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Would an UK EU exit really effect Ireland ?

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Comments

  • #62
    The Corinthian
    Closed Accounts Posts: 19,777 ✭✭✭✭The Corinthian


    BoJack Horseman wrote: »
    How would Ireland 'lose access' to the UK?

    At worst there would be trade tariffs..... Like trade with any non-EU country
    At best, the status quo of free trade via bilateral agreement.

    A brexit may drop trade slightly, but it doesn't disappear.
    Sorry, I should have been more pedantic. Of course it would not disappear, but it would certainly decrease, and I suspect by more than 'slightly'. This will naturally cause a shock to the system as we compensate with different markets.

    Basically, there will be a transitional period as our economy adjusts.


  • #63
    Frank Lee Midere
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,780 ✭✭✭Frank Lee Midere


    petronius wrote: »
    Border Police north of dundalk?
    South of Inishowen...
    Passport control on the enterprise?
    I doubt it
    But our government seems to have no plan for the likely hood of the UK leaving the EU

    All of that is likely. If the UK leaves because of a fear of immigration they would obviously police the borders.

    Fun fact: the regulations already allow border control for security reasons which explains why you were stopped going north a few years ago even though both Ireland and the UK were in the EEC/EU and had a common travel area. In fact there were restrictions within the UK - some people couldn't fly from Belfast to London.


  • #64
    Frank Lee Midere
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,780 ✭✭✭Frank Lee Midere


    ewan whose army wrote: »
    We already have to go through customs and the GNIB when we arrive from the UK

    But not always the other way. In Dublin there is no distinction between flights from the UK and anywhere else. Fly to
    Bristol and you can walk off as the flight enters a "domestic gate".


  • #65
    FreudianSlippers
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,397 ✭✭✭✭FreudianSlippers


    Frank Lee Midere wrote: »
    But not always the other way. In Dublin there is no distinction between flights from the UK and anywhere else. Fly to
    Bristol and you can walk off as the flight enters a "domestic gate".
    Nothing about the EU prevents the UK from doing so though. The immigration thing is a damp squib in terms of "bad" EU issues.


  • #66
    Frank Lee Midere
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,780 ✭✭✭Frank Lee Midere


    FreudianSlippers wrote: »
    Nothing about the EU prevents the UK from doing so though. The immigration thing is a damp squib in terms of "bad" EU issues.

    Sure. I think some British airports have security from Ireland and neither Ireland nor Britain are in the schengen area so passport control is there already from the continent.


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  • #67
    Scofflaw
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,283 ✭✭✭✭Scofflaw


    The Corinthian wrote: »
    Sorry, I should have been more pedantic. Of course it would not disappear, but it would certainly decrease, and I suspect by more than 'slightly'. This will naturally cause a shock to the system as we compensate with different markets.

    Basically, there will be a transitional period as our economy adjusts.

    Wouldn't that depend on what/whether the UK negotiates during the 2-year 'grace period' allowed for in Lisbon?

    cordially,
    Scofflaw


  • #68
    The Corinthian
    Closed Accounts Posts: 19,777 ✭✭✭✭The Corinthian


    Scofflaw wrote: »
    Wouldn't that depend on what/whether the UK negotiates during the 2-year 'grace period' allowed for in Lisbon?
    I'm sure that any shock to either the Irish or UK economies will be managed, but there ultimately still be some fallout as some companies fail to adjust; I know of one that has 100% of their business in the UK and I would severely doubt that they would be able to adjust to other parts of the EU (or if legally they can as they effectively resell a US product via a franchise).

    Of course, it doesn't mean that Ireland might not be better off in the long run. We could do very well as we poach all those multinationals that were in the UK for a foothold in the EU. Financial services in Ireland could make a killing.

    If we can get our act together to exploit the opportunity, of course.


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