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Golf Betting MegaThread *** See Mod warning in post #2 & 214***

  • 15-05-2013 12:02am
    #1
    The Premier Man
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 357 ✭✭The Premier Man


    This week is very interesting in the golf betting as there is a choice between 2 very different events with the byron nelson in america and the volvo matchplay in bulgria.
    from looking at the odds,form,course history and other things i think players to watch in the us are:
    matt kuchar 16/1
    marc leishman 20/1
    ryuji imada 200/1
    ryan palmer 22/1 (nap)
    palmer is flying at the moment and has a great record in this event.
    in the matchplay:
    henrik stenson 15/2
    fdez castano 18/1
    mcdowell 8/1 (nap)
    aphibarnrat 40/1
    while stenson is in great form he hasn't played alot of matchplay over the last few years but still worth a shout.mcdowell had a poor week last week but is proven in matchplay and would expect a strong showing.aphibarnrat seems to be always in contention and is playing well recently and looks a good price.


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Comments

  • #2
    GreeBo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,253 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    Please note the charter regarding betting/gambling.
    This thread is for gambling posts *only*.
    Any posts that are not gambling related belong in the "Epic" thread or the tournament specific thread if one exists.
    Warnings/Infractions/Bans will be given out at moderators discretion.
    Attempts to circumvent these rules will result in bans.
    Aftertiming bets require a screenshot or warnings and/or cards will be issued


  • #3
    charlieIRL
    Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 7,254 Mod ✭✭✭✭charlieIRL


    I bet ya this will be my one and only post in here!!


  • #4
    PARlance
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,333 ✭✭✭✭PARlance


    charlieIRL wrote: »
    I bet ya this will be my one and only post in here!!

    What odds you giving?


  • #5
    SEORG
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 813 ✭✭✭SEORG


    Byron Nelson Picks
    Jason Day........favourite but has 3 top 10's from 3 start here
    Jordan Speith.......from Texas, knows the course
    D A Points.......course form & is playing well
    Robert Karlsson......played well last time out in Quail Hollow, good off the tee
    Marc Leishman.......... in good form & has good course form

    Madeira Island Open
    Andy Sullivan
    Morten Orum Madsen
    Joakim Lagergren
    Daniel Vancsik


  • #6
    realgolfgeek
    Registered Users Posts: 904 ✭✭✭realgolfgeek


    Marc Leishman and Andres Romero for me.
    20/1 and 150/1, both each way.


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  • #7
    redzerdrog
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,750 ✭✭✭redzerdrog


    Haven't got a major betting interest in this weeks events but a few that might outplay their prices

    Morten Orum Madsen in the Medeira Open he won a minor event in Norway of the last week or so and finished 11th in Medeira last year which is being played on the same course again.

    The match play is a bit of a lottery but I think Aphibarnrat might go well at a big price. He has been in good form on the Asian Tour this year and could go well.

    The Byron Nelson is another wide open event and it wouldn't surprise in the slightest to see a big outsider compete this week. Patrick Reed is a local Texan and could go well at a big price.


  • #8
    Wichita Lineman
    Registered Users Posts: 48,742 ✭✭✭✭Wichita Lineman


    My golf bets this week are US Matt Kuchar e/w and in Bulgaria Shane Lowry e/w.


  • #9
    redzerdrog
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,750 ✭✭✭redzerdrog


    redzerdrog wrote: »
    Haven't got a major betting interest in this weeks events but a few that might outplay their prices

    Morten Orum Madsen in the Medeira Open he won a minor event in Norway of the last week or so and finished 11th in Medeira last year which is being played on the same course again.

    The match play is a bit of a lottery but I think Aphibarnrat might go well at a big price. He has been in good form on the Asian Tour this year and could go well.

    The Byron Nelson is another wide open event and it wouldn't surprise in the slightest to see a big outsider compete this week. Patrick Reed is a local Texan and could go well at a big price.

    ugh he is leading by 1 and i havent a penny on him and the make things worse he is beating Peter Uihlien who is second and I actually have money on!


