go close here.
In the 4.40,a group 1 i am backing FUJAIRA PRINCE who goes straight to a group 1 from handicaps,FUJAIRA was off for a year before hacking up in an Ascot handicap before winning the Ebor after a 9 lbs rise.

With over 232,000 up for grabs here Varian puts him in to group level and he may well be right as the horse is lightly raced and may be still improving even at 6 and with just 8 runners is an ew bet at 4/1.

Usual monday fare,i think POINT OF HONOUR 4.45 Thirsk is worth a bet.
The form of his win is working out well with several good runs from those behind him,its low grade stuff but i think POINT OF HONOUR can win for the 2nd time today,his last run was ok though a well beaten 2nd on heavy he was still well clear of the rest and his win was on today's ground.

zimmermania wrote: »

Usual monday fare,i think POINT OF HONOUR 4.45 Thirsk is worth a bet.
The form of his win is working out well with several good runs from those behind him,its low grade stuff but i think POINT OF HONOUR can win for the 2nd time today,his last run was ok though a well beaten 2nd on heavy he was still well clear of the rest and his win was on today's ground.

Heavily backed, out the back early and stayed there.

Don't facy a lot friday but will have a tenner reverse forecast on the 7.15 at Kempton,its a 2 mile handicap and the 2 i like are BIRD FOR LIFE and TIGERTEN.

i have not looked at the irish meetings yet but the only two of interest to me in the UK are BIRD OF LIFE and TIGERTEN and as well as the forecast i may back one of them ew after i look at the race a bit more in the morning.

Plenty of really competitive,big field handicaps on sat and winner finding will be difficult.But with plenty of extra places and some fancy prices an ew lucky 15 might be the way to go.

Newbury 2.15 GOOOD BIRTHDAY was 3rd in the Cambridgeshire last year off 8 lbs higher,that race takes place at the end of the month and Good Birthday would have a very good chance.

He was only going through the motions in his first few runs this season until showing up well in his last race at Kempton and would appear to be ready to strike now off his lenient mark.
It is always possible that he may wait for the Cambridgeshire and hunt around in 4th or 5th but my feeling is that he will be doing his best here and can still be competitive in the Cambridgeshire even with a penalty,9/1 and 4 places here and there makes this a good ew bet.

The Ayr Silver cup at 2.30 has 25 runners and luck in running will be required,Danny Tudhope rides Muscika rather than ARBALET and i think he may have picked the wrong one.
ARBALET drops in trip from 7 to 6 furlongs but this will be run at a very fast pace and ARBALET can fly home for Josephine Gordon 22/1 and 6 places makes it an ew bet.

The Ayr Gold cup at 3.40 sees Tudhope ride Wise Counsel for Clive Cox (he won the horse) despite his stable having two runners.

Wise Counsel must have a chance but i prefer c and d winner ARECIBO who runs well in these big handicaps and has a very good chance given luck in running,Spanish City also has a chance for Varian but for me its ARECIBO 6 places around 14/1.

Ayr 4.15 SHELIR bolted up 2 weeks ago and though up a grade can win again as he was most impressive.
small stakes ew lucky 15 topped up with a few tenner ew singles.
edit 7 places on the 3.40.

With PP going 7 places online i backed both ARECIBO and SPANISH CITY (tenners ew ),ARECIBO still my main fancy but SPANISH CITY has bits of form that give him a chance and trainer often puts up a claimer on fancied ones in handicaps.

ShamoBuc wrote: »

PP also doing money back as a free bet on the 2.15 if 2nd 3rd or 4th for win part of bet of each way singles max 10, for those interested in Good Birthday, like Tesco, every little helps.

I saw that but greed may have got the better of me I put €25 ew at 9s in Lads as Pp were going 15 to 2 at the time and I get a quarter in Lads.

Not much time but i was told LINE OF DEPARTURE has a chance in the 3.25 Newbury.

zimmermania wrote: »

Plenty of really competitive,big field handicaps on sat and winner finding will be difficult.But with plenty of extra places and some fancy prices an ew lucky 15 might be the way to go.

Newbury 2.15 GOOOD BIRTHDAY was 3rd in the Cambridgeshire last year off 8 lbs higher,that race takes place at the end of the month and Good Birthday would have a very good chance.

