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Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 10 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 10 to 16 June, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average near normal to 1.0 deg above normal values, with a slow rising trend.
    -- Rainfalls will average near normal and could be as much as 25-50 per cent above normal in a few locations (midlands most likely).
    -- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal values, a rather cloudy scenario in general, with gradual improvement.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few sunny breaks this morning. Showers will become more widespread after mid-day and there may be some locally heavy and thundery showers in the midlands. Winds rather variable becoming northwest then north 40 km/hr, northeast by the overnight. Highs only 14 or 15 C.

    TONIGHT will see further showers and gusty north to northeast winds, lows about 7 C.

    THURSDAY will bring a gradual clearing trend in rather blustery northeast winds 40 to 60 km/hr. Showers will become more confined to the south coastal counties before that area also sees some late clearing. Highs 15 to 17 C.

    FRIDAY will be rather humid with an increase in cloudiness to fully overcast then intervals of rain are likely to spread through the south and midlands reaching the west and inland north late in the day. Some parts of the east may not see much rain but a few places inland/south could see 10 to 15 mm. Lows near 10 C and highs near 18 C.

    SATURDAY will bring a few more showers and a slight risk of a thunderstorm, lows near 11 C and highs near 19 C.

    SUNDAY will become partly cloudy with isolated showers and risk of a thunderstorm, lows near 11 C and highs 19 to 21 C.

    MONDAY and TUESDAY of next week are likely to be somewhat more settled and quite warm at 22 C.

    The OUTLOOK then calls for more showers and outbreaks of rain that could eventually become rather heavy later in the week and into the following week towards the end of June. At this point I am feeling more optimistic that any drought conditions will be easing to at least normal soil moisture by late this month but now the problem could swing towards excess moisture in some cases.

    My local weather on Tuesday was overcast with occasional rain and rather chilly with highs only about 14 C. The remnants of Cristobal have moved into Wisconsin and Iowa where a general 25-50 mm rainfall has resulted. Further east it's quite warm although not much above the mid-June normals in a southerly flow. Heavy storms have hit some parts of the plains states and Canadian prairies and some parts of Montana near the centre of low pressure had a heavy wet snowfall during the past day or so with higher areas covered with 20-40 cm but nothing like that happened locally here, our mountains aren't quite high enough to get up into the freezing levels at present time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 11 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 11 to 17 June, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal with a slow increase generally.
    -- Rainfall will average 75 to 125 per cent of normal, the south is somewhat more likely to see higher amounts.
    -- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal, which means 3-4 hours a day rather than 5 to 5.5 as is typical for mid-June.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will see most of the country dry for most of the time, except near the south coast where the remnants of overnight rain will linger a few more hours. There could be isolated showers later in a generally cloudy regime with moderate northeast winds of 40 to 60 km/hr. Any sunshine is most likely to come near the northwest coasts after this cloudy flow gets some drying influences from crossing higher terrain in Ulster and Connacht. Highs 16 to 18 C.

    TONIGHT will bring some rain mostly after midnight heading west across the Irish Sea and likely more active for central and north Leinster into the midlands than other areas. About 3 to 6 mm is possible there. Not as breezy with lows 10 to 12 C.

    FRIDAY will become a bit warmer once this morning rainfall dissipates, and there could be some brief sunny spells, with a second area of rainfall heading into the southeast towards evening. Highs 17 to 19 C.

    SATURDAY morning may be quite wet again as the rain across the south could stall for several hours into the mid-day period before it fragments to a few showers. Amounts further north may be much less than the 10-15 mm expected in the south. Rather warm with lows around 12 C and highs around 20 C.

    SUNDAY will be warm and humid with partly cloudy skies yielding to scattered heavy showers and a few thunderstorms. Lows near 13 C and highs near 21 C.

    The rather subdued warmth (21-23 C), generally high humidity and occasional rain will remain in place next week although one or two days could be generally dry before a trend begins to more frequent and heavier rainfall accompanied by lower temperatures that will drop a bit below late June average values (in the 16 to 19 C range). Overall it seems that the recent dry spell (or drought for some parts of the south especially) may be in the process of easing to at least normal soil moisture levels towards the end of June.

    My local weather on Wednesday was mostly cloudy with scattered light showers around, not much accumulation anywhere from those, and highs near 17 C. We took a drive into the local mountains and found that north slopes of higher peaks (which are around 2200 m) are still snow covered, other slopes are generally snow free now. At pass levels of about 1500 metres, the spring blooming seems to be very slow, with no sign of alpine flowers, and the deciduous trees have not quite formed full leaves yet (we had that look about a month ago at our elevation).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 12 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 12 to 18 June 2020

    -- Temperatures will average 1.5 to 2.5 deg above normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average near normal but with wide variations due to the showery nature of expected rainfalls.
    -- Sunshine will average 75 to 100 per cent of normal, provided it becomes more settled late in the interval as predicted.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be cloudy with a few sunny breaks, with moderate easterly breezes at times (30-50 km/hr). There will be a few areas of remnant showery rain this morning but a trend to more settled conditions mid-day and afternoon. Highs 16 to 19 C.

    TONIGHT some heavy thundery showers are likely to move into the southeast and across south-central counties. There will be some extension of the rainfall by morning into central counties, amounts will vary from 15-25 mm in a few spots inland south, to 5 mm central. It may remain dry in parts of the north with separate areas of light rain in Ulster. Lows 10 to 13 C.

    SATURDAY during the morning the southern showers and isolated thunderstorms will begin to become more isolated although drifting further west in general, then the afternoon and evening will become somewhat more settled with only widely scattered showers. It will be warm and humid with highs 17 to 21 C, warmest values likely to be found in parts of the midlands and western coastal districts.

    SUNDAY will also be warm and humid, somewhat unsettled with outbreaks of heavy and possibly thundery showers, most likely over south-central counties. Rainfalls will be quite variable from the showery nature of this activity but could reach 20 mm locally. Lows near 12 C and highs 18 to 22 C.

    From Monday to Thursday of next week, a very gradual drying trend is likely in a rather warm pattern with light winds generally, leading to some fog or mist at night, mixtures of cloud and sunshine in the daytimes, with shower activity becoming increasingly confined to a few locations each day. Some places will probably have a generally dry interval. Highs will typically reach 20 to 23 C but could make 25 C in a few parts of the inland south and west, midlands and inland central Leinster. Nights will be fairly mild at 10-14 C. From about Friday 19th on, a more unsettled trend will develop and temperatures will drop back into a more normal late June range, 18 to 21 C with some days perhaps a bit cooler than that.

    My local weather was overcast with a few breaks late in the afternoon, and passing showers. Much warmer air has moved in aloft but the effects on surface temperatures were modest, with a high near 19 C. Went up into some higher country east of here around mid-day and saw a grizzly bear (black bears are more commonly seen) beside the road. It was not in attack mode but quite a sight (I have seen one or two from a greater distance before). There was still a lot of snow around just above where the grizzly was spotted (probably just woke up) and the car thermometer dropped off to 8 degrees as we climbed to about 1600 metres above sea level. From there on up to peak levels in that area, heavy snow was still present on all slopes. Summer doesn't really come until the middle of July in the alpine.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 13 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 13 to 19 June 2020

    -- Temperatures will average about 2 deg above normal.
    -- Rainfall will average near normal to 25 per cent above in some western counties.
    -- Sunshine will average near normal, although the latter part of this interval will have to exceed normal to bring that about.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be cloudy with a few sunny breaks. Scattered light rain this morning will gradually die out for a while, then heavier and possibly thundery showers will develop in the inland south, spreading to some parts of the western counties. Showers will be more isolated in Leinster and Ulster as well as eastern Connacht. Some heavy downpours are possible especially around the Cork-Kerry border regions. Highs 17 to 20 C.

    TONIGHT will become misty with showers mostly dying out, lows near 12 C.

    SUNDAY will be rather warm and humid with partly to mostly cloudy skies in the morning, leading to outbreaks of heavy thundery rain across large parts of the midlands, inland south and west. Galway may be particularly at risk of localized flooding. 20 to 40 mm of rain are possible in some of those areas. Highs 17 to 21 C.

    MONDAY will be partly cloudy with showers much less widespread, probably isolated to a few parts of the inland southwest. Lows near 13 C and highs near 22 C.

    TUESDAY will be hazy and warm with isolated showers, lows near 13 C and highs near 23 C.

    Later in the week, somewhat less humid but continued rather warm, temperatures could drop a degree or two but it will still be feeling rather warm for mid-June, highs 20 to 22 C.

    The relatively settled weather expected most of next week will begin to break down around the weekend of 20th-21st, but some guidance is trending drier now and pushing that breakdown back into the week following. All guidance does agree that there could be quite an unsettled interval late in the month.

    My local weather on Friday was warm and humid, thunderstorms in the early morning hours cleared north and stayed away until showing some signs of redeveloping later tonight here (currently 11:30 p.m. in my time zone). Highs reached about 23 C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 14 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 14 to 20 June 2020

    -- Temperatures will average about 1 deg above normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average near normal to 25 per cent above normal in parts of the west.
    -- Sunshine will average 75 to 100 per cent of normal values.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few brighter intervals more frequent near the south coast and in northern counties. Heavy and at times thundery showers will develop across the southeast and spread to most central and western counties by mid-day. Some heavy falls are expected especially around the midlands to Galway, local flooding may develop with potential for 15-30 mm falls. Northern counties will see more isolated outbreaks but some could be heavy there also. Highs 16 to 19 C.

    TONIGHT will be foggy or misty with the shower activity dying out, lows near 12 C.

    MONDAY will see a somewhat less active replay of today's scenario with perhaps longer sunny spells in the mix, still some potential for localized heavy downpours, inland southwest favoured. Highs 17 to 21 C.

    TUESDAY will also be unsettled with possibly an early morning outbreak for Leinster spreading across into west-central counties during the later morning hours. Some sunny spells will develop, warm and humid with lows near 13 and highs near 21 C.

    WEDNESDAY will be more settled with fog in the morning giving way to some hazy sunshine and just isolated showers or thunderstorms, highs near 20 C.

    THURSDAY and FRIDAY look fairly pleasant with sunny breaks and some cloudy intervals, isolated showers, highs near 19 C.

    The weather pattern will become more mobile westerly after that with some rather strong frontal systems (for late June) and possibly a few rather wet days towards the end of the month, with temperatures only around 17 or 18 C.

    My local weather on Saturday was overcast and rather foggy at times with a few outbreaks of light rain, and highs near 16 C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 15 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 15 to 21 June, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average about half to 75 per cent of normal, locally closer to normal in isolated heavy showers.
    -- Sunshine will average near normal values (about 5 hours a day at this time of year).

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will start out sunny and warm in many areas. Some isolated heavy showers and thunderstorms will develop in parts of the midlands, inland north and these will track west towards the Atlantic coast. There will be some chance of outbreaks in all areas eventually but the heaviest are likely to be in similar locations to Sunday, or perhaps a little further south. Highs 20 to 24 C.

    TONIGHT will become mainly clear and dry with fog or mist patches, lows near 13 C.

    TUESDAY will bring another round of scattered heavy showers and thunderstorms, highs 20 to 23 C.

    WEDNESDAY will be somewhat cooler with the shower activity more confined to Leinster, lows near 11 C and highs around 21 C.

    THURSDAY may be largely dry with sunny intervals and highs near 20 C. There will be isolated showers in the north.

    FRIDAY will see partly cloudy skies and isolated showers, highs near 21 C.

    SATURDAY will bring increasing cloud, with risk of showers and thunderstorms later in the day from the west, highs around 22 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, highs near 20 C.

    The OUTLOOK for the following week now involves a split in guidance, with some emphasis on a warm, dry and settled interval but different evolutions about how long that might last before breaking down into occasional thundery rainfall events mid to late week (by then near the end of June). Temperatures could peak at some point by mid-week near 25 C before dropping back into the lower 20s.