  • #10
    The Premier Man
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 357 ✭✭The Premier Man


    The Premier Man wrote: »
    This week is very interesting in the golf betting as there is a choice between 2 very different events with the byron nelson in america and the volvo matchplay in bulgria.
    from looking at the odds,form,course history and other things i think players to watch in the us are:
    matt kuchar 16/1
    marc leishman 20/1
    ryuji imada 200/1
    ryan palmer 22/1 (nap)
    palmer is flying at the moment and has a great record in this event.
    in the matchplay:
    henrik stenson 15/2
    fdez castano 18/1
    mcdowell 8/1 (nap)
    aphibarnrat 40/1
    while stenson is in great form he hasn't played alot of matchplay over the last few years but still worth a shout.mcdowell had a poor week last week but is proven in matchplay and would expect a strong showing.aphibarnrat seems to be always in contention and is playing well recently and looks a good price.
    Good win by mcdowell,thats a few pound in,hopefully leishman or palmer can get up for a place tonight


  • #11
    realgolfgeek
    Registered Users Posts: 904 ✭✭✭realgolfgeek


    Crown Plaza,

    I fancy Marc Leishman at 33's and John Senden at 80's.


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  • #12
    Wichita Lineman
    Registered Users Posts: 48,742 ✭✭✭✭Wichita Lineman


    BMW PGA - I've gone for Grace and Colsaerts each way.


  • #13
    realgolfgeek
    Registered Users Posts: 904 ✭✭✭realgolfgeek


    Incredible ... who would have thought in golf the odds would ever be like this.
    Memorial ... 2/1 for Tiger woods ... nearest competitor is 16's !!!!!!!!!!


  • #14
    kiers47
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,564 ✭✭✭kiers47


    realgolfgeek wrote: »
    Incredible ... who would have thought in golf the odds would ever be like this.
    Memorial ... 2/1 for Tiger woods ... nearest competitor is 16's !!!!!!!!!!

    Only 5 years ago this was the regular occurance. In fact I remember before arnies tournament 1 year tiger was around 11/8.
    It's probably priced about right really. Any bigger an there would be lads smashing into him e/w


  • #15
    realgolfgeek
    Registered Users Posts: 904 ✭✭✭realgolfgeek


    kiers47 wrote: »
    Only 5 years ago this was the regular occurance. In fact I remember before arnies tournament 1 year tiger was around 11/8.
    It's probably priced about right really. Any bigger an there would be lads smashing into him e/w

    I actually think 2/1 is a great price, I was just amazed at 16/1 been the closest next odds


  • #16
    kiers47
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,564 ✭✭✭kiers47


    realgolfgeek wrote: »
    I actually think 2/1 is a great price, I was just amazed at 16/1 been the closest next odds

    Ya well in fairness tiger is taking out a third of the market... It would be fairly poor if anything less was offered IMO. Good value if you fancy anyone else in fairness. Pp paying 6 places to. Must have a closer look tomorrow to see what I think.


  • #17
    realgolfgeek
    Registered Users Posts: 904 ✭✭✭realgolfgeek


    I think Adam Scott is best value e/w at 20's.
    He's been very selective in what he's playing this year.

    I can see him getting to No. 2 in the world very quickly.


  • #18
    pinkdoubleeagle
    Registered Users Posts: 935 ✭✭✭pinkdoubleeagle


    realgolfgeek wrote: »
    I think Adam Scott is best value e/w at 20's.
    He's been very selective in what he's playing this year.

    I can see him getting to No. 2 in the world very quickly.

    Only played once since the Masters


  • #19
    redzerdrog
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,750 ✭✭✭redzerdrog


    this weeks fancies

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056884191&page=4


  • #20
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    This week I just did a 10er double. Thomas Bjorn and dustin Johnsson both to get top 10 finishes in their competition. Pays just under 7's.


