Cheltenham Festival 2015

Peintre Celebre · 25-02-2015 11:57PM

frank93 wrote: »

If sprinter doesn't make Cheltenham champagne fever is your champion chaser.

Imagine, what a let down that would be.

frank93 · 26-02-2015 12:01AM

Peintre Celebre wrote: »

Imagine, what a let down that would be.

I can see him winning it if sprinter didn't turn up. Horse comes alive at Cheltenham and apart from sire DE grudgy I don't think there's much to beat. Dodging bullets for all he's done this season so far won't be winning a champion chase.

Juwwi · 26-02-2015 12:04AM

Smashing at 25/1 NRNB looks a decent each way bet in the JLT when you look
at his form.

Hulk Hands · 26-02-2015 12:05AM

Peintre Celebre wrote: »

Imagine, what a let down that would be.

Ah now, considering our choices after SS are SDG, who I love but is limited, Dodging Bullets who is exceedingly average and CF has aleady beaten, Mr.Mole and Hidden Cyclone

posturingpat · 26-02-2015 12:11AM

robbie1977 wrote: »

Smashing at 25/1 NRNB looks a decent each way bet in the JLT when you look
at his form.

Was surprised he wasn't entered in few handicaps. If he does go jlt definitely worth a look,de bromheads a smart man

posturingpat · 26-02-2015 12:13AM

Champagne fever will try set the pace,special tiara will be too quick,cf jumping will go to pot and run no kind of race,that what i think anyway

gillamandango · 26-02-2015 12:18AM

So, what price SDG? SS wont make it, Henderson wont run him if hes bleeding when put under pressure and and possibly changed his training regime because of the bleed..He'll see that at home and wont risk him..

bellybuster12 · 26-02-2015 12:18AM

EICVD wrote: »

Would love to know who posted that on Twitter.

@toim9

I don't know the chap personally, he is a young lad bout 20. Very immature in alot of ways and sounds like a spoilt child on the tweet machine BUT this lad is a fairly big punter and quiet a decent one at that. A cousin of mine would be friendly with him and he tells me this. An example would be 1k ew on jezki last year at 9/1 (legit).

frank93 · 26-02-2015 12:19AM

posturingpat wrote: »

Champagne fever will try set the pace,special tiara will be too quick,cf jumping will go to pot and run no kind of race,that what i think anyway

I've yet to see him run bad around Cheltenham. He just loves the place. Forget about his runs soo far this year he tends to save the best for Cheltenham. He had a very poor run where his jumping was suspect before the festival last year and was bet on the line in the arkle . I think without sprinter on the race he's the next best. Sprinter first champagne second sire third there's a nice tricast for ye all.

Charlie George · 26-02-2015 12:21AM

bellybuster12 wrote: »

@toim9

I don't know the chap personally, he is a young lad bout 20. Very immature in alot of ways and sounds like a spoilt child on the tweet machine BUT this lad is a fairly big punter and quiet a decent one at that. A cousin of mine would be friendly with him and he tells me this. An example would be 1k ew on jezki last year at 9/1 (legit).

Surprised he is still punting,a young fella betting 1k on a horse leads only to one thing,THE POORHOUSE!!!!

frank93 · 26-02-2015 12:22AM

gillamandango wrote: »

So, what price SDG? SS wont make it, Henderson wont run him if hes bleeding when put under pressure and and possibly changed his training regime because of the bleed..He'll see that at home and wont risk him..

I would think 6/4 sdg if sprinter becomes a non runner. Bookies won't go as big on him as last year where 11/4 was huge. They've learnt their lesson.

Hulk Hands · 26-02-2015 12:35AM

frank93 wrote: »

I would think 6/4 sdg if sprinter becomes a non runner. Bookies won't go as big on him as last year where 11/4 was huge. They've learnt their lesson.

7/2 + that morning. But anyway, its relatively easy to work out what the prices are if a horse withdraws. If a firm has SS 3/1, he's taking up 25% of their book, they have to reduce everyone by 25% to get the same sort of overround. SDG goes to a general 9/4 - 2/1

posturingpat · 26-02-2015 12:43AM

The young lad may have had a g ew on jezki last year but he's a total idiot and cant read a race at all and his attempt at humour is pretty awful too. Plenty of lads lump big on horses and clean up a big sum but they're putting the same on when they're losing. Guaranteed that young lad is down a lot of money,probably has a rich daddy that shows his love with a blank chequebook,seen it plenty of times before,no question in my mind that kids hemmhoraging money and will soon be in trouble either with daddy or the bank.A pal of mine 17 or 18 years back won 32 or 33k on a lucky 15 i **** you not. Same lad was getting a lend of money off me 3 or 4 months later to pay rent. Was putting on 2 or 3 5e/w lucky 15s(150 pound a pop) a day but of course he never advertised them. Gamblings meant to be fun,for some people it cant be