    My local weather on Sunday was mostly cloudy with passing showers and quite cool, only around 13 C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 16 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 16 to 22 June, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average 25 per cent below normal in some parts of the west to 75 per cent above normal values with Leinster now more likely to see highest amounts.
    -- Sunshine will average about 75 per cent of normal but could be rather variable from one location to another depending on persistence of showers.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will start out rather misty and locally foggy, with sunshine developing later on. There could be a few scattered showers in the morning, but heavier showers and thunderstorms will develop in eastern and central counties by afternoon, persisting well into the evening once formed. Central Leinster from Dublin west into Kildare and west Wicklow, Laois and Carlow may see some of the heavier activity today, with some of that spreading into nearby portions of other counties. Another cluster is likely to form further west. Higher terrain may anchor the development of these storms but once formed they could drift away from where they form in a generally southwesterly direction towards Cork and Waterford. Some heavy amounts (20-40 mm) and local stream flooding are possible. Highs today will reach 21 or 22 C in sunny spells but temperatures could drop into the 15-17 C range during prolonged rain.

    TONIGHT will see these thundery showers slowly dissipating, followed by extensive fog and mist with clear skies further west in any areas that escaped rainfall earlier. Lows 10 to 13 C.

    WEDNESDAY will be somewhat of a repeat performance with another round of heavy showers and thunderstorms in eastern counties, partly cloudy skies expected for the west and north, highs 19 to 21 C.

    THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms, and some outbreaks of heavier rain now expected to move into the southeast by evening. Lows near 10 C and highs near 20 C.

    FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with morning outbreaks of showery rainfall spreading northwest then clearing, lows around 9 C and highs around 19 C.

    SATURDAY will become breezy and there could be some outbreaks of heavy rain in places as a frontal system pushes into this disturbed air mass from the Atlantic. Lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C. Winds southwest 40 to 70 km/hr may become gusty at times.

    SUNDAY will continue rather unsettled with some improvements spreading in from the west, highs near 19 C.

    Next week still has that uncertain evolution attached, with a warmer air mass spreading into parts of Britain but possibly an active frontal zone developing by mid-week through Ireland, leading to possible heavy showers and thunderstorms again. Temperatures may reach the lower 20s.

    My local weather stayed cool and overcast with occasional light showers, highs near 15 C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 17 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 17 to 23 June, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average about 1.5 deg above normal values, nights will be more above average than days.
    -- Rainfall will average between 125 and 250 per cent of normal values and could exceed that range in a few places.
    -- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal values.


    TODAY will bring outbreaks of heavy rain to Leinster, and while not expected to be continuous, there may be several intervals of rain with brief brighter intervals between them. Later in the day the showers will be more likely to turn thundery but heavy downpours are possible before that. Spot flooding may develop as the heavy rain falls over higher terrain south of Dublin. Readers in that area are advised to monitor all official alerts and be ready to take precautions. There is potential for 20-40 mm amounts both today and tomorrow which could lead to localized severe flooding. The spread of heavy showers towards central counties will be gradual but some could spill as far west as the midlands at times. Near the west coast it is more likely to remain dry with some longer sunny breaks possible once the low cloud or fog dissipates later this morning. Warm and muggy with highs 19 to 23 C.

    TONIGHT could see the heavy showers continuing somewhat further inland from the east coast, with 10-20 mm amounts added in some places. Lows 11 to 14 C.

    THURSDAY expect an outbreak of heavy rain with thunder and possible hail from Leinster into the midlands and eventually working further northwest into Connacht. Amounts of 20-40 mm are possible. Not much if any sunshine is expected except possibly in coastal south Cork and Kerry and some parts of Ulster. Highs 17 to 20 C.

    FRIDAY will see a bit of a break between this current disturbance and a frontal system forming out in the Atlantic, but there may still be some showers around. There could also be some longer sunny breaks with highs 17 to 20 C.

    SATURDAY will turn quite windy and will become wet from west to east during the day, 20-30 mm of rain is possible especially in Munster and parts of south Connacht. Winds south to southwest 50 to 70 km/hr and temperatures fairly steady in the 15 to 18 C range.

    SUNDAY will be blustery and somewhat fresher with passing showers or outbreaks of light rain, winds southwest to west 40 to 70 km/hr, highs near 17 C.

    NEXT WEEK will try to warm up but most of that warmer air will be confined to the southeast and parts of Britain before a number of disturbances take a run at Ireland from the west, with more briefly heavy rainfalls quite likely during the middle of the week.

    My local weather on Tuesday was sunny with cloudy intervals, threatening looking clouds around but no rain fell from them, highs around 19 C.

    Would advise if you're in central Leinster, check in with the boards thunderstorm discussion for updates and observations; I may post an update if I see anything of concern but in any case stay alert for the possibility of local flooding especially where streams come out of the higher terrain.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 18 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 18 to 24 June, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average about 1.5 deg above normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average 25 to 50 per cent above normal values.
    -- Sunshine will average only 50 to 75 per cent of normal.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be rather cloudy with a few brighter intervals, and it will be generally dry through the morning and in most places also for much of the afternoon. Isolated heavy showers may develop ahead of a more widespread rainfall event overnight. Highs 17 to 20 C.

    TONIGHT will see outbreaks of heavy rain, possibly thundery although this aspect seems less likely now. The rain is already falling over much of Britain without much thunder associated there. Heaviest falls will likely be in a convergence zone running from the inland southeast through the midlands towards Galway and eastern Mayo/Sligo. Amounts of 20-30 mm are possible there. Somewhat less is expected on either side of that zone (10-20 mm in most cases). If any thunderstorms do form, even heavier localized amounts are possible and that could intensify any flooding that develops. Foggy after the rain begins, with lows only dropping to about 14 C (a bit lower in west Munster due to some breaks in the overcast expected there).

    FRIDAY will find this rainfall quickly fragmenting to showers as the jet stream, having tired of watching this long display of atmospheric blocking over western Europe, sweeps the remnants away to the north and resumes normal service of west to east motion of weather systems. That will involve a dry slot between the overnight rainfall and an advancing strong frontal system for Saturday; skies could become partly cloudy in some parts of the country with a bit of afternoon and evening sunshine as showers become rather isolated. Highs 16 to 19 C.

    SATURDAY will become quite blustery and wet as the strong front moves in, with some risk of localized thunderstorms developing in the midlands by late afternoon. Winds southwest 50 to 70 km/hr and even higher gusts possible near Atlantic coasts. Lows near 12 C and highs near 17 C. About 10-20 mm rain expected.

    SUNDAY will be brighter, rather breezy and fresh with passing showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

    MONDAY will bring outbreaks of rain, possibly heavy in some places, and temperatures once again near 17 C.

    Later next week, there will be less disturbed weather but still in a southwest to westerly flow off the Atlantic, with partly cloudy skies and brief passing showers from weak troughs or fronts. Temperatures may manage to reach about 20 to 22 C during the sunny breaks expected each day. It could be a bit warmer than that in a few places around the southeast coast and more like 16 to 19 C in much of Connacht and Ulster.

    My local weather on Wednesday involved dramatic buildups of small thunderstorm cells, one or two of which dropped rain briefly with a couple of thunderclaps noted off to the south, but there was also some sunshine at times and it was a bit warmer than recent days at 20 C.

    If today's scenario (unlike yesterday) proves more active than expected by mid-afternoon, I may issue an update, but at the moment it looks like most if not all of the active weather will arrive in the evening and overnight. That may still require an update by 7-8 p.m. to clarify timing and location of heaviest rainfalls.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 19 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TRENDS for the week of 19 to 25 June, 2020]

    -- Temperatures will average near normal to 1.0 deg above normal.
    -- Rainfall will average near normal except for some higher amounts in Connacht and Ulster.
    -- Sunshine will average only about 50 per cent of normal values.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY ... Rain will become more showery but there could be persistent outbreaks in north Leinster, east Ulster and some parts of Connacht, the midlands and the inland southeast, before a general clearing trend later. Partly cloudy skies will prevail further west with best chances for sunshine around Cork and Limerick. Highs 17 to 19 C.

    TONIGHT ... Some clear intervals but widespread fog and mist likely, lows 7 to 10 C.

    SATURDAY ... Rain will develop by late morning in the west and will rapidly spread east after a bright start to the day on the east coast. Winds will increase to southerly 50 to 70 km/hr ahead of a front that will sweep in late in the afternoon, with some heavy downpours associated. Rainfalls of 10-20 mm are likely. Highs near 17 C.

    SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, passing showers, breezy with lows near 9 C and highs near 17 C.

    MONDAY ... Rain could become heavy at times, lows near 12 C and highs near 17 C.

    TUESDAY ... Overcast with showers or periods of rain, lows near 14 C and highs near 16 C.

    FURTHER OUTLOOK ... Somewhat improved later in the week with showers more isolated, longer dry spells likely, and temperatures responding to the sunshine by moving up into the low 20s in some parts. Even warmer by the weekend of 27th-28th.

    My local weather on Thursday was partly cloudy with a high near 20 C.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 20 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 20 to 26 June, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average slightly above normal values by 0.5 to 1.5 deg.
    -- Rainfall will reach normal values in some parts of the west, but may be as low as 50% in the east.
    -- Sunshine will be 50 to 75 per cent of normal values; some improvement will be noted later in the week.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will have a dry and bright start in most areas, with any morning sunshine fading behind thickening clouds by mid-day. Rain will sweep into the western counties later this morning to mid-day but will then make rather slow progress east, arriving in Dublin perhaps by late afternoon. The band of rain may contain some strong shower cells and isolated thunderstorms. Becoming quite windy by mid-day west and afternoon east, southeast to south winds of 50 to 80 km/hr with higher gusts possible during the frontal passage as winds veer southwest. Highs 17 to 19 C.

    TONIGHT will see the rain tapering off to showers, as moderate southwest winds continue at 40 to 60 km/hr. Lows will drop only to about 12 or 13 C. Total rainfalls for the event will be 15-25 mm. Note: the summer solstice occurs at 10:44 p.m. this evening. See note after forecast.

    SUNDAY will become partly cloudy with passing showers, winds southwest 40 to 60 km/hr, highs 17 to 19 C.

    MONDAY will be mostly cloudy with occasional light rain and a few heavier showers embedded in Atlantic coastal counties. Amounts of 5-15 mm can be expected. Lows near 13 C and highs near 18 C.

    TUESDAY will continue rather cloudy with showers, perhaps more confined to western counties, 3 to 7 mm is expected with this round. Lows near 14 C and highs 16 to 18 C.

    Later in the week, it may warm up slightly and values in the low 20s could reach southeast Ireland as very warm air is heading for Britain from a south to southwest direction (25-28 C likely there). Ireland will remain in a transitional zone between fronts and could see a few cloudy spells with isolated showers during this warmer phase. Another active cold front is expected around Saturday 27th somewhat similar to today's event although perhaps not as strong, then a period of near average temperatures in westerly winds is expected as we reach the first of July.

    My local weather on Friday was quite warm with sunshine for a while in the morning. High cloud layers spread in but showers remained off to our north. The high was about 24 C.

    More info on the summer solstice (at 10:44 p.m. IST) ... Why not the 21st? Leap year added that extra day and reset the schedule, the next three will be at various times on the 21st (IST) almost six hours later each time. These astronomical events occur about 365.24 days apart, which is why we have leap years to keep our calendar in sync with them. We are so used to the solstice being on the 21st that most celebrations or observances will take place on Sunday morning anyway. And the Sunday sunrise will be closer to the solstice than today's sunrise was.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 21 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    No changes in the pattern but trends will show a difference as we lose the rainfall from yesterday from the outlook:

    TRENDS for the week of 21 to 27 June, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal, warmer in the southeast.
    -- Rainfall will average near normal in the west, to about 50% of normal in the east.
    -- Sunshine will average 75 per cent of normal and could touch 100 per cent in the southeast.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be partly cloudy with passing showers, one or two of them thundery in north central counties and the midlands. Some sunny breaks will develop but cloud will tend to dominate. Highs 17 to 19 C with moderate southwest winds 40 to 60 km/hr.

    TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast and quite mild with lows only falling to about 13 or 14 C. Some parts of east Ulster and north Leinster with clearer skies could drop to 8 or 9 C. Generally dry as the daytime showers will dissipate. Some rain by morning in the west however.

    MONDAY will see rather persistent rain, heavy at times, in western counties with more of a showery distribution towards central counties and possibly very little falling in the east where some sunny breaks could persist. As a result highs will be closer to 20 C in the east and 17 C in the west. About 10 to 15 mm rain is likely in western counties.

    TUESDAY will find the same front stalled out over western counties, some additional rain will fall there although it looks to be rather light (3-7 mm potential) before a slow clearance settles in. The east may remain largely dry with just isolated showers expected. Once again, a rather narrow temperature range from 14 C to 18 C west, 13 C to 20 C in the east.

    WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY will be a generally dry interval with a few isolated showers possible each day, in a rather slack southerly gradient where Britain and perhaps some parts of southeast Ireland will get into a warmer air mass that has 25 to 28 C potential, while most of Ireland remains in a transitional zone of 19 to 22 C. Even so, that will feel quite warm as it will be partly cloudy to sunny at times with slack winds and fairly high humidity levels. Nights will remain mild at around 10 to 12 C.

    This warmish spell will end with a showery cold front on Saturday 27th with temperatures falling back to the 17-19 C range. The weather after this front will remain rather cool and unsettled for a while, although not far from late June averages.

    My local weather on Saturday was overcast with one brief shower and a tepid high of about 18 C. Astronomy note, the new moon is timed for 0742h today so it is just taking place, and will produce an "annular" type solar eclipse in parts of the Middle East so if you read this soon after I post it you might find some live or recent internet coverage of that event. An "annular" eclipse happens when the Moon is distant enough from the earth in its elliptical orbit so that it cannot cover the entire disk of the Sun and so a "ring of fire" persists at totality. (note on the timing, this is always based on a local solar noon alignment and the geometry of eclipses demonstrates that the alignment moves from west to east, in eclipse cases it can take several hours to cross a continent, so the 0742h likely means that the annular eclipse has already happened in some places and not yet in others further east.)

    (added at 0830h ...)

    This link will explain the eclipse timing and track, by now it has pretty much ended for all but the far eastern portions of the track shown ... add one hour to the link's imagery timing as that appears to be GMT rather than IST.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_eclipse_of_June_21,_2020


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 22 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 22 to 28 June, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average near normal although with local variations in the range 50-150 per cent.
    -- Sunshine will average 75 to 100 per cent of normal values.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will continue rather cloudy and there will be further outbreaks of rain, mostly over western counties where about 10-15 mm could accumulate. Highs near 17 C west, 19 or 20 C east. Moderate southerly winds will ease during the afternoon.

    TONIGHT will be overcast with light rain or drizzle in some parts of the west-central counties. Lows 12 to 14 C.

    TUESDAY will see this weak front trying to edge further east, as it does so it will begin to lose what little moisture and energy it has left, and fragment to scattered light showers. Highs near 18 C.

    WEDNESDAY some warmer air will begin to push into the southeast and central counties, but may not quite reach the west or north until late in the day. This will bring temperatures up into the 21-23 C range for many parts of the country with slightly lower values around the coasts. A few scattered showers could develop but not much rain is expected.

    THURSDAY will be warm and humid with lows near 12 C and highs near 24 C. There could be a few isolated showers or thunderstorms. By Thursday night there could be an outbreak of heavier storms in the southeast.

    FRIDAY will be warm and humid with thunderstorms possibly heavy in Leinster. Lows near 14 C and highs 22 to 25 C.

    SATURDAY will become cooler with southwest winds and isolated showers, as a front pushes the warmer air east during the early morning hours. Lows near 16 C and highs near 20 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly cloudy, cooler with isolated showers, highs near 18 C.

    The trend for the following week will take temperatures a little below average at first, then return them to near normal later, with small amounts of rain in weak frontal passages in an Atlantic-driven westerly flow. The average high for the week will likely be around 19 or 20 C.

    My local weather on Sunday was cloudy with a few breaks, and occasional light showers, rather warm and humid with highs near 21 C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 23 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 23 to 29 June, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal values, warmest around Thursday.
    -- Rainfall will average near to 25 per cent above normal in many areas, trending drier in the southeast.
    -- Sunshine will average 75 per cent of normal values.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be mostly cloudy with rather persistent light rain in many areas, more showery in the southeast, and sometimes dry in the far northwest, as the front stalls out across the midlands. About 10-15 mm further rainfall is possible. Highs 16 to 18 C.

    TONIGHT the rain will taper off to drizzle and fog, with lows only falling slightly to 13 C.

    WEDNESDAY will become partly cloudy and quite warm in most areas, slightly cooler near Atlantic coasts, but generally highs will reach 22 to 25 C. There could be isolated showers by afternoon in north-central counties.

    THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers turning thundery late in the day with a fairly significant outbreak possible by evening. Lows near 15 C and highs 22 to 25 C.

    FRIDAY will see the thundery showers moving north into Ulster by afternoon, with partial clearing to follow, lows near 17 C and highs near 22 C.

    SATURDAY will be cloudy with a few breaks, and showers may be briefly heavy, lows near 14 C and highs near 20 C.

    SUNDAY will turn cooler with more showers and moderate westerly winds, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

    The outlook for the following week into early July is rather unsettled with temperatures near average for time of year, which would be around 20 or 21 C by day.

    My local weather on Monday was sunny all day for the first time in quite a while, and very warm with highs reaching at least 25 C (probably closer to 30 at valley elevations).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 24 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 24 to 30 June 2020

    -- Temperatures will average 2 to 3 deg above normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average near normal to 25% above normal.
    -- Sunshine will average only 50 to 75 per cent of normal (which is currently about 6 hours a day).

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will see the last of the persistent rain more confined to central Ulster before ending entirely, and skies will become partly cloudy with warm sunny spells in some areas. Isolated showers could redevelop over the inland south by late afternoon. Highs 21 to 24 C. Rather humid, feeling quite muggy.

    TONIGHT will be rather muggy also with lows around 14 C and some mist or fog patches.

    THURSDAY will start out with some warm sunny spells but cloud will gradually increase, followed by outbreaks of showers that may turn thundery by late afternoon and evening. Warm and humid with highs 22 to 25 C.

    FRIDAY will see thunderstorms moving north and spreading into Ulster, with partial clearance to follow for most other areas, but another batch of thundery showers could spread into the south by late in the day. Lows near 15 C and highs 21 to 23 C. Overall rainfalls from all these passing showers may vary from 5 to 20 mm with higher amounts for central and inland southern districts.

    SATURDAY will become a bit cooler with scattered showers and moderate southwest to west winds, lows near 12 C and highs near 19 C.

    SUNDAY will be quite cool with occasional showers, some clearing later in the day, lows near 9 C and highs near 16 C.

    MONDAY and TUESDAY may bring another rainfall of about 10-15 mm.

    The OUTLOOK moving into July is for a rather cool and unsettled start to the month, but signs of a considerably warmer interval developing by about the 10th possibly persisting into mid-month.

    My local weather was rather dramatic for a change. We started out with hot sunshine, then had increasing cloud in the afternoon, with a high near 29 C. A strong thunderstorm formed over the hills west of us and moved across the town with small hail and very gusty winds at times, probably at least 20 mm of rain in an hour or less.

    A fourth tropical storm has formed in the Atlantic (Dolly) but is quite weak and no big threat to land, other than some rain and moderate winds for eastern Newfoundland.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 25 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland


    TRENDS for the week of 25 June to 1st of July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg above normal but much of that due to very warm readings today.
    -- Rainfall will average near normal values but could exceed normal in parts of west Ulster and the inland southeast.
    -- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal values.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be very warm and muggy with some sunshine despite cloud cover rather extensive, possibly longer sunny spells in parts of midlands and inland southeast. Highs 23 to 27 C for most, near 20 C around some western coasts. Some thundery showers could be developing late in the day but most of the action will be in the overnight period.

    TONIGHT some clusters of thunderstorms are quite possible in Leinster and Ulster mainly, although nearby portions of Connacht and Munster are in play also. There could be two main clusters developing, one in the north midlands moving towards Donegal and western NI, and another over the Irish Sea affecting coastal Leinster and moving towards east Ulster. These could form some connections through north Leinster. Other isolated thunderstorms are possible in other parts of Munster and Connacht. Locally heavy downpours of 10-20 mm are possible, and frequent lightning may develop. Strong wind gusts and hail are less likely hazards in this setup. Overnight lows 14 to 17 C.

    FRIDAY will see some remnant showers and thunderstorms and some sunny intervals, with little to no wind, still feeling rather warm and muggy, highs 20 to 23 C. Another round of heavy showers and thunderstorms is possible across the inland south by late afternoon, evening and overnight into early Saturday.

    SATURDAY will see the overnight showers ending, some partial clearing, then cooler westerly breezes and partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Lows 12 to 15 C and highs 17 to 19 C.

    SUNDAY will be breezy (westerly 40-60 km/hr) with passing showers, quite cool with lows near 9 C and highs 14 to 17 C.

    MONDAY could see rain across parts of the south, scattered or isolated showers further north, still rather cool with lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

    TUESDAY will become partly cloudy later in the day with showers ending, highs near 17 C.

    The general trend beyond that is unsettled and near normal in temperatures (at best, could be a bit cooler).

    My local weather on Wednesday was warm and humid (25 C) with thunderstorms rumbling past to the south at 1 p.m. then to the north at 3 p.m., our result here was just a little rain, some gusty winds, and clearing by late afternoon. Some of the storm cells looked severe on radar so probably a good thing they missed our location.

    Will take a close look at thunderstorm potential for tonight during the afternoon hours and probably will update the forecast around 5 to 6 p.m. even if no significant changes.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    UPDATE _ Thursday, 25 June, 2020 _ 6 p.m. IST
    ____________________________________________

    No significant change to the outlook ... gradual development of showers and thunderstorms is likely to continue this evening and overnight, with peak of activity most probable around 0300h. The most promising storm potential is around the east coast, parts of the midlands and west Ulster, but other isolated cells could develop in other areas.

    May post another update towards 11:30 p.m. to midnight.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 26 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland


    More of a blog format today ... trends remain similar and consistent with an unsettled, near average temperature pattern with limited sunshine.

    Storms moved into parts of the southeast overnight and were reported to be heavy or intense around Gorey, Arklow and as far north as Bray. They appeared to lose energy on approach to the Dublin region around 0400h and there was little left of that cluster by 0600h.

    Another more prolonged heavy to severe storm cluster developed over north Connacht and remained mostly over east Mayo, south Sligo and Leitrim. This has begun to move further north and is still quite active with reports of strong thunder and 15-20 mm downpours that could cause some localized flooding in that area, including parts of Donegal and western NI.

    That activity is likely to die out gradually by mid-day as well as moving off the land mass towards the Hebrides, so that will leave most areas in a relatively calm, inactive zone between the overnight disturbances and an approaching upper level low that will force more activity to develop across the south later today. Under partly cloudy to overcast skies, highs will reach 21 to 23 C in many places, but may be held to 18 C near some coasts, in particular the southwest coast due to onshore breezes from the west backing to southerly.

    This next round may be somewhat more widespread but less intense, so would expect quite a few locations to report showers or thunderstorms later today and overnight, with 5-15 mm rain potential. If there were to be any heavy or severe storm development, that would be more likely for the inland southeast than other areas, but it could top off at just moderate showers and light thunderstorm activity. Lows overnight will be around 12 to 15 C.

    Saturday will continue rather unsettled as this upper level low takes a left turn around Cork and starts moving north across the country. This may lead to outbreaks of rain with embedded thundery downpours on Saturday, but also a few brighter intervals mixed in. Highs will be near 17 C. It will begin to get rather breezy in the wake of this disturbance and fronts that will form over Ireland on Saturday.

