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Sinn Fein - looming health service disaster?

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,296 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    Godge wrote: »
    If you think about it logically, if pay is a consideration now for two-thirds of potential doctors, cutting pay will only increase that percentage. You would need pay as a consideration to be as low as say 20% in order for cutting pay to have little or no effect.

    You could probably 'get away' if graduate debt levels were lower.

    This paper - "The national and international implications of a decade of doctor migration in the Irish context" (Health Policy, Volume 110, Issue 1, April 2013, Pages 29–38) identified salary as an issue, and presumably if you are not getting a grant to pay for your training you've to fork out for it yourself.....
    However, in 2008 the economic downturn heavily affected the functioning of the health care system and spending restrictions resulted in salary reductions, loss of training grants [27] and non-payment of overtime.


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,277 Mod ✭✭✭✭Chips Lovell


    Salary was cited by two thirds of doctors surveyed as a factor. I'm not convinced that you can discount that solely on the basis that it was only the fourth most cited factor.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,066 ✭✭✭✭Happyman42


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.

    And paying them based on what they might get in Qatar would be what exactly? Pretending we are an oil rich state? :rolleyes:

    Doctors have given us the main reasons why they are leaving, it stands to reason that if you want to stop them leaving then you need to fix those.
    You don't have to be an oil rich state to run an efficient service that offers those working in it decent working conditions and a proper work life balance.

    Doctors are not migrating from here primarily for money. The survey and other evidence clearly says that.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 39,019 ✭✭✭✭Permabear


    This post has been deleted.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,292 ✭✭✭RecordStraight


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    The survey is telling us
    You seem to be placing an enormous amount of faith in one survey. Is it possible that people might not tell the absolute truth in a survey? Could a survey be constructed to get the answers that the surveyor wants?

    Regardless, the notion that cutting doctors' pay will have no impact on hiring and recruiting doctors is ludicrous.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,292 ✭✭✭RecordStraight


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.
    I believe that's the biggest sovereign wealth fund in the world, and in a country with a population of only 5 million.

    We'd better get planting those magical money trees!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 812 ✭✭✭Dog of Tears


    Happyman42 wrote: »

    Doctors have given us the main reasons why they are leaving, it stands to reason that if you want to stop them leaving then you need to fix those.


    Other than trite platitudes and slashing Consultant's salaries, what are the grand plans of SF to address these issues out of interest?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,292 ✭✭✭RecordStraight


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    Doctors are not migrating from here primarily for money. The survey and other evidence clearly says that.
    And the doctors we have to compete for to hire on the global market - the one third of our doctors that are trained abroad?

    Is money not a factor for them either? Or do they just have a grá for Ireland, having been raised on tales of old Oireland as youngsters in...the Sudan, Pakistan, India and South Africa...?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,066 ✭✭✭✭Happyman42



    Regardless, the notion that cutting doctors' pay will have no impact on hiring and recruiting doctors is ludicrous.

    Could you PLEASE show us where it was said by me, or anybody else for that matter, that cutting pay would have NO impact.
    Be mindful of the fact that it was you who said the the impact would be 'mass exodus' and 'system collapse'.
    It is clear, that not fixing the problems in the service is what is having the 'impact' at the moment. 'Pay' is not helping in stemming the flow is it?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,066 ✭✭✭✭Happyman42


    I believe that's the biggest sovereign wealth fund in the world, and in a country with a population of only 5 million.

    We'd better get planting those magical money trees!

    We all have to accept the fact that this state can only raise x amount of money to run itself (isn't that what we are told by FG/Lab)
    Why should we then pay the top echelons of the PS money we cannot afford? That is the magic money tree philosophy right there. Except someone else is having money magicked away from them.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,292 ✭✭✭RecordStraight


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    Could you PLEASE show us where it was said by me, or anybody else for that matter, that cutting pay would have NO impact.
    Without trawling the whole thread, I will take you at your word that you did not say there would be no impact at all.

    What I would like to explore is - seeing as our system is already drastically overstretched (I'm sure you will agree) - what will the effect be if due to Sinn Fein's proposals we lose even more doctors and consultants?

    And how will this effect the work conditions of the remaining doctors?

    (not to mention us, the unfortunate users of the service)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,396 ✭✭✭✭FreudianSlippers


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    And paying them based on what they might get in Qatar would be what exactly? Pretending we are an oil rich state? :rolleyes:

    Doctors have given us the main reasons why they are leaving, it stands to reason that if you want to stop them leaving then you need to fix those.
    You don't have to be an oil rich state to run an efficient service that offers those working in it decent working conditions and a proper work life balance.