  • #21
    The Premier Man
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 357 ✭✭The Premier Man


    This week I went mad altogether and did a 50cent ew lucky 15.in europe thomas bjorn,in us ryan palmer,in the womens yani tseng and in the champions jay haas.it pays out 224,754.61.I don't usually get anything back from my weeks betting so I said id try something different this week so id have interest in them all.sure u never know.


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  • #22
    Wichita Lineman
    Registered Users Posts: 48,742 ✭✭✭✭Wichita Lineman


    I have Levet in Europe, Snedeker and Weekley in US, all e/w. Just to have an interest. Got a few quid off Thomas Bjorn e/w last week.


  • #23
    slave1
    Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 19,192 Mod ✭✭✭✭slave1


    Ha, reading last night Tiger is 1/20 to win the US$ money list. :pac:


  • #24
    kiers47
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,564 ✭✭✭kiers47


    Took Scott stallings at 35/1 earlier. In great form at the moment looks set to break into the tour in a big way. Confident to say the least! Dustin Johnson I like also but his form isn't great.


  • #25
    spacecoyote
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,635 ✭✭✭spacecoyote


    Just as a heads up to people, paddy power are offering 7 places for e/w bets on us open at the mo, if you make the bet on mobile


  • #26
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    Jimdagym wrote: »
    This week I just did a 10er double. Thomas Bjorn and dustin Johnsson both to get top 10 finishes in their competition. Pays just under 7's.

    I'm in with a sniff...:pac:


  • #27
    Rikand
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,421 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    spacecoyote wrote: »
    Just as a heads up to people, paddy power are offering 7 places for e/w bets on us open at the mo, if you make the bet on mobile

    Is that via some sort of app or just on the normal website


  • #28
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    Rickylovesuall wrote: »
    Is that via some sort of app or just on the normal website

    T&c's say via mobile or text betting only. Dial a bet does not count.


  • #29
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    Jimdagym wrote: »
    This week I just did a 10er double. Thomas Bjorn and dustin Johnsson both to get top 10 finishes in their competition. Pays just under 7's.

    NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!


  • #30
    Rikand
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,421 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    Jimdagym wrote: »
    NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!

    DJ still tied 10th though...

    2 bogeys on last 2 really might have screwed you


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  • #31
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    Rickylovesuall wrote: »
    DJ still tied 10th though...

    2 bogeys on last 2 really might have screwed you

    He is T9 now, but with 10 lads. The dead heat will apply so i doubt I'll even get my money back. Bogey-bogey finish completely killed me alright. Thought I was home :o


  • #32
    kiers47
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,564 ✭✭✭kiers47


    Jimdagym wrote: »
    He is T9 now, but with 10 lads. The dead heat will apply so i doubt I'll even get my money back. Bogey-bogey finish completely killed me alright. Thought I was home :o
    I feel your pain put up Scott stallings at 35/1. Was counting my money 2clear with 4to play.


  • #33
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    So for my tender bet I got €9.84 back :o
    Better than losing I suppose.


  • #34
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    I done my us open best last week but sure ill bang them up now. No faith in any of them now with that rain they are getting :(
    10ew Gmac @ 28
    5ew on Kuch @ 22
    5ew on Stenson @ 80
    5ew on piercy @ 150
    2.50ew on paddy @ 80

    All 1st 6 places as I did it before Powers went 7. Guarantee piercy will be 7th!


  • #35
    Rikand
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,421 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    im going to be sick as a dog if the cut falls at +8. went to place bets on weaver and howell to make the cut on thursday morning but got my timezone conversion mixed up when I went in and the tournie was underway so they wouldnt take them. was going to get howell at 2's and weaver at 4's :(


  • #36
    Rikand
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,421 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    Jimdagym wrote: »
    I done my us open best last week but sure ill bang them up now. No faith in any of them now with that rain they are getting :(
    10ew Gmac @ 28
    5ew on Kuch @ 22
    5ew on Stenson @ 80
    5ew on piercy @ 150
    2.50ew on paddy @ 80

    All 1st 6 places as I did it before Powers went 7. Guarantee piercy will be 7th!