    Sunday will remain breezy and quite cool, with westerly winds reaching 50 to 70 km/hr at times, intervals of rain, and highs only around 15 or 16 C after a morning low near 10 C. The north in particular may have quite an unpleasant day, with slight improvements possible for the south late in the day.

    Monday, a weak system will descend from the north and renew the shower activity if it ever comes to an end Sunday night, but mainly in northern counties. A separate weak frontal wave will skim the south coast and increase cloud there and possibly bring in some light rain. Lows will be near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

    The weather pattern from Tuesday to about Friday of next week will remain rather unsettled as a large but poorly defined low pressure complex settles in over the region. The most likely outcome will be partly to mostly cloudy skies and occasional showers, isolated thunderstorms, and moderate breezes from various directions as weak troughs and small-scale lows form and circulate around. Highs each day will probably be in the 17 to 19 C range. Nights will be generally around 8 to 11 C.

    That pattern may not break down very quickly but if anything the trend into mid-July should be improving somewhat towards more frequent dry and sunny spells but still occasional showery interludes, and temperatures perhaps coming back into the low 20s at times.

    My local weather on Thursday was mainly sunny with a few cloudy intervals, and rather warm at 25 C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 27 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 27 June to 3 July 2020

    -- Temperatures will average 1 or 2 deg below normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average 50 per cent above normal.
    -- Sunshine will average 50 per cent of normal.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be mostly cloudy with occasional showers and a few heavier thunderstorms possible, these moving up from the inland southwest towards the midlands. Rainfalls of 15 to 30 mm possible with spot flooding potential. Some thunderstorms could produce hail and gusty winds, otherwise winds will be moderate westerly increasing to strong westerly near Atlantic coasts and across the north by late in the day. Highs 16 to 19 C.

    TONIGHT will remain blustery and unsettled with longer intervals of rain across the north in strong westerly winds increasing to 50-80 km/hr. Other regions will have more moderate winds and showers, lows near 11 C.

    SUNDAY will be a very windy and cool day especially in the north where westerly gales will reach 70 to 110 km/hr. Other regions will see 50 to 80 km/hr with passing showers, some with hail or thunder. A few brighter intervals will develop in the south. Highs 14 to 17 C.

    MONDAY will bring variable cloud and less windy conditions with occasional showers, lows near 8 C and highs 14 to 17 C.

    TUESDAY will be similar although with some potential for longer intervals of rain to develop, lows near 7 C and highs 13 to 16 C.

    The rest of the week will continue unsettled and cool with significant amounts of rain possible around Thursday into Friday again, temperatures staying below normal values with highs only around 15 or 16 C.

    A gradual improvement to more average conditions will probably begin in the first full week of July.

    My local weather on Friday was overcast but rather warm with highs near 25 C. Expecting considerable amounts of rain this weekend with a sharp cooling trend here also.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 28 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 28 June to 4 July 2020

    -- Temperatures will average 2 deg below normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average about 50 per cent above normal values in the west and north, closer to normal south and east.
    -- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal values.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be very windy in northern and west-central counties, and quite breezy elsewhere, winds from the west will average 50 to 80 km/hr with some higher gusts (30 to 50 km/hr in sheltered inland areas). It will be mostly cloudy with a few breaks from time to time across the south mainly. Bands of rain or drizzle will continue to bring some heavier bursts of 10-15 mm rainfall to the north, but some parts of the south could be largely dry. Very cool for late June, highs only 12 or 13 C in the north, to 16 or 17 C in the south.

    TONIGHT will see further rain and moderate westerly winds slowly abating, lows near 10 C.

    MONDAY will bring variable amounts of cloud, and more isolated showers, mainly in two areas, the far north, and the southwest coast by afternoon. Some areas in between could be dry but there will be isolated showers in all regions. Highs about 14 to 17 C.

    TUESDAY will bring similar weather conditions except for a more organized band of light rain moving into the south later in the day. Otherwise partly cloudy and cool with isolated showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

    WEDNESDAY will continue unsettled with occasional rain and highs near 16 C.

    THURSDAY could turn somewhat warmer with a few sunny breaks in the south, still a threat of rain in the north, and highs near 19 C.

    FRIDAY will see strong southwest winds returning with early morning rainfall becoming more showery with isolated thunderstorms possible, highs near 17 C.

    The OUTLOOK is for improving conditions through the weekend of the 4th-5th and into the following week, with highs possibly back up into the low 20s at times, and more sunshine than we'll see this week.

    My local weather stayed dry until late afternoon then a few showers moved through. The front seemed to be much stronger earlier in the day further north, then "petered out" which works for us, highs around 20 C. We are now into a cooler air mass and Sunday here will be around 17 C. If you watch golf and have any coverage of the Utah golf event on the secondary tour over here, there could be some dramatic skies and weather events there on Sunday afternoon. I may be the only person watching this for the weather rather than the golf later on. The front that went through here will be down that way by Sunday afternoon.

    Not a very nice outlook there for the coming week but at least it does not appear to be locking in for weeks.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 29 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 29 June to 5 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average about 2 deg below normal (which is near 20 C by day, and 10 C at night).
    -- Rainfall will average slightly above normal but will be quite frequent making it seem perhaps wetter than average.
    -- Sunshine will be quite infrequent compared to the normal 5 to 6 hours a day; possibly about half of that.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will see a bit of improvement as the winds die down gradually, and showers become increasingly confined to narrower bands and lighter falls of 3 to 6 mm. It won't get much warmer however with limited amounts of sunshine except possibly in parts of the inland south. Highs will be around 16 or 17 C.

    TONIGHT will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers and lows near 8 C.

    TUESDAY will see some rather persistent light rain in the south, and scattered showers elsewhere, staying rather cool with highs 15 to 17 C.

    WEDNESDAY will begin with a slight increase in the winds again, to moderate westerly, and fairly widespread light rain, then it will gradually begin to clear up later in the day, with lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

    THURSDAY could be slightly warmer in a narrow gap between weather systems, and there could be some sunny breaks as a result, before increasing cloud returns by afternoon and evening. Lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.

    FRIDAY will be windy and wet with potential for 10-20 mm of rain, moderate southwest to west winds, and highs around 17 C.

    The unsettled trend will slowly fade out from next weekend on, with better conditions likely to materialize around the first half of the following week, when highs could creep up towards the low 20s. This won't turn into any prolonged dry spell or heat wave but at least the weather should be somewhat closer to average July conditions by about the 10th to 15th of July.

    My local weather included a bit of everything including some passing showers and a thunderstorm, and brief sunny breaks, with highs only reaching about 16 C. It is now slowly clearing as the disturbance has moved well south of the border into Idaho, Oregon, Utah and Wyoming where some heavy rain and thunderstorms are occurring. This storm will move out into the plains states bringing a high risk of severe storms later in the week.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 30 June, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 30 June to 6 July 2020

    -- Temperatures will average near normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average near normal in the northwest and inland south, a bit below normal in the midlands.
    -- Sunshine will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be rather cloudy in most areas, with brief sunny intervals and passing showers of light rain although there may be rumbles of thunder at times. Rainfalls generally 3-5 mm at most, except nearer 10 mm in Donegal. Highs around 15 C north to 17 C south.

    TONIGHT will see misty and mostly cloudy conditions with drizzle at times, lows near 8 C.

    WEDNESDAY will be cloudy with showers, becoming heavier inland south by afternoon with chance of a thunderstorm there. Highs around 18 C.

    THURSDAY will see some sunny breaks despite a considerable amount of remnant cloud, but longer dry intervals and somewhat warmer at 19 C.

    FRIDAY will be windy and wet for the first half of the day, rain tapering to showers then clearing overnight. Highs around 17 C.

    SATURDAY is now looking quite warm as a low forms to the northwest of Ireland and pulls in some subtropical air, it may remain rather cloudy especially in central and northern counties which could hold temperatures to the low 20s but if any sun breaks through highs in the south could reach 24 C.

    SUNDAY will be back to blustery and showery conditions again with falling temperatures, highs near 17 C.

    The OUTLOOK for the following week is reasonably good with the weather not likely to be worse than average and possibly a bit better for some areas, highs in the vicinity of 20 C much of the time and only small amounts of rain expected.

    My local weather on Monday was sunny with cloudy intervals and rather warm again with highs back to 24 C after a one-day cool spell.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 1st of July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 1 to 7 July 2020

    -- Temperatures will average near normal values.
    -- Rainfall will be slightly above normal in many parts, except for the southeast.
    -- Sunshine will be 50 to 75 per cent of normal. The cloudy trend will improve slowly though.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be mostly cloudy with outbreaks of showers, one or two possibly rather heavy with thunder, that being most likely in the midlands and inland south. Rainfalls will be quite variable, between 5 and 15 mm for most places but possibly outside that range in a few. Rather cool again with highs 15 to 17 C.

    TONIGHT will be misty or foggy at times, with some partial clearing towards morning, lows near 9 C.

    THURSDAY will see a few brighter intervals developing and rain will become isolated to a few parts of the north mainly, with temperatures improving to around 19 C.

    FRIDAY will be quite wet to start, as 10-15 mm rain is expected in the late overnight and morning hours. This will slowly fragment to showers and a few brighter intervals will follow. Highs 15 to 17 C. Rather breezy to windy especially near Atlantic coasts, winds southwest to west 40 to 60 km/hr.

    SATURDAY will turn warmer especially south of a Galway to Dublin line, where any mid-day sunshine could boost temperatures to 20-23 C. Further north it's likely to stay overcast with occasional rain in the far north, and drizzle over higher terrain, with humid highs near 18 C. Showers and thunderstorms will break out by evening as a cold front arrives. Some strong winds are likely to develop ahead of this front near south and west coasts.

    SUNDAY will be blustery, rather cool and showery with highs near 17 C, westerly winds 50 to 80 km/hr. It will begin to clear by evening.

    MONDAY and TUESDAY are looking a bit better with sunny intervals and highs near average for July, around 20 C.

    This improved spell may slowly back off to something similar to the current pattern but that guidance is not entirely carved in stone and the trend may end up going in a better direction eventually. I'm expecting at least one fairly extended warm spell later this summer, the chances are probably best in late July and the first half of August.

    My local weather on Tuesday brought another round of thunderstorms and some of these were quite noisy although not much rain fell (about 5-10 mm perhaps). It was partly the optics of the clouds off to our north but around 1030 local time the sky was unusually black ahead of the first of these storms. Nothing would surprise us in 2020 I suppose.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 2 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 2 to 8 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average near normal to 1.0 deg above normal.
    -- Rainfall will average close to normal, except perhaps as low as 75% in the southeast.
    -- Sunshine will average 75% of normal, thanks to an improving trend after the weekend.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will have some hazy sunshine at times, with patchy low cloud near coasts and over some hills, also generally over northern counties most of the day. Cloud will tend to increase dimming any sunshine during the afternoon. It will be a bit warmer than recent days with highs of 19 or 20 C possible.

    TONIGHT will see rain developing, 10-15 mm likely by morning, in a steady downpour around and after midnight. Lows will fall to the 12-14 C range.

    FRIDAY will be humid with the rain slowly tapering to showers, in a moderate southwest wind 40-60 km/hr. Highs will reach 17 C.

    SATURDAY will bring a push of warm and moist air into the south, but that may not mix down to the surface in some central and most northern districts where it will remain overcast with light rain at times, and around 17 C. Where the clouds do break at times in the inland south and east, highs could reach 21 or 22 C. Winds will gradually increase to rather strong southwesterlies at 50 to 80 km/hr. Saturday night could prove rather stormy with an active cold front arriving, gusty winds and possible brief thunderstorms are in the mix especially for central counties during the evening.