He was only going through the motions in his first few runs this season until showing up well in his last race at Kempton and would appear to be ready to strike now off his lenient mark.
It is always possible that he may wait for the Cambridgeshire and hunt around in 4th or 5th but my feeling is that he will be doing his best here and can still be competitive in the Cambridgeshire even with a penalty,9/1 and 4 places here and there makes this a good ew bet.

The Ayr Silver cup at 2.30 has 25 runners and luck in running will be required,Danny Tudhope rides Muscika rather than ARBALET and i think he may have picked the wrong one.
ARBALET drops in trip from 7 to 6 furlongs but this will be run at a very fast pace and ARBALET can fly home for Josephine Gordon 22/1 and 6 places makes it an ew bet.

The Ayr Gold cup at 3.40 sees Tudhope ride Wise Counsel for Clive Cox (he won the horse) despite his stable having two runners.

Wise Counsel must have a chance but i prefer c and d winner ARECIBO who runs well in these big handicaps and has a very good chance given luck in running,Spanish City also has a chance for Varian but for me its ARECIBO 6 places around 14/1.

Ayr 4.15 SHELIR bolted up 2 weeks ago and though up a grade can win again as he was most impressive.
small stakes ew lucky 15 topped up with a few tenner ew singles.
edit 7 places on the 3.40.

Good Birthday not beaten far but looked to me as if this was a prep for the Cambbridgeshire and i will have a few quid on even though i have Fifth Position backed at 16s for the race already.
Arbalet ran well running on to be a short head and a half length out of the places.

Spanish City and Arecibo both running very well to be placed at very big prices and Shelir run out of it close home but securing the placed money in 3rd.

Happy enough to come out ahead punting on todays very competitive handicaps.

The 1.30 at Chelmsford is a trappy contest over 7 furlongs and it is possible that any of the 7 runners could win it,i am having a few quid on KIMIFIVE who has won some good races and has run even better races in defeat,notably when runner up to Summerghand.

Not particularly well handicapped but is too big a price at 7/1 so worth a bet.

zimmermania wrote: »

Three in with a chance in the listed race at 2.40 Bev.
The one i like is the 2nd fav ALJADY who gives a little weight away,has plenty of form over 6 furlongs but is not lacking pace for this 5 furlong race.

I expect ALJADY to jump off in front and prove too quick for the rest.

Great call Zimmer....

LA barrosa is odds on to win the 3 oc at Newmarket today,cost 750.000 gns and came out and won his only race in good style.

He could turn out very good in time but is a very poor price (8/11)for what he has achieved now running in a group 3,my idea of a value bet is YAZAMAN who has run 2nd in two group 2s and is 4/1 for todays contest,there is a suggestion that he may not be straight forward but in my book he has done very little wrong and ran very well in a valuable sales race last time.

Trainer and jockey in top form so i have backed YAZAMAN ew as it looks a bet to nothing and the horse has only to run to form to take all the beating today.

Sorry for late post Diamond River fancied in the 12.30 Uttoxeter

Seas of Elzaam won well last time and is fancied to defy a 6 lb penalty in the 7 oc at Newcastle.

I backed FIFTH POSITION for the 3.35 Newmarket weeks ago at 16/1 antepost 5 places,could have got a bigger price today 6 or 7 places but thats the problem with antepost betting,FIFTH has a lot of weight but has a touch of class and if the ground has not dried out too much he has a good chance.

I also backed GOOD BIRTHDAY in the same race,he was third in this last year off 8 lbs higher and would appear to have been campaigned with the race in mind this year and is an ew bet at 16 or 20/1 pp going 7 places.

In the 4.40 at Newmarket DOCUMENTING has a very big weight but has run some very good races this year and its hard to see him being beaten,Cry Havoc is a short price but was only 2 lengths in front of Seas of Elzaam and while it would boost the value of Sea of Elzaam i cant see it happening and DOCUMENTING is the bet.

HEY MR is short enough 5 or 6/4 in the 2. 20 at Ripon but should win.

Precisely is very well fancied in the 5.20 at Bath.

Billy Dylan 50-1 6.45

Good ew, ran a good race last time out, looked well held. Has dropped down the ratings a lot.
Should be an honest run here, owner loves a big price winner/place

Zimmer your some boyo.. 9/1 I got in boyles

Sky bet paying 3/1 for the phrase "unfit for office" to be said by either candidate during tonight's presidential election debate has to be easy money?

Cant do multiples but have also done either candidate to say "Greatest president ever" (most likely Trump obviously) at 6/1.