    Doctors are not migrating from here primarily for money. The survey and other evidence clearly says that.
    I’m not sure about Qatar, but in the UAE an Internal Medicine Doctor earns an average salary of AED 349,967 per year with housing allowance on top and yearly bonus or profit share.

    That’s just shy of €90k (exclusive of housing allowance and bonus/profit share) – from searching around on the internet a bit, it seems that the housing allowance is dependent on the contract, but people were reporting around AED6k/month for a junior doctor and a more experienced consultant was getting AED25k/month. Let’s split the difference and call it AED12k/month (€3k). That’s an extra €36,000 per annum.

    Bonus is again dependant, but 10% would seem to be a standard bonus amount. Let’s be conservative and call it 5% or €4,500.

    That’s €130,500. You’d have to make €250k before tax here to make that amount… and then you’d have to pay your rent/mortgage, so you’re still worse off.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,296 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    The factors most influencing their decision to leave were career opportunities (85%), working conditions (83%), and lifestyle (80%).

    ......followed by salary at 65%.

    The journal article makes it clear (to me anyway) that lifestyle is a function of many things, not the least of which is salary.....
    This suggests that although financial remuneration is a factor, it must also be accompanied by a change to the lifestyle of a junior doctor as depicted by McGowan et al. [19], where they feel underappreciated and undervalued.

    I'd also suggest things like overtime (and actually getting paid for it), working patterns etc dictate pay received and the acceptability or attractiveness of working conditions.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 812 ✭✭✭Dog of Tears


    It's pretty obvious that 'working conditions' is a polite way to answer 'salary' without the associated opprobrium of being deemed greedy.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 39,019 ✭✭✭✭Permabear


    This post has been deleted.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,066 ✭✭✭✭Happyman42


    The current status is; We can't recruit enough of them at the current pay scales and tax rates the current government is paying.

    Just to be clear here; is the proposal from you guys that we increase their pay to whatever it takes to keep them here?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,247 ✭✭✭✭BoJack Horseman


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    The current status is; We can't recruit enough of them at the current pay scales and tax rates the current government is paying.

    Indeed, so what is it about the SF health plan that improves that? (a key aspect of which is also much higher workloads).


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 21,727 ✭✭✭✭Godge


    http://www.rte.ie/news/2015/0319/688176-ireland-in-breach-of-law-over-doctors-hours-ecj/


    Not sure from the article whether this is an ECJ ruling or whether it is an Advocate General opinion. There is an important distinction but the implications of such an ECJ ruling are very significant and will impact on how hospitals organise themselves.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,296 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    The current status is; We can't recruit enough of them at the current pay scales and tax rates the current government is paying.

    Just to be clear here; is the proposal from you guys that we increase their pay to whatever it takes to keep them here?

    that or some other policy formulation to encourage them to stay - for example, free tuition for a medical student if they agree to spend 5 years post qualification working in the Irish health system or have the government provide zero interest loans to medical students, repayable only after they hit a certain salary point in their career, part or all of which may be ultimately forgiven if they go into certain areas of practice where there are chronic shortages.....

    ......GPs would be an example. GPs are 'greying' and graduates are not attracted to that line of work because of it's perceived poor pay and working patterns - no debt makes it more attractive, more GPs positively impact working patterns.

    Much more beneficial than hacking at salaries and has the added bonus of helping clever kids from lower socio-economic groups get into medicine.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 39,019 ✭✭✭✭Permabear


    This post has been deleted.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,066 ✭✭✭✭Happyman42


    Jawgap wrote: »
    that or some other policy formulation to encourage them to stay - for example, free tuition for a medical student if they agree to spend 5 years post qualification working in the Irish health system or have the government provide zero interest loans to medical students, repayable only after they hit a certain salary point in their career, part or all of which may be ultimately forgiven if they go into certain areas of practice where there are chronic shortages.....

    ......GPs would be an example. GPs are 'greying' and graduates are not attracted to that line of work because of it's perceived poor pay and working patterns - no debt makes it more attractive, more GPs positively impact working patterns.

    Much more beneficial than hacking at salaries and has the added bonus of helping clever kids from lower socio-economic groups get into medicine.

    I don't know what SF's health policy is exactly but I have heard plenty of SF TD's and indeed Independent TD's pinpoint what exactly is wrong in the Health service and speak quite strongly and frankly about the incompetence of the current HSE.
    My own opinion would be that the Health Service needs fixed first, then look at salaries because it is also my opinion that they are too high for a PS in a country this size and we cannot afford it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,247 ✭✭✭✭BoJack Horseman


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    I don't know what SF's health policy is exactly

    One wonders why on earth you are defending what you are oblivious to!