    SUNDAY will turn considerably fresher and (where it warmed up on Saturday) cooler, with highs near 17 C after a mild overnight low of 14 C. Winds will be southwest to west 50 to 80 km/hr, and some further showers are likely but also some sunny breaks, probably rather misty over northern hills at times.

    MONDAY will be a relatively pleasant day with sunny intervals, isolated showers possible, and highs near 20 C.

    TUESDAY will also be rather sunny with highs 20 to 22 C.

    The OUTLOOK for later next week is more unsettled with rain due in around Wednesday and again around Friday in the current model guidance. Temperatures will stay fairly warm, in the 19-23 C range from north to south.

    My local weather on Wednesday was overcast with occasional rain and highs near 17 C. There is almost no forest fire potential in most of the region, the one good thing we can say about recent weather trends here. The Fraser River has not retreated from its spring flood levels (achieved at the usual time, early June) as heavy rain replaces the snow melt, and the river remains high if not totally in flood all the way from central B.C. to the lower Fraser valley near the coast. However, there are no severe floods in progress, just unusually high water making it difficult for the salmon to get upstream to spawning grounds. The ones that make it will be muscular anyway.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 3 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 3 to 9 July 2020

    -- Temperatures will average near normal to 1.0 deg above normal.
    -- Rainfall will average close to normal, except perhaps as low as 75% in the southeast.
    -- Sunshine will average 75% of normal, thanks to an improving trend after the weekend.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be humid with patchy light rain becoming more showery, in a moderate southwest wind 40-60 km/hr. Highs will reach 17 C. Some afternoon and evening sunny breaks possible in parts of the southwest.

    TONIGHT will be mostly cloudy and muggy with lows falling to about 12 C. Some drizzle or mist will develop across parts of the northwest, spreading across Ulster in the early morning hours.

    SATURDAY will bring a push of warm and moist air into the south, but that may not mix down to the surface in some central and most northern districts where it will remain overcast with light rain at times, and around 17 C. Where the clouds do break at times in the inland south and east, highs could reach 21 or 22 C. Winds will gradually increase to rather strong southwesterlies at 50 to 80 km/hr. Saturday night could prove rather stormy with an active cold front arriving, gusty winds and possible brief thunderstorms are in the mix especially for central counties during the evening. The timing for this front is approximately 5 p.m. for Connacht to 8 p.m. Dublin. It may become squally with its passage.

    SUNDAY will turn considerably fresher and (where it warmed up on Saturday) cooler, with highs near 17 C after a mild overnight low of 14 C. Winds will be southwest to west 50 to 80 km/hr, and some further showers are likely but also some sunny breaks, probably rather misty over northern hills at times.

    MONDAY will be a relatively pleasant day with sunny intervals, isolated showers possible, and highs near 20 C.

    TUESDAY will also be rather sunny with highs 20 to 22 C.

    WEDNESDAY will turn partly to mostly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 20 C.

    There is a mixed set of guidance maps beyond mid-week, it may turn just a couple of degrees cooler for the end of the week before warming back up over the weekend of 11th-12th. That warm spell could last for a while, but in any case it should produce at least a few days in the 23-26 C range.

    My local weather was mostly cloudy with passing sprinkles of light rain, not much accumulation, but the cloud kept temperatures in the mid-teens. We are also looking at a warming trend here for mid-July (and could use one).


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 4 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS will return in a day or two, the main item on the agenda is a developing strong cold frontal passage timed for about 5 p.m. in Connacht to 8 p.m. in Leinster, with a significant interval of very strong winds expected to set in with the frontal passage, and continue for about twelve hours into mid-day Sunday.

    TODAY will start out rather cloudy but the sun may manage to break through for longer intervals by late morning and early afternoon. This will push temperatures up into the low 20s in parts of the inland south and east, with high humidity and humidex readings (it may feel closer to 25 C). Winds will begin to pick up in advance of the cold front and could reach 40 to 70 km/hr by afternoon across much of the country. The north will remain cloudy and somewhat cooler (around 18 C) with occasional drizzle or light rain.

    THIS EVENING and OVERNIGHT strong westerly winds will develop, and there may be a few isolated thunderstorms although the actual cold front may be dry in many parts. A secondary cold front will develop timed for about midnight to 0300h and this may be more active. Expect temperatures to remain fairly high between the fronts, then drop sharply with the passage of the secondary. This may be accompanied by wind gusts of 90 to 120 km/hr and lead to some damage to trees and unsecured loose objects. These winds will be strongest in a path from about Westport to Mullingar to Dublin and some distance on either side, and may not be as strong near the south coast or in some parts of north Ulster although strong winds will arrive there later. Temperatures will drop to about 12 C by morning. Some gusty thunderstorms could produce hail and severe wind gusts.

    SUNDAY will continue very windy (especially for July) with westerlies 70 to 110 km/hr and possible locally higher and damaging gusts. There may be some active bands of showers and thunderstorms with sunny breaks in between those. Temperatures will remain steady in the 14 to 16 C range but it will feel quite chilly due to the strong winds. Higher altitude hiking or marine excursions could be unusually hazardous for a summer weekend and caution is advised.

    MONDAY will be a much more settled day with the strong winds dying down during the early morning hours and relative calm prevailing with sunny intervals and isolated showers, highs near 20 C.

    The outlook beyond Monday calls for rather bland weather conditions in general, some rain may hit parts of the north by Tuesday afternoon but it could avoid the south, and highs again near 20 C. By mid-week it will become more settled again for a time, and weather variations for the rest of the outlook period look fairly tame compared to what's on the way in this evening. I will probably post an update around 5-6 p.m. on developments, also I would turn to the forum threads for further discussions.

    My local weather was hazy and partly cloudy with a warmish high around 24 C and southwest winds that became rather gusty especially over hilly areas. It has turned quite hot in eastern regions of North America, Toronto for example has hit 36 C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    UPDATE _ Sat 4 July 2020 __ 5:45 p.m.
    ____________________________________

    No significant change to my thinking about this, I still think it requires an alert and will produce some scattered reports of strong wind gusts and thunderstorms over the period 8 p.m. this evening to 4 p.m. Sunday, with Connacht, Ulster and central Leinster more at risk but only by a slight differential compared to the inland south. The cold front is presently approaching the west coast and shows some signs of generating a few thunderstorm cells. However the main potential for squally conditions will come in the unstable westerly flow that sets in overnight and lasts through much of Sunday. Will give the same advice as earlier, including keeping an eye on discussion in the forum threads, partly because I am heading off on a day trip here (at 0945 local time) and won't be in touch again until well after midnight.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 5 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 5 to 11 July

    -- Temperatures will average near normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average about 50 per cent of normal, trending to 75 per cent in the north.
    -- Sunshine will average close to normal which is an improvement over the past three weeks.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be a blustery and changeable day with some sunny intervals (quite frequent in the south), and passing showers, some of which may become thundery with hail and strong wind gusts. Away from the strongest gusts of these storm cells, quite windy in general with westerly winds 50 to 80 km/hr. Local storms and more exposed terrain could see gusts to 110 km/hr. Hail up to 2 cm in diameter is possible especially around mid-day in parts of Connacht, Ulster and north/west Leinster. One or two cells could show up in Munster also. Less likely locations for storms would include the south coast, southeast and east coasts. Highs around 16 or 17 C, feeling quite chilly in the wind, but balanced to some extent by strong sunshine at times.

    TONIGHT will see a gradual reduction in the strong winds as they shift to a northwest direction 30 to 50 km/hr. Showers will become widely separated and infrequent with some clearing towards morning. Anyone with clear skies around midnight will find the full moon very close in the sky to Jupiter (Saturn off to their left). Lows around 8 C.

    MONDAY will be a much more settled day with a mixture of cloud and sun, isolated showers, and considerably less windy conditions. Highs near 20 C.

    TUESDAY a weak disturbance will track across the north bringing 5-10 mm of rain to Ulster and some parts of north Connacht and north Leinster. It may remain dry on the south coast with smaller amounts in between. Skies will be mostly cloudy in the north and partly cloudy in the south with westerly breezes 30 to 50 km/hr veering northwest by late in the day. Lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C north, 19 C south.

    WEDNESDAY will be partly cloudy to overcast with another interval of rain likely in the north by evening, moderate southwest winds, lows near 10 C and highs near 19 C.

    THURSDAY will be partly cloudy with a few showers, lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

    The weather looks to be into an improving trend after that with showers around for a while on Friday, clearing later, then prospects for a sunny weekend with highs in the low 20s, and perhaps even a touch warmer into the following week.

    My local weather on Saturday was partly cloudy with a high near 24 C. I have clear skies at the moment and can see the full moon off to the right of Jupiter, by tonight it should have moved much closer in the sky (if in reality, then we would not see our moon at all as it's smaller than three moons of Jupiter). The moon was timed at full around 0545h IST (today's date). But it will look full again tonight.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 6 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 6 to 12 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average about 1 to 1.5 deg above normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average 50 to 75 per cent of normal with the higher values in Ulster and Connacht.
    -- Sunshine will struggle up to near normal finally.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY ... Although considerable cloud remains in lower levels across central, eastern and northern counties, a gradual clearing trend will develop and some sunny intervals are likely in most places, perhaps leading to about an equal measure of cloud and sun in most places. Pleasantly mild and not nearly as windy, highs near 20 C.

    TONIGHT ... Overcast with rain spreading into most of the north and some central counties, probably remaining mostly dry in Munster (except Clare) and south Leinster. Lows near 12 C.

    TUESDAY ... Most areas will be overcast with light rain or showers, and moderate westerly winds. The south coast may see brighter intervals and some occasional sunshine with the track of the precipitation more towards Wales and southern Britain than Ireland's south coast. Highs therefore close to 20 C again in the south but 16 to 18 C further north. About 5-10 mm rain could fall in some places but only briefly heavy showers embedded in a generally light rainfall system.

    WEDNESDAY ... After a short break between systems, a second weak disturbance will follow the Tuesday low and produce a similar outcome for later Wednesday into early Thursday morning. Once again, lows near 12 C and highs in the 16 to 20 C range.

    THURSDAY ... Breezy and showery, feeling rather cool in a moderate west to northwest wind. Lows near 9 C and highs near 17 C.

    FRIDAY ... Partly cloudy, rather cool, lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

    The weekend outlook is promising with sunshine and highs into the lower to mid 20s.

    That warm spell could hang on for a while as winds turn more easterly for a time, but some moisture will be trying to move in from France when that sets up, a similar situation in June saw much of the rain missing all but Kerry's outer peninsulas. This one may catch a bit more of the south next week but even so the weather should remain fairly warm and settled most of the time.

    My local weather on Sunday was partly cloudy and pleasant with highs around 22 C. We seem to be getting a bit of smoke from distant fires in the southwestern U.S. adding a bit of haze. It remains very warm in eastern regions of North America.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 7 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 7 to 13 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average near normal values.
    -- Rainfall will be near normal in some central counties, a bit below normal in parts of the north, to only 25% of normal near the south coast. Most of this rain will come today and tomorrow, so a dry trend in general for all regions after that.
    -- Sunshine will be 25% above normal values thanks to lots of sunshine by Friday, this weekend and following Monday.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will bring persistent rain across the central counties with a few heavier bursts likely, 15 to 25 mm amounts in a zone from Galway to Dublin. It will not rain as hard in the north but will also be persistent there, 5 to 10 mm. Some parts of the south coast will have only a few intervals of drizzle with some brighter intervals possible. Highs will reach 18 C in the south, 14 to 16 C elsewhere.

    TONIGHT will be overcast with light rain or drizzle ending for a while, lows near 11 C.

    WEDNESDAY will see a resumption of the light rain, this time more south-central for the track, and not as heavy in general, so that some parts of the north may remain dry although mostly cloudy. Highs near 16 C.

    THURSDAY will bring a rather cool northwest breeze and gradual clearing with just a few isolated showers left over, with lows near 7 C and highs near 16 C.

    FRIDAY will also be cool and dry, with at least equal mixtures of cloud and sunshine, isolated showers for parts of the north, and lows 5 to 8 C, highs 16 to 18 C.