    Stenson and Paddy doing alright for ya :)

    All of mine are long gone - making the cut would be an achievement for any of my guys


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  • #37
    redzerdrog
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,750 ✭✭✭redzerdrog


    I have been keeping a golf betting log the last few months it might be of interest to some of ye here

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056884191


  • #38
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    Rickylovesuall wrote: »
    Stenson and Paddy doing alright for ya :)

    All of mine are long gone - making the cut would be an achievement for any of my guys

    Kuch made the cut but at +7 he won't be doing much.

    I am still in shock at Gmac, I would have bet my first born he will be there or thereabouts on Sunday night. Boy, did I call that wrong.


  • #39
    Rikand
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,421 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    Rickylovesuall wrote: »
    im going to be sick as a dog if the cut falls at +8. went to place bets on weaver and howell to make the cut on thursday morning but got my timezone conversion mixed up when I went in and the tournie was underway so they wouldnt take them. was going to get howell at 2's and weaver at 4's :(

    yep - I am officially sick!


  • #40
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    Just a small one this week.
    €5 top 10 double, Bradley in the travellers and Sergio in the BMW championship. Pays 50 (I hope!)


  • #41
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    Jimdagym wrote: »
    Just a small one this week.
    €5 top 10 double, Bradley in the travellers and Sergio in the BMW championship. Pays 50 (I hope!)

    I love this bet!
    Garcia up to t5 ATM with his -7 today. Lots still out.
    Bradley t8 going out tonight.


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  • #42
    Rikand
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,421 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    Bradley couldnt do it for you.

    In other news, Harrington has to be worth a dart after his round today. He's showing perfect form for the Irish open :)


  • #43
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    Thomas Bjorn to win the irish open! Playing fantastic and knocking on the door for a few comps now. G-mac will get a piece of my gambling fund too. Gonna incorporate something with Jason day in the AT&T too.


  • #44
    kiers47
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,564 ✭✭✭kiers47


    Jimdagym wrote: »
    Thomas Bjorn to win the irish open! Playing fantastic and knocking on the door for a few comps now. G-mac will get a piece of my gambling fund too. Gonna incorporate something with Jason day in the AT&T too.

    Your mad for the doubles. I can't even back 1 winner!!
    Bookies love doubles and accums!


  • #45
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    kiers47 wrote: »
    Your mad for the doubles. I can't even back 1 winner!!
    Bookies love doubles and accums!

    The doubles are only top 10 doubles for a fiver or so for interest. I do like them though. I wouldn't bet more than that most weeks but the big weeks get a bigger betting fund.


  • #46
    kiers47
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,564 ✭✭✭kiers47


    Jimdagym wrote: »
    The doubles are only top 10 doubles for a fiver or so for interest. I do like them though. I wouldn't bet more than that most weeks but the big weeks get a bigger betting fund.

    Ya I see that alright. Golf betting for me is all interest really. Usually just small token bets. Good luck with your bets this week. I must have a look at some stats and pick out a couple for the Irish open.


  • #47
    realgolfgeek
    Registered Users Posts: 904 ✭✭✭realgolfgeek


    Greenbrier classic.

    Andres Romero first round leader 80/1

    Outright, 90/1 e.w


  • #48
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    I dont understand bookies. Thomas Bjorn limps in to the open after this weekend and they put him in at 40's.


  • #49
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    Honest to god, on my boys life's, on saturday night I looked at blixt 4 back at 9's, and Gmac joint leader at 2's and thought it was a great tenner double. Never put it on at all. :(
    Still, screw gambling, delighted both of them got the wins.


  • #50
    mickmackey1
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,288 ✭✭✭mickmackey1


    I can't for the life of me understand how there could be any such thing as a golf betting market. I mean even at the height of Tiger Woods' dominance, it seems like madness to back any one player to win a particular event, it's just way too random


  • #51
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    mickmackey1 wrote: »
    I can't for the life of me understand how there could be any such thing as a golf betting market. I mean even at the height of Tiger Woods' dominance, it seems like madness to back any one player to win a particular event, it's just way too random

    Gambling makes EVERYTHING better :D


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