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Milk Price- Please read Mod note in post #1

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    Calling finance 'cheap' at 4.5% is laughable...someone somewhere is having a nice touch...

    Maybe it's time to go headlong into a full sovreignty/banking union with the EU...or hope that Brexit happens and jump with them.

    How long more can Ireland and Irish business be a life support for the banks?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,809 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    No it wouldn't be Ulster
    BoI have aiui a 40 k discretion but only acount managers managing customers over 1million in borrowings
    BoI can and do same day approvals up to 40k if you have the paperwork sorted, payment capacity, good record with them etc if you get me?
    Some banks are quicker and better than others but all need you to makea winnable case
    Getting money too easy can cause problems too.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    Dawggone wrote: »
    Calling finance 'cheap' at 4.5% is laughable...someone somewhere is having a nice touch...

    Maybe it's time to go headlong into a full sovreignty/banking union with the EU...or hope that Brexit happens and jump with them.

    How long more can Ireland and Irish business be a life support for the banks?
    We're not really part of the EU in economic terms though, Dawg.

    We're doing well on the back of demand from the US and UK with little exported to the rest of the EU compared to the rest of the Euro area countries so our 'recovery' is independent of the EU doing well or poorly.

    And there is still a big, big bill coming down the line from the fudging of proper monetary union within the Euro area that's going to put a lot of pressure on the incoming government. Italian banks are going to be a huge focus of attention in the very near future.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,617 ✭✭✭Farmer Ed


    We're not really part of the EU in economic terms though, Dawg.

    We're doing well on the back of demand from the US and UK with little exported to the rest of the EU compared to the rest of the Euro area countries so our 'recovery' is independent of the EU doing well or poorly.

    And there is still a big, big bill coming down the line from the fudging of proper monetary union within the Euro area that's going to put a lot of pressure on the incoming government. Italian banks are going to be a huge focus of attention in the very near future.

    We are very much part of the EU in banking terms. In theory we should have simular interest rates as every other Eu country. I think it is fair to say the high rates we pay here has something to do with us still having to bail out our banks and return them to profitability after their past mistakes.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    Farmer Ed wrote:
    We are very much part of the EU in banking terms. In theory we should have simular interest rates as every other Eu country. I think it is fair to say the high rates we pay here has something to do with us still having to bail out our banks and return them to profitability after their past mistakes.


    I suspect that there's not too much appetite to come and compete full on in the Irish market so - like so many other things - there is a cosy club who get away with outrageous service and pricing. I imagine they get an easy ride from govt as well who are terrified that they won't be able to repair their balance sheets.

    I've lived in some pretty expensive places over the years and I'm not easily shocked but the price of many things here. .. insurance, electricity spring to mind.. takes my breath away.

    It may well be that high wages and low productivity are an underlying cause but in my opinion the tendency to overpay for inputs is one of the biggest competitive threats to irish dairy.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,617 ✭✭✭Farmer Ed


    kowtow wrote: »
    I suspect that there's not too much appetite to come and compete full on in the Irish market so - like so many other things - there is a cosy club who get away with outrageous service and pricing. I imagine they get an easy ride from govt as well who are terrified that they won't be able to repair their balance sheets.

    I've lived in some pretty expensive places over the years and I'm not easily shocked but the price of many things here. .. insurance, electricity spring to mind.. takes my breath away.

    It may well be that high wages and low productivity are an underlying cause but in my opinion the tendency to overpay for inputs is one of the biggest competitive threats to irish dairy.

    Dawg can I ask how much a ton urea is in France at the moment? A very good example of an area where we are playing over the odds I would guess. But you won't find the competition atorithy looking in to that


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 389 ✭✭Gman1987


    Sam Kade wrote: »
    China bought 51% more milk in January hopefully they continue the trend.