    The WEEKEND is looking quite good with settled conditions under high pressure, quite a bit of sunshine is likely with banks of higher cloud perhaps dimming that sunshine in the west and north at times. Lows 6 to 9 C and highs 19 to 22 C.

    The OUTLOOK for the following week is rather warm compared to recent days, highs may reach 22 to 25 C at times, and staying mainly dry despite more cloud and isolated showers. Eventually this rather warm interval will give way to more persistent cloud and rain perhaps by the end of the week (around the 17th to 19th by then).

    My local weather was sunny with a few clouds, and pleasantly warm at around 25 C.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 8 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 8 to 14 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average about 1 deg above normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average about 50 to 75% of normal now that we've had yesterday's amounts. Most of this is expected today plus a little more around Monday.
    -- Sunshine will average near normal values.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be another rather wet day in the south-central counties about as far north as Mayo to Louth, but Ulster will be drier although with some light showers at times. Amounts will be 15-25 mm across south central counties, heaviest from about Clare to Carlow and Wexford this time around. Rather cool with the rain falling, highs only about 15 or 16 C. It could be slightly warmer anywhere to the north where the sun does manage to break through. This is not a very windy frontal system but some moderate northwest winds will develop by evening on Atlantic coasts.

    TONIGHT will see the rain moving gradually away to the east with a partial clearing trend, moderate northwest winds and lows 7 to 9 C.

    THURSDAY will be a bright and rather breezy day with passing showers, one or two could develop some hail or thunder, but amounts mainly in the 3 to 7 mm range. Highs 14 to 17 C from north to south.

    FRIDAY will be a more settled day, still with some chance of isolated showers, but equal mixtures of cloud and sunshine are likely, lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.

    SATURDAY should be mostly sunny with lows 6 to 9 C and highs 18 to 21 C.

    SUNDAY will be cloudy in parts of the west and north where some light rain is possible, along with moderate south to southwest breezes. The east and south should hold dry for most of the day with some sunny intervals, lows near 9 and highs near 20 C.

    MONDAY will bring a few showers and highs around 18 C.

    TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY are looking fairly dry with some chance of rain in the far north mainly, and breezy with highs around 19 or 20 C.

    Later next week it could warm up further for a few days, before turning quite unsettled towards the weekend of the 18th-19th and beyond.

    My local weather was overcast with showers and thunderstorms passing by, highs around 19 C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 9 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS all remain close to average values, rainfall may be a bit below normal in the south.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be partly to mostly cloudy after a few brighter intervals this morning. A few showers will develop and some will become heavy this afternoon in Leinster. Moderate northwest winds and feeling rather cool, highs 14 to 17 C.

    TONIGHT will have a few residual showers but a slow clearing trend and it will be quite chilly for this time of year with lows 6 to 9 C.

    FRIDAY will be partly cloudy with showers developing more over the north and west of the country, leaving some parts of the south and east dry. Highs will be around 16 C.

    SATURDAY is looking dry and at least partly sunny, although high cloud layers could dim the sun at times in the west and north. Morning lows quite chilly at 4 to 7 C, afternoon highs pleasant, 18 to 21 C.

    SUNDAY will become overcast with occasional rain in the west and north. This looks likely to hold off all day for most of the south and east, arriving finally overnight. Lows near 8 C and highs near 19 C.

    MONDAY will be rather wet in some places as a weak front stalls and develops a wave over the south, leading to some downpours in central and east Munster moving towards inland central Leinster. About 15 mm of rain is possible with this feature. Other parts of the country will only get small amounts of rain. Lows near 12 C and highs around 17 C.

    From Tuesday to about Friday of next week, relatively dry and pleasant weather expected with temperatures up slightly from this week, into the 19 to 23 C range. That will end with a more unsettled pattern by weekend of the 18th and 19th, when showers and temperatures near 18 C can be expected according to current indications. Beyond that it begins to look as though unsettled weather may yield to much warmer weather near the end of the month.

    My local weather on Wednesday was cloudy with a few sunny breaks, and the high was around 24 C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 10 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 10 to 16 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average slightly below normal (about 0.5 to 1.5 deg).
    -- Rainfall will average 40 to 70 per cent of normal.
    -- Sunshine will average near normal or in some areas about 25 per cent below normal values.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be partly cloudy across the south and central counties, mostly overcast in the north with frequent light showers there. Only isolated showers are likely further south. Cool with moderate northwest breezes, highs about 15 in the north to 17 C in the south.

    TONIGHT will see a clearing trend and it could be unusually chilly for July, lows of 3 to 7 C are possible.

    SATURDAY will be generally dry, with some sunny spells across the south and east, rather cloudy to the west and north. Highs 16 to 20 C in light winds.

    SUNDAY will be overcast for most areas, best chance for any sunshine in the southeast, as rain slowly advances into the western, central and northern regions, 3 to 7 mm expected there. The light rain should hold off until evening and overnight hours for the east and southeast. Lows 10 to 13 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

    MONDAY will be partly cloudy with showers or longer intervals of rain, lows near 10 C and highs near 17 C.

    TUESDAY will be overcast with a few intervals of light rain or drizzle, lows near 12 C and highs near 17 C.

    WEDNESDAY to FRIDAY of next week will turn somewhat warmer, with dry intervals and generally light rainfall totals, with highs near or slightly above 20 C.

    The pattern beyond that is somewhat undefined as some guidance seems to be hinting at a steady warming trend while other recent maps have gone in the other direction. Warmer late in the month has been a theme in the last few months.

    My local weather was partly to mostly cloudy and dry to about 4 p.m., with a high near 24 C, then light rain moved in from a weak upper level low moving by to our north. It was good golfing weather anyway.

    Apparently there's quite a bright comet visible in the pre-dawn skies, I may have seen it the other day and thought it was Venus making its first appearance as a morning star (which is going to happen soon), only heard about the comet today. But the best part is that it should appear in the evening skies later this month after it passes near the Sun on its orbit a few days from now (it will be briefly invisible from the earth at that point). If I can get some more precise info on this, in time for any clear spells of weather later in July, I will post some times and directions (probably quite close to where the Sun recently set). For tonight, it should remain an early morning object if it hasn't moved too close to the Sun yet, maybe check with the astronomy forum. I will post an update if I can get some reliable info on where to look and any possible confusion with identification of comet and Venus.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 11 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    Trends for the next week will be fairly dry although enough rain should fall in western and northern counties to reach about half of the weekly normal; some other parts of the country may remain essentially dry. Temperatures will be near normal after a cool start and warmer finish to the coming week, and sunshine should be reasonably close to the July normal values too, perhaps a bit below in the west however.

    It was a cool start to the day with 4 degrees reported from Claremorris and Mountdillon earlier (more exact values will be known later), but by the time most people are out and about, it will be 10 to 12 degrees and slowly climbing towards a high of about 19 or 20 C in areas that remain or become sunny, although closer to 17 in parts of Ulster and north Connacht where cloud may be more prevalent.

    Tonight and Sunday will see more cloud around in general, although there could still be some brighter intervals in Leinster and east Munster allowing highs to reach 19 or 20 C after overnight lows near 12 C. Light rain will move into some parts of the west and north overnight and on Sunday, 3 to 7 mm can be expected in a few places.

    Monday will see another weak frontal system moving through and producing another rainfall of similar amounts, this time more widespread however. Highs will be around 17 or 18 C.

    Tuesday should be the last of the cloudy and unsettled days as high pressure begins to build up to the west of Ireland, and the cloud on Tuesday may be broken to allow a few sunny intervals, with just a few light showers mostly in the morning. Highs will be around 19 C.

    The rest of the week is looking dry and fairly warm with highs pushing up into the low 20s except for parts of the north and Atlantic coastal counties where 18 C might be more likely. Nights will not be all that cold despite some clear intervals, lows of 8 to 12 C will prevail. This settled spell might lead to even warmer temperatures at some point before the end of July.

    My local weather on Friday was sunny and quite warm with highs reaching 25 C.

    I was able to find better info on comet Neowise, among which is this article with a sky map showing positions each night for the rest of July.

    https://skyandtelescope.org/astronomy-news/anticipation-grows-for-comets-neowise-and-lemmon/

    You can read a discussion in the astronomy forum as well as here on the weather forum. I think in general the comet is far enough to the north (above our orbital plane) that it travels from west to east across the northern skies just as the Sun does behind the curvature of the earth (if you are really far north in Ireland the Sun is only down below the horizon for a few hours at this time of year). In about a week to ten days, the comet will be more of an evening object crossing the handle of the "Big Dipper" (Ursa Major) around the 25th. Before that it would be in a fairly wide open portion of the sky without a lot of competing bright objects but the comet itself is only about as bright as the average star (between 2nd and 3rd magnitude) that you can see, so look for one with a tail pointing north (binoculars should help you find it). If you know how to read the sky map in the link provided, that should also help a lot. I am going to give it a try in a day or two the next time clear skies are available.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 12 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    The trends for the coming week will be slightly improved over recent weeks, temperatures will average a little above mid-July averages although only by fractions of a degree probably, and rainfall will average about half of normal. Sunshine may manage to hold even with mid-July averages despite fairly frequent cloud.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be rather cloudy although the cloud mass is broken and some brief sunny breaks are possible. Rain will gradually move inland from the west coast, but may not reach parts of Leinster or east Munster until this evening. Highs will be 17 to 19 C.

    TONIGHT will be overcast with occasional light rain, lows will be 12 to 14 C.

    MONDAY will be cloudy with occasional light rain, but some clearing may begin in the west by late afternoon or evening. Total amounts of rain over Sunday and Monday will likely be 5 to 8 mm in most places. Highs on Monday will reach 17 to 19 C.

    TUESDAY will remain rather cloudy, another weak pulse of frontal rain will hit some northern counties mainly, with patchy drizzle further south. Moderate westerly winds and humid conditions with lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.

    WEDNESDAY will become partly cloudy and rather warm especially for inland southern counties, highs could reach the low 20s in some places. Generally though highs of 18 to 20 C can be expected.

    THURSDAY will also be partly cloudy to sunny and rather warm, highs 19 to 23 C.

    FRIDAY will bring increasing high cloud and then some outbreaks of light rain by late in the day in west-central counties, still rather warm at 20-23 C.

    The trend next weekend (18th-19th) and into the following week may be somewhat more unsettled but the pattern is looking rather bland and only slight model errors would lead to a continued warming trend which I would not entirely rule out at this point.

    My local weather on Saturday was overcast but dry and rather warm with highs reaching 23 C. Just enough high cloud around to postpone my own attempts to see the comet later tonight, may still give it a go at 0330h now that I know where to look and roughly what to expect to see, thanks to several reports from Irish sky watchers. The word is that you can find the comet relatively easily during the early morning hours as a "naked eye object" and outside of urban light polluted areas you can make out the tail. It is not stunningly bright but similar to easily seen stars of second to third magnitude. Venus is off to the right by its own rising time (the comet is there all night at Irish latitude) and is much brighter. If you're familiar with the constellation Cassiopeia (the W formation in the northern skies) then the comet's nucleus will be roughly the same brightness as those stars, or most of the seven primary stars in Ursa Major, not quite as bright as Arcturus or Vega. The comet's tail may be a bit fainter and binoculars are recommended to get a better view of that.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 13 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 13 to 19 July will include temperatures near normal values, rainfall about half of normal or less in some places, and sunshine between 50 and 75 per cent of July averages.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be mostly cloudy until mid-afternoon, with areas of rain developing across the south and east mainly, then followed by partial clearing with highs 17 to 19 C. Rainfalls of 5-10 mm may occur in some parts of Munster and south Leinster. Lesser amounts are likely further north.

    TONIGHT will remain partly cloudy then will turn more overcast towards dawn, with light rain at times in parts of the north. Lows 10 to 13 C.

