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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2019 / 2020 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

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  • Registered Users Posts: 16,637 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    pauldry wrote: »
    What a grim year. Can we delete 2020 from the calendar

    January and February floods
    March Non weather related problems

    !

    Grim it is, but any day above ground is a good one, so this crisis will pass for the majority of us and holidays can be rebooked at later dates, unfortunately some won't be able to see the back of 2020 and enjoy better times.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,507 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Latest ECM is predicting a huge anticyclone to reside to our northwest on Sunday next with air pressure in excess of 1050hPa. Our March record on this island for comparison is 1047.1hPa all the way back in March 1900 so this is potentially record breaking for the North Atlantic.

    Looking at the evolution of the pattern through the week, a low attempts to progress eastwards through the North Atlantic mid-week but is stopped by an area of high pressure that also makes its way eastwards from North America and the high is inflated by a southerly airstream coming up the western side of Greenland. At the same time, that low prior mentioned becomes an undercut around the Azores and the NAO starts to go in its negative phase.

    jrmb0Ix.jpg

    UK Met Office have it peaking at 1054hPa on their latest fax with 1045hPa isobar well to the south of Ireland on Saturday.

    CKMYw20.gif

    What does this mean? To put it very simply, just an intense anticyclone setting up shop in the North Atlantic close to Ireland and things like this are solely for the interest of the weather enthusiast. For our actual weather, as others have posted, northerly to northeasterly winds will occur on the eastern side of this high over Ireland and it will be colder than average as a result. However, it should be mainly dry in nature. Wintry showers will depend on if we get a ridge extension from the high to our northwest or not and how cold it will get. Right now, it doesn't look that conducive with pressure relatively high in nature and Ireland just about on the periphery of the worst of the cold airmass. Mind you, chilly enough!

    After this, models have been playing with a Scandinavian High developing and bringing in easterly after easterly during early April. The latest tends to favour high pressure sticking around Ireland for the foreseeable future but never really warming up in the process. In light winds and the spring sun though, it wouldn't feel too bad. Nights would be cold however.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,449 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    gfs-0-144.png?6

    gfs-1-144.png?6

    PRJWulu.gif


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,449 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Nippy for the time of year

    GFSOPEU12_138_2.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,604 ✭✭✭dave1982




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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,864 ✭✭✭Dickie10


    will that be dry cold east wind?


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,322 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    Snow on Monday for the east?, Kermit too busy with the COVID forum to start a thread?! - https://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/arctic-outbreak-western-europe-next-weekend-mk/


    snow_prob_20200323_06_174.jpg-nggid0516644-ngg0dyn-900x600x100-00f0w010c010r110f110r010t010.jpg

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,702 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Supercell wrote: »
    Snow on Monday for the east?, Kermit too busy with the COVID forum to start a thread?!

    That will be socially distancing! :o


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,879 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Snow would be great. It would lock down the country anyhow so we could jump out our windows into bunches of deep snow like Emma and eat bread instead of Toilet Paper.


  • Registered Users Posts: 671 ✭✭✭TTLF
    save the trouble and jazz it up


    too bad its late march so it wont stick very long lol


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,815 ✭✭✭sparrowcar


    TTLF wrote: »
    too bad its late march so it wont stick very long lol

    Is it really a "laugh out loud" moment?
    You must be simply amused.


  • Registered Users Posts: 18,106 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    sparrowcar wrote: »
    Is it really a "laugh out loud" moment?
    You must be simply amused.

    Jaysus.....

    Go for a walk!


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,710 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    next week looks chilly, but it looks very dry as well. Snow looks mostly restricted to the south-east and southern UK with high pressure very close to us.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,815 ✭✭✭sparrowcar


    JCX BXC wrote: »
    Jaysus.....

    Go for a walk!

    Sorry didn't realise trolling attempts were ok these day. My bad...