    Export data showing the majority came from NZ which shipped out in December. Limited NZ/China reduced tarriff quota which opens up in January each year.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 389 ✭✭Gman1987


    Anyone follow the Ian potter newsletters? He is UK based so its generally UK dairy news but an interesting different type of article went out today questions what the UK dairy farmers are at:

    Dear Reader

    IP Dairy Farmer Article – March 2016

    Retailer aligned contracts account for around 12% of UK milk production, but scoop a whopping 20% of the UK’s total milk revenue and it’s heading towards 25% according to my fellow dairy farmer hack and Provision Trade Federation market watcher, Chris Walkland.

    For the majority of the remaining 88% of you it’s extremely tough indeed, and many are fighting for survival. One struggling farmer recently emailed me to say “the non-aligned continue to work like silly b***ers sinking deeper into the s**t while all around us the aligned walk on water at our expense”. I don’t disagree.

    Today, there is an ocean of information pushed at dairy farmers, most of which is pretty basic, and telling them what they should be doing to stay in business, how to cut cost and be more competitive. One document which caught my eye was a set of questions emailed to me by lawyer William Neville of Savills. Having carefully studied these questions the way ahead for a dairy farmer and his/her family should be clearer. The questions were:

    1. Have you the mind-set to take control of your own destiny? Or do you feel bewildered and a hopeless victim of circumstances?

    2. Is dairy farming right for you and your family? What are your plans for inheritance? Are you doing the right thing for your non-farming family members?

    3. What will you need to invest in your facilities in the next 10 years? How will you fund it and justify it?

    4. Do you REALLY know your cost of production?

    5. What is the realistic future milk price? Are you looking at the evidence or living on hope?

    6. Have you worked out whether you are producing what your milk purchaser really wants? i.e. Are you maximizing your return under your milk contract?

    7. What are you really paying yourself per hour? What can you afford to pay yourself and remain competitive? Would you be better off paying someone else and trying to add value to other parts of the business? What are your other skills? How much could you earn off farm part-time or full-time?

    8. Might there be a day when you will find yourself stranded without a milk purchaser at all?

    9. Are you buying all your inputs at best prices, and when did you last check alternatives?

    10. Are you ruthlessly and honestly benchmarking your performance and constantly trying to identify ways to incrementally improve performance?

    11. Have you got your eyes open for niche opportunities even if they start small?

    12. Do you have the right skills for the technologically and market driven global dairy industry of the future?

    I suggest every non-aligned farmer living in the real world goes through those questions with your partner and family members.
    Today, most dairy farmers face the most financial pressure they have ever encountered, with income crashing. Individual performance may have improved, but workload and bills are increasing.
    Dairy farming and life on a farm is full of pleasures and challenges and for many it has been a dream of a profession and an ideal place to bring up a family. But now it’s time for many to face up to the fact that their lifestyle is under threat and it could be the end of the line.
    It’s no longer possible to succeed by getting up earlier, staying out on the farm later and pushing yourself harder. The number of hours you work outside will NOT determine your success or failure as a dairy farmer, but it will push you and precious relationships to breaking point. Faster or harder working hands are unlikely to turn around a loss making situation, and to those of you who have asked me when prices will return to normal, and quoting figures of 30 to 35ppl, I say this: you could be in dreamland. Nothing, but nothing, says normal will be 30 to 35p. Normal could as easily be 24p going forward.
    Too many farmers I know, if they were honest, are married to their cows and the farm and in second place comes the children, followed by the wife and the marriage unless (as in some cases) the dog comes in at number 2 position!