    TUESDAY will be a rather cloudy day with outbreaks of light rain moving through Ulster and north Connacht into north and central Leinster. Other areas could remain largely dry with a few sunny breaks by afternoon. Highs will reach about 16 C in the north, and 18 C in the south.

    WEDNESDAY will be cloudy with sunny breaks, generally dry although a few isolated light showers possible in Ulster, lows near 12 C and highs 18 to 21 C, best values inland south.

    THURSDAY will be partly cloudy and rather warm with lows near 12 C and highs near 22 C.

    FRIDAY will be partly cloudy in the south, more overcast in the north with outbreaks of light rain developing there by evening. Lows near 13 C and highs 19 to 22 C.

    The trend next weekend will be slightly cooler although only by a degree or so each day, with moderate westerly breezes and a few showers here and there, no large rainfall accumulations expected however, highs near 19 C.

    The maps hint at a warmer outcome during the following week (20th to 24th) and possibly some sunny breaks with the warmer temperatures, 21 to 24 C appears possible.

    My local weather on Sunday was partly cloudy with passing showers and one brief rumble of thunder at mid-afternoon, rather cool and breezy with highs near 20 C. Skies are clearing tonight so I may get that chance to go comet hunting later.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 14 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 14 to 20 July will be near normal for temperatures, about half of normal amounts of rain although closer to average in the north, and about 75% of typical July sunshine with cloud quite frequent today and tomorrow, after which somewhat improved for sunshine.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be mostly cloudy with a few brighter intervals in west Munster. Light rain will spread into some parts of the north and central counties, sometimes extending into Leinster. Amounts generally 2 to 5 mm. Rather humid with highs 17 to 19 C.

    TONIGHT will be overcast with lows near 12 C and spotty drizzle or light rain.

    WEDNESDAY will continue rather cloudy but with somewhat more extensive breaks in the overcast across some parts of the south and east, still a few showers further north, highs 18 to 21 C.

    THURSDAY will be partly cloudy, warm with lows 12 to 14 C and highs 19 to 23 C.

    FRIDAY will bring increasing cloud again with some rain spreading into west and north, amounts rather slight, lows near 14 C and highs near 21 C.

    SATURDAY and SUNDAY will become a bit cooler with moderate westerly breezes and isolated showers, highs around 18 C.

    The outlook calls for a slight warming trend to resume next week, back into the low 20s by mid-week, then becoming more unsettled towards the end of that week. All of these variations are going to be rather slight and some might find the pattern almost featureless.

    My local weather on Monday was bright but cool with highs around 19 C. It is clear and quite chilly at present (approaching midnight), possibly as low as 3 or 4 degrees, but the clear skies may tempt me out anyway as I did not have good viewing conditions last night here. The earth is passing Jupiter today and will pass Saturn on the 20th, as their conjunction begins to tighten up (quite easy to find them in the southern skies around 11 p.m. to 1 a.m. these coming nights, the Moon rises later on so is not reducing the darkness of skies at those hours this week).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 15 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS continue similar to previous days' reports, near normal for temperature, rather dry for most with 25 to 50 per cent of normal rainfall, and rather cloudy with 75% of normal sunshine expected.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be rather cloudy in general, with patchy light rain or drizzle in a few parts of the north. Some longer bright spells are likely to develop boosting temperatures to about 21 or 22 C in the south, 19 or 20 C in central Leinster, and 18 C for the west and north.

    TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with some mist or fog patches forming, lows 12 to 14 C.

    THURSDAY will be warm and humid with some sunny breaks and highs 21 to 23 C. There may be some persistent low cloud with drizzle in a few coastal areas especially around the north coasts.

    FRIDAY will have some sunny intervals at first then increasing cloud with rain developing across parts of the west and north, only 2 to 5 mm expected though, lows near 13 C and highs 19 to 21 C.

    SATURDAY will turn a bit fresher with isolated showers, moderate westerly winds and lows near 12 C, highs 18 to 20 C.

    SUNDAY will also be somewhat cooler with isolated showers and highs near 18 C.

    By MONDAY the slightly breezy and cooler interval will transition to a calmer and less overcast regime as high pressure develops just off to the west of Ireland. There should be about equal amounts of sunshine and cloud with only a few isolated light showers each day for the week. Highs will be in the range of 20 to 23 C. This looks like the sort of pattern that the models could start to develop into a warmer spell as the upper level conditions become quite bland for a long spell.

    My local weather was sunny with increasing high cloudiness and a bit on the cool side at 21 C.

    I had a good look at the clear skies last night and determined the comet would be below the northern horizon (which is hilly here) until about 0230, had the intention of going back out but dozed off and woke up to the sunrise. Oh well, maybe tonight will work out as skies seem to have cleared again. I did notice that Mars was rising around 0130h in the east, at least equally bright with Jupiter and noticeably "ruddy" in appearance. Anyone out looking for the comet before sunrise will have that and Venus as additional spectacles. I also noticed that Andromeda is almost overhead in the northeast at midnight to 0100h if you've ever wanted to find the Andromeda galaxy, you'll need binoculars and a good star chart to do that. (I had a bit too much light pollution to go for that find).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 16 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 16 to 22 July include rather cool temperatures a bit below average by 1-2 deg, not much rain eventually 25 to 50 per cent of normal amounts but quite frequent drizzle involved in that, and very poor sunshine, would be fortunate to reach 75% of normal if last two days of the interval produce decent amounts, about 50 per cent for the five days before those.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will remain mostly cloudy with a few brighter intervals developing in the southeast, therefore turning a bit warmer there, highs to about 20 C (17 or 18 C for other regions). Just patchy drizzle in some parts of the country this morning.

    TONIGHT will see overcast skies for most and rain developing in the north and northwest, 2 to 5 mm expected there, staying dry further south, lows 11 to 13 C.

    FRIDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy in the south, with showers by afternoon and evening. It will start out damp and overcast in other regions and perhaps brighten up somewhat later afternoon or evening. Highs near 19 C in the south and 16 C north.

    SATURDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and moderate westerly winds, highs near 18 C.

    SUNDAY will also be partly to mostly cloudy with isolated showers and moderate west to northwest winds, a bit cooler with highs only 15 or 16 C.

    MONDAY will be mostly cloudy with a little light rain at times, highs near 17 C.

    TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY of next week may improve somewhat to sunny intervals and highs 19 to 23 C. That will be cut off by another unsettled interval arriving about Thursday 24th with frequent rain expected in the last seven days of July and rather cool temperatures.

    Hopefully August will see an improvement over what is turning into the coolest July since 2012.

    My local weather was partly sunny and quite warm, highs near 25 C. I have now seen the comet both morning and evening (see comet thread for details).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 17 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 17 to 23 July 2020

    -- Temperatures will average 1 to 2 deg below normal values.
    -- Rainfall will average about 50 per cent of normal.
    -- Sunshine hours will need help to reach even half of normal with persistent cloud cover sometimes breaking to partly cloudy skies.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will start out dry with a few brighter intervals in the south and east, while a damp cloudy regime spreads slowly into the midlands from the west and north. Once established, that frontal band of light rain and drizzle appears likely to persist for about twelve hours or longer as it sags further south. Highs near 16 C north, to 21 C in the southeast.

    TONIGHT will be overcast with light rain or drizzle in most places, some partial clearing for the far north and northwest. Lows 10 to 12 C.

    SATURDAY the rain band will drift along through the south and east before breaking up around mid-day, skies will then turn partly cloudy as they had already done further west and north during the morning. Highs 16 to 18 C. Total rainfalls from this frontal band only about 5 mm.

    SUNDAY will be partly cloudy and rather cool with isolated showers, morning lows 6 to 10 C and afternoon highs about 16 to 19 C.

    MONDAY will be similar with a few showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.

    TUESDAY could be a brief respite with longer sunny intervals, lows near 7 C and highs near 20 C.

    WEDNESDAY looks more overcast again with occasional light rain and highs near 17 C.

    The OUTLOOK beyond mid-week is not very promising if you're looking for real summer-like weather, it will be more overcast again with fairly frequent shower activity, albeit no large totals expected. Typical highs only 15 to 19 C.

    Maybe the second half of August into September will prove to be this summer's best portion (unless we already saw that in mid-June).

    My local weather was partly cloudy and very warm with highs near 29 C. A broken line of showers and thunderstorms is passing by with a weak cold front overnight, so far no activity right over my location. Skies too overcast for comet hunting tonight.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 18 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS remain similar to yesterday's report, cool, not a lot of rain (after this morning's rain ends across the south) and generally rather dull but with somewhat improved sunshine prospects next week.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY the rain band will continue to drift along through the south and east before breaking up around mid-day, skies will then turn partly cloudy as they have already done further west and north during the morning. Highs 16 to 18 C. Total rainfalls from this frontal band only about 5 mm.

    TONIGHT will be partly cloudy allowing some to have a chance to see comet Neowise (look to the north-northwest to the lower right of the "Plough" (Big Dipper for some readers). Lows around 6 to 10 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly cloudy and rather cool with isolated showers becoming more widespread around mid-day, mostly confined to north, parts of midlands and inland west, morning lows 6 to 10 C and afternoon highs about 16 to 19 C.

    MONDAY will be similar with a few showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 18 C.

    TUESDAY could be a brief respite with longer sunny intervals, lows near 7 C and highs near 20 C.

    WEDNESDAY looks more overcast again with occasional light rain and highs near 17 C.

    The OUTLOOK beyond mid-week is rather unsettled with occasional showers most days and rather cloudy in general with highs 17 to 20 C.

    My local weather on Friday was stormy, we had the heaviest thunderstorm of several years in this area with 2 cm hail bouncing off the windows for about five minutes, and frequent close lightning strikes. That rolled through about 2 p.m., otherwise it was a mostly cloudy day with highs near 23 C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 19 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS remain about the same, expect temperatures near or slightly below normal values, rainfall about half of an average weekly amount, and sunshine 75 per cent to near normal values.

    TODAY will start out sunny, then turn partly to mostly cloudy with scattered light showers, most likely in north central to inland western counties. Highs 17 to 20 C.

    TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with clear intervals, chilly with lows 4 to 8 C.

    MONDAY will see a mixture of cloud and sunshine with a few scattered showers, highs near 18 C.

    TUESDAY will be partly cloudy to sunny at times, hazy with lows near 7 C and highs near 19 or 20 C.

    WEDNESDAY will turn rather cloudy as a weak front moves through, with 2 to 5 mm rainfalls likely in many areas, from occasional showers. Lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.

    THURSDAY will become partly cloudy and dry again with lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

    FRIDAY will see increasing cloud, rain late in the day, lows near 7 C and highs near 19 C.

    The weekend outlook (for 25-26 July) will be overcast with showers at times, and rather cool, highs 15 to 18 C.

    The following week looks unsettled with temperatures in the same general range as this week.

    My local weather on Saturday was sunny with a few clouds, and the high was about 25 C. Have been out to check on comet Neowise, which seems to be losing brightness after peaking a few days ago. It's only worth your effort to see it if you have dark rural skies and binoculars for magnified viewing, but you can still see it faintly with the naked eye, in the north-northwest after sunset glow ends around 10:30-11:00 p.m. local times. It is moving west quite rapidly and is now beneath the bowl of the "dipper" or the plough; in a few days it will be under the handle (although a bit higher in the sky due to the tilt of the constellation after sunset).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 20 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 20 to 26 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average about one degree below normal.
    -- Rainfall will total about half the weekly average amount.
    -- Sunshine will be 75 to 100 per cent of normal.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will start out sunny but cool, with clouds increasing to almost a full overcast by mid-day to early afternoon, followed by a few scattered showers. Partial clearing will set in by late afternoon. Highs 15 to 18 C.

    TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with some clear intervals. Lows near 7 C.

    TUESDAY will be hazy, with some sunny intervals, and isolated showers mainly in the north. Highs 17 to 20 C.

    WEDNESDAY will be mostly cloudy with occasional rain, 3 to 5 mm expected, lows near 7 C and highs near 18 C.

