Hurricane Dorian

Have to laugh at this 'advisory' from the Bahamas Dept of Meteorology:

"BAHAMAS PUBLIC FORECAST

THE PUBLIC FORECAST FOR 6:00 AM TODAY AND TONIGHT SUNDAY 1ST
SEPTEMBER 2019, ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF
METEOROLOGY.

GENERAL SITUATION: CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE DORIAN IS MOVING ACROSS ABACO
AND EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER OR NEAR GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND TODAY AND
TONIGHT WHILE RAINBANDS FROM DORIAN WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE MODERATE
TO STRONG WINDS, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THE
SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS IN THE WAKE OF DORIAN’S PASSAGE.

SPECIAL WARNINGS: A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS WHICH INCLUDES NORTH ELEUTHERA, ABACO, GRAND
BAHAMA, BIMINI, THE BERRY ISLANDS AND NEW PROVIDENCE. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH ANDROS.

FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS

WEATHER: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR ABACO AND
GRAND BAHAMA AND ITS ADJACENT WATERS….TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
IN EFFECT FOR ELEUTHERA, BERRY ISLANDS, AND BIMINI. EXPECT CLOUDY TO
OVERCAST SKIES, WINDY WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN AND A FEW ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS…FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED DUE to HEAVY AND PROLONGED
RAINFALL

ADVISORY: BOATERS ARE TO REMAIN IN PORT.


No overblown orange or red warnings there. Just don't go out to sea while the storm pushes through. :cool:

I've never seen NHC give this many direct appeals to residents in particular places. Let alone specific updates to address people wandering otuside in the eye.

Not even flinching going over those islands. Plenty of lightning wrapped around the eye.

Any updated live streams or webcams?

Some harrowing footage on that Facebook page I linked again few pages back.

Watching the Bahamiam live tv the staff have fear in their faces. Not nice

Eye looks like it could be getting smaller slightly. Perhaps an eyewall cycle about to get underway.

What odds this just continues trundling west? Its on a roll

18z GFS has the eye ever closer to the Florida coast by another 10 miles or so...

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

18z GFS has the eye ever closer to the Florida coast by another 10 miles or so...

Yeah there seem to be warnings for more of the east coast of Florida tonight. I wonder does that red line that shows the strength of the hurricane do more harm than good ? I mean how many people thing that’s the true track of a hurricane and because it’s away from them they think they are in the clear ?

An outer eyewall is definitely starting to form and can be seen in this most recent 85 GHz scan (faint yellow ring). This plus the island interaction should hopefully bring about a marked weakening, probably a little more than the official forecast is showing. The only thing is the overall wind-field will probably expand a bit, but if it takes some of the heat off the poor Bahamians at the expense of a few extra knots for eastern Florida down the road then it's worth it.



Latest microwave rain rates. Yellow is about 0.8 inches per hour.

BumperD wrote: »

That Bahamian TV indicated possible fatalities Abaco Island (not official yet).

The larger island that is about to be hit, they will have no infrastructure left for the 50,000 or so inhabitants after tonight. No schools, no hospital, no government buildings and no work buildings etc horrible thought for them as they count down the hours. I imagine many countries will provide aid when this moves away but your talking years of rebuilding ahead.

Christ, that's grim.

Lightning captured from within the storm:

https://twitter.com/wxlada/status/1168276946150727681

Lightning is not all that common within hurricanes so a rare sight.

Waking up expecting to see it weakened even just a little bit, nada.

Incredible it actually dropped another mb in the last recon update and still no sign of any northward movement.

Scary times for Florida

The Port Nassau webcam now is unreal. Very gusty winds and frequent lightning