Backstreet Moyes · 26-02-2015 12:56AM

Just took 74/1 on Foxrock on Betfair exchange for the Gold Cup. He is as low as 12/1 elsewhere he might not go but it's worth a chance for a small stake for value if he turns up.

jimjamcos · 26-02-2015 01:23AM

As I've posted before, I think Sprinter Sacre will win the QM with the benefit of a run, a stronger pace and (hopefully) better ground. Must say though, having been against him throughout last year, the more I watched it the more I was mightily impressed by SDG at the weekend. Regardless of the quality of opposition, to give that weight away, travel and jump as boldly as he did makes him a massive danger but still hopefully that on better ground SS will have too much toe for him. The field behind the two market leaders is bang average. Can't have DB at all given his previous record (will get done for pace anyway IMO) and while Champagne Fever has a fine festival record, do his backers realise that he's never won a chase over the minimum trip? The Arkle he ran in was poor and while he probably has a place chance in an open enough race, it's a leap of faith to think he will break him 2m duck in the biggest race of all. Could easily see Hidden Cyclone grabbing third but hopefully Hendersons beast can win it.

mdwexford · 26-02-2015 01:34AM

Gringo180 wrote: »

Totally agree. If she was fit and well she would win this years Gold Cup imo if she was sent chasing.

Lol we've never even seen her jump a fence.

What a mad statement.

lemush · 26-02-2015 01:36AM

Charlie George wrote: »

Surprised he is still punting,a young fella betting 1k on a horse leads only to one thing,THE POORHOUSE!!!!

Not necessarily, the kid could be a top class punter for all we know.

Charlie George · 26-02-2015 03:52AM

lemush wrote: »

Not necessarily, the kid could be a top class punter for all we know.

Like you said a KID,not too many poor bookies

mulbot · 26-02-2015 06:21AM

Charlie George wrote: »

Like you said a KID,not too many poor bookies

but there are quite a few very very wealthy gamblers.

Jon Stark · 26-02-2015 06:41AM

frank93 wrote: »

Dodging bullets for all he's done this season so far won't be winning a champion chase.

Why do people have to make such de facto statements? It just makes one look silly if proven wrong.

Shemale · 26-02-2015 07:12AM

robbie1977 wrote: »

Smashing at 25/1 NRNB looks a decent each way bet in the JLT when you look
at his form.

Was looking at him, some serious boost of UDS form if he wins.

Backstreet Moyes · 26-02-2015 09:00AM

If anyone fancys douvan and thinks he's to short now to bk. 888sport are doing douvan/faugheen double 8/1. Only for 24 hrs though

realdanbreen · 26-02-2015 09:06AM

lemush wrote: »

Not necessarily, the kid could be a top class punter for all we know.

But wasn't that whiz kid that Del Roy was getting info from just a young fella? Any sign of him BTW, he was fairly handy with his predictions.

realdanbreen · 26-02-2015 09:09AM

mulbot wrote: »

but there are quite a few very very wealthy gamblers.

IMO about less than 20% of punters going into bookie shops on a regular basis turn a profit over the course of a year.EG I know for a fact that one individual going to my local bookies keeps one staff member employed. Basicly if he stops going in they will make a member of staff redundant.

madmoose · 26-02-2015 09:47AM

Shemale wrote: »

Was looking at him, some serious boost of UDS form if he wins.

Apparently last night johnny burke said he goes the arkle, he is 50/1!!

Backstreet Moyes · 26-02-2015 09:49AM

realdanbreen wrote: »

IMO about less than 20% of punters going into bookie shops on a regular basis turn a profit over the course of a year.EG I know for a fact that one individual going to my local bookies keeps one staff member employed. Basicly if he stops going in they will make a member of staff redundant.

I would say less again smart people back online. I can;t understand how anyone serious about gambling doesn;t shop around online and also not avail of guaranteed prices online.

Backstreet Moyes · 26-02-2015 09:51AM

madmoose wrote: »

Apparently last night johnny burke said he goes the arkle, he is 50/1!!

That's a serious price e/w i can;t see him placing in the RSA but he has a chance to place in a poor Arkle.

sizing europe · 26-02-2015 10:14AM

robbie1977 wrote: »

Smashing at 25/1 NRNB looks a decent each way bet in the JLT when you look
at his form.

Smashing will run in the arkle. Fact

posturingpat · 26-02-2015 11:35AM

realdanbreen wrote: »

IMO about less than 20% of punters going into bookie shops on a regular basis turn a profit over the course of a year.EG I know for a fact that one individual going to my local bookies keeps one staff member employed. Basicly if he stops going in they will make a member of staff redundant.

I'd say less than 5% if honest. As someone eluded to anyone that takes it serious doesn't sit in a bookies all day.

carq · 26-02-2015 11:42AM

madmoose wrote: »

Apparently last night johnny burke said he goes the arkle, he is 50/1!!

40/1 best price I can find.
Only 16/1 in PP is you want the insurance of free bet back if UDS wins

Cheltenham Festival 2015

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