    THURSDAY will become partly cloudy with highs near 20 C.

    FRIDAY will be partly cloudy, to overcast by late in the day with rain by evening, highs near 20 C.

    The outlook for the weekend is partly to mostly cloudy with some rain both days, also some brighter intervals, and highs dropping back to around 18 C.

    At the present time, the maps for the week following, towards the end of July, are quite unsettled with heavy rainfall potential. Hoping those maps are going to change for the better in the ten to fifteen days available.

    My local weather on Sunday was a mixture of cloud and sunshine, improving to mostly sunny by evening and almost clear at this late hour, high near 24 C. We are having a decent enough summer although not as warm as some years here, and June rainfalls have kept the fire hazards low so far although this past week has turned drier.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Tuesday, 21 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 21 to 27 July will be fairly close to late July averages in all regards, although a bit drier than normal (around 50 to 75 per cent).

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be sunny with cloudy intervals across most of the south and east, partly to mostly cloudy further north, but generally dry with highs 18 to 22 C, highest values inland south.

    TONIGHT will see increasing cloud with light rain at times in parts of the north and northwest, lows near 11 C.

    WEDNESDAY will bring a band of showers giving rainfalls of 3 to 5 mm in most places, with a few brighter intervals possible too. Rather humid, highs near 19 C.

    THURSDAY will become sunny again by afternoon, lows near 12 C and highs near 20 C.

    FRIDAY will see increasing cloud with some rain developing in the west by late afternoon and evening, lows near 12 and highs near 19 C. Some heavier rain may develop overnight with 10 mm possible by Saturday morning.

    SATURDAY will be partly cloudy after the morning rain moves east, with further isolated showers, moderate westerly breezes, and highs near 17 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 18 C.

    MONDAY and TUESDAY of next week are looking quite good with sunny intervals and highs 20 to 23 C.

    WEDNESDAY of next week will become overcast with showers, and after that a rather unsettled period is signalled, hopefully we can get some changes in that before the time comes because maps currently show quite a bit of rain and cool temperatures for about a week starting Thursday 30th of July.

    My local weather on Monday was sunny and hot, highs near 31 C. With clear skies in the evening, I can still just barely see comet Neowise with unaided eyesight but it's still a fairly good object in binoculars. It has moved to a position almost directly below the Plough (still a bit off to the lower right of that constellation).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Wednesday, 22 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 22 to 28 July 2020

    -- Temperatures will be near normal for late July, rainfall about 50 per cent of average, and sunshine in the range of 75 to 100 per cent of normal.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will bring further showers giving rainfalls of 3 to 5 mm in most places, with a few brighter intervals possible too. One fairly heavy band has moved through the north already, but more clusters of showers are likely, with a slight chance of a thunderstorm developing. Rather humid, highs near 19 C.

    TONIGHT will be overcast with further light rain at times, lows near 12 C.

    THURSDAY will start out cloudy with morning showers then will become partly sunny by afternoon, lows near 12 C and highs near 20 C.

    FRIDAY will see increasing cloud with some rain developing in the west by late afternoon and evening, lows near 12 and highs near 19 C. Some heavier rain may develop overnight with 10 mm possible by Saturday morning.

    SATURDAY will be partly cloudy after the morning rain moves east, with further isolated showers and perhaps a thunderstorm, moderate westerly breezes, and highs near 17 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 18 C.

    MONDAY will remain partly cloudy to overcast and rather cool with isolated showers, highs near 18 C.

    TUESDAY of next week will feature some sunny intervals and highs 20 to 23 C.

    WEDNESDAY will then become cloudy with a few showers, highs near 18 C.

    The outlook continues to look rather unsettled with highs possibly dropping back below average and frequent rain depicted, as I've been saying, hopefully this will change for the better as some of the days look quite unseasonable (but all of that is in the ten days to two week time frame).

    My local weather on Tuesday was sunny and very warm with a high near 30 C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Thursday, 23 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 23 to 29 July 2020:

    -- Temperatures will average near normal values, or slightly below in some places.
    -- Rainfall will average 75 to 100 per cent of normal (Monday is now looking wetter than previously).
    -- Sunshine will average about 75 per cent of normal (that means about 4 hours a day instead of 5.3 which is a late July average value).

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will see the end of the current round of showers and some mid-day to afternoon sunny breaks. It will be rather warm and humid in any sunshine with highs 19 to 22 C.

    TONIGHT will have a few clear intervals with increasing high cloud. Lows 8 to 12 C.

    FRIDAY will see a continued increase and thickening of the cloud cover ahead of a frontal band of rain which has shown signs of speeding up so it may arrive now before late afternoon in western and some north-central counties. The rain will reach Leinster by evening. Highs near 18 C. The overnight period will be rather wet with 10-15 mm rain expected by Saturday morning, lows of about 13 C.

    SATURDAY will start out cloudy and wet but should improve around mid-day to partly cloudy, breezy with highs around 17 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 17 C.

    MONDAY will bring some more rain, possibly a few heavy showers embedded, for totals of 10-15 mm. Highs will reach about 17 C again.

    TUESDAY will see a slow clearing trend with cool northwest winds and highs near 16 C.

    WEDNESDAY will have some sunny intervals and highs near 20 C, rain by evening seems likely, as THURSDAY is looking rather unsettled, around 18 C.

    The trend after this still appears quite unsettled with potential for heavier rainfalls resuming.

    My local weather was sunny and hot on Wednesday with a high near 32 C. Expecting this to lead to some isolated thunderstorms on Thursday with similar temperatures. Meanwhile, Gonzalo is likely to become the first hurricane after six named storms all peaked as tropical storms earlier in the season. It's on a far southern course through the Windward Islands around Barbados and Grenada on its way into the southern Caribbean Sea.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Friday, 24 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 24 to 30 July, 2020

    -- Temperatures will average about 1 deg below normal, daytimes closer to 2 deg below as nights will remain mild.
    -- Rainfall will be close to average in the south, about 50 to 75 per cent of normal in the north which will largely avoid the rainfall on Monday.
    -- Sunshine will average about 75% of normal values.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will have a few sunny intervals this morning in eastern counties, with the cloud already increasing in western regions moving steadily east, followed a few hours later by rain which will be heavier by late afternoon in some places. Highs 17 to 20 C.

    TONIGHT will see further bursts of rainfall giving totals for the event of about 10-15 mm. Lows 12 to 14 C.

    SATURDAY will become partly to mostly cloudy with scattered showers after the main body of rainfall moves east during the morning. One or two thunderstorms may develop in moderate southwest to west winds 30 to 50 km/hr. Highs near 17 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and highs near 17 C.

    MONDAY some rain will hit the south coast although this disturbance is beginning to trend further south, which may mean that eventually it will be largely offshore. Further north, variable cloud with a few showers. Rather cool in general with highs near 16 C.

    TUESDAY will see gradual improvements after cloudy skies and scattered showers in the morning, still rather cool with highs 16 to 18 C.

    WEDNESDAY will be a more settled day with some sunshine and highs near 20 C. Rain by evening however.

    The OUTLOOK is for more frequent rain and temperatures near normal, in a southwest Atlantic flow that may try to warm up for Britain and France but that could just lead to heavier showers and thunderstorms from the frontal waves in the flow crossing Ireland and northern Britain.

    My local weather on Thursday was sunny and breezy with a slightly cooler high of 27 C. Showers are still well to our north in a developing frontal zone.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Saturday, 25 July, 2020

    Forecasts for Ireland



    TRENDS for the week of 25 to 31 July 2020

    -- Temperatures will average close to normal values for late July.
    -- Rainfall will be near normal in the south and east, somewhat less than average further north.
    -- Sunshine will be 75 per cent of normal values, or possibly closer to average in some parts.


    FORECASTS

    TODAY will have a bright start this morning but cloud will rapidly increase before mid-day then showers and a few thunderstorms will return for the afternoon, highs 18 to 20 C. About 5 to 10 mm rainfall expected.

    TONIGHT will see partial clearing and moderate westerly breezes, lows about 13 C.

    SUNDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy with a few passing showers, rather cool with highs 16 to 18 C.

    MONDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers and moderate west to northwest breezes, lows near 8 C and highs near 17 C.

    TUESDAY will become sunny at times with highs near 20 C.

    WEDNESDAY will bring increasing cloud leading to outbreaks of rain late in the day, highs near 20 C.

    From Thursday through the weekend of 1-2 August, the weather looks rather warm but unsettled with a risk of showers or thunderstorms at times, highs near or slightly above normal values. An even warmer spell is possible after this, but not necessarily settled as weak disturbances will continue to move through.

    My local weather on Friday was partly cloudy and breezy, somewhat cooler than recent days with a high near 24 C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Sunday, 26 July, 2020 _ Forecasts for Ireland

    Trends remain close to normal values in all elements.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will be partly cloudy with scattered showers and moderate westerly breezes, rather cool, highs near 17 C.

    TONIGHT will bring rain across most of the country with 10 to 15 mm likely, lows near 13 C.

    MONDAY will start out wet as the rain pushes further east, then will see some slight improvements to partly or mostly cloudy skies with intermittent showers, highs near 17 C.

    TUESDAY will be partly cloudy with isolated showers, longer sunny intervals by afternoon, highs near 18 C.

    WEDNESDAY will become cloudy after some morning sunshine, rain by evening in the west, highs near 20 C.

    THURSDAY will be rather muggy and humid with occasional rain, highs 19 to 22 C.

    The OUTLOOK into early August calls for somewhat warmer weather than of late, but also rather unsettled at times, with risk of some thunderstorms at times.

    My local weather on Saturday was sunny with a high of 26 C. We are expecting low 30s on Sunday here. Meanwhile, Gonzalo fizzled out near Barbados but Hanna did manage to become a hurricane before moving inland over south Texas in flat, open country south of Corpus Christi which got the tropical storm force portion of the storm's east winds while Brownsville and the Rio Grande valley got the westerly winds at tropical storm intensity. Rainfalls of 3 to 6 inches were fairly widespread but probably beneficial in most cases. Storms on this trajectory sometimes produce damaging floods in mountain regions of northern Mexico outside of Monterrey, as they die out moving further inland. A new tropical storm could form soon in the Atlantic and move near the Bahamas in about five days' time then up the east coast of the U.S. This has been a very active tropical season albeit most of the storms have so far been quite weak.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,586 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Monday, 27 July, 2020 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

    TRENDS for the week of 27 July to 2 August

    -- Temperatures will be near normal values.
    -- Rainfall will be normal to 25 per cent above in some parts.
    -- Sunshine will be around 75 per cent of normal.

    FORECASTS

    TODAY will see any remaining heavy rain moving east soon, watch for isolated road and stream flooding after 30-40 mm fell overnight in a few parts of the southeast. Variable cloud and further showers are likely with intervals of strong northwest winds moving from Atlantic coasts at present to central counties later this morning and Leinster by late morning to mid-day. Some gusts to 70 km/hr have occurred recently on the west coast and this may continue for a while before the fronts move through. Highs today around
    17 or 18 C.

    TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast at times with isolated light showers, still rather breezy from the northwest and cool, lows near 9 C.

    TUESDAY will have a lot of cloud for the morning then some improvements after mid-day as a ridge builds in from the west, with winds dropping off finally, and highs 17 to 19 C.

    WEDNESDAY will start out warm and dry, but some rather sporadic rain will move into western counties after mid-afternoon, possibly not reaching eastern counties until well into the overnight hours. Lows near 10 C and highs near 20 C.

    THURSDAY will be partly to mostly cloudy, humid, and rather warm with occasional light rain with moderate south to southwest winds, highs near 21 C.

    FRIDAY will also be rather warm and humid with highs near 22 C.

    The WEEKEND currently looks rather unsettled with pulses of heavy rain moving in from the southwest. Temperatures will be around normal, 18 to 21 C. The following week is looking similar to that.

    My local weather on Sunday was sunny and hot with a high of 30 C, clear skies at present too.


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