    Required reading....
    http://www.sinnfein.ie/files/2011/HealthDoc.pdf


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,277 Mod ✭✭✭✭Chips Lovell


    That working conditions in the health service could be improved to such a degree that doctors would be willing to work for less is not implausible.

    However, I've yet to see anything from Sinn Fein to convince me they'd find both the money and the wherewithal to make it happen.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 812 ✭✭✭Dog of Tears


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    I don't know what SF's health policy is exactly .

    I doubt they do either.

    Happyman42 wrote: »
    but I have heard plenty of SF TD's and indeed Independent TD's pinpoint what exactly is wrong in the Health service and speak quite strongly and frankly about the incompetence of the current HSE..

    I suspect what you've heard is populist guff masquerading as coherent policy.

    If not, perhaps you could 'pinpoint' exactly what has been suggested by SF to address the issue?



    Happyman42 wrote: »
    My own opinion would be that the Health Service needs fixed first,

    By doing what exactly?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,296 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    I don't know what SF's health policy is exactly but I have heard plenty of SF TD's and indeed Independent TD's pinpoint what exactly is wrong in the Health service and speak quite strongly and frankly about the incompetence of the current HSE.
    My own opinion would be that the Health Service needs fixed first, then look at salaries because it is also my opinion that they are too high for a PS in a country this size and we cannot afford it.

    Well they've published a couple of docs on it.

    And everyone knows what's wrong with the HSE - and the TDs have not pinpointed it because they know there is no way in hell they can get through the measures needed to fix the service.

    The HSE has itty-bitty units scattered all over the place - that kind of operation has no scale and is costly in the extreme. No TD gets re-elected by proposing to close any of these, they do get re-elected by suggesting more money is thrown into the system.

    But someone has to be blamed, and if not the politicians withing whose power it is to address the issues, why not the fat-cat 'Sir Lancelot Spratt' consultants?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,066 ✭✭✭✭Happyman42


    One wonders why on earth you are defending what you are oblivious to!

    Required reading....
    http://www.sinnfein.ie/files/2011/HealthDoc.pdf

    I have read that, it isn't current. As I say I am not an expert on SF health policy, I cam on this thread to reject the notion in the OP that a cut in wage would lead to a 'mass exodus' and a 'system collapse'.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,296 ✭✭✭✭Jawgap


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    I have read that, it isn't current. As I say I am not an expert on SF health policy, I cam on this thread to reject the notion in the OP that a cut in wage would lead to a 'mass exodus' and a 'system collapse'.

    Well the system won't collapse - we'll keep sucking in foreign doctors to keep it going.
    The proportion of foreign-trained doctors rose from 13.4% of all registered doctors in 2000 to 33.4% by 2010. The largest increase was in foreign-trained doctors from outside the EU, rising from 972 (7.4%) in 2000 to 4740 (25.3%) of registered doctors in 2010. The biggest source country in 2000 was Pakistan. By 2010, South Africa had become the biggest source country. The number of foreign-trained doctors from other EU countries doubled from 780 in 2000 to 1521 in 2010.

    1-s2.0-S0168851012002837-gr1.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,396 ✭✭✭✭FreudianSlippers


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    I have read that, it isn't current. As I say I am not an expert on SF health policy, I cam on this thread to reject the notion in the OP that a cut in wage would lead to a 'mass exodus' and a 'system collapse'.

    Two thirds have cited salary as an issue for considering emigration at current levels. are you seriously suggesting that you don't believe a further slash of salary levels would increase that figure?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,292 ✭✭✭RecordStraight


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    I have read that, it isn't current. As I say I am not an expert on SF health policy, I cam on this thread to reject the notion in the OP that a cut in wage would lead to a 'mass exodus' and a 'system collapse'.
    I asked you a few minutes ago what would happen if the system lost even more doctors, and what effect that would have on the working conditions of the remaining doctors.

    How many doctors do you think the system could afford to lose under Sinn Fein's proposals* before it would be in effective collapse?

    *those who leave due to pay cuts, the lower standard of doctor that can be hired, and the consequent effects on the working conditions of those remaining, who may then in turn leave


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,247 ✭✭✭✭BoJack Horseman


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    I have read that, it isn't current.

    You are wrong.

    The PDF file I linked is SF's current policy document.

    None has been created since.

    So if you have read it, you are savvy with SF policy as it currently stands, the cornerstone being the creation of an NHS.


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