  • Registered Users Posts: 671 ✭✭✭TTLF
    save the trouble and jazz it up


    sparrowcar wrote: »
    Is it really a "laugh out loud" moment?
    You must be simply amused.

    it is indeed a "LOL" moment, and I will indeed LOL


    ... "lol"

    (jokes hehe) :P


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,875 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    Plenty of snow in Italy lets hope it kills that virus

    https://www.liveincam.com/


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 40,061 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    Cold is useless against covid 19. Heat might be more help


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    Plenty of snow in Italy lets hope it kills that virus

    https://www.liveincam.com/

    A lot of people contracted the virus in the first place through going on skiing trips to Italy.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,003 ✭✭✭Lucreto


    Cold is useless against covid 19. Heat might be more help

    Hasn't helped in Australia. They are currently at our summer temperatures.


  • Registered Users Posts: 16,637 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    D980AD42-D90E-4D89-9610-DCF0750D3659.png.0254cbb6382bd2804c5a2a852d455ce8.png

    2BAFEC5D-72B5-4A37-B9EE-269DFF9680DF.jpeg.a62312cb7f54cdb2d01e2375132cd114.jpeg

    All in 10 days time, what could possibly go wrong? With this in mind I have heard that the ECM model maybe less accurate due to the on going situation because of less aircraft-based observations being available.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 16,637 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    The GFS still going for some sort of Northerly during the first week of April. Will the ECM back it?

    Although most people won't give two figs if we miss out on one at this stage. I would like some night time snow, it'll be a bit of a distraction from the current situation


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,849 ✭✭✭Chris_5339762


    To be honest, snow would be great right now, no-one needs to commute anywhere.


  • Registered Users Posts: 16,637 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    A030D551-7598-415E-B1F1-BB408E9BA84D.jpeg.84314e7fe7402c3035c201edd7117d76.jpeg

    There could be quite a bit of snow for the Wicklow Mountains if this verifies! What are the chances of that, though?

    images?q=tbn%3AANd9GcSDVrzjQqlYeKHeZXlDn0SB4JSnicGk7tg9gBJht6Nws1odWX9D


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,531 ✭✭✭kingshankly


    To be honest, snow would be great right now, no-one needs to commute anywhere.

    No we need wet and cold weather to keep every clown in the house


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,209 ✭✭✭tanko


    To be honest, snow would be great right now, no-one needs to commute anywhere.

    Yeah, nurses and doctors don't need to commute to work.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,710 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    unlikely to be any snow, the charts are showing plenty of dry over the next 2 weeks.


  • Registered Users Posts: 16,637 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Gonzo wrote: »
    unlikely to be any snow, the charts are showing plenty of dry over the next 2 weeks.

    They have flipped to a dryer scenario now, but were showing the possibility of something a bit wintry in the first week of April. It seems the Polar Vortex is still active enough, so the high out to the west can't move to the north west to allow a northerly to take hold. As you say this should mean alot of dry weather, as long as the high does not get flattened by any residual energy left over from the PV. Either way I think we've seen the end of the conveyor belt of lows that plagued us for months on end.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,710 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    They have flipped to a dryer scenario now, but were showing the possibility of something a bit wintry in the first week of April. It seems the Polar Vortex is still active enough, so the high out to the west can't move to the north west to allow a northerly to take hold. As you say this should mean alot of dry weather, as long as the high does not get flattened by any residual energy left over from the PV. Either way I think we've seen the end of the conveyor belt of lows that plagued us for months on end.

    yep, we are finally rid of this incredibly wet and miserable 7 month spell of deluges. Having said that we could do with it lasting an extra month or two right now just to keep everyone inside as much as possible. Fingers crossed we have a relatively dry run up to August. The extremely long range charts want to bring us a typical Irish August with a fairly decent run of weather between now and July.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,864 ✭✭✭Dickie10


    Is weather to get milder and more moist next week?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 28,805 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Dickie10 wrote:
    Is weather to get milder and more moist next week?


    Looking like it, more wet anyway


This discussion has been closed.
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