    At what cost do you intend to keep the family dairy farm going? Are you prepared to sacrifice everything – for example your own health and happiness, your family’s happiness, your marriage or will you sacrifice the dairy unit to retain them all? It’s a massive decision to give up dairy farming but it’s not the end of the world. It’s more you taking control and having a change of direction with new opportunities and challenges. Sadly, recently I have heard of dairy farmers cashing in their pension just to keep the wheels turning. Please… don’t be afraid of change, its part of surviving.
    Oh, and if you are aged c.40 plus and still reporting in to your father, who realistically still looks upon his son or daughter as a glorified farm worker who still needs his guidance, then my advice is to not put up with this situation and get out now. And don’t get me started on those who have never had a proper holiday away from the farm, thinking that 30 years or so of consecutive milking is a badge of honour. Frankly that is tragic.
    One dairy farmer once said to me: “When I drive my car up hill I simply push down harder on the pedal.” To do that in an attempt to maintain your identity and dignity as a dairy farmer is unlikely to succeed. Another reader asked me this: “Do I listen to my heart, my accountant/consultant or my family?” Easy answer this one: your family.
    The questions and this article won’t give you all the answers but I hope it stimulates debate and questions for you and your family. Remember, you are NOT letting anyone down if you change and get out of dairy farming. But you will be letting you and your family down if you don’t change and do the best thing for your family. Whatever you decide to do, good luck and I hope it works out for you.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    Ger1987 wrote: »
    Anyone follow the Ian potter newsletters? He is UK based so its generally UK dairy news but an interesting different type of article went out today questions what the UK dairy farmers are at:

    ...........One document which caught my eye was a set of questions emailed to me by lawyer William Neville of Savills. ...

    do you feel bewildered and a hopeless victim of circumstances?

    A lot of the younger sons from my youth who ended up at Savills were pretty familiar with the bewildered, hopeless victim of circumstance thing....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,537 ✭✭✭case885


    Glanbia CEO talking on radio 1 at the moment.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,287 ✭✭✭alps


    FrieslandCampina have followed the same trend as Kerry and glanbia announcing a very impressive set of results for 2015. €343 million is a very impressive result from the coop. The results stem from increased sales and from reduced purchasing costs mainly due to lower price for raw milk.
    So we must see at this stage that processors that can colntol the supply chain to as close as possible to the end user can make phenomenal profits. The retail price of dairy product has held up really well but at the frighteningly low level at which the farmer inputs to the chain, it's a whole different world. Friesland Campina farmers however, on top of their 36c/l will get a distribution of the above profits as a 13th payment and a dividend on their bonds.
    Are there any Irish Coops capable of moving themselves beyond the processor stage in the chain? Some have nailed themselves firmly into that position, but is there still a chance for others, either on their own or in JV, and enable farmers to reap the rewards?
    When you look at the possibilities facing us at present with our coops acting as mere processors and intervention for SMP looking like being full by April, is there not a huge need to move up the chain?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,705 ✭✭✭dar31


    case885 wrote: »
    Glanbia CEO talking on radio 1 at the moment.

    Will the glanbia loan be for 15 or 20 years what intrest rate?????????????????/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,890 ✭✭✭mf240


    Farmer Ed wrote: »
    Dawg can I ask how much a ton urea is in France at the moment? A very good example of an area where we are playing over the odds I would guess. But you won't find the competition atorithy looking in to that

    They are currently looking into it as it happens.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,617 ✭✭✭Farmer Ed


    mf240 wrote: »
    They are currently looking into it as it happens.

    Given the competition authority's record of defending the rights of Irish farmers. I wouldn't hold my breath. I really hope I'm proven wrong but it does seem that Irish farmers are at a severe competitive disadvantage when it comes to the cost of fertilizer.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,084 ✭✭✭kevthegaff


    dar31 wrote: »
    Will the glanbia loan be for 15 or 20 years what intrest rate?????????????????/

    http://www.independent.ie/business/farming/low-cost-farm-loans-on-the-way-from-eu-34475207.html


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,617 ✭✭✭Farmer Ed


    dar31 wrote: »
    Will the glanbia loan be for 15 or 20 years what intrest rate?????????????????/

    Am I understanding this correctly? They can't or won't pay farmers a price for their milk above the cost of production, so instead they will offer them a loan that will tie them into the Co Op for 15 to 20 years?

    You load sixteen tons, what do you get?
    Another day older and deeper in debt
    Saint Peter, don't you call me 'cause I can't go
    I owe my soul to the company store.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,278 ✭✭✭frazzledhome


    Farmer Ed wrote: »
    Am I understanding this correctly? They can't or won't pay farmers a price for their milk above the cost of production, so instead they will offer them a loan that will tie them into the Co Op for 15 to 20 years?

    You load sixteen tons, what do you get?
    Another day older and deeper in debt
    Saint Peter, don't you call me 'cause I can't go
    I owe my soul to the company store.

    Loan is optional
    No where did I read 15-20 years


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,890 ✭✭✭mf240


    Priced around for fert and saved A nice few pound.

    Glanbia were the best by a long shot.

    Asked them about meal and they were out by 30/40 euros.

    Why is this?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,809 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    Loan is optional
    No where did I read 15-20 years

    Is it just the same as the bank of Ireland deal already available with Glanbia


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,278 ✭✭✭frazzledhome


    whelan2 wrote: »
    Is it just the same as the bank of Ireland deal already available with Glanbia

    No, different rate and term


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,617 ✭✭✭Farmer Ed


    Loan is optional
    No where did I read 15-20 years


    It may not be optional if they wont pay a price for milk to cover the cost of production.

    I often heard my parents talking about people who were so indebt to the local butter merchant long ago, that they were not allowed sell milk to the local Co Op. It was a very real struggle at the very foundation of the Co Op movement. !00 years on what started off as a proper Co Op movement has turned in to something that would probably be unrecognisable to Horace Plunked.

    It is sad to see over the last couple of weeks milk processors posting huge profits on the back of a poor milk price to farmers. What is even worse is that we just seem to except this as the norm.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,392 ✭✭✭✭Timmaay


    mf240 wrote: »
    Priced around for fert and saved A nice few pound.

    Glanbia were the best by a long shot.

    Asked them about meal and they were out by 30/40 euros.

    Why is this?

    Bought most my fert from Glanbia last year, but totally off the mark this year, the 7e/ton rebate doesn't help it at all. As for meal, think I only got one load off Glanbia all of last year, I do ask the odd time for a price, and they usually come in all enthusiastic with a good price on some sorta "good" nut, but the main ingredient being soya hulls or some other rubbish.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,809 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    Timmaay wrote: »
    Bought most my fert from Glanbia last year, but totally off the mark this year, the 7e/ton rebate doesn't help it at all. As for meal, think I only got one load off Glanbia all of last year, I do ask the odd time for a price, and they usually come in all enthusiastic with a good price on some sorta "good" nut, but the main ingredient being soya hulls or some other rubbish.
    buying nuts off glanbia through our group, couldnt be beaten for 18% nut way cheaper - good ingredients- other nuts are not as cheap with them through group


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,809 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    No, different rate and term
    with bank of ireland again?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,433 ✭✭✭Milked out




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,559 ✭✭✭pedigree 6


    Milked out wrote: »

    Can't be any harm. Actually think it will give a truer price of irish product than comparing to so called nz commodity prices.

    Just thinking are we just becoming the northern hemisphere new Zealand with EU rules and regulations?
    And by that I mean having our own dairy auction.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,278 ✭✭✭frazzledhome


    whelan2 wrote: »
    with bank of ireland again?

    No

    A very different product, not for working capital. Ideal for development.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    pedigree 6 wrote:
    Just thinking are we just becoming the northern hemisphere new Zealand with EU rules and regulations? And by that I mean having our own dairy auction.


    Are the platform prices published as the trade takes place?

    I wasn't sure when I looked at it, couldn't find any product prices.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,559 ✭✭✭pedigree 6


    kowtow wrote: »
    Are the platform prices published as the trade takes place?

    I wasn't sure when I looked at it, couldn't find any product prices.

    From reading that article that milked out put a link to I think the auction is only in the talks phase of setting up (if it does ever set up).


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,559 ✭✭✭pedigree 6


    Timmaay wrote: »
    Bought most my fert from Glanbia last year, but totally off the mark this year, the 7e/ton rebate doesn't help it at all. As for meal, think I only got one load off Glanbia all of last year, I do ask the odd time for a price, and they usually come in all enthusiastic with a good price on some sorta "good" nut, but the main ingredient being soya hulls or some other rubbish.

    PM sent.


This discussion has